Machine learning detects survey validity from user behavior.
problem Detecting valid responses in web surveys.
method Uses mouse activity and machine learning models (LSTM, HMM).
result Predicts survey validity without analyzing specific answers.
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “survey responses”
Digital personas improve survey results for stable attributes but fail for subjective responses.
problem When can digital personas reliably approximate human survey findings?
method Using LISS panel, constructed personas from background variables and survey histories, tested against held-out post-cutoff answers.
result Digital personas improve alignment with human response distributions for stable attributes but fail for subjective responses.
Malaria Likelihood Prediction By Effectively Surveying Households Using Deep Reinforcement Learningcs.LG
We build a deep reinforcement learning (RL) agent that can predict the likelihood of an individual testing positive for malaria by asking questions about their household. The RL agent learns to determine which survey question to ask next and when to stop to make a prediction about their likelihood of malaria based on t…
ESRLCM clusters similar responses, more broadly than traditional models.
problem Clustering multivariate categorical data with common response patterns.
method Bayesian Equivalence Set Restricted Latent Class Model (ESRLCM).
result ESRLCM identifies clusters with similar item response probabilities.
Flexible models predict US Census survey response rates.
problem Predicting survey response rates in the US Census Bureau.
method Nonparametric additive models with structured interactions using ℓ0-based penalization.
result Models lead to predictions comparable to black-box methods but are interpretable.
Study shows non-systematic bias in customer satisfaction surveys limits data value.
problem Non-systematic bias in customer satisfaction surveys limits data value.
method Used real customer satisfaction survey data of a large retail bank to show the irreducible error and suggest thoughtful survey design methods.
result A thoughtful survey design can reduce non-systematic error in customer satisfaction surveys.
CFOs Meet LLMsq-fin.CP
LLMs can predict CFO responses to economic surveys
problem Measuring business sentiment
method Prompting an LLM to role-play as a CFO
result LLM reproduces individual human responses
Study uses ML to predict non-participation in ELSA COVID-19 follow-up studies.
problem Predicting non-participation in follow-up surveys due to various factors.
method Used machine learning algorithms including KNN, RF, AdaBoost, logistic regression, NN, and SVC.
result Random Forest (RF) outperforms other models in balanced accuracy.
Online surveys have the potential to support adaptive questions, where later questions depend on earlier responses. Past work has taken a rule-based approach, uniformly across all respondents. We envision a richer interpretation of adaptive questions, which we call dynamic question ordering (DQO), where question order …
In many countries information on expectations collected through consumer confidence surveys are used in macroeconomic policy formulation. Unfortunately, before doing so, the consistency of responses is often not taken into account, leading to biases creeping in and affecting the reliability of the indices hence created…
A Technical Survey on Statistical Modelling and Design Methods for Crowdsourcing Quality Controlcs.HC
Online crowdsourcing provides a scalable and inexpensive means to collect knowledge (e.g. labels) about various types of data items (e.g. text, audio, video). However, it is also known to result in large variance in the quality of recorded responses which often cannot be directly used for training machine learning syst…
Method fuses low and high-resolution data for better health estimates.
problem Improving high-resolution health estimates from mixed data sources.
method Fusion of unbiased low-resolution and potentially biased high-resolution data, learning a distribution consistent with sampling bias.
result Significant reduction in bias in high-resolution estimates.
Survey on ML advances for personalized prediction considering entity characteristics.
problem Sub-optimal performance in personalized prediction due to heterogeneity in data across entities.
method Organized current literature on entity-aware modeling based on characteristics availability and training data amount.
result Recent innovations in uncertainty quantification, fairness, and knowledge-guided machine learning can improve entity-aware modeling.
TabSODA: Tabular Diffusion based Imputation with Skip Pattern Detection and Ordinal Awarenessstat.ML
TabSODA improves imputation of surveys with skips and ordinal data.
problem Handling structural skips and ordinal responses in survey data.
method TabSODA uses an Elucidated Diffusion Model with skip pattern detection and ordinal awareness.
result TabSODA reduces ordinal missing-at-random (MACE) by up to 23.7% and improves categorical accuracy by up to 9%.
Market research is generally performed by surveying a representative sample of customers with questions that includes contexts such as psycho-graphics, demographics, attitude and product preferences. Survey responses are used to segment the customers into various groups that are useful for targeted marketing and commun…
The main aim of this paper is to inspect the properties of survey based on households inflation expectations, conducted by Reserve Bank of India. It is theorized that the respondents answers are exaggerated by extreme response bias. Latent class analysis has been hailed as a promising technique for studying measurement…
Item response theory (IRT) models for categorical response data are widely used in the analysis of educational data, computerized adaptive testing, and psychological surveys. However, most IRT models rely on both the assumption that categories are strictly ordered and the assumption that this ordering is known a priori…
Survey of LLMs in finance tasks, including adoption and performance.
problem Utilizing large language models in financial tasks.
method Review of current approaches, decision framework for adoption.
result Synthesizes state-of-the-art for LLMs in finance.
Deep learning models outperform MICE in large survey imputation but with hyperparameter tuning.
problem Comparing deep learning and MICE for missing data imputation in large surveys.
method Extensive simulation studies comparing four machine learning-based MI methods: MICE with classification trees, MICE with random forests, generative adversarial imputation networks, and multiple imputation using denoising autoencoders.
result MICE with classification trees consistently outperforms deep learning methods in terms of bias, mean squared error, and coverage.
Supply Chain Management often requires independent organizations to work together to achieve shared objectives. This collaboration is necessary when coordinated actions benefit the group more than the uncoordinated efforts of individual firms. Despite the commonly reported benefits that can be gained in close relations…
Bayesian approach learns causal concepts from diverse social surveys.
problem Inferring causal concepts from heterogeneous data with sparse changes.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model with sequential Monte Carlo sampling.
result Model infers meaningful causal concepts and plausible relations.
Survey of software developers' experience with Github Copilot tool.
problem Investigate developers' acceptance of AI-generated code.
method Survey with 18 questions distributed to 42 programmers.
result Mixed developer opinions, mostly positive but reluctance to use.
The Rasch model is widely used for item response analysis in applications ranging from recommender systems to psychology, education, and finance. While a number of estimators have been proposed for the Rasch model over the last decades, the available analytical performance guarantees are mostly asymptotic. This paper p…
We survey results on neural network expressivity described in "On the Expressive Power of Deep Neural Networks". The paper motivates and develops three natural measures of expressiveness, which all display an exponential dependence on the depth of the network. In fact, all of these measures are related to a fourth quan…
The purpose of this paper is to identify the immediate and future retailer response to wholesale stockouts. We perform a statistical analysis of historical customer order and delivery data of a local tool wholesaler and distributor, whose customers are retailers, over a period of four years. We investigate the effect o…
This survey reviews dimension estimation methods for datasets.
problem Understanding the intrinsic dimension of high-dimensional datasets.
method Categorizes dimension estimation methods by geometric information: tangential, parametric, and topological.
result Many dimension estimation methods may overfit and not generalize well.
User surveys for Quality of Experience (QoE) are a critical source of information. In addition to the common "star rating" used to estimate Mean Opinion Score (MOS), more detailed survey questions (problem tokens) about specific areas provide valuable insight into the factors impacting QoE. This paper explores two aspe…
This paper surveys UQ methods for deep learning.
problem Overconfident predictions in deep learning models.
method Categorizes UQ methods by uncertainty sources.
result Identifies strengths and limitations of each category.
AI enhances ESG practices in finance, but requires careful consideration.
problem Regulatory pressures and stakeholder awareness drive ESG adoption.
method Industrial survey categorizing AI applications in ESG.
result AI improves analytical capabilities, risk assessment, and customer engagement.
Towards the global vision of engagement of Generation Z at the workplace: Mathematical modelingecon.GN
Mathematical models reveal key factors for engaging Gen Z at work.
problem Understanding and improving engagement of Generation Z employees.
method Correlation and cluster analyses on engagement surveys.
result Clear responsibilities and challenging work are essential for Gen Z employees.
Survey connects XAI and surrogate modeling for better understanding of complex systems.
problem Opaque surrogate models hide input-output relationships, hindering decision-making.
method Synthesizes XAI techniques with surrogate modeling workflows.
result Surrogate models can be made more interpretable using XAI methods.
The paper addresses privacy in rank aggregation using randomized responses.
problem Preserving privacy while aggregating pairwise rankings.
method Adaptive debiasing method for randomized response rankings.
result Established minimax rates for estimation errors and optimal privacy guarantees.
New method estimates high-dimensional GoM models efficiently.
problem Estimating GoM models for high-dimensional polytomous data.
method Flattening three-way quasi-tensor into a matrix, performing singular value decomposition.
result Established finite-sample error bounds for estimated parameters.
Developed DLCM for more accurate clustering of categorical data.
problem Restrictive conditional independence assumption in traditional LCMs.
method Bayesian Dependent Latent Class Model (DLCM) that allows conditional dependence.
result DLCMs are effective in applications with time series, overlapping items, and structural zeroes.
Paper proposes efficient multivariate spatial Fay-Herriot models using variational autoencoders.
problem Estimating population characteristics in small areas with limited data.
method Integrates multivariate spatial Fay-Herriot model with variational autoencoders to leverage spatial structure efficiently.
result Significant computational efficiency improvements for high-dimensional datasets.
Algorithm improves binary classification of biased grouped data.
problem Improving binary classification for biased, grouped data.
method Assumes partition-projected class-conditional invariance across groups and derives a semi-supervised algorithm to learn a group-aware classifier.
result Demonstrates improved area under the ROC curve compared to baselines.
LLMs overestimate stock returns and are less accurate at predicting extreme outcomes.
problem Behavioral biases in LLMs' stock return forecasts.
method Comparison of LLM forecasts with crowd-sourced estimates and historical data.
result LLMs overestimate stock returns and are less accurate at predicting extreme outcomes.
We investigate a class of hierarchical mixtures-of-experts (HME) models where exponential family regression models with generalized linear mean functions of the form psi(ga+fx^Tfgb) are mixed. Here psi(...) is the inverse link function. Suppose the true response y follows an exponential family regression model with mea…
ChatGPT and Corporate Policiesq-fin.CP
ChatGPT scores corporate investment plans, predicting future spending and returns.
problem Measuring and predicting corporate investment plans.
method Created a firm-level ChatGPT investment score based on conference calls.
result The investment score predicts future capital expenditures and returns.
Survey updates knowledge on homogeneous Einstein spaces.
problem Understanding homogeneous Einstein spaces.
method Building on previous surveys by Wang and Lauret.
result Current state of homogeneous Einstein spaces.
Survey on submanifolds in nearly Kähler spaces.
problem Understanding submanifolds in nearly Kähler spaces.
method No specific method mentioned, just a survey of existing results.
result Summarizes existing results on submanifolds in nearly Kähler spaces.
The Minimal Genus Problemmath.GT
Survey of minimal genus problem progress.
problem Finding the smallest genus surface in 3-manifolds.
method Survey and review of existing research.
result Summarizes recent advancements in the minimal genus problem.
The paper improves Lasso inference methods for survey data.
problem Improving inference methods for survey data.
method Extends Lasso inferential methods to survey data.
result Establishes asymptotic validity of inference procedures in survey environments.
We consider high dimensional sparse regression, and develop strategies able to deal with arbitrary -- possibly, severe or coordinated -- errors in the covariance matrix . These may come from corrupted data, persistent experimental errors, or malicious respondents in surveys/recommender systems, etc. Such non-stochas…
Survey on L^2-invariants for 3-manifolds.
problem Understanding L^2-invariants for 3-manifolds.
method Survey and focus on L^2-invariants for 3-manifolds.
result Survey results on L^2-invariants for 3-manifolds.
Is it possible to predict the motivation of players just by observing their gameplay data? Even if so, how should we measure motivation in the first place? To address the above questions, on the one end, we collect a large dataset of gameplay data from players of the popular game Tom Clancy's The Division. On the other…
Survey on DDVV-type inequalities, their history, and recent developments.
problem None explicitly stated; focuses on surveying existing work.
method None explicitly stated; focuses on surveying existing work.
result Survey of DDVV-type inequalities and their history and recent developments.
SaML guides ML models to avoid survey biases.
problem ML models trained on survey data often ignore survey design metadata.
method Nine-step guideline for incorporating survey design metadata in ML lifecycle.
result SaML provides valid population inference from survey data.