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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for surplus processes

The paper analyzes insurance risk with Parisian ruin and capital injection.

problem Analyzing insurance risk with Parisian ruin and capital injection.
method Using fluctuation and excursion theory of spectrally negative Levy processes.
result Distributional identities and ruin probabilities are derived.

We study a singular stochastic control problem faced by the owner of an insurance company that dynamically pays dividends and raises capital in the presence of the restriction that the surplus process must be above a given dividend payout barrier in order for dividend payments to be allowed. Bankruptcy occurs if the su…

2019-02-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We study an optimal investment control problem for an insurance company. The surplus process follows the Cramer-Lundberg process with perturbation of a Brownian motion. The company can invest its surplus into a risk free asset and a Black-Scholes risky asset. The optimization objective is to minimize the probability of…

2015-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The Gerber-Shiu function provides a way of measuring the risk of an insurance company. It is given by the expected value of a function that depends on the ruin time, the deficit at ruin, and the surplus prior to ruin. Its computation requires the evaluation of the overshoot/undershoot distributions of the surplus proce…

2017-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We use the theory of coherent measures to look at the problem of surplus sharing in an insurance business. The surplus share of an insured is calculated by the surplus premium in the contract. The theory of coherent risk measures and the resulting capital allocation gives a way to divide the surplus between the insured…

2018-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes optimal dividend strategies for risky businesses, considering both periodic and extraordinary payments.

problem Maximizing dividends paid until ruin, net of transaction costs.
method Modeling cash surplus as Brownian motion, considering different types of dividends with transaction costs.
result Optimal strategies depend on business profitability and transaction costs, sometimes including liquidation.

This paper solves an optimal dividend payout problem with ratcheting constraints using a novel method.

problem Optimal dividend payout under ratcheting constraints for a Brownian motion surplus process.
method Novel partial differential equation method to solve the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation.
result Existence and uniqueness of solution in stronger functional spaces, strict monotonicity, boundedness, and CC^\infty-smoothness of the free boundary.

The paper finds optimal threshold strategies for insurance companies with a positive terminal value at creeping ruin.

problem Optimizing dividend payments in an insurance company's surplus process with a positive terminal value at creeping ruin.
method Using fluctuation theory, the paper derives explicit formulas for the objective function and shows the optimality of threshold strategies.
result Threshold strategies are optimal for the dividend optimization problem under certain conditions.

We consider an insurance company whose surplus is represented by the classical Cramer-Lundberg process. The company can invest its surplus in a risk free asset and in a risky asset, governed by the Black-Scholes equation. There is a constraint that the insurance company can only invest in the risky asset at a limited l…

2011-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes capital structure for life insurance companies with surplus participation.

problem Determining the optimal participation rate in life insurance contracts.
method Adapted Leland's dynamic capital structure model to life insurance context.
result Optimal participation rate is highly sensitive to contract duration and tax rate.

The study examines how different interpolation methods affect the decomposition of life insurance surplus.

problem The impact of different interpolation methods on the decomposition of life insurance surplus.
method The study uses the IASU decomposition method to analyze the effects of different interpolation methods (Lee-Carter and linear) on the surplus decomposition.
result Lee-Carter and linear interpolation yield almost identical decompositions, while constant approximations result in different decompositions.

The theory of acceptance sets and their associated risk measures plays a key role in the design of capital adequacy tests. The objective of this paper is to investigate, in the context of bounded financial positions, the class of surplus-invariant acceptance sets. These are characterized by the fact that acceptability …

2014-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents a systematic study of the notion of surplus invariance, which plays a natural and important role in the theory of risk measures and capital requirements. So far, this notion has been investigated in the setting of some special spaces of random variables. In this paper we develop a theory of surplus …

2017-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates consumer surplus from randomized pricing data.

problem Estimating consumer surplus from observational data, especially in AI-driven pricing.
method Cumulative Propensity Weights (CPW) and Augmented CPW (ACPW) estimators.
result Validated methods for estimating consumer surplus from randomized pricing data.

Optimal reinsurance when Value at Risk and expected surplus is balanced through their ratio is studied, and it is demonstrated how results for risk-adjusted surplus can be utilized. Simplifications for large portfolios are derived, and this large-portfolio study suggests a new condition on the reinsurance pricing regim…

2019-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we investigate Parisian ruin for a Lévy surplus process with an adaptive premium rate, namely a refracted Lévy process. More general Parisian boundary-crossing problems with a deterministic implementation delay are also considered. Our main contribution is a generalization of the result in Loeffen et al.…

2016-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate, focusing on the ruin probability, an adaptation of the Cramer-Lundberg model for the surplus process of an insurance company, in which, conditionally on their intensities, the two mixed Poisson processes governing the arrival times of the premiums and of the claims respectively, are independent. Such a …

2016-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal dividend payout strategy found for Brownian risk model with ratcheting constraint.

problem Optimal dividend payout from a surplus process governed by Brownian motion with drift under ratcheting constraint.
method Solved a two-dimensional optimal control problem using viscosity solutions of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations.
result Threshold and curve strategies identified as optimal for different dividend rate sets.

Study shows Bitcoin mining with surplus electricity can boost KEPCO's financial stability.

problem Improving energy resource efficiency and reducing KEPCO's debt.
method Utilized surplus electricity for Bitcoin mining using Antminer S21 XP Hyd, analyzed with Random Forest Regressor and Long Short-Term Memory models.
result Bitcoin mining with surplus electricity generates economic revenue, minimizes energy loss, and resolves payment issues for KEPCO.

We consider an economic agent (a household or an insurance company) modelling its surplus process by a deterministic process or by a Brownian motion with drift. The goal is to maximise the expected discounted spendings/dividend payments, given that the discounting factor is given by an exponential CIR process. In the d…

2018-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider an insurance entity endowed with an initial capital and a surplus process modelled as a Brownian motion with drift. It is assumed that the company seeks to maximise the cumulated value of expected discounted dividends, which are declared or paid in a foreign currency. The currency fluctuation is modelled as…

2016-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Study how firm liquidation regimes affect shareholder value and stability.

problem Balancing shareholder value and financial stability during firm liquidation.
method Modelled forced liquidation in reduced form, solved singular stochastic control problem.
result Combining distress regions below and above ruin threshold improves both shareholder value and firm survival.

We consider a two-dimensional optimal dividend problem in the context of two branches of an insurance company with compound Poisson surplus processes dividing claims and premia in some specified proportions. We solve the stochastic control problem of maximizing expected cumulative discounted dividend payments (among al…

2016-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Review of Gerber-Shiu function for practical actuarial science.

problem Difficulty in numerical approximation and statistical inference of Gerber-Shiu function.
method Comprehensive review of formulations, surplus processes, numerical methods, and statistical inference.
result Enhanced understanding and practical guide for Gerber-Shiu function.

In this note we study the optimal dividend problem for a company whose surplus process, in the absence of dividend payments, evolves as a generalized compound Poisson model in which the counting process is a generalized Poisson process. This model including the classical risk model and the Polya-Aeppli risk model as sp…

2013-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently estimates SAGE values using causal structure learning.

problem Computational infeasibility of exact SAGE calculations.
method Uses causal structure learning to identify conditional independencies and accelerate SAGE approximation.
result Empirically demonstrates efficient and accurate estimation of SAGE values.

We consider an insurance company modelling its surplus process by a Brownian motion with drift. Our target is to maximise the expected exponential utility of discounted dividend payments, given that the dividend rates are bounded by some constant. The utility function destroys the linearity and the time homogeneity of …

2018-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we revisit the optimal periodic dividend problem, in which dividend payments can only be made at the jump times of an independent Poisson process. In the dual (spectrally positive Lévy) model, recent results have shown the optimality of a periodic barrier strategy, which pays dividends at Poissonian divi…

2017-08-04abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we study the optimal dividend problem for a company whose surplus process evolves as a spectrally positive Levy process. This model including the dual model of the classical risk model and the dual model with diffusion as special cases. We assume that dividends are paid to the shareholders according to ad…

2013-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗