A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New methods evaluate data representations by complexity of low-loss predictor learning.
The abstract reviews Markov models in life insurance surplus.
Minimum Description Length prevents overfitting in noisy data.
We use the theory of coherent measures to look at the problem of surplus sharing in an insurance business. The surplus share of an insured is calculated by the surplus premium in the contract. The theory of coherent risk measures and the resulting capital allocation gives a way to divide the surplus between the insured…
Paper introduces a new principle for fair redistribution of insurance surplus.
Optimizes capital structure for life insurance companies with surplus participation.
The study examines how different interpolation methods affect the decomposition of life insurance surplus.
Optimal dividend payout strategy found for Brownian risk model with ratcheting constraint.
Any solvency regime for financial institutions should be aligned with the fundamental objectives of regulation: protecting liability holders and securing the stability of the financial system. The first objective leads to consider surplus-invariant capital adequacy tests, i.e. tests that do not depend on the surplus of…
This paper introduces a new method for model selection and more generally hyperparameter selection in machine learning. Minimum description length (MDL) is an established method for model selection, which is however not directly aimed at minimizing generalization error, which is often the primary goal in machine learni…
Revisits life insurance surplus models with new technical bases.
Study shows LLC correlates with neural network compressibility.
We present an asymptotic criterion to determine the optimal number of clusters in k-means. We consider k-means as data compression, and propose to adopt the number of clusters that minimizes the estimated description length after compression. Here we report two types of compression ratio based on two ways to quantify t…
The theory of acceptance sets and their associated risk measures plays a key role in the design of capital adequacy tests. The objective of this paper is to investigate, in the context of bounded financial positions, the class of surplus-invariant acceptance sets. These are characterized by the fact that acceptability …
Dynamic reinsurance aims to minimize surplus risk using martingale transport.
This paper presents a systematic study of the notion of surplus invariance, which plays a natural and important role in the theory of risk measures and capital requirements. So far, this notion has been investigated in the setting of some special spaces of random variables. In this paper we develop a theory of surplus …
The study quantifies the information needed for causal queries at different levels of Pearl's hierarchy.
The paper analyzes insurance risk with Parisian ruin and capital injection.
New method improves bivariate causal discovery by accurately estimating cause variable complexity.
We study a singular stochastic control problem faced by the owner of an insurance company that dynamically pays dividends and raises capital in the presence of the restriction that the surplus process must be above a given dividend payout barrier in order for dividend payments to be allowed. Bankruptcy occurs if the su…
New method estimates consumer surplus from randomized pricing data.
New complexity measure ADL connects to classical complexity measures.
We study the optimal financing and dividend distribution problem with restricted dividend rates in a diffusion type surplus model where the drift and volatility coefficients are general functions of the level of surplus and the external environment regime. The environment regime is modeled by a Markov process. Both cap…
Method estimates dataset utility via minimal program length proxy.
Optimal reinsurance when Value at Risk and expected surplus is balanced through their ratio is studied, and it is demonstrated how results for risk-adjusted surplus can be utilized. Simplifications for large portfolios are derived, and this large-portfolio study suggests a new condition on the reinsurance pricing regim…
The regulator is interested in proposing a capital adequacy test by specifying an acceptance set for firms' capital positions at the end of a given period. This set needs to be surplus-invariant, i.e., not to depend on the surplus of firms' shareholders, because the test means to protect firms' liability holders. We pr…
We study an optimal investment control problem for an insurance company. The surplus process follows the Cramer-Lundberg process with perturbation of a Brownian motion. The company can invest its surplus into a risk free asset and a Black-Scholes risky asset. The optimization objective is to minimize the probability of…
Bidders in day-ahead electricity markets want to sell/buy electricity when their bids generate positive surplus and not to take an action when the reverse holds. However, non-convexities in these markets cause conflicts between the actions that the bidders want to take and the actual market results. In this work, we in…
Critical trajectories in a sphere are found for a specific bending functional.
Study shows Bitcoin mining with surplus electricity can boost KEPCO's financial stability.
Reformulated Markov's conjecture in combinatorial terms.
Time-invariant linear dynamical system arises in many real-world applications,and its usefulness is widely acknowledged. A practical limitation with this model is that its latent dimension that has a large impact on the model capability needs to be manually specified. It can be demonstrated that a lower-order model cla…
This paper develops numerical methods for finding optimal dividend pay-out and reinsurance policies. A generalized singular control formulation of surplus and discounted payoff function are introduced, where the surplus is modeled by a regime-switching process subject to both regular and singular controls. To approxima…
Neural networks generalize on simple data generated by a programming language.
We consider an insurance company whose surplus is represented by the classical Cramer-Lundberg process. The company can invest its surplus in a risk free asset and in a risky asset, governed by the Black-Scholes equation. There is a constraint that the insurance company can only invest in the risky asset at a limited l…
This paper solves an optimal dividend payout problem with ratcheting constraints using a novel method.
DL/FBF improves GPSR solutions by selecting compact, generalising expressions.
PCA (Principal Component Analysis) and its variants areubiquitous techniques for matrix dimension reduction and reduced-dimensionlatent-factor extraction. One significant challenge in using PCA, is thechoice of the number of principal components. The information-theoreticMDL (Minimum Description Length) principle gives…
Efficiently estimates SAGE values using causal structure learning.
This paper studies spectral properties of spheres with one equator.
The Fisher information approximation (FIA) is an implementation of the minimum description length principle for model selection. Unlike information criteria such as AIC or BIC, it has the advantage of taking the functional form of a model into account. Unfortunately, FIA can be misleading in finite samples, resulting i…
New bid shading algorithm reduces costs by 55%.
Study improves neural network performance in sequential learning for image classification.
CDL index improves clustering validation for non-convex data.
Paper explores how risk-averse individuals' willingness to pay for insurance varies with risk probability.
We tackle the problem of penalty selection of regularization on the basis of the minimum description length (MDL) principle. In particular, we consider that the design space of the penalty function is high-dimensional. In this situation, the luckiness-normalized-maximum-likelihood(LNML)-minimization approach is favorab…
Paper analyzes robust strategies in a pension plan game with ambiguous financial markets.
This paper concerns the dual risk model, dual to the risk model for insurance applications, where premiums are surplus-dependent. In such a model premiums are regarded as costs, while claims refer to profits. We calculate the mean of the cumulative discounted dividends paid until ruin, if the barrier strategy is applie…