The paper analyzes kNN density estimation's convergence rates under different conditions.
problem Analyzing convergence rates of kNN density estimation under bounded and unbounded support conditions.
method Examined two cases: bounded support with known and unknown support sets, and unbounded support with smooth density function.
result kNN density estimation is minimax optimal under certain conditions and better than kernel density estimation in some cases.
For binary classification we establish learning rates up to the order of n−1 for support vector machines (SVMs) with hinge loss and Gaussian RBF kernels. These rates are in terms of two assumptions on the considered distributions: Tsybakov's noise assumption to establish a small estimation error, and a new geometr…
This study compares neural networks, SVM, and decision trees for corporate credit rating predictions.
problem Predicting corporate credit ratings using machine learning methods.
method Applied four machine learning techniques (Bagged Decision Trees, Random Forest, SVM, MLP) to credit rating datasets.
result Decision tree-based models outperformed other techniques in terms of 'Notch Distance' measure.
Calculates winning probability for three candidates based on support rates and information timing.
problem Determining optimal strategy for three candidates in an election.
method Closed-form solution using support rates, political spectrum positioning, time left, and information revelation rate.
result Optimal strategy can be complex, especially for candidates in the center of a polarized electorate.
New methods control false discoveries near the boundary in conformal novelty detection.
problem Over-optimistic assessments near the rejection threshold in conformal novelty detection.
method Support line (SL) correction and alternative procedures to control boundary false discovery rate (bFDR).
result New procedures control the boundary false discovery rate (bFDR) in the conformal setting.
In this work we introduce a new optimisation method called SAGA in the spirit of SAG, SDCA, MISO and SVRG, a set of recently proposed incremental gradient algorithms with fast linear convergence rates. SAGA improves on the theory behind SAG and SVRG, with better theoretical convergence rates, and has support for compos…
k Nearest Neighbor (kNN) method is a simple and popular statistical method for classification and regression. For both classification and regression problems, existing works have shown that, if the distribution of the feature vector has bounded support and the probability density function is bounded away from zero in i…
KSG mutual information estimator, which is based on the distances of each sample to its k-th nearest neighbor, is widely used to estimate mutual information between two continuous random variables. Existing work has analyzed the convergence rate of this estimator for random variables whose densities are bounded away fr…
Proposes a novel SVM model for binary classification with different misclassification costs.
problem Real-world classification problems with varying misclassification costs.
method Incorporates performance constraints in SVM formulation to seek a hyperplane with maximal margin and misclassification rates below given thresholds.
result The proposed model gives users control over misclassification rates in one class at the expense of the other.
A new method enhances signal recovery with FDR control.
problem Challenging signal recovery in compressive sensing.
method Knockoff-guided compressive sensing framework with FDR control.
result Guaranteed FDR control leads to more accurate signal reconstruction.
Paper establishes convergence rates for learning elliptic pseudo-differential operators.
problem Learning elliptic pseudo-differential operators in partial differential equations.
method Wavelet-Galerkin framework, structured infinite-dimensional regression problem, sparse estimator, matrix compression, nested-support strategy.
result Obtained convergence rates for the estimator and efficient Galerkin solver.
Recent work on follow the perturbed leader (FTPL) algorithms for the adversarial multi-armed bandit problem has highlighted the role of the hazard rate of the distribution generating the perturbations. Assuming that the hazard rate is bounded, it is possible to provide regret analyses for a variety of FTPL algorithms f…
Paper shows SVM can achieve super fast convergence rates.
problem Understanding fast convergence rates for SVM.
method Presented a simple mechanism to obtain fast convergence rates for SVM.
result SVM can exhibit exponential convergence rates without hard Tsybakov margin condition.
Support vector machines have attracted much attention in theoretical and in applied statistics. Main topics of recent interest are consistency, learning rates and robustness. In this article, it is shown that support vector machines are qualitatively robust. Since support vector machines can be represented by a functio…
In bankruptcy prediction, the proportion of events is very low, which is often oversampled to eliminate this bias. In this paper, we study the influence of the event rate on discrimination abilities of bankruptcy prediction models. First the statistical association and significance of public records and firmographics i…
Paper improves learning rates for SGD and NAG.
problem Generalization performance of stochastic optimization algorithms.
method Establishes new learning rates for SGD and NAG.
result Improved guarantees in some settings or comparable rates under weaker assumptions.
The paper analyzes how the one-dimensional Wasserstein distance captures pointwise density differences in finite samples.
problem Uncertainty in identifying density differences when supports overlap and densities have substantial pointwise differences.
method Analysis using the Poisson process and neural spike train decoding.
result The one-dimensional Wasserstein distance highlights meaningful density differences related to both rate and support.
The AAA credit rating may have been overly precise given available data.
problem The feasibility of achieving high reliability targets for structured credit products.
method Bayes' theorem and historical data analysis.
result High reliability targets for structured products require substantial statistical discrimination, which was not achievable with available data.
We theoretically investigate the convergence rate and support consistency (i.e., correctly identifying the subset of non-zero coefficients in the large sample limit) of multiple kernel learning (MKL). We focus on MKL with block-l1 regularization (inducing sparse kernel combination), block-l2 regularization (inducing un…
New method estimates rate-distortion function using optimal transport.
problem Estimating the fundamental performance limit of data compression.
method Wasserstein gradient descent to learn optimal reproduction distribution.
result Local convergence and sample complexity analysis of R-D estimator.
The cognitive framework of conceptual spaces bridges the gap between symbolic and subsymbolic AI by proposing an intermediate conceptual layer where knowledge is represented geometrically. There are two main approaches for obtaining the dimensions of this conceptual similarity space: using similarity ratings from psych…
We explicitly test if the reliability of credit ratings depends on the total number of admissible states. We analyse open access credit rating data and show that the effect of the number of states in the dynamical properties of ratings change with time, thus giving supportive evidence that the ideal number of admissibl…
Develops a new criterion for subgroup fairness in algorithmic decision support.
problem Identifying fair recommendations in algorithms despite group-level differences.
method IJDI criterion and IJDI-Scan approach to detect and mitigate disparities.
result Identifies significant disparities in recommendations across subpopulations.
The present study deals with the analysis and mapping of Swiss franc interest rates. Interest rates depend on time and maturity, defining term structure of the interest rate curves (IRC). In the present study IRC are considered in a two-dimensional feature space - time and maturity. Geostatistical models and machine le…
Developed unbiased estimators for Heston model with stochastic interest rates.
problem Estimating the Heston model with stochastic interest rates.
method Combined unbiased estimators with the Heston model and developed a semi-exact log-Euler scheme.
result Convergence rate of O(h) in the L2 norm for a wide range of models. Bayesian Optimization improves machine learning for detecting network attacks.
problem Detecting network attacks to secure critical information.
method Bayesian Optimization for tuning machine learning algorithms (SVM-RBF, RF, k-NN).
result The proposed framework achieves high accuracy and low false alarms.
We find the minimax rate of convergence in Hausdorff distance for estimating a manifold M of dimension d embedded in R^D given a noisy sample from the manifold. We assume that the manifold satisfies a smoothness condition and that the noise distribution has compact support. We show that the optimal rate of convergence …
Study on consensus formation in manifolds with curvature constraints.
problem Long-time behavior of solutions to nonlocal PDEs on Riemannian manifolds.
method Analytical and numerical methods applied to self-collective models.
result Sufficient conditions for consensus formation and convergence rates quantified.
TREK uses distillation to help students solve hard problems.
problem Stalled progress on hard prompts when current policy lacks useful reasoning trajectories.
method TREK combines distillation and reinforcement learning to expand student support.
result TREK significantly improves student performance on mathematical reasoning and agentic tasks.
We provide a formulation for Local Support Vector Machines (LSVMs) that generalizes previous formulations, and brings out the explicit connections to local polynomial learning used in nonparametric estimation literature. We investigate the simplest type of LSVMs called Local Linear Support Vector Machines (LLSVMs). For…
PCR-LE achieves optimal rates for nonparametric regression over Sobolev spaces.
problem Nonparametric regression over Sobolev spaces with random design.
method PCR-LE using Laplacian Eigenmaps on neighborhood graphs.
result PCR-LE achieves minimax rates of convergence for both estimation and goodness-of-fit testing.
Proof of learning rate transfer in MLPs with μP parameterization.
problem Understanding and optimizing learning rates in neural networks with different parameterizations.
method Theoretical analysis and empirical validation of learning rate transfer in MLPs with μP, SP, and NTP parameterizations. result The optimal learning rate converges to a non-zero constant as width goes to infinity under μP, explaining learning rate transfer. AutoSGD automatically adjusts learning rates for SGD.
problem Inefficient manual learning rate selection for SGD.
method AutoSGD automatically adjusts learning rates based on iteration.
result Empirical results show strong performance across various optimization tasks.
Cyclic coordinate descent identifies models in finite time and converges linearly.
problem Model identification in composite nonsmooth optimization problems.
method Cyclic coordinate descent for a wide class of functions.
result Explicit local linear convergence rates for coordinate descent.
The paper improves OT map estimation rates without strict assumptions.
problem Estimating optimal transport maps under practical conditions.
method Developed new convergence rates and scalable algorithms.
result Improved convergence rates for OT map estimation without restrictive assumptions.
Near-Exponential Convergence Rates for kNN Classification
problem Convergence rates for kNN classification
method Introducing Boltzmann margin
result First near-exponential convergence rates for kNN classification
We develop a unified approach for classification and regression support vector machines for data subject to right censoring. We provide finite sample bounds on the generalization error of the algorithm, prove risk consistency for a wide class of probability measures, and study the associated learning rates. We apply th…
Study improves exchange rate forecasting using machine learning and interpretable methods.
problem Complexity and ambiguity in financial and economic systems make precise exchange rate predictions difficult.
method Developed a fundamental-based model using machine learning and interpretability methods.
result Crude oil is the leading factor determining exchange rate dynamics, with significant events affecting its contribution.
Study derives error decay rates for kernel classification under source and capacity conditions.
problem Understanding prediction error decay rates for real data sets.
method Derived decay rates for misclassification error under Gaussian design for SVM and ridge classification.
result Rates accurately describe learning curves for data sets satisfying source and capacity conditions.
Random learning rate improves neural network training without extra cost.
problem Optimizing neural networks with stochastic gradient descent.
method Uniformly-distributed random learning rate in SGD.
result Random learning rate yields better regularization without extra computational cost.
The high-dimensional linear model y=Xβ0+ε is considered and the focus is put on the problem of recovering the support S0 of the sparse vector β0. We introduce Lasso-Zero, a new ℓ1-based estimator whose novelty resides in an "overfit, then threshold" paradigm and the use of noise dictionaries concate…
Paper proposes estimators for sparse PCA with oracle property.
problem Estimating sparse principal subspace in high-dimensional settings.
method Semidefinite relaxation with novel regularizations.
result One estimator achieves exact support recovery and statistical rate.
The paper uses Black-Scholes model to analyze political support and coalition agreements.
problem Determining the minimum support level for a minor party in a pre-electoral coalition.
method Modeling political support as a stochastic process with a deterministic growth rate and applying Black-Scholes option pricing theory.
result The minimum support level for a minor party to gain a representative in a pre-electoral coalition.
Conditional expectiles are becoming an increasingly important tool in finance as well as in other areas of applications. We analyse a support vector machine type approach for estimating conditional expectiles and establish learning rates that are minimax optimal modulo a logarithmic factor if Gaussian RBF kernels are u…
In this article, we investigate whether exchange rate risk is priced. We use a multivariate GARCH-in-Mean specification and test alternative conditional international CAPM versions. Our results support strongly the international asset-pricing model that includes exchange rate risk for both developed and emerging stock …
Improved AMM protocol supports diverse loan maturities in DeFi.
problem Challenges in designing AMMs for fixed-income lending with time-related complexities.
method Generalized BondMM protocol to support arbitrary maturities.
result BondMM-A protocol demonstrates superior performance in interest rate stability and financial robustness.
Study option pricing in sideways markets and target zones.
problem Option pricing in sideways markets and target zones.
method Closed-form option pricing formulas for sideways markets and target zones.
result Closed-form option pricing formulas for sideways markets and target zones.
Paper estimates EOT maps for non-compactly supported measures with subGaussian target.
problem Estimating EOT maps between non-compactly supported measures.
method Uses bias-variance decomposition, T1-transport inequalities, and concentration of measure results.
result Shows error decay rates for different cases of subGaussian measures.