Supply chains are the backbone of the global economy. Disruptions to them can be costly. Centrally managed supply chains invest in ensuring their resilience. Decentralized supply chains, however, must rely upon the self-interest of their individual components to maintain the resilience of the entire chain. We examine t…
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48 results for “supply networks”
How does supply uncertainty affect the structure of supply chain networks? To answer this question we consider a setting where retailers and suppliers must establish a costly relationship with each other prior to engaging in trade. Suppliers, with uncertain yield, announce wholesale prices, while retailers must decide …
Deep neural networks optimize inventory decisions in complex supply chains.
problem Optimizing inventory decisions in stochastic multi-echelon supply chains.
method Pairwise modeling and DNN agents for order-up-to levels.
result The method performs better than alternate methods in general supply chain networks.
GNNs improve supply chain analytics with real-world benchmarks.
problem Limited research on applying GNNs to supply chain management.
method Conceptual discussions, detailed formulations, examples, mathematical definitions, and task guidelines.
result GNN-based models outperform other methods by 10-40% in various supply chain tasks.
Study reveals supply chain correlations in firm growth rates.
problem Understanding correlations in firm growth rates and their supply chain relationships.
method Investigated correlation structure of firm growth rates and used Gaussian Markov Models to reconstruct supply chain networks.
result Supply chain-linked firms exhibit stronger correlation in growth rates than non-linked firms.
The paper shows supply chain features improve cyber risk prediction.
problem Predicting cyber risk from supply chain attributes.
method Machine learning, external supply chain features, AUC improvement.
result Supply chain network features improve AUC by 2.3%.
Model assesses how supply chain disruptions affect financial stability.
problem Systemic risk in production networks and its financial implications.
method Data-driven econo-financial stress-testing framework combining supply chain and interbank networks.
result Increase of up to 28% in financial systemic risk due to production network contagion.
Study quantifies financial contagion risks in supply chains.
problem Supply chain shocks contribute to financial losses.
method Multi-layer network framework, micro-dataset of Hungarian firms.
result Supply chain shocks amplify financial losses by 4-3x.
We experimentally achieve a 19% capacity gain per Watt of electrical supply power in a 12-span link by eliminating gain flattening filters and optimizing launch powers using machine learning by deep neural networks in a massively parallel fiber context.
This paper uses robust optimization to analyze supply chain resilience.
problem Supply chain resilience analysis of multi-modal logistics networks.
method Robust optimization with budget-of-uncertainty.
result Interactive effects of network size, disruption scale, and degree on resilience.
Two neural network models analyze bus system efficiency and demand.
problem Identify service gaps and quantify demand in public transportation.
method Two neural network models considering demographic data and metrics.
result Models can generalize to other cities' bus systems.
New method quantifies systemic risk of firms in supply networks.
problem Quantifying economic systemic risk of firms from supply networks.
method Unique value-added tax dataset; novel approach for computing ESR.
result A tiny fraction of companies have high systemic risk impacting 23% of national production.
TransCORALNet: A Two-Stream Transformer CORAL Networks for Supply Chain Credit Assessment Cold Startcs.LG
TransCORALNet uses transformer and CORAL for supply chain credit assessment with cold start.
problem Supply chain credit assessment for new borrowers with limited data.
method Two-stream transformer CORAL networks with domain adaptation and LIME.
result TransCORALNet outperforms state-of-the-art models in accuracy.
Modeling supply chain disruptions from climate hazards with adaptive firms.
problem Systemic physical climate risk in supply chains.
method Agent-based model integrating geospatial hazards and firm adaptation.
result Firms' adaptive strategies reduce disruption by 48%.
Time Evolution of a Supply Chain Network: Kinetic Modelingcond-mat.stat-mech
Model predicts time evolution of supply chain networks under varying costs.
problem Regulating downstream relationships for sustainable SMEs.
method Time varying SCN model based on Lagrangian mechanics, incorporating EDES cost kernels.
result Model predicts bankruptcy and break-even states under different cost scenarios.
Mobile crowdsourcing has become easier thanks to the widespread of smartphones capable of seamlessly collecting and pushing the desired data to cloud services. However, the success of mobile crowdsourcing relies on balancing the supply and demand by first accurately forecasting spatially and temporally the supply-deman…
Taxi Demand-Supply Forecasting: Impact of Spatial Partitioning on the Performance of Neural Networkscs.LG
In this paper, we investigate the significance of choosing an appropriate tessellation strategy for a spatio-temporal taxi demand-supply modeling framework. Our study compares (i) the variable-sized polygon based Voronoi tessellation, and (ii) the fixed-sized grid based Geohash tessellation, using taxi demand-supply GP…
AI framework predicts invoice dilution in supply chain finance.
problem Invoice dilution risk in supply chain finance.
method AI, machine learning, dynamic credit limits, real-time projections.
result Supplemental AI model improves prediction accuracy.
A new approach integrates inventory prediction and routing optimization for better supply chain management.
problem Optimizing efficient route selection in supply chain management with uncertain inventory demand.
method Decision-focused learning approach using neural networks to directly integrate inventory prediction and routing optimization.
result Direct integration of inventory prediction and routing optimization leads to better supply chain decisions.
Study assesses climate risks on supply chains and financial systems using detailed firm emissions data.
problem Lack of firm-level CO2 emissions data hinders assessment of transition risks from carbon pricing.
method Used detailed Hungarian firm emissions data and a simple economic ABM model to simulate carbon pricing impacts.
result 45% of companies are directly exposed to carbon pricing, leading to significant economic and financial losses.
Risk in Network Economiesecon.GN
Network models assume unrealistic idiosyncratic risk, which can be mitigated by allowing for correlated shocks.
problem Network models assume idiosyncratic risk, which can be unrealistic and lead to incorrect predictions.
method Proposed a production-based asset pricing model to account for substitutability between trade partners and correlation in supply and demand shocks.
result Assets positively exposed to average propagation of upstream and downstream shocks earn lower average risk premia.
The study finds that supply chain information from LLM embeddings improves stock returns predictions.
problem Predicting stock returns using textual information from annual reports.
method Combining LLM embeddings of annual reports with supply chain knowledge graph propagation.
result Network-augmented embeddings significantly predict stock returns with a Sharpe ratio of 0.86 and alpha of 7.27%.
Accurate taxi demand-supply forecasting is a challenging application of ITS (Intelligent Transportation Systems), due to the complex spatial and temporal patterns. We investigate the impact of different spatial partitioning techniques on the prediction performance of an LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) network, in the con…
Inferring firm-level supply chain networks with realistic systemic risk from industry sector-level dataphysics.soc-ph
Researchers infer firm-level supply chain networks from sector-level data to assess systemic risk.
problem Estimating systemic risk in economic systems using firm-level data.
method Maximum-entropy algorithms applied to input-output tables and firm-level aggregate output data.
result The most realistic systemic risk content is retrieved by models incorporating disaggregated firm-specific inputs by sector.
Multilayer Network Analysis of the Drug Pipeline in the Global Pharmaceutical Industryphysics.soc-ph
Study reveals similarities in knowledge flows between pharmaceutical and AI industries.
problem Understanding the dynamics of drug pipelines in global pharmaceutical industry.
method Multilayer network analysis of drug pipeline, global supply chain, and ownership data.
result Proven similarities in knowledge flows between pharmaceutical and AI industries.
We study a novel economic network (supply chain) comprised of wire transfers (electronic payment transactions) among the universe of firms in Brazil (6.2 million firms). We construct a directed and weighted network in which vertices represent cities and edges connote pairwise economic dependence between cities. Cities …
Unified framework for complex financial networks using lattice theory.
problem Complex financial networks with multiple currencies and dependencies.
method Recast classical financial clearing model into lattice liability networks.
result Lattice-valued clearing sections form a complete lattice, enabling tractable analysis.
Proposes ContSup to boost local learning by supplying context between isolated modules.
problem Local learning's performance degrades with more isolated modules.
method Theoretical analysis and ContSup scheme to supply context between modules.
result Significant performance improvement with minimal overhead.
Since governments give stimulus to firms and expect the spillover effect by fiscal policies, it is important to know the effectiveness that they can control the economy. To clarify the controllability of the economy, we investigate a firm production network observed exhaustively in Japan and what firms should be direct…
Study shows how firms adapt to systemic risk during crises, revealing key players and trade volume predictors.
problem Understanding systemic risk in local production networks during crises.
method Analyzing Hungarian production network dynamics from 2015 to 2022 using a null model and empirical data.
result Firms' adaptive behavior during crises leads to more resilient economies, with trade volume being a significant predictor.
Implementing a set of microeconomic criteria, we develop price dynamics equations using a function of demand/supply with key symmetry properties. The function of demand/supply can be linear or nonlinear. The type of function determines the nature of the tail of the distribution based on the randomness in the supply and…
New framework forecasts both supply and demand in rental markets.
problem Booking models ignore supply, leading to regime-specific ceilings.
method Three-part coupling framework (behavioral, informational, intervention).
result Booking models learn a regime-specific ceiling and become fragile.
MPNN improves on UniFL approximation with provable guarantees.
problem Uniform Facility Location (UniFL) optimization problem.
method Graph Neural Network (MPNN) incorporating approximation-algorithmic principles.
result Empirically outperforms standard approximation algorithms.
KLD token adjusts supply based on macroeconomic debt index, creating deflationary effect.
problem Managing deflationary pressures in digital assets.
method Debt-indexed supply adjustments linked to macroeconomic data.
result Deflationary mechanism strengthens as debt rises.
Predictive Q-learning algorithm for IoT networks with human operators.
problem Resilient and predictive actions for IoT networks with faulty components.
method Predictive and resilient Q-learning algorithm considering historical data and human operator feedback.
result Optimal scheduling policies avoiding attacked locations and faults.
This paper applies reactor theory to supply chain management.
problem Maintaining optimal item delivery and collection ratios in supply chains.
method Translating neutron transport and diffusion theory to supply chain management, introducing analogy factors and interactors.
result A deterministic model for supply chain optimization.
Study forecasts supply chain disruptions in automotive industry.
problem Operational disruptions in automotive supply chain cause financial losses.
method Constructed dataset of multivariate time series, used Attention Sequence to Sequence Deep Learning architecture.
result Model achieved 0.85 precision and 0.8 recall in QA phase across five plants.
This paper develops a stochastic learning-optimization model for resilient automotive supply chains.
problem Supply chain disruptions and volatile demand pose challenges to the UK automotive industry.
method Integrates Bayesian inference with inventory optimization for a two-echelon system subject to stochastic demand and disruptions.
result The integrated approach achieves significant cost reductions and improved resilience during disruptions.
Elastic Cashq-fin.GN
Elastic Cash adjusts money supply to stabilize interest rates.
problem Stabilizing interest rates in a decentralized system.
method Modifies supply to keep interest rate fixed by public market.
result Improves elasticity of US Dollar and new cryptocurrencies.
Approximation of supply curvesq-fin.PR
The paper approximates supply curves using a one-step basis method.
problem Computing supply curves accurately and efficiently.
method Derives L2 approximation expression and proposes node selection procedure.
result Illustrates the approach with European electricity market bid curves.
Distributionally Robust Chance Constrained Programming with Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs)math.OC
This paper presents a novel deep learning based data-driven optimization method. A novel generative adversarial network (GAN) based data-driven distributionally robust chance constrained programming framework is proposed. GAN is applied to fully extract distributional information from historical data in a nonparametric…
Overprocuring reserves can improve network efficiency by using excess reserves for congestion management.
problem Optimizing energy and reserve allocation between zones to minimize costs and ensure deliverability.
method Developed allocation models for co-allocating traded energy and reserve products, considering both deterministic and stochastic flows.
result Excess reserve supplies can be used for congestion management, leading to additional network benefits.
Deep learning model reduces food waste by stabilizing online food delivery supply chains.
problem Wastage and bullwhip effect in online food delivery services.
method Two-phase LSTM network for demand forecasting, newsvendor model for inventory management.
result Significant reduction in bullwhip effect and food waste, improved forecasting accuracy.
ISOMORPH: A Supply Chain Digital Twin for Simulation, Dataset Generation, and Forecasting Benchmarksstat.ML
ISOMORPH creates a digital twin for supply chain logistics, advancing time-series forecasting benchmarks.
problem Lack of public benchmarks for supply chain logistics time-series forecasting.
method Developed a digital twin simulator with interpretable parameters and modular topology, generating datasets and verifying conservation laws.
result Foundation models achieve MASE values exceeding public benchmarks at low-to-moderate horizons, supporting UQ.
Study examines how COVID-19 intensified demand variability in U.S. supply chains.
problem The amplification of demand variability (Bullwhip Effect) in supply chains during the pandemic.
method Extensive industry-level data analysis using traditional and advanced empirical techniques.
result COVID-19 significantly amplified the Bullwhip Effect across different U.S. industries.
We aim to predict and explain service failures in supply-chain networks, more precisely among last-mile pickup and delivery services to customers. We analyze a dataset of 500,000 services using (1) supervised classification with Random Forests, and (2) Association Rules. Our classifier reaches an average sensitivity of…
Recently, along with the emergence of food scandals, food supply chains have to face with ever-increasing pressure from compliance with food quality and safety regulations and standards. This paper aims to explore critical factors of compliance risk in food supply chain with an illustrated case in Vietnamese seafood in…
Supply chains lend themselves to blockchain technology, but certain challenges remain, especially around invoice financing. For example, the further a supplier is removed from the final consumer product, the more difficult it is to get their invoices financed. Moreover, for competitive reasons, retailers and manufactur…