A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Bayesian optimization selects wavelengths for sugar content estimation in NIR spectroscopy.
problem Improving prediction accuracy and interpretability of spectral data for sugar content estimation.
method Formulated as a binary black-box optimization problem, proposed method uses Bayesian optimization with a sparse quadratic surrogate model and Thompson sampling.
result Improves prediction accuracy of partial least squares regression and yields more consistent wavelength regions.
Sensory data are often comprised of independent content and transformation factors. For example, face images may have shapes as content and poses as transformation. To infer separately these factors from given data, various ``disentangling'' models have been proposed. However, many of these are supervised or semi-super…
Observational studies are rising in importance due to the widespread accumulation of data in fields such as healthcare, education, employment and ecology. We consider the task of answering counterfactual questions such as, "Would this patient have lower blood sugar had she received a different medication?". We propose …
We introduce a multi-factor stochastic volatility model for commodities that incorporates seasonality and the Samuelson effect. Conditions on the seasonal term under which the corresponding volatility factor is well-defined are given, and five different specifications of the seasonality pattern are proposed. We calcula…
Real music signals are highly variable, yet they have strong statistical structure. Prior information about the underlying physical mechanisms by which sounds are generated and rules by which complex sound structure is constructed (notes, chords, a complete musical score), can be naturally unified using Bayesian modell…
Purpose: To investigate the feasibility of myelin water content quantification using fast dual-echo steady-state (DESS) scans and machine learning with kernels. Methods: We optimized combinations of steady-state (SS) scans for precisely estimating the fast-relaxing signal fraction ff of a two-compartment signal model, …
We propose SPARFA-Trace, a new machine learning-based framework for time-varying learning and content analytics for education applications. We develop a novel message passing-based, blind, approximate Kalman filter for sparse factor analysis (SPARFA), that jointly (i) traces learner concept knowledge over time, (ii) an…
With the growth of user-generated content, we observe the constant rise of the number of companies, such as search engines, content aggregators, etc., that operate with tremendous amounts of web content not being the services hosting it. Thus, aiming to locate the most important content and promote it to the users, the…
For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model is too small to be detected using traditional time series analysis. However, we s…
Quizlet is the most popular online learning tool in the United States, and is used by over 2/3 of high school students, and 1/2 of college students. With more than 95% of Quizlet users reporting improved grades as a result, the platform has become the de-facto tool used in millions of classrooms. In this paper, we expl…
Many businesses are using recommender systems for marketing outreach. Recommendation algorithms can be either based on content or driven by collaborative filtering. We study different ways to incorporate content information directly into the matrix factorization approach of collaborative filtering. These content-booste…
New PCGML approach generates novel game content across multiple platformer domains.
problem Generating novel game content in new domains.
method Using a new affordance and path vocabulary, variational autoencoders trained on data from six platformer games produce new content with varying proportions of different domains.
result Captures latent level space spanning multiple domains and generates new content with varying proportions of different domains.
Study on heat content for submanifolds in sub-Riemannian geometry.
problem Understanding heat content for submanifolds in sub-Riemannian geometry.
method Existence of smooth tubular neighborhood, definition of relative heat content, approximation via smooth neighborhoods, asymptotic expansion analysis.
result Approximation of relative heat content fails to recover the exact expansion.
With rapid development of the Internet, web contents become huge. Most of the websites are publicly available, and anyone can access the contents from anywhere such as workplace, home and even schools. Nevertheless, not all the web contents are appropriate for all users, especially children. An example of these content…
Much of the data being created on the web contains interactions between users and items. Stochastic blockmodels, and other methods for community detection and clustering of bipartite graphs, can infer latent user communities and latent item clusters from this interaction data. These methods, however, typically ignore t…