A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A novel ABC method for high-dimensional inverse problems using generative modeling and subset simulation.
Improves FI-PINNs by combining re-sampling and subset simulation for better failure probability estimation.
SA-FDR uses simulated annealing for feature selection in high-dimensional data.
In this work a new way to calculate the multivariate joint entropy is presented. This measure is the basis for a fast information-theoretic based evaluation of gene relevance in a Microarray Gene Expression data context. Its low complexity is based on the reuse of previous computations to calculate current feature rele…
To find efficient screening methods for high dimensional linear regression models, this paper studies the relationship between model fitting and screening performance. Under a sparsity assumption, we show that a subset that includes the true submodel always yields smaller residual sum of squares (i.e., has better model…
Estimates reliability of nuclear fuel using advanced modeling techniques.
New method combines neural networks with Monte Carlo for complex system reliability.
With the rapidly growing scales of statistical problems, subset based communication-free parallel MCMC methods are a promising future for large scale Bayesian analysis. In this article, we propose a new Weierstrass sampler for parallel MCMC based on independent subsets. The new sampler approximates the full data poster…
New method falsifies causal discovery results without ground truth.
Bayesian method selects subsets for LMMs with structured dependence.
Composite likelihood inference of fractional Gaussian processes with sequentially optimal subset selection
Bayesian approach selects subsets of variables for interpretable prediction and identifies key factors in educational outcomes.
Barrier options are one of the most widely traded exotic options on stock exchanges. In this paper, we develop a new stochastic simulation method for pricing barrier options and estimating the corresponding execution probabilities. We show that the proposed method always outperforms the standard Monte Carlo approach an…
New algorithm finds best subset in high-dimensional data models.
Local GP approach improves simulation efficiency for large datasets.
Identifying anomalous patterns in real-world data is essential for understanding where, when, and how systems deviate from their expected dynamics. Yet methods that separately consider the anomalousness of each individual data point have low detection power for subtle, emerging irregularities. Additionally, recent dete…
Mutual information has been successfully adopted in filter feature-selection methods to assess both the relevancy of a subset of features in predicting the target variable and the redundancy with respect to other variables. However, existing algorithms are mostly heuristic and do not offer any guarantee on the proposed…
Conventional mutual information (MI) based feature selection (FS) methods are unable to handle heterogeneous feature subset selection properly because of data format differences or estimation methods of MI between feature subset and class label. A way to solve this problem is feature transformation (FT). In this study,…
Determinantal consensus clustering improves clustering robustness.
A/B testing improves marketing decisions by selecting effective stratification variables.
New method for efficient inference over complex parameter spaces.
Hybrid SA algorithm optimizes index tracking for large indices.
Optimal kernel learning improves GP regression for high-dimensional inputs.
Simulation-free VI closes the approximation gap in latent SDEs
Bayesian method improves quantile estimation and subset selection.
The aim of the present paper is to develop a strategy for solving reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problems that remains applicable when the performance models are expensive to evaluate. Starting with the premise that simulation-based approaches are not affordable for such problems, and that the most-probab…
A method for finding most influential sets reduces a complex problem to a sequence of simpler top- problems.
METASET selects diverse unit cells for efficient data-driven metamaterial design.
In this paper we discuss the variable selection method from \ell0-norm constrained regression, which is equivalent to the problem of finding the best subset of a fixed size. Our study focuses on two aspects, consistency and computation. We prove that the sparse estimator from such a method can retain all of the importa…
We present a consensus Monte Carlo algorithm that scales existing Bayesian nonparametric models for clustering and feature allocation to big data. The algorithm is valid for any prior on random subsets such as partitions and latent feature allocation, under essentially any sampling model. Motivated by three case studie…
Hybrid model speeds up galaxy simulations by incorporating baryonic properties.
Novel optimization method detects change points in Gaussian data.
We propose a novel "tree-averaging" model that utilizes the ensemble of classification and regression trees (CART). Each constituent tree is estimated with a subset of similar data. We treat this grouping of subsets as Bayesian ensemble trees (BET) and model them as an infinite mixture Dirichlet process. We show that B…
This paper presents a constructive algorithm that achieves successful one-shot learning of hidden spike-patterns in a competitive detection task. It has previously been shown (Masquelier et al., 2008) that spike-timing-dependent plasticity (STDP) and lateral inhibition can result in neurons competitively tuned to repea…
Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) is a natural model of admixture and is widely used in science and engineering. A plethora of algorithms have been developed to tackle NMF, but due to the non-convex nature of the problem, there is little guarantee on how well these methods work. Recently a surge of research have …
Tomal et al. (2015) introduced the notion of "phalanxes" in the context of rare-class detection in two-class classification problems. A phalanx is a subset of features that work well for classification tasks. In this paper, we propose a different class of phalanxes for application in regression settings. We define a "R…
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling from a posterior distribution corresponding to a massive data set can be computationally prohibitive since producing one sample requires a number of operations that is linear in the data size. In this paper, we introduce a new communication-free parallel method, the Likelihood I…
Optimal subset selection for hypothesis testing with penalties.
Feature selection with high-dimensional data and a very small proportion of relevant features poses a severe challenge to standard statistical methods. We have developed a new approach (HARVEST) that is straightforward to apply, albeit somewhat computer-intensive. This algorithm can be used to pre-screen a large number…
This paper presents a method to efficiently estimate rare event probabilities using a combination of high and low-fidelity models.
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a popular and successful general-purpose tool for Bayesian inference. However, MCMC cannot be practically applied to large data sets because of the prohibitive cost of evaluating every likelihood term at every iteration. Here we present Firefly Monte Carlo (FlyMC) an auxiliary variabl…
Information about intrinsic dimension is crucial to perform dimensionality reduction, compress information, design efficient algorithms, and do statistical adaptation. In this paper we propose an estimator for the intrinsic dimension of a data set. The estimator is based on binary neighbourhood information about the ob…
We propose a class of intrinsic Gaussian processes (in-GPs) for interpolation, regression and classification on manifolds with a primary focus on complex constrained domains or irregular shaped spaces arising as subsets or submanifolds of R, R2, R3 and beyond. For example, in-GPs can accommodate spatial domains arising…
This paper deals with a new filter algorithm for selecting the smallest subset of features carrying all the information content of a data set (i.e. for removing redundant features). It is an advanced version of the fractal dimension reduction technique, and it relies on the recently introduced Morisita estimator of Int…
The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative method for finding maximum likelihood estimates when data are incomplete or are treated as being incomplete. The EM algorithm and its variants are commonly used for parameter estimation in applications of mixture models for clustering and classification. This …
Lasso and other regularization procedures are attractive methods for variable selection, subject to a proper choice of shrinkage parameter. Given a set of potential subsets produced by a regularization algorithm, a consistent model selection criterion is proposed to select the best one among this preselected set. The a…
Investigates methods to regularize quantile regression for accurate predictions.
Identifying latent structure in large data matrices is essential for exploring biological processes. Here, we consider recovering gene co-expression networks from gene expression data, where each network encodes relationships between genes that are locally co-regulated by shared biological mechanisms. To do this, we de…