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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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148296444592 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for subgroup conditional Shapley values

ShapShift explains shifts in model predictions due to data distribution changes.

problem Prediction shifts caused by changes in input distribution.
method Subgroup Conditional Shapley Values applied to decision trees and ensembles.
result Simple, faithful, and near-complete explanations of prediction shifts across model classes.

Group Shapley evaluates feature groups in business data, improving explainability in AI.

problem Evaluating the importance of feature groups in business and economic data.
method Developed Group Shapley and a significance testing procedure based on chi-square approximation.
result Market-related variables are identified as the most influential feature group.

Shapley value improves model interpretation but not causal inference.

problem Improving model interpretability without losing predictive power.
method Analyzed Shapley value in Bayesian networks, linking it to conditional independence.
result Eliminating high Shapley value variables does not harm predictive performance, but low Shapley value variables can.

New methods for estimating conditional Shapley values compared and evaluated.

problem Estimating precise conditional Shapley values for tabular data models.
method Developed new and extended methods using Monte Carlo integration and regression.
result Recommendations for choosing between Monte Carlo and regression methods based on data distribution.

Proposes a new method to avoid model extrapolation in Shapley values.

problem Model extrapolation in marginal Shapley values leads to unreliable explanations.
method Proposes a new approach that avoids model extrapolation using marginal averaging and causal information.
result Demonstrates the impacts of model extrapolation on Shapley values and proposes a new method to avoid it.

Paper resolves conflicting Shapley value approaches by showing conditional is unsound and marginal is preferred.

problem Conflicting results from conditional and marginal Shapley value approaches when features are correlated.
method Uses causal arguments to show differences arise from assumptions about missing causal information.
result Marginal approach is preferred over conditional due to causal soundness.

We adapt Shapley values to explain model uncertainty, connecting it to information theory.

problem Explaining uncertainty in model predictions.
method Adapted Shapley value framework to quantify feature contributions to predictive uncertainty.
result Deep connections between Shapley values and information theory quantities.

The paper introduces Shapley curves for measuring variable importance in nonparametric settings.

problem Limited statistical understanding of Shapley values as variable importance measures.
method Introduces Shapley curves based on conditional expectation and covariate distribution; derives convergence rates and normality; proposes a novel bootstrap procedure.
result Validates theoretical findings with numerical studies and analyzes vehicle prices determinants.

Paper uses VAEAC to estimate Shapley values for complex models with mixed features.

problem Estimating Shapley values for models with dependent mixed features.
method Uses variational autoencoder with arbitrary conditioning (VAEAC) to model feature dependencies.
result VAEAC approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods for various settings.

Develops fast approximations for conditional Shapley values in linear and polynomial models.

problem Estimating conditional Shapley values using regression models is computationally expensive.
method A new approximative estimation method for conditional Shapley values using linear and polynomial regression models.
result Our method significantly reduces computation time compared to existing methods.

New research on Shapley values for feature attribution in machine learning, considering model vs. data fidelity.

problem Controversy in connecting machine learning models to coalitional games, differing approaches.
method Investigates two approaches: interventional vs. observational conditional expectation Shapley values for linear models.
result The choice between model and data fidelity depends on the specific application.

New local MDI variable importances derived from global scores match Shapley values.

problem Local feature relevance in tree-based models.
method Deriving local MDI importance measure from global scores and linking it to Shapley values.
result Local MDI importances have a natural connection with Shapley values.

Introduces joint Shapley values to measure feature importance in models.

problem Measuring the importance of feature sets in machine learning models.
method Extends Shapley's axioms to measure a set of features' average contribution to a model's prediction.
result Joint Shapley values provide unique insights and are more consistent with local intuitions.

A new method explains mixed features for predictive models using conditional inference trees.

problem Explaining complex machine learning models with mixed features.
method Proposes a method to explain mixed features (continuous, discrete, ordinal, categorical) using conditional inference trees.
result Our method often outperforms current industry standards in various simulation studies and real-world financial data.

The paper introduces Absolute Shapley Value to handle negative contributions in machine learning model training.

problem Negative marginal contributions in machine learning model training.
method Investigates three philosophies: Original Shapley Value, Zero Shapley Value, and Absolute Shapley Value.
result Absolute Shapley Value significantly outperforms other definitions in evaluating data importance.

Improved Shapley Value method for better model interpretation.

problem Misunderstanding and incorrect interpretation of Shapley Values in machine learning models.
method Identification of null and active coalitions, coalitional Shapley Value computation.
result Correct computation and inference of important variables using Shapley Values.

Enhances data valuation by integrating global and local statistical properties.

problem Insufficient consideration of global and local statistical properties in data valuation methods.
method Proposes a method that fuses global and local statistical properties into regularization terms for Shapley value estimation and dynamic data valuation.
result Demonstrates improved performance and efficiency of data valuation methods through integration of global and local statistical properties.

New Shapley values reveal non-linear feature dependencies.

problem Understanding non-linear dependencies in machine learning models.
method Model-independent Shapley values using non-parametric measures of dependence.
result Model-independent Shapley values can uncover non-linear dependencies.

We introduce a variable importance measure to quantify the impact of individual input variables to a black box function. Our measure is based on the Shapley value from cooperative game theory. Many measures of variable importance operate by changing some predictor values with others held fixed, potentially creating unl…

2019-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a new method to explain Gaussian processes using Shapley values.

problem Explaining the uncertainty in Gaussian process models.
method Extending Shapley values to stochastic cooperative games for Gaussian processes.
result Our method generates explanations that are random variables and satisfy favorable axioms.

Study uses Shapley value for sensor anomaly detection, proving its superiority in certain cases.

problem Anomaly detection in sensor networks using the Shapley value.
method Optimized binary classifiers, mathematical proofs for different scenarios.
result Shapley value test can be superior or inferior to single-term tests, depending on sensor correlation and attack type.

The paper explores how Shapley value for a feature can vary based on model outcomes and feature distribution.

problem The uniqueness of Shapley value in explaining model predictions.
method Analyzes the relationship between feature distribution and Shapley value, and compares Shapley values for different model outcomes.
result Shapley value for a feature depends on more than just its mean and can vary significantly based on model outcome.

"How much is my data worth?" is an increasingly common question posed by organizations and individuals alike. An answer to this question could allow, for instance, fairly distributing profits among multiple data contributors and determining prospective compensation when data breaches happen. In this paper, we study the…

2019-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The Shapley value theory is used for risk allocation in non-orthogonal risk factors.

problem Risk allocation among non-orthogonal risk factors in financial portfolios.
method Using Shapley value from cooperative game theory to allocate risk contributions.
result Explicit formulas and numerical algorithms for calculating risk allocations are derived.

Paper identifies problematic baselines in Shapley value explanations and proposes a reweighting mechanism.

problem Identifying and addressing the suboptimality of baselines in Shapley value feature importance analysis.
method Analyzed suboptimality of baselines, identified problematic baseline, generalized uninformativeness, and designed a reweighting mechanism.
result Proposed uncertainty-based reweighting mechanism effectively accelerates computation and improves explanation quality.

Shapley values for feature importance lead to mathematical and practical issues.

problem Mathematical and practical issues with Shapley values for feature importance.
method Game-theoretic formulations of feature importance using Shapley values.
result Mathematical problems arise when using Shapley values for feature importance.

A framework for uncertainty-aware multimodal learning using conformal Shapley intervals.

problem Uncertainty and modality level importance in multimodal learning.
method Introduces conformal Shapley intervals to quantify modality level importance and uncertainty.
result Demonstrates meaningful uncertainty quantification and strong predictive performance.

Improved Shapley Values for tree-based models, more accurate than existing methods.

problem Inaccurate Shapley Values in tree-based models leading to poor explanations.
method Introduced two new estimators exploiting tree structure, derived correct approach for categorical variables.
result More accurate Shapley Values for tree-based models, demonstrated through simulations.

The paper compares LOCO and Shapley values for feature importance, highlighting their limitations and suggesting improvements.

problem Quantifying feature importance in the presence of feature correlation.
method LOCO and Shapley Values, critiquing their axioms and proposing new measures.
result Shapley values do not eliminate feature correlation, and a modified LOCO is recommended.

SIM-Shapley improves SV approximation efficiency and stability.

problem High computational costs of Shapley value methods in high-dimensional settings.
method Stochastic Iterative Momentum for Shapley Value Approximation (SIM-Shapley).
result Reduced computation time by up to 85% while maintaining feature attribution quality.

New sampling methods improve Shapley values for explaining machine learning predictions.

problem Computational limitations in calculating Shapley values for complex models.
method Asymptotic normality results and paired-sampling approximations (KernelSHAP and PermutationSHAP).
result Paired-sampling PermutationSHAP provides exact results for interactions of maximal order two and has the additive recovery property.

This paper proposes an efficient method for calculating Shapley values in Naive Bayes classifiers.

problem The need for explaining machine learning model decisions.
method An exact analytic expression of Shapley values for Naive Bayes classifiers.
result The proposed Shapley values provide informative results with low complexity and low computation time.

PSI models and infers feature attributions efficiently and accurately.

problem Modeling and inferring feature attributions in flexible predictive models.
method Probabilistic Shapley inference (PSI) framework using latent random variables and a masking-based neural network architecture.
result PSI learns feature attribution distributions centered at Shapley values, revealing meaningful uncertainty.