Combining additive models and neural networks allows to broaden the scope of statistical regression and extend deep learning-based approaches by interpretable structured additive predictors at the same time. Existing attempts uniting the two modeling approaches are, however, limited to very specific combinations and, m…
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48 results for “structured additive predictor”
New estimators improve sparse semiparametric additive modeling.
problem Sparse semiparametric additive modeling with structured sparsity.
method Combines group subset selection with shrinkage for nonconvex optimization.
result New estimators outperform alternatives in synthetic and real-world data.
Proposes a new model to analyze mortgage delinquency transitions.
problem Analyzing mortgage delinquency transitions in a flexible yet identifiable way.
method Combines structured additive predictor with neural network for complex interactions, orthogonalising components for identifiability.
result The semi-structured model provides modest gains in discrimination compared to a structured model, especially in the early prediction spans.
The paper analyzes how machine learning models perform under covariate shift, especially when the feature shift in is larger than that in .
problem Performance of machine learning models under covariate shift with heterogeneous feature changes.
method Empirical risk minimization (ERM) over functions , fit on a training distribution, evaluated on a test distribution with covariate shift.
result ERM is more resilient to heterogeneous covariate shifts when the class is simpler than .
A Bayesian approach to multilabel classification using tree-based models.
problem Challenges in multilabel classification due to complex label relationships and correlations.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) framework for modeling multilabel classification.
result Improved predictive performance compared to other models, including an oracle model.
Generative models in molecular design tend to be richly parameterized, data-hungry neural models, as they must create complex structured objects as outputs. Estimating such models from data may be challenging due to the lack of sufficient training data. In this paper, we propose a surprisingly effective self-training a…
Study on approximability and generalization in machine learning.
problem Understanding how approximation affects learning and generalization in machine learning.
method Introducing a notion of sensitivity to analyze the impact of approximation operators on predictors and proving upper bounds on generalization.
result Proven that approximable target concepts are learnable with fewer labelled samples and sufficient unlabelled data.
This work improves structured prediction by learning the balance between signal and random noise.
problem Structured prediction with random perturbations.
method Learning the variance of randomized structured predictors to balance signal and noise.
result Learning the balance improves structured prediction effectiveness.
Constraint-based structure learning algorithms infer the causal structure of multivariate systems from observational data by determining an equivalent class of causal structures compatible with the conditional independencies in the data. Methods based on additive-noise (AN) models have been proposed to further discrimi…
The article compares predictor importance in classification problems with categorical outcomes.
problem Comparing predictor importance in classification problems with categorical response variables.
method The approach is based on the categorical Gini correlation (CGC) and tests differences in CGCs across predictor groups.
result The proposed methodology accommodates predictors of arbitrary and unequal dimensions and allows for dependence between predictor groups.
The problem of sequential probability forecasting is considered in the most general setting: a model set C is given, and it is required to predict as well as possible if any of the measures (environments) in C is chosen to generate the data. No assumptions whatsoever are made on the model class C, in particular, no ind…
In machine learning and data mining, linear models have been widely used to model the response as parametric linear functions of the predictors. To relax such stringent assumptions made by parametric linear models, additive models consider the response to be a summation of unknown transformations applied on the predict…
Study shows competition feedback can make ML predictors biased towards specific user groups.
problem How competition affects machine learning predictors and user prediction quality.
method Flexible model of competing ML predictors, empirical and mathematical analysis.
result Competition causes predictors to specialize for specific sub-populations at the cost of general performance.
A model learns causal representations from high-dimensional data.
problem Challenges in learning causal representations from high-dimensional data.
method Formulated a latent variable decoder model, Decoder BCD, for Bayesian causal discovery.
result Shows that using known intervention targets as labels helps in unsupervised Bayesian inference over structure and parameters.
Proposes extensions to semi-parametric models using BART for shared covariates.
problem Avoiding poor coverage properties and reducing bias in linear predictor estimates.
method Modifies tree-generation moves in BART to handle shared covariates between linear and non-parametric components.
result Competitive performance in modelling complex interactions and predicting student achievements.
A new model for learning and unlearning predictors efficiently.
problem Learning and unlearning predictors from subsets of data.
method Proposes a ticketed model for learning-unlearning, allowing examples to present tickets for unlearning.
result Space-efficient schemes for various concept classes, including thresholds and parities.
Efficient oblique RSF method improves prediction and interpretability.
problem Limited computational efficiency and difficulty in interpreting oblique RSF ensembles.
method Newton-Raphson scoring for computational efficiency and negation importance for variable importance estimation.
result The method reduces computational overhead by 450 times and improves prediction accuracy.
flexBART improves BART for categorical predictors by creating flexible tree partitions.
problem Limitation of BART in handling categorical predictors with one-hot encoding.
method flexBART re-implements BART with regression trees that can assign multiple levels to both branches of a decision tree node, and proposes a new decision rule prior for spatial data.
result flexBART often yields improved predictive performance and scales better to larger datasets than existing BART implementations.
We propose a penalized orthogonal-components regression (POCRE) for large p small n data. Orthogonal components are sequentially constructed to maximize, upon standardization, their correlation to the response residuals. A new penalization framework, implemented via empirical Bayes thresholding, is presented to effecti…
New method tackles OOD robustness with a single additional variable.
problem Out-of-distribution generalization with unobserved confounders.
method Identifiability assumptions using a single additional variable.
result Superior empirical performance on benchmark tasks.
AI detects heart disease from ECGs with improved interpretability and performance.
problem Undiagnosed structural heart disease due to high cost and accessibility of echocardiography.
method Generalized additive model integrating clinically meaningful ECG predictors.
result Improved AUROC, AUPRC, and F1 score compared to deep-learning baselines.
LIT-LVM improves linear predictors by estimating interaction terms with latent vectors.
problem Accurately estimating coefficients for interaction terms in linear predictors.
method Structured regularization using latent vectors to represent features.
result LIT-LVM achieves superior prediction accuracy compared to other methods.
GADD accelerates uniform-rate discrete diffusion models by 2 orders of magnitude.
problem Slow sampling in uniform-rate discrete diffusion models.
method Gibbs-based corrector (GADD) that constructs Gibbs posterior likelihoods directly from the concrete score function.
result Achieves an overall sampling complexity of .
Ensemble methods that average over a collection of independent predictors that are each limited to a subsampling of both the examples and features of the training data command a significant presence in machine learning, such as the ever-popular random forest, yet the nature of the subsampling effect, particularly of th…
In regression analysis of multivariate data, it is tacitly assumed that response and predictor variables in each observed response-predictor pair correspond to the same entity or unit. In this paper, we consider the situation of "permuted data" in which this basic correspondence has been lost. Several recent papers hav…
Proposes efficient calibration for indoor localization models.
problem Calibration data scarcity in wireless indoor localization.
method Uses synthetic labels and prediction sets to fine-tune a predictor and estimate bias.
result Yields rigorous coverage guarantees for prediction sets.
Technology and collaboration enable dramatic increases in the size of psychological and psychiatric data collections, but finding structure in these large data sets with many collected variables is challenging. Decision tree ensembles like random forests (Strobl, Malley, and Tutz, 2009) are a useful tool for finding st…
Causal predictors don't generalize better across domains than non-causal predictors.
problem How well do causal predictors generalize across different domains?
method 16 prediction tasks on tabular datasets, selecting causal features.
result Causal predictors do not outperform non-causal predictors in domain generalization.
Paper introduces SUEL model for integrating predictors without labeled data.
problem Combining predictors with unknown accuracy and high correlation.
method Structured unsupervised ensemble learning (SUEL) with correlation-based decomposition algorithms.
result Efficient integration of dependent predictors without labeled data.
A Stable Lassostat.ME
Improves Lasso's stability in correlated predictor settings.
problem Lasso's selection stability deteriorates with correlated predictors.
method Integrates a weighting scheme into the Lasso penalty function, using a correlation-adjusted ranking.
result Demonstrates improved selection stability on simulated and real-world datasets.
Neural Networks for Extreme Quantile Regression with an Application to Forecasting of Flood Riskstat.ME
Neural network model forecasts extreme flood risk.
problem Accurately estimating high quantiles of extreme events.
method EQRN model combining neural networks and extreme value theory.
result Forecasting flood risk with improved adaptability.
Bayesian model captures mean and variance of response variables.
problem Complex, predictor-dependent relationships and heteroscedastic patterns in data.
method Sum-of-tessellations for mean, product-of-tessellations for variance.
result Model captures nuanced variance structures and provides reliable predictive uncertainty.
We provide a new approach to training neural models to exhibit transparency in a well-defined, functional manner. Our approach naturally operates over structured data and tailors the predictor, functionally, towards a chosen family of (local) witnesses. The estimation problem is setup as a co-operative game between an …
NPENAS improves neural architecture search efficiency and accuracy.
problem Efficient and accurate neural architecture search (NAS) for minimizing search costs.
method Proposes NPENAS, a neural predictor guided evolutionary algorithm that enhances exploration ability of evolutionary algorithms.
result NPENAS-BO and NPENAS-NP outperform existing NAS algorithms on NASBench-201, NASBench-101, and DARTS.
Scaffolding Setscs.LG
Scaffolding sets improve predictor correctness across subsets.
problem Ensuring predictor correctness across multiple subsets.
method Inspired by neural nets, constructing scaffolding sets to ensure correctness.
result Scaffolding sets ensure predictor correctness, not just calibration.
Debiased Machine Learning of Conditional Average Treatment Effects and Other Causal Functionsstat.ME
This paper provides estimation and inference methods for the best linear predictor (approximation) of a structural function, such as conditional average structural and treatment effects, and structural derivatives, based on modern machine learning (ML) tools. We represent this structural function as a conditional expec…
New method uses neural networks to predict extreme wildfires, improving accuracy over traditional models.
problem Predicting extreme wildfires using complex, non-linear relationships.
method Partially-interpretable neural networks for extreme quantile regression.
result Significant improvement in predictive performance over traditional methods.
A new method combines predictors and their lags using supervised PCA for dynamic forecasting.
problem Dynamic forecasting with many predictors.
method Supervised PCA with re-scaling and penalized methods.
result The method outperforms traditional PCA and diffusion-index approaches in prediction.
A new principle for extrapolating regression outside training data.
problem Regression extrapolation when predictions are outside training data range.
method Data-adaptive marginal transformation and simple relationship assumption.
result Progression method offers guarantees on approximation error beyond training data range.
Gaussian conditional random fields (GCRF) are a well-known used structured model for continuous outputs that uses multiple unstructured predictors to form its features and at the same time exploits dependence structure among outputs, which is provided by a similarity measure. In this paper, a Gaussian conditional rando…
A new method for sparse regression models using graph structure.
problem Sparse regression models for high-dimensional data.
method Decomposes coefficient vector into latent variables, performs regularization on latent variables, uses proximal projection.
result Stable performance compared to other models, especially for high-dimensional data.
Proposes a two-stage method for selecting correlated predictors in high-dimensional data.
problem Selecting correlated predictors in high-dimensional data with unknown group structures.
method Two-stage approach: variable clustering followed by group selection.
result The two-stage method improves prediction accuracy and active predictor selection.
A new screening rule improves SLOPE efficiency for high-dimensional data.
problem Efficiently selecting relevant predictors in high-dimensional data.
method Developed a screening rule for SLOPE based on its subdifferential.
result The screening rule improves SLOPE's performance significantly in high-dimensional settings.
Study examines how body segments respond to random vibrations.
problem Understanding human body responses to random vibrations.
method 35 participants were tested with random noise signals. Multiple linear regression models were created to determine influential predictors of peak translational gains.
result Multiple predictors, including motion direction and body segment, significantly influence peak translational gains.
This article proposes Multinomial Probit Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (MPBART) as a multinomial probit extension of BART - Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (Chipman et al (2010)). MPBART is flexible to allow inclusion of predictors that describe the observed units as well as the available choice alternatives. T…
New method uses neural networks for estimating survival functions from censored data.
problem Estimating conditional survival functions from censored time-to-event data with complex predictors.
method Generative adversarial networks leveraging self-consistent equations, without parametric assumptions.
result Established the convergence rate of the proposed estimator.
Develops a new multivariate regression model for complex outcomes.
problem Flexible, heterogeneous, and residual-dependent multivariate regression problems.
method MultiVCBART framework with Graphical Horseshoe priors.
result Empirically outperforms existing models on sparse, high-dimensional datasets.
The study shows symmetry improves machine learning generalization.
problem Improving machine learning generalization through symmetry.
method Using an averaging operator to prove equivariance reduces test risk.
result Equivariant predictors reduce test risk compared to non-equivariant ones.