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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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153306458611 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for stretched exponential distribution

Modeling financial returns as conditionally independent random variables explains power-law tails.

problem Understanding the distribution of financial returns and their relation to volatility.
method Assuming returns are conditionally independent given volatility, which varies randomly over time.
result Returns distribution can be described by the sum of conditionally independent random variables, showing scaling and power-law tails.

The distribution of recurrence times or return intervals between extreme events is important to characterize and understand the behavior of physical systems and phenomena in many disciplines. It is well known that many physical processes in nature and society display long range correlations. Hence, in the last few year…

2008-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Starting from the generalized exponential function expκ(x)=(1+κ2x2+κx)1/κ\exp_κ(x)=(\sqrt{1+κ^{2}x^{2}}+κx)^{1/κ}, with exp0(x)=exp(x)\exp_{0}(x)=\exp(x), proposed in Ref. [G. Kaniadakis, Physica A \textbf{296}, 405 (2001)], the survival function P>(x)=expκ(βxα)P_{>}(x)=\exp_κ(-βx^α), where xR+x\in\mathbf{R}^{+}, α,β>0α,β>0, and κ[0,1)κ\in[0,1), is considered in order to…

2006-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

We compare systematically several classes of stochastic volatility models of stock market fluctuations. We show that the long-time return distribution is either Gaussian or develops a power-law tail, while the short-time return distribution has generically a stretched-exponential form, but can assume also an algebraic …

2010-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on price fluctuations in NFT market, showing heavy-tailed distributions and long-range memory.

problem Characterizing price fluctuations in NFT market.
method Analysis of capitalization, floor price, transactions, inter-transaction times, and volume value of NFTs.
result NFT market exhibits heavy-tailed probability distribution functions, well described by stretched exponentials, with long-range memory.

The study examines cryptocurrency market activity, revealing multifractal inter-transaction times and challenging traditional statistical models.

problem Analyzing long-range autocorrelations and multifractality in cryptocurrency market activity.
method Analysis of tick-by-tick data from multiple cryptocurrency trading platforms, focusing on inter-transaction times, transaction volumes, and volatility.
result Inter-transaction times exhibit multifractality, indicating periods of increased market activity are more complex than quiet periods.

Quadratic-time algorithm computes stretch factors and foliations for pseudo-Anosov mapping classes.

problem Computing stretch factors and foliations for pseudo-Anosov mapping classes efficiently.
method Quadratic-time algorithm using input word and length as complexity measure.
result First algorithm to compute stretch factors and foliations in sub-exponential time.

We use daily data on bilateral interbank exposures and monthly bank balance sheets to study network characteristics of the Russian interbank market over Aug 1998 - Oct 2004. Specifically, we examine the distributions of (un)directed (un)weighted degree, nodal attributes (bank assets, capital and capital-to-assets ratio…

2014-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzes financial return distributions over various time scales.

problem Understanding the changing nature of financial return distributions over time.
method Modeling return distributions using power-law, stretched exponential, and q-Gaussian functions.
result The 'inverse-cubic power-law' is still a good fit for short-term returns, but market dynamics are more complex.

Scaling properties in financial fluctuations are reviewed from the standpoint of statistical physics. We firstly show theoretically that the balance of demand and supply enhances fluctuations due to the underlying phase transition mechanism. By analyzing tick data of yen-dollar exchange rates we confirm two fractal pro…

2000-08-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New theory explains signal propagation in normalization-free transformers.

problem Understanding signal propagation in normalization-free transformers.
method Deriving recurrence relations for activation statistics and APJNs across layers.
result Transformers with elementwise tanh-like nonlinearities exhibit subcritical signal propagation.

We use data on wealth of the richest persons taken from the "rich lists" provided by business magazines like Forbes to verify if upper tails of wealth distributions follow, as often claimed, a power-law behaviour. The data sets used cover the world's richest persons over 1996-2012, the richest Americans over 1988-2012,…

2013-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a method to efficiently cluster stretched mixtures.

problem Clustering stretched elliptical mixtures using standard methods like PCA and k-means fails.
method Proposes a non-convex program to transform data into a one-dimensional point cloud.
result Efficient first-order algorithm achieves near-optimal statistical precision.

We study the tick dynamical behavior of the bond futures in Korean Futures Exchange(KOFEX) market. Since the survival probability in the continuous-time random walk theory is applied to the bond futures transaction, the form of the decay function in our bond futures model is discussed from two kinds of Korean Treasury …

2002-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently estimates covariance for sub-Weibull vectors with sub-Gaussian rate.

problem Outliers in high-dimensional covariance estimation.
method Cross-Fitted Norm-Truncated Estimator for Sub-Weibull distributions.
result Achieves optimal sub-Gaussian rate with O(Nd2)O(Nd^2) operations.

Gradient flow method solves for optimal transport starting distributions.

problem Finding the optimal starting distribution for a martingale in optimal transport.
method Following the gradient flow of the Bass functional's L2-lift.
result Gradient flow converges to a minimizer of the Bass functional.

We propose coalescent mechanism of economic grow because of redistribution of external resources. It leads to Zipf distribution of firms over their sizes, turning to stretched exponent because of size-dependent effects, and predicts exponential distribution of income between individuals. We also present new approach to…

2008-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Finsler metrics with relatively non-negative (non-positive, respectively), constant and isotropic stretch curvatures are investigated in this paper. In particular, it is proved that every non-Riemannian (α,β)(α, β)-metric with a nonzero constant flag curvature and a non-zero relatively isotropic stretch curvature over a m…

2020-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate the probability distribution of the volatility return intervals ττ for the Chinese stock market. We rescale both the probability distribution Pq(τ)P_{q}(τ) and the volatility return intervals ττ as Pq(τ)=1/τˉf(τ/τˉ)P_{q}(τ)=1/\barτ f(τ/\barτ) to obtain a uniform scaling curve for different threshold value qq. The scali…

2008-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

In the present work we demonstrate the application of different physical methods to high-frequency or tick-by-tick financial time series data. In particular, we calculate the Hurst exponent and inverse statistics for the price time series taken from a range of futures indices. Additionally, we show that in a limit orde…

2007-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The statistical properties of the return intervals τqτ_q between successive 1-min volatilities of 30 liquid Chinese stocks exceeding a certain threshold qq are carefully studied. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test shows that 12 stocks exhibit scaling behaviors in the distributions of τqτ_q for different thresholds qq. …

2008-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Study stretch laminations in hyperbolic 3-manifolds via circle-valued maps.

problem Characterize stretch laminations in hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
method Use Thurston norm and Dehn filling slope length to determine stretch laminations as unions of core curves.
result Show existence of infinitely many examples with fibration and only closed leaves.

The Teichmüller space T(Σ)\mathcal{T}(Σ) of a surface ΣΣ is equipped with Thurston's asymmetric metric. Stretch lines are oriented geodesics for this metric on T(Σ)\mathcal{T}(Σ). We give the asymptotic behavior of the lengths of the measured geodesic laminations as one follows a stretch line in the positive direction.

2018-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Minimal stretch factor for non-orientable surfaces is small.

problem Finding the minimal stretch factor for pseudo-Anosov homeomorphisms on non-orientable surfaces.
method Adapting Thurston's theory of fibered faces for non-orientable 3-manifolds.
result The minimal stretch factor is asymptotically on the order of 1/g.

The paper studies maximal stretch and Lipschitz maps on negatively curved manifolds.

problem Investigating maximal stretch and Lipschitz maps on negatively curved manifolds.
method Defined maximal stretch for negatively curved manifolds and connected it to best Lipschitz maps.
result The Mather set may not be lifts of geodesic laminations but shares similar features.

We explicitly construct pseudo-Anosov maps on the closed surface of genus gg with orientable foliations whose stretch factor λλ is a Salem number with algebraic degree 2g2g. Using this result, we show that there is a pseudo-Anosov map whose stretch factor has algebraic degree dd, for each positive even integer dd s…

2014-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Minimal stretch factors for certain pseudo-Anosov maps are bounded.

problem Bounding the stretch factor of orientation-reversing pseudo-Anosov maps.
method Using the silver ratio and properties of puncture orbits to derive bounds.
result The bound λ(f)χ(S)σ2λ(f)^{-χ(S)} \geq σ^2 is asymptotically sharp.

Study how large-scale flows align small-scale vortices in 3D Euler equations.

problem Understanding how large-scale flows align small-scale vortices in 3D Euler equations.
method Constructing a Lagrangian coordinate to identify when the Lie bracket is zero and investigating the locality of the pressure term.
result Clarified conditions under which small-scale vortices are aligned by large-scale flows.

We perform return interval analysis of 1-min {\em{realized volatility}} defined by the sum of absolute high-frequency intraday returns for the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSEC) and 22 constituent stocks of SSEC. The scaling behavior and memory effect of the return intervals between successive realized vola…

2009-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study connects group invariants through outer automorphisms and polynomial relations.

problem Understanding polynomial invariants of free-by-cyclic groups.
method Introducing orientable fully irreducible outer automorphisms to relate McMullen polynomial and Alexander polynomial.
result Characterization of when homological stretch factor equals geometric stretch factor.

The paper examines properties of spherical Finsler metrics, proving their semi-C-reducibility and conditions for vanishing mean stretch curvature.

problem Analyzing curvature properties of spherical Finsler metrics.
method Proving semi-C-reducibility and finding conditions for vanishing mean stretch curvature.
result Conditions for a general spherically symmetric Finsler metric to have vanishing mean stretch curvature.

We determine the smallest stretch factor among pseudo-Anosov maps with an orientable invariant foliation on the closed nonorientable surfaces of genus 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 12, 14, 16, 18 and 20. We also determine the smallest stretch factor of an orientation-reversing pseudo-Anosov map with orientable invariant foliation…

2018-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals uniform difference in stretch factors between genus two handlebody group and outer automorphism group.

problem Analyzing the relationship between stretch factors in genus two handlebody group and outer automorphism group.
method Examined natural homomorphism from genus g handlebody group to outer automorphism group of free groups, focusing on pseudo-Anosov mapping classes and their stretch factors.
result Minimum stretch factor in genus two handlebody group is less than ten times the stretch factor of fully irreducible outer automorphism.

The motivation for this paper is to justify a remark of Thurston that the algebraic degree of stretch factors of pseudo-Anosov maps on a surface SS can be as high as the dimension of the Teichmüller space of SS. In addition to proving this, we completely determine the set of possible algebraic degrees of pseudo-Anoso…

2015-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗