It will be discussed the statistics of the extreme values in time series characterized by finite-term correlations with non-exponential decay. Precisely, it will be considered the results of numerical analyses concerning the return intervals of extreme values of the fluctuations of resistance and defect-fraction displa…
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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New model explains volatility after extreme stock market events.
We compare systematically several classes of stochastic volatility models of stock market fluctuations. We show that the long-time return distribution is either Gaussian or develops a power-law tail, while the short-time return distribution has generically a stretched-exponential form, but can assume also an algebraic …
We study the tick dynamical behavior of the bond futures in Korean Futures Exchange(KOFEX) market. Since the survival probability in the continuous-time random walk theory is applied to the bond futures transaction, the form of the decay function in our bond futures model is discussed from two kinds of Korean Treasury …
Starting from the generalized exponential function , with , proposed in Ref. [G. Kaniadakis, Physica A \textbf{296}, 405 (2001)], the survival function , where , , and , is considered in order to…
A large consensus now seems to take for granted that the distributions of empirical returns of financial time series are regularly varying, with a tail exponent close to 3. We revisit this results and use standard tests as well as develop a battery of new non-parametric and parametric tests (in particular with stretche…
Efficiently estimates covariance for sub-Weibull vectors with sub-Gaussian rate.
Quadratic-time algorithm computes stretch factors and foliations for pseudo-Anosov mapping classes.
A 3D metric conformally related to Arnold cat fast dynamo metric: is shown to present a behaviour of non-dynamos where the magnetic field exponentially decay in time. The Riemann-Christoffel connection and Riemann curvature tensor for the Arnold and its conformal counter…
Modeling financial returns as conditionally independent random variables explains power-law tails.
A random walk on a separable, geodesic hyperbolic metric space converges to the boundary with probability one when the step distribution supports two independent loxodromics. In particular, the random walk makes positive linear progress. Progress is known to be linear with exponential decay when …
The rich-get-richer mechanism (agents increase their ``wealth'' randomly at a rate proportional to their holdings) is often invoked to explain the Pareto power-law distribution observed in many physical situations, such as the degree distribution of growing scale free nets. We use two different analytical approaches, a…
Paper shows existence of vortex solutions with specific decay properties.
We show that the probability that a finitely supported random walk on a non-elementary subgroup of the the mapping class group gives a non-pseudo-Anosov element decays exponentially in the length of the random walk. More generally, we show that if R is a set of mapping class group elements with an upper bound on their …
In this paper, we examine the dependence of standard gluing process for pseudoholomorphic curves under the change of the length of the neck-region with respect to the cylindrical metrics associated to the given analytic coordinates near the punctures in the setting of bordered open Riemann surface with boundary pun…
The distribution of recurrence times or return intervals between extreme events is important to characterize and understand the behavior of physical systems and phenomena in many disciplines. It is well known that many physical processes in nature and society display long range correlations. Hence, in the last few year…
We prove exponential decay of correlations for Hölder continuous observables with respect to any Gibbs measure for contact Anosov flows admitting Pesin sets with exponentially small tails. This is achieved by establishing strong spectral estimates for certain Ruelle transfer operators for such flows.
New theory explains signal propagation in normalization-free transformers.
AdamNX improves Adam's stability by adjusting its learning rate.
A new accelerated method with simpler momentum update rules.
Unified framework for analyzing gradient flows of measures with exponential decay of entropy.
We investigate the probability distribution of the volatility return intervals for the Chinese stock market. We rescale both the probability distribution and the volatility return intervals as to obtain a uniform scaling curve for different threshold value . The scali…
Study on price fluctuations in NFT market, showing heavy-tailed distributions and long-range memory.
New exponential decay estimate for Hermitian Yang-Mills metrics near branch points.
We consider Hitchin's hyperkähler metric on the -Hitchin moduli space moduli space over a compact Riemann surface. We prove that the difference between the metric and a simpler "semiflat" hyperkähler metric is exponentially-decaying along generic rays in the Hitchin moduli s…
In this paper we continue our study of the Laplacian on manifolds with axial analytic asymptotically cylindrical ends initiated in~arXiv:1003.2538. By using the complex scaling method and the Phragmén-Lindelöf principle we prove exponential decay of the eigenfunctions corresponding to the non-threshold eigenvalues of t…
The goal of this paper is to prove a result conjectured in Föllmer and Schachermayer [FS07], even in slightly more general form. Suppose that S is a continuous semimartingale and satisfies a large deviations estimate; this is a particular growth condition on the mean-variance tradeoff process of S. We show that S then …
Approximations to utility indifference prices are provided for a contingent claim in the large position size limit. Results are valid for general utility functions on the real line and semi-martingale models. It is shown that as the position size approaches infinity, the utility function's decay rate for large negative…
Study on U-statistics with heavy-tailed samples, providing tail bounds and LDP.
Study improves the exponential rate of metric difference in Higgs bundles.
The study examines cryptocurrency market activity, revealing multifractal inter-transaction times and challenging traditional statistical models.
Global stability proved for Navier-Stokes equations on hyperbolic space.
New stretch maps minimize distortion in geometric group theory.
New research shows fixed-budget best-arm identification cannot match static oracle performance.
The paper studies Teichmüller TQFT for hyperbolic knots, proving exponential decay of partition functions.
Solutions to the wave equation on de Sitter-Schwarzschild space with smooth initial data on a Cauchy surface are shown to decay exponentially to a constant at temporal infinity, with corresponding uniform decay on the appropriately compactified space.
New bounds for KRR condition number reveal overfitting phenomena.
We prove polynomial and exponential decay at infinity of eigen-vectors of partial differential operators related to radiation problems for time-harmonic generalized Maxwell systems in an exterior domain with non-smooth inhomogeneous, anisotropic coefficients converging near infinity with a certain rate towards the iden…
We found that factors decay over time, with momentum fitting best.
We prove stability and exponential convergence of the Perfectly Matched Layer (PML) method for acoustic scattering on manifolds with axial analytic quasicylindrical ends. These manifolds model long-range geometric perturbations (e.g. bending or stretching) of tubular waveguides filled with homogeneous or inhomogeneous …
We study the geodesic X-ray transform on Cartan-Hadamard manifolds, and prove solenoidal injectivity of this transform acting on functions and tensor fields of any order. The functions are assumed to be exponentially decaying if the sectional curvature is bounded, and polynomially decaying if the sectional curvature de…
New ensemble method improves model stability exponentially.
Finsler metrics with relatively non-negative (non-positive, respectively), constant and isotropic stretch curvatures are investigated in this paper. In particular, it is proved that every non-Riemannian -metric with a nonzero constant flag curvature and a non-zero relatively isotropic stretch curvature over a m…
Optimal execution of portfolio transactions is the essential part of algorithmic trading. In this paper we present in simple analytical form the optimal trajectory for risk-averse trader with the assumption of exponential market recovery and short-time investment horizon.
Every weak Perron number is realized as a stretch factor of a homeomorphism on a surface.
Lower bound on stretch factor for periodic maps.
In the present work we demonstrate the application of different physical methods to high-frequency or tick-by-tick financial time series data. In particular, we calculate the Hurst exponent and inverse statistics for the price time series taken from a range of futures indices. Additionally, we show that in a limit orde…
Study on biharmonic heat equation on manifolds with curvature constraints.