New voting rules protect against strategic voting by robust statistics.
problem Strategic voting can skew election outcomes.
method Revisit Mallows model, develop robust estimator.
result Efficient estimator achieves nearly optimal robustness.
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48 results for “strategic voting”
We introduce a new class of context dependent, incomplete information games to serve as structured prediction models for settings with significant strategic interactions. Our games map the input context to outcomes by first condensing the input into private player types that specify the utilities, weighted interactions…
AI agents manage portfolios, improving on human oversight.
problem Improving strategic asset allocation for institutional investors.
method 50 specialized agents produce capital market assumptions, construct portfolios, critique, and vote on each other's output.
result Meta-agent compares forecasts with realized returns and improves agent performance.
We consider learning, from strictly behavioral data, the structure and parameters of linear influence games (LIGs), a class of parametric graphical games introduced by Irfan and Ortiz (2014). LIGs facilitate causal strategic inference (CSI): Making inferences from causal interventions on stable behavior in strategic se…
One unexamined assumption in foreign ownership regulation is the notion that majority voting rights translate to 'effective control'. This assumption is so deeply entrenched in foreign investments law that possession of majority voting rights can determine the nationality of a corporation and its capacity to engage in …
Delegated votes in Uniswap DAO favor parties with less self-owned votes and a16z-affiliated entities.
problem Incentives for vote delegation in decentralized governance systems.
method Analysis of Uniswap governance DAO using vote delegation data.
result Vote delegation patterns suggest window-dressing around decentralization and merit-based delegation.
Thermodynamic theory of voting and EU electionscond-mat.stat-mech
A thermodynamic theory explains EU election vote distributions.
problem Describing EU election vote distributions.
method Tracing parallels between system energies of coupled nonlinear oscillators and party vote fractions.
result The Rayleigh-Jeans (RJ) theory well depicts EU vote results and candidate vote dispersion.
Online voting is an emerging feature in social networks, in which users can express their attitudes toward various issues and show their unique interest. Online voting imposes new challenges on recommendation, because the propagation of votings heavily depends on the structure of social networks as well as the content …
Study generalization of voting classifiers using margin-based bounds.
problem Understanding the generalization of ensemble classifiers like voting.
method Proved margin-based generalization bounds using PAC-Bayes theory and Dirichlet posteriors.
result Provided state-of-the-art guarantees on classification tasks.
Boosting improves accuracy by combining weak learners into a voting classifier.
problem Boosting's theoretical performance is sub-optimal, especially for voting classifiers.
method Proposes a randomized boosting algorithm that outputs voting classifiers with a single logarithmic dependency on sample size.
result Randomized boosting achieves a generalization error with a single logarithmic dependency on the sample size.
We combine fine-grained spatially referenced census data with the vote outcomes from the 2016 US presidential election. Using this dataset, we perform ecological inference using distribution regression (Flaxman et al, KDD 2015) with a multinomial-logit regression so as to model the vote outcome Trump, Clinton, Other / …
SBO uses dual voting to build consensus in noisy feedback settings.
problem Collective decision-making under social influence.
method Dual voting system with noisy public votes and private interviews.
result Efficient consensus-building through noisy public votes, debiased by estimated social graph.
Majority-of-Three is Optimalstat.ML
Majority-of-Three is Optimal
problem Optimality of Voting Learners
method Majority vote of three classifiers
result Proves optimality for the simplest voting scheme
In acoustic scene classification researches, audio segment is usually split into multiple samples. Majority voting is then utilized to ensemble the results of the samples. In this paper, we propose a punishment voting algorithm based on the super categories construction method for acoustic scene classification. Specifi…
Ensemble learning is a methodology that integrates multiple DNN learners for improving prediction performance of individual learners. Diversity is greater when the errors of the ensemble prediction is more uniformly distributed. Greater diversity is highly correlated with the increase in ensemble accuracy. Another attr…
New voting strategies show committee-based consensus can scale efficiently.
problem Ensuring honest committees in committee-based consensus protocols.
method Empirical analysis of simpler voting strategies and their convergence to optimality.
result Simpler voting strategies converge to optimality exponentially quickly, ensuring robustness and efficiency.
Optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble can be estimated from the distribution of classifier errors.
problem Finding the optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble to minimize error rate.
method Estimate the distribution of classifier errors and infer error rates for different numbers of voters.
result Lower-variance estimates of error rates can be obtained by inferring them for different numbers of voters.
The paper studies a stochastic majority vote approach to improve classifier accuracy.
problem Improving classifier accuracy over ensembles of classifiers.
method Minimizing a PAC-Bayes generalization bound with Dirichlet distributions.
result Achieves state-of-the-art accuracy and tight generalization bounds.
We tackle the issue of classifier combinations when observations have multiple views. Our method jointly learns view-specific weighted majority vote classifiers (i.e. for each view) over a set of base voters, and a second weighted majority vote classifier over the set of these view-specific weighted majority vote class…
Novel analysis improves weighted majority vote in multiclass classification.
problem Improving the performance of weighted majority vote in multiclass classification.
method Analyzes expected risk of weighted majority vote, considering prediction correlations and provides a bound for efficient minimization.
result Minimization of the new bound typically does not degrade the test error of the ensemble.
In this paper, we propose majority voting neural networks for sparse signal recovery in binary compressed sensing. The majority voting neural network is composed of several independently trained feedforward neural networks employing the sigmoid function as an activation function. Our empirical study shows that a choice…
New algorithms minimize PAC-Bayesian C-Bound for majority voting, leading to scalable and accurate predictors.
problem Improving majority vote classifiers using PAC-Bayesian bounds.
method Directly optimizing PAC-Bayesian guarantees on the C-Bound with gradient descent.
result Self-bounding majority vote learning algorithms with scalable and accurate predictors.
In his seminal work, Schapire (1990) proved that weak classifiers could be improved to achieve arbitrarily high accuracy, but he never implied that a simple majority-vote mechanism could always do the trick. By comparing the asymptotic misclassification error of the majority-vote classifier with the average individual …
TBIP uses texts to quantify lawmakers' political positions.
problem Quantifying lawmakers' political positions from speeches, tweets, etc.
method Unsupervised probabilistic topic model analyzing texts.
result TBIP separates lawmakers by party and infers ideal points close to vote-based.
RCAM-based ensemble combines binary classifiers using similarity and vote scheme.
problem Improving binary classification accuracy through ensemble methods.
method RCAM-based ensemble combining classifiers using similarity and recurrent consult-vote scheme.
result RCAM-based ensemble outperforms individual classifiers and majority voting.
New method improves conformal prediction for ambiguous labels.
problem Uncertainty in expert voting labels affects CP guarantees.
method Develops Monte Carlo CP procedures approximating true posterior.
result Monte Carlo CP closes coverage gap with expert annotations.
We develop a model of issue-specific voting behavior. This model can be used to explore lawmakers' personal voting patterns of voting by issue area, providing an exploratory window into how the language of the law is correlated with political support. We derive approximate posterior inference algorithms based on variat…
New margin bound improves generalization for voting classifiers.
problem Improving generalization bounds for voting classifiers.
method Established a new margin-based generalization bound.
result Derives an optimal weak-to-strong learner with matching theoretical lower bound.
New framework for robust uncertainty quantification in strategic settings.
problem Machine learning model predictions can be strategically altered by informed agents.
method Strategic Conformal Prediction framework
result Theoretical guarantees and experimental validation show remarkable effectiveness.
Paper generalizes strategic classification framework and introduces SVC for PAC-learning.
problem Strategic manipulation of testing data to fool classifiers.
method Unified framework for strategic classification, strategic VC-dimension (SVC).
result Characterizes the learnability and computational tractability of linear classifiers.
Successful attempts to predict judges' votes shed light into how legal decisions are made and, ultimately, into the behavior and evolution of the judiciary. Here, we investigate to what extent it is possible to make predictions of a justice's vote based on the other justices' votes in the same case. For our predictions…
Activists align with large fund preferences for success.
problem Aligning with large fund preferences increases activist success.
method Analyzed previous proxy voting behavior to estimate preferences and correlated them with activist success.
result Campaigns with higher alignment receive more votes and are more successful.
Study strategic dynamic pricing for buyers with unknown manipulation costs.
problem Strategic buyers manipulate their features to get lower prices, hindering profit maximization.
method Proposes a strategic dynamic pricing policy that incorporates strategic behavior and binary response data.
result Achieves sublinear regret bound of compared to linear regret of non-strategic policies.
Voting ensemble of robust models improves robustness.
problem Improving robustness of defensive models against adversarial attacks.
method Hard-label voting ensemble of pretrained robust models.
result Voting ensemble can boost robust error over individual models.
We develop ensemble Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to classify the transportation mode of trip data collected as part of a large-scale smartphone travel survey in Montreal, Canada. Our proposed ensemble library is composed of a series of CNN models with different hyper-parameter values and CNN architectures. In o…
New framework reduces strategic manipulation cost for minority groups in fair classification.
problem Strategic manipulation disparities in fair classification.
method Constrained optimization framework that constructs classifiers to reduce strategic manipulation cost for minority groups.
result Empirically, the approach reduces strategic manipulation cost for minority groups over multiple real-world datasets.
Majority Vote is optimal for reliable data labeling under certain conditions.
problem Reliable data labeling requires aggregating multiple annotators' labels, but the optimality of Majority Vote is not well understood.
method Characterized conditions under which Majority Vote achieves the optimal label estimation error.
result Majority Vote optimally recovers labels for a given class distribution under tolerable annotation noise limits.
Study compares employers with and without anticipating strategic labor force responses.
problem Understanding and optimizing strategic interactions in labor markets.
method Formulation of causal strategic classification, theory, and experiments.
result Performatively optimal hiring policies improve employer and labor outcomes, but can also harm labor force utility.
The recent success of single-agent reinforcement learning (RL) in Internet of things (IoT) systems motivates the study of multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL), which is more challenging but more useful in large-scale IoT. In this paper, we consider a voting-based MARL problem, in which the agents vote to make grou…
A mathematical analysis of the distribution of voting power in the Council of the European Union operating according to the Treaty of Lisbon is presented. We study the effects of Brexit on the voting power of the remaining members, measured by the Penrose--Banzhaf Index. We note that the effects in question are non-mon…
This paper proposes an approach to detect emotion from human speech employing majority voting technique over several machine learning techniques. The contribution of this work is in two folds: firstly it selects those features of speech which is most promising for classification and secondly it uses the majority voting…
Crowdsourcing has become an effective and popular tool for human-powered computation to label large datasets. Since the workers can be unreliable, it is common in crowdsourcing to assign multiple workers to one task, and to aggregate the labels in order to obtain results of high quality. In this paper, we provide finit…
New algorithm learns optimal policies in strategic MDPs with private types.
problem Optimal policy learning in strategic MDPs with private types and information asymmetry.
method PLAN algorithm using instrumental variable regression and pessimism principle.
result PLAN achieves near-optimal policy with optimality.
Paper proposes FVC for functional data classification.
problem Challenges in high-dimensional temporal data.
method Ensemble learning of diverse functional representations.
result FVC enhances predictive accuracy over individual models.
Deep neural network (DNN) has demonstrated its success in multiple domains. However, DNN models are inherently vulnerable to adversarial examples, which are generated by adding adversarial perturbations to benign inputs to fool the DNN model to misclassify. In this paper, we present a cross-layer strategic ensemble fra…
The paper improves confidence regions for band-limited functions using tighter norm bounds and majority voting.
problem Constructing reliable confidence regions for band-limited functions from noisy data.
method Improved norm bounds using Hoeffding's inequality and empirical Bernstein bound, majority voting to aggregate intervals.
result Confidence intervals retain their simultaneous coverage guarantee even when aggregated from random subsamples.
Simpler majority vote of three classifiers achieves optimal error bounds.
problem Developing an optimal PAC learning algorithm in the realizable setting.
method Returning the majority vote of three ERM classifiers.
result Achieves optimal in-expectation bound on error.
New findings show strategic interactions can undermine model expressiveness in machine learning.
problem How strategic interactions affect model performance in machine learning.
method Analyzing model expressiveness and strategic interactions in various machine learning settings.
result Optimizing over less expressive model classes can lead to better equilibrium outcomes in strategic environments.