arXiv research

Study shows GDP and CPI predict CCC funding, highlighting need for economic forecasting.

New algorithm learns optimal policies in strategic MDPs with private types.

Strategic Workforce Planning is a company process providing best in class, economically sound, workforce management policies and goals. Despite the abundance of literature on the subject, this is a notorious challenge in terms of implementation. Reasons span from the youth of the field itself to broader data integratio…

Abstract MDPs enable strategic exploration and fast reward transfer in complex environments.

This paper argues, first, that a major problem in the planning of large infrastructure projects is the high level of misinformation about costs and benefits that decision makers face in deciding whether to build, and the high risks such misinformation generates. Second, it explores the causes of misinformation and risk…

This article asks how planning scholarship may effectively gain impact in planning practice through media exposure. In liberal democracies the public sphere is dominated by mass media. Therefore, working with such media is a prerequisite for effective public impact of planning research. Using the example of megaproject…

We investigate the integration of a planning mechanism into sequence-to-sequence models using attention. We develop a model which can plan ahead in the future when it computes its alignments between input and output sequences, constructing a matrix of proposed future alignments and a commitment vector that governs whet…

Academic research in the field of autonomous vehicles has reached high popularity in recent years related to several topics as sensor technologies, V2X communications, safety, security, decision making, control, and even legal and standardization rules. Besides classic control design approaches, Artificial Intelligence…

We introduce two tactics to attack agents trained by deep reinforcement learning algorithms using adversarial examples, namely the strategically-timed attack and the enchanting attack. In the strategically-timed attack, the adversary aims at minimizing the agent's reward by only attacking the agent at a small subset of…

The paper analyzes how mutable blockchain protocols affect miner behavior and strategic stability.

This report reviews the Edinburgh tram project's risk management. Projects frequently overrun their cost and timelines and fall short on intended benefits. Cost, schedule, and benefit risk of projects need to be carefully considered to avoid this. The report describes and evaluates risk assessment and management for th…

Collectives can manipulate learning platforms by coordinated data submission, requiring strategic assessments and algorithms.

In the wake of the highly electrified future ahead of us, the role of energy storage is crucial wherever distributed generation is abundant, such as in microgrid settings. Given the variety of storage options that are becoming more and more economical, determining which type of storage technology to invest in, along wi…

Simultaneously estimates travel times and route choice model parameters.

We propose a reinforcement learning framework for discrete environments in which an agent makes both strategic and tactical decisions. The former manifests itself through the use of value function, while the latter is powered by a tree search planner. These tools complement each other. The planning module performs a lo…

Data competitions rely on real-time leaderboards to rank competitor entries and stimulate algorithm improvement. While such competitions have become quite popular and prevalent, particularly in supervised learning formats, their implementations by the host are highly variable. Without careful planning, a supervised lea…

Machine teaching addresses the problem of finding the best training data that can guide a learning algorithm to a target model with minimal effort. In conventional settings, a teacher provides data that are consistent with the true data distribution. However, for sequential learners which actively choose their queries,…

The paper analyzes reinsurance strategies in peer-to-peer insurance schemes.

Study examines European banks' digital transformation strategies.

New framework for robust uncertainty quantification in strategic settings.

Due to the threat of climate change, a transition from a fossil-fuel based system to one based on zero-carbon is required. However, this is not as simple as instantaneously closing down all fossil fuel energy generation and replacing them with renewable sources -- careful decisions need to be taken to ensure rapid but …

Paper generalizes strategic classification framework and introduces SVC for PAC-learning.

The 1/3 Financial Rule helps prevent household bankruptcy through balanced spending, savings, and debt repayment.

Study strategic dynamic pricing for buyers with unknown manipulation costs.

Trading-R1 uses LLMs for financial trading, improving risk-adjusted returns.

New framework reduces strategic manipulation cost for minority groups in fair classification.

Study compares employers with and without anticipating strategic labor force responses.

The study improves Monte Carlo simulations for long-term investments using advanced financial models.

Deep neural network (DNN) has demonstrated its success in multiple domains. However, DNN models are inherently vulnerable to adversarial examples, which are generated by adding adversarial perturbations to benign inputs to fool the DNN model to misclassify. In this paper, we present a cross-layer strategic ensemble fra…

New findings show strategic interactions can undermine model expressiveness in machine learning.

Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.

Consequential decision-making typically incentivizes individuals to behave strategically, tailoring their behavior to the specifics of the decision rule. A long line of work has therefore sought to counteract strategic behavior by designing more conservative decision boundaries in an effort to increase robustness to th…

Strategic feature selection in high-stakes domains like healthcare.

Study allocates resources to strategic agents while balancing cost and incentives.

The paper analyzes trading strategies in a competitive market with incomplete information.

Algorithm learns optimal coordination for strategic agents in uncertain settings.

Rebellion Research's AI strategy outperformed the S&P 500 for 14 years.

Randomised classifiers outperform deterministic ones in strategic classification.

Study one-shot strategic classification under unknown costs, improving worst-case accuracy.

Consequential decision-making incentivizes individuals to strategically adapt their behavior to the specifics of the decision rule. While a long line of work has viewed strategic adaptation as gaming and attempted to mitigate its effects, recent work has instead sought to design classifiers that incentivize individuals…

We consider a symmetric multi-players zero-sum game with two strategic variables. There are $n$ players, $n\geq 3$. Each player is denoted by $i$. Two strategic variables are $t_i$ and $s_i$, $i\in \{1, \dots, n\}$. They are related by invertible functions. Using the minimax theorem by \cite{sion} we will show that Nas…

We study a strategic version of the multi-armed bandit problem, where each arm is an individual strategic agent and we, the principal, pull one arm each round. When pulled, the arm receives some private reward $v_a$ and can choose an amount $x_a$ to pass on to the principal (keeping $v_a-x_a$ for itself). All non-pulle…

COBRA addresses strategic behavior in online platforms by ensuring truthful reporting without monetary incentives.

Strategic feature manipulation helps learners identify meaningful variables in online regression settings.

The results of a learning process depend on the input data. There are cases in which an adversary can strategically tamper with the input data to affect the outcome of the learning process. While some datasets are difficult to attack, many others are susceptible to manipulation. A resourceful attacker can tamper with l…

We study revenue optimization learning algorithms for repeated second-price auctions with reserve where a seller interacts with multiple strategic bidders each of which holds a fixed private valuation for a good and seeks to maximize his expected future cumulative discounted surplus. We propose a novel algorithm that h…

This paper deals with the explicit design of strategy formulations to make the best strategic choices from a conventional matrix form of representing strategic choices. The explicit strategy formulation is an analytical model which is targeted to provide a mathematical strategy framework to find the best moment for str…

Market-maker optimizes quotes based on strategic market-takers' behavior.