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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for stopping method

The paper studies early stopping methods in linear contextual bandits.

problem Minimizing in-experiment regret and conducting robust post-experiment inferences in contextual bandits.
method The study proposes early stopping rules based on the Opportunity Cost and Threshold Method, using variances of estimators to quantify upper regret bounds.
result The proposed method provides a systematic approach to minimize in-experiment regret and conduct robust post-experiment inferences.

Solves optimal stopping problem with Poisson constraints using jumps.

problem Optimal stopping with Poisson constraints and jumps.
method Penalized backward stochastic differential equation (PBSDE) with jumps, decomposition method based on Jacod-Pham, comparison theorem of BSDEs with jumps.
result Solves American option pricing in nonlinear markets with Poisson constraints.

Trailing stop is a popular stop-loss trading strategy by which the investor will sell the asset once its price experiences a pre-specified percentage drawdown. In this paper, we study the problem of timing buy and then sell an asset subject to a trailing stop. Under a general linear diffusion framework, we study an opt…

2017-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Method calculates Parisian stopping times and option prices using Markov chains.

problem Computing distribution and pricing of Parisian stopping times under Markov processes.
method Continuous-time Markov chain approximation to solve for distribution and convergence analysis.
result Sharp convergence rate and efficient method for diffusion and jump models.

Develops a method for solving optimal stopping problems with multiple exercise rights.

problem Optimal stopping with multiple exercise rights under model uncertainty.
method Pathwise duality approach based on robust martingale dual representation.
result Establishes upper and lower bounds that converge to the true solution.

Paper solves a complex stopping problem using regularization and HJB equations.

problem Time-inconsistent mean-variance optimal stopping problem
method Vanishing regularization method to derive HJB equations and prove existence of solutions
result Formally recovers variational inequalities for original problem

Study proposes a stopping criterion for active learning based on error stability.

problem Improving predictive performance in active learning by adaptively annotating samples.
method Proposes a stopping criterion based on error stability for Bayesian active learning.
result Demonstrates the proposed criterion stops active learning at the appropriate timing for various models and datasets.

Active learning performance degrades with larger batch sizes, but can be mitigated with smaller window sizes.

problem Impact of batch size on stopping active learning for text classification.
method Analyzed the impact of batch size on a stopping method for active learning in text classification, finding that larger batch sizes degrade performance and that using smaller window sizes mitigates this effect.
result Mitigating batch size degradation in active learning for text classification can be achieved by adjusting the window size parameter.

The paper tackles optimal stopping problems using reinforcement learning and singular control.

problem Continuous-time and state-space optimal stopping problems.
method Formulated as a singular control problem with randomized stopping times and penalized cumulative residual entropy.
result Identified unique optimal exploratory strategy through dynamic programming.

Early stopping methods reduce unnecessary reasoning steps in LLMs by monitoring uncertainty signals.

problem LLMs sometimes generate unnecessary reasoning steps, especially under uncertainty.
method Statistically principled early stopping methods that monitor uncertainty signals during generation.
result Uncertainty-aware early stopping improves efficiency and reliability in LLM reasoning, especially in math reasoning.

DO-IQS recovers optimal stopping region from expert trajectories, addressing specific challenges.

problem Recovering optimal stopping region from expert trajectories with unknown gain functions.
method Dynamics-Aware Offline Inverse Q-Learning incorporating temporal information and confidence-based oversampling.
result Demonstrated performance on real and artificial data, including optimal intervention for critical events.

We consider the optimal double stopping time problem defined for each stopping time SS by $v(S)=\esssup\{E[ψ(τ_1, τ_2) | \F_S], τ_1, τ_2 \geq S \}$. Following the optimal one stopping time problem, we study the existence of optimal stopping times and give a method to compute them. The key point is the construction of …

2009-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Early stopping helps prevent overfitting to noisy labels in neural networks.

problem Overfitting to noisy labels in real-world training data.
method Two-phase training method (Prestopping) that early stops training and resumes using a maximal safe set.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in test error under label noise.

We use probabilistic methods to characterise time dependent optimal stopping boundaries in a problem of multiple optimal stopping on a finite time horizon. Motivated by financial applications we consider a payoff of immediate stopping of "put" type and the underlying dynamics follows a geometric Brownian motion. The op…

2014-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The study reveals optimal early stopping behaviors in deep learning models.

problem Understanding optimal early stopping in deep learning models.
method Theoretical analysis of linear models and experimental validation.
result Two distinct behaviors of optimal early stopping time depending on model dimension relative to dataset features.

This paper improves neural network predictions with early stopping using conformal calibration.

problem Lack of precise statistical guarantees for neural networks trained with early stopping.
method Conformalized early stopping that combines early stopping with conformal calibration.
result Models provide both accuracy and precise inferences without additional data splits.

Optimizes selling bonds with non-negative prices using a Brownian bridge model.

problem Maximizing the expected value of an exponential gain function on a Brownian bridge.
method Develops pathwise properties of the Brownian bridge and uses martingale methods of optimal stopping theory.
result Solves the stopping problem for the exponential of a Brownian bridge.

New algorithms use Gaussian processes to optimize stopping times in financial markets.

problem Optimizing stopping times in financial time series with specific applications.
method Gaussian and Deep Gaussian Process models to analytically evaluate optimal stopping value functions and policies.
result Proposed algorithms outperform benchmarks on various financial time series datasets.

New method uses neural networks for optimal stopping time problems.

problem Optimal stopping time problems in high-dimensional financial models.
method Neural networks and randomisation of discrete variables for direct policy modeling.
result Success in pricing high-dimensional American and swing options.

This paper introduces a more efficient method for estimating level sets with a stopping criterion.

problem Efficiently estimating regions where a function exceeds a threshold without exhaustive evaluations.
method Acquisition strategy with a stopping criterion for εε-accurate level set estimation.
result The method satisfies εε-accuracy with a confidence level of 1δ1 - δ and guarantees on lower bounds of performance metrics.

Deep Penalty Method solves high-dimensional optimal stopping problems using deep learning.

problem High-dimensional optimal stopping problems in American option pricing.
method Inspired by penalty method for PDEs, approximates penalized PDE with Deep BSDE framework.
result Error bound of DPM is O(1λ)+O(λh)+O(h)O(\frac{1}{\lambda}) + O(\lambda h) + O(\sqrt{h}).

Paper optimizes aquaculture feeding and harvesting strategies for profit maximization.

problem Maximizing farm profit through optimal feeding and harvesting decisions under stochastic price dynamics.
method Developed a simplified aquaculture model and two numerical solution approaches: finite difference scheme and PINN-based method combined with DeepOS algorithm.
result PINN-based method achieves comparable accuracy to finite differences but is more scalable.

Paper proposes a method for early stopping in regression using reproducing kernels.

problem Early stopping for iterative learning algorithms in nonparametric regression.
method Data-driven rule based on minimum discrepancy principle, validated by fixed-point analysis of localized Rademacher complexities.
result The proposed rule is minimax-optimal and performs comparably to cross-validation.

A new method for early stopping in neural networks without validation sets.

problem Determining when to stop training neural networks to avoid overfitting.
method Channel-wise DeepNNK (CW-DeepNNK) using non-negative kernel regression and polytope interpolation.
result The proposed early stopping criterion based on CW-DeepNNK performs better than standard validation-based methods.

Paper develops a new method for optimal stopping in American options.

problem Optimal stopping in American options with singular generators.
method Entropy-regularized penalization scheme for reflected BSDEs with singular generators.
result Limit of the penalization scheme solves a reflected BSDE with a logarithmically singular generator.

Develops anytime-valid stopping rules for SGD based on observed trajectory.

problem Stopping stochastic gradient descent (SGD) based on observed trajectory.
method Develops anytime-valid confidence sequences for stochastic gradient methods.
result Statistically valid, time-uniform stopping rules for SGD across convex and nonconvex settings.

The paper analyzes Variable Annuities with surrender charges, providing a pricing formula and optimal exercise boundary.

problem Analyzing Variable Annuities with surrender charges and early termination rights.
method Formulated as an optimal stopping problem with a discontinuous payoff, non-monotonic optimal stopping boundaries are proven continuous and regular.
result A rigorous pricing formula and optimal exercise boundary for surrender options are derived.