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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,291 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for stock warrant

Warrants with stock price dependent threshold conditions give the right to buy specially issued stocks, if the performance of the stock price satisfies some requirements. Existence of these derivatives changes the price process of the underlying. We show that in the presence of such warrants one cannot assume that the …

2015-03-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Power-law model outperforms logarithmic model in estimating stock and warrant price impacts.

problem Estimating immediate price impacts of stock and warrant orders.
method Used order flow data to estimate price impacts using power-law and logarithmic models.
result Power-law model outperforms logarithmic model in robustness and forecasting accuracy.

The paper extends Merton model to price equity warrants under subdiffusive fractional Brownian motion of the short rate.

problem Equity warrant pricing under subdiffusive fractional Brownian motion of the short rate.
method The paper applies subdiffusive mechanism to analyze equity warrant in a fractional Brownian motion environment, deriving a pricing formula for equity warrant.
result The paper provides a pricing formula for equity warrants under subdiffusive fractional Brownian motion model of the short rate.

Study examines how COVID-19 affected stock and crypto market efficiency.

problem Impact of COVID-19 on market efficiency of different asset classes.
method Analysis of price returns, absolute returns, and volatility increments in stock and cryptocurrency markets.
result Market efficiency varied by asset class and market, with some time series showing gradual decline over time.

A financial market is called "diverse" if no single stock is ever allowed to dominate the entire market in terms of relative capitalization. In the context of the standard Ito-process model initiated by Samuelson (1965) we formulate this property (and the allied, successively weaker notions of "weak diversity" and "asy…

2008-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves online learning with adaptable agents in various settings.

problem Learning with improving agents in online settings.
method Extensive analysis of combinatorial dimensions, multiclass setup, bandit feedback, and agent cost.
result Characterization and analysis of online learnability in the model.

This note (originally from 2015) provides a proof of a 1985 conjecture of Montiel and Ros concerning the conformal volume of tori. This updated version adds a proof of the claim made in Remark 5 about the value of the conformal volume of tori in the cases not covered by the conjecture of Montiel and Ros. Originally, I …

2015-07-06abs ↗pdf ↗

For utility maximization problems under proportional transaction costs, it has been observed that the original market with transaction costs can sometimes be replaced by a frictionless "shadow market" that yields the same optimal strategy and utility. However, the question of whether or not this indeed holds in general…

2011-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We discuss when and why custom multi-factor risk models are warranted and give source code for computing some risk factors. Pension/mutual funds do not require customization but standardization. However, using standardized risk models in quant trading with much shorter holding horizons is suboptimal: 1) longer horizon …

2014-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We approximate the distribution of total expenditure of a retail company over warranty claims incurred in a fixed period [0, T], say the following quarter. We consider two kinds of warranty policies, namely, the non-renewing free replacement warranty policy and the non-renewing pro-rata warranty policy. Our approximati…

2010-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

In recent years there has been significant progress in algorithms and methods for inducing Bayesian networks from data. However, in complex data analysis problems, we need to go beyond being satisfied with inducing networks with high scores. We need to provide confidence measures on features of these networks: Is the e…

2013-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

REST framework predicts stock trends by considering stock-specific and related-stock events.

problem Predicting stock trends using event information from news, social media, and discussion boards.
method REST framework addresses two main shortcomings of existing event-driven methods: stock-specific event influence and related-stock event influence.
result REST framework achieves higher investment returns compared to baselines.

EarnMore uses masked stock representations to train RL agents for customizable stock pools efficiently.

problem Training RL agents for customizable stock pools (CSPs) is computationally expensive and unstable.
method EarnMore introduces a mechanism to mask out stocks outside the target pool, learns meaningful stock representations, and uses a re-weighting mechanism to focus on favorable stocks.
result EarnMore significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in profit metrics with over 40% improvement.

New deep learning method predicts stock rankings better than existing models.

problem Predicting stock trends and prices with deep learning models.
method Tailored deep learning for stock ranking, capturing temporal and relational stock data.
result RSR method outperforms existing solutions, achieving high return ratios on NYSE and NASDAQ.

Improved S&P stock prediction by integrating related stocks' data.

problem Lack of comprehensive data in stock prediction models.
method Enriched stock data with related stocks, tested five similarity functions, and used co-integration similarity for best results.
result Prediction model on similar stocks had significantly better accuracy and profit.

Study uses machine learning and survival analysis to predict CKD progression.

problem Early detection and management of CKD to reduce ESRD risk.
method Combines machine learning and classical statistical models to identify novel CKD progression predictors.
result Deep learning models outperform other methods in predicting CKD progression.

We investigate the strength and the direction of information transfer in the U.S. stock market between the composite stock price index of stock market and prices of individual stocks using the transfer entropy. Through the directionality of the information transfer, we find that individual stocks are influenced by the …

2007-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals the 2020 U.S. stock crash was endogenous, not caused by COVID.

problem Understanding the cause of the 2020 U.S. stock market crash.
method Applied log-periodic power law singularity (LPPLS) methodology to analyze four major U.S. stock market indexes.
result The 2020 U.S. stock market crash was endogenous, stemming from systemic instability, not COVID.

Green stocks show less factor exposure heterogeneity compared to brown stocks.

problem Exploring differences in factor exposure between green and brown stocks.
method Examined S&P 500 firms grouped by greenhouse gas emissions, analyzing factor exposure over 2014-2020.
result Green stocks have less factor exposure heterogeneity than brown stocks, except for the value factor.

Study shows lower market-cap and lower P/E penny stocks outperform higher market-cap and higher P/E stocks.

problem Determinants of expected returns on penny stocks in emerging markets.
method Cross-sectional analysis of 167 penny stocks listed in National Stock Exchange of India.
result Lower market-cap and lower P/E penny stocks outperform higher market-cap and higher P/E stocks.

A new framework forecasts stock trends by mining shared information from concepts.

problem Forecasting stock trends using static concept information limits accuracy.
method Proposes a graph-based framework that mines concept-oriented shared information from both predefined and hidden concepts.
result Improves stock trend forecasting performance through dynamic concept relevance and hidden concept information.

We propose improved methods to identify stock groups using the correlation matrix of stock price changes. By filtering out the marketwide effect and the random noise, we construct the correlation matrix of stock groups in which nontrivial high correlations between stocks are found. Using the filtered correlation matrix…

2005-03-09abs ↗pdf ↗

GRU-PFG model extracts inter-stock correlations from stock factors using graph neural networks.

problem Limited effectiveness of models relying solely on stock factors for capturing stock correlations.
method Project stock factors into a graph and use graph neural networks to extract inter-stock correlations.
result Achieves better prediction results than models relying solely on stock factors and comparable to second category models.

Study finds stock search trends correlate with developing economies' stock indices.

problem Predicting stock indices closing from web search trends.
method Collected and analyzed stock-specific internet search trends and corresponding index close values.
result Global search trends correlate more with developing economies, less with south Asian exchanges.

Hybrid model predicts stock prices using online forum sentiments and popularity.

problem Predicting stock prices accurately considering investor sentiment.
method XLNET for sentiment analysis, BiLSTM-highway model integration, combining post popularity.
result Hybrid model outperforms traditional methods in stock price prediction.

Deep learning predicts stock prices using CNN and NALUs.

problem Predicting future stock prices accurately.
method Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for feature extraction and Neural Arithmetic Logic Units (NALUs) for arithmetic operations.
result Improved accuracy in predicting stock prices.

Transformer model predicts stock prices in Bangladesh's stock market.

problem Predicting volatile stock prices in the Bangladesh stock market.
method Transformer model applied to time series data for stock price prediction.
result Transformer model shows promising results in predicting stock price movements.

Deep Q-Network predicts global stock market returns from chart images.

problem Predicting global stock market returns using chart images.
method Deep Q-Network with CNN approximator, trained on US stock market, tested on 31 countries.
result Artificial intelligence can predict stock prices in small markets.

Enhancing the Black-Scholes model with Lévy processes and Malliavin calculus

problem Improving option valuation by incorporating stochastic volatility and jumps
method Deriving a pricing formula and exact implied volatility using multidimensional Itô calculus and Malliavin calculus
result Better capture of empirical features like volatility smiles