Considered an important macroeconomic indicator, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) on Manufacturing generally assumes that PMI announcements will produce an impact on stock markets. International experience suggests that stock markets react to negative PMI news. In this research, we empirically investigate the stock…
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48 results for “stock reactions”
The study distills news sources to analyze stock reactions, finding sentiment has asymmetric and sector-specific effects.
problem Analyzing the influence of financial text sources on stock reactions.
method Mixed text sources from professional platforms, blogs, and message boards were distilled using different lexica to analyze sentiment variables.
result Sentiment has an asymmetric and sector-specific effect on stock reactions.
ChatGPT predicts stock market reactions from news headlines without financial training.
problem Predicting stock price movements using non-financial data.
method Used post-knowledge-cutoff headlines to train ChatGPT-4, which forecasts stock market reactions.
result ChatGPT-4 can predict stock market reactions with high accuracy, especially for small stocks and negative news.
The study explains stock return distributions using reaction functions.
problem Stock return distributions often deviate from normal distributions.
method Assumes normal event/information effects, financial over/underreaction, proposes reaction function model.
result Financial markets often underreact to minor events, overreact to significant ones, and react stronger to positive events.
Paper presents a multi-label topic model for financial texts with high performance and insights into market reactions.
problem Analyzing financial text data for market reactions and understanding topic interactions.
method Trained a multi-label topic model on a financial text database, achieved high macro F1 score, and investigated topic interactions.
result Model achieves high performance (macro F1 > 85%) and reveals significant market reactions to topic co-occurrences.
Study examines stock price reactions to Texas winter storm power outages.
problem Impact of natural disasters on stock market values.
method Used four benchmark models to measure abnormal returns.
result Firms experienced significant stock price drops after the Texas winter storm.
Study finds companies react negatively to material cybersecurity incident disclosures.
problem Understanding market reactions to cybersecurity incidents.
method Examined daily stock price movements of companies disclosing material cybersecurity incidents.
result Companies tend to experience negative price reactions after disclosing material cybersecurity incidents.
Reaction-Diffusion-Branching Models of Stock Price Fluctuationscond-mat.stat-mech
Several models of stock trading [P. Bak et al, Physica A {\bf 246}, 430 (1997)] are analyzed in analogy with one-dimensional, two-species reaction-diffusion-branching processes. Using heuristic and scaling arguments, we show that the short-time market price variation is subdiffusive with a Hurst exponent . Biase…
ChatGPT can summarize corporate disclosures more concisely and effectively, improving stock market reactions.
problem Information asymmetry and inefficiency in stock markets due to bloated disclosures.
method Comparing ChatGPT-generated summaries to original disclosures, analyzing their impact on stock market reactions.
result ChatGPT-generated summaries are more effective at explaining stock market reactions to disclosed information.
Trend arbitrage, bid-ask spread and market dynamicsphysics.data-an
Microstructure of market dynamics is studied through analysis of tick price data. Linear trend is introduced as a tool for such analysis. Trend arbitrage inequality is developed and tested. The inequality sets limiting relationship between trend, bid-ask spread, market reaction and average update frequency of price inf…
New systemic risk indicator measures stock market reactions globally.
problem Analyzing systemic risk in diverse financial markets.
method Implied and realized volatility approach, focusing on historical and long-term volatility.
result IVRVSRI shows varying stock market reactions and shock persistence across locations.
This paper provides a holistic study of how stock prices vary in their response to financial disclosures across different topics. Thereby, we specifically shed light into the extensive amount of filings for which no a priori categorization of their content exists. For this purpose, we utilize an approach from data mini…
This study shows how monetary uncertainty affects stock market reactions to macroeconomic news.
problem Understanding stock market reactions to macroeconomic news under varying levels of monetary uncertainty.
method Decomposes stock market response into cash flow and risk-free rate channels, analyzing time-varying effects.
result High monetary uncertainty weakens the positive stock market response to macroeconomic news.
Investors in stock market are usually greedy during bull markets and scared during bear markets. The greed or fear spreads across investors quickly. This is known as the herding effect, and often leads to a fast movement of stock prices. During such market regimes, stock prices change at a super-exponential rate and ar…
New drugs and stock market: how to predict pharma market reaction to clinical trial announcementsq-fin.ST
Predicts stock price changes based on clinical trial announcements.
problem Forecasting the impact of clinical trial results on pharma stock prices.
method BERT for sentiment analysis, Temporal Fusion Transformer for forecasting, graph convolution network for event relationships, gradient boosting for price change prediction.
result Identifies two crucial factors: drug portfolio size and network effect of related events.
There is bountiful evidence that political uncertainty stemming from presidential elections or doubt about the direction of future policy make financial markets significantly volatile, especially in proximity to close elections or elections that may prompt radical policy changes. Although several studies have examined …
In our empirical study, we examine the price of liquid stocks after experiencing a large intraday price change using data from the NYSE and the NASDAQ. We find significant reversal for both intraday price decreases and increases. The results are stable against varying parameters. While on the NYSE the large widening of…
The echo chamber effect resounds on financial markets: a social media alert system for meme stocksq-fin.TR
Paper detects social media influencers affecting financial markets.
problem Impact of social media influencers on financial markets.
method Developed an early warning system for detecting suspicious social network activity.
result Discrepancy in meme and non-meme stocks' reactions to social networks.
We use the formalism of Geometrothermodynamics to describe chemical reactions in the context of equilibrium thermodynamics. Any chemical reaction in a closed system is shown to be described by a geodesic in a dimensional manifold that can be interpreted as the equilibrium space of the reaction. We first show this i…
Autonomous Discovery of Unknown Reaction Pathways from Data by Chemical Reaction Neural Networkq-bio.MN
CRNN discovers chemical reaction pathways from data.
problem Challenging to infer reaction pathways for complex systems.
method Neural network approach that satisfies fundamental physics laws.
result CRNN autonomously discovers reaction pathways from species concentration data.
Robinhood users react strongly to overnight price changes and big losers, trading quickly after extreme losses.
problem Understanding trading behavior of Robinhood users, especially in high-frequency trading scenarios.
method Analyzed intraday and overnight price changes, focusing on big losers and gainers.
result Robinhood users react more to overnight price changes and big losers, trading quickly after extreme losses.
MEGAN models chemical reactions as graph edits, improving synthesis planning.
problem Generating and predicting chemical reactions under constraints.
method End-to-end encoder-decoder neural model inspired by arrow pushing formalism.
result State-of-the-art accuracy in standard benchmarks for retrosynthesis prediction.
The study reveals distinct patterns in retail investors' holding periods affecting stock returns.
problem Understanding the impact of retail investors' investment horizons on stock returns.
method Using self-reported holding periods from StockTwits, the study categorizes retail investors into long-horizon and short-horizon groups and analyzes their return patterns.
result Long-horizon retail investors exhibit underreaction to earnings announcements, while short-horizon investors show overreaction.
Upper bound on CRN reaction rates derived using information geometry.
problem Challenging task of deriving an upper bound on reaction rates of nonlinear, discrete CRNs.
method Information geometric approach using natural gradient.
result Validated through numerical simulations, demonstrating faster convergence in specific CRNs.
Graphs predict reaction conditions for organic chemistry.
problem Predicting specific reaction conditions in organic chemistry.
method Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for modeling reaction graphs.
result GNNs can identify specific graph features affecting reaction conditions.
Novel deep learning method predicts reaction coordinates and future MD trajectories.
problem Identifying optimal reaction coordinates for chemical reactions.
method Regularized Sparse Autoencoder (RSE) for discovering reaction coordinates and predicting MD trajectory evolution.
result RSE helps in choosing a small but important set of reaction coordinates.
A Generative Model For Electron Pathsphysics.chem-ph
Chemical reactions can be described as the stepwise redistribution of electrons in molecules. As such, reactions are often depicted using `arrow-pushing' diagrams which show this movement as a sequence of arrows. We propose an electron path prediction model (ELECTRO) to learn these sequences directly from raw reaction …
METRO predicts reactions using minimal templates, reducing computational overhead and achieving state-of-the-art results.
problem Predicting possible reaction substrates for complex molecules from simpler precursors.
method METRO (Molecule-Edit Templates for RetrOsynthesis) uses minimal templates to predict reactions efficiently and accurately.
result METRO achieves state-of-the-art results on standard benchmarks, reducing computational overhead.
Chemical networks outperform spiking neural networks in classification tasks.
problem Learning tasks with spiking neural networks require hidden layers, which are computationally expensive.
method Used deterministic mass-action kinetics to prove chemical reaction networks without hidden layers can solve tasks previously solved by spiking neural networks.
result A chemical reaction network without hidden layers outperforms a spiking neural network with hidden layers in a handwritten digit classification task.
Bayesian inference for biochemical reaction networks using jump-diffusion approximations.
problem Estimating hidden quantities in poorly characterized biochemical processes.
method Developed a Bayesian inference algorithm based on Markov chain Monte Carlo and sequential Monte Carlo methods.
result Numerical evaluation of the algorithm for a partially observed multi-scale birth-death process.
Anomalous impact in reaction-diffusion modelscond-mat.stat-mech
We generalize the reaction-diffusion model A + B -> 0 in order to study the impact of an excess of A (or B) at the reaction front. We provide an exact solution of the model, which shows that linear response breaks down: the average displacement of the reaction front grows as the square-root of the imbalance. We argue t…
This paper uses LLMs to improve equity stock ratings by ingesting diverse financial and news data.
problem Challenges in traditional stock rating methods, including data overload, inconsistencies, and delayed reactions.
method Application of LLMs to generate multi-horizon stock ratings using various datasets.
result LLMs enhance the accuracy and consistency of stock ratings, outperforming traditional methods in forward returns.
Macro-players in stock marketsphysics.soc-ph
It is usually assumed that stock prices reflect a balance between large numbers of small individual sellers and buyers. However, over the past fifty years mutual funds and other institutional shareholders have assumed an ever increasing part of stock transactions: their assets, as a percentage of GDP, have been multipl…
In this paper, we study the dynamics of absolute return, trading volume and bid-ask spread after the trading halts using high-frequency data from the Shanghai Stock Exchange. We deal with all three types of trading halts, namely intraday halts, one-day halts and inter-day halts, of 203 stocks in Shanghai Stock Exchange…
The prediction of organic reaction outcomes is a fundamental problem in computational chemistry. Since a reaction may involve hundreds of atoms, fully exploring the space of possible transformations is intractable. The current solution utilizes reaction templates to limit the space, but it suffers from coverage and eff…
Study examines tech stocks' reactions to Facebook data leak scandal.
problem Impact of Facebook data leak scandal on U.S. tech stocks.
method Clustering method to identify related companies, CAR to measure impact.
result Overall tech sector showed no adverse impact, but Facebook's performance was negatively affected.
New method uses machine learning to analyze catalyst reactions.
problem Understanding complex reaction mechanisms in catalytic materials.
method Combining transient kinetics and machine learning.
result Correct estimates of micro-kinetic coefficients and mechanism.
The growing ubiquity of Social Media data offers an attractive perspective for improving the quality of machine learning-based models in several fields, ranging from Computer Vision to Natural Language Processing. In this paper we focus on Facebook posts paired with reactions of multiple users, and we investigate their…
Reaction prediction remains one of the major challenges for organic chemistry, and is a pre-requisite for efficient synthetic planning. It is desirable to develop algorithms that, like humans, "learn" from being exposed to examples of the application of the rules of organic chemistry. We explore the use of neural netwo…
Study the singular limit of a boundary reaction equation, showing energy concentration and varifold support.
problem Analyzing the singular limit of a boundary reaction equation.
method Investigates the critical points of the boundary reaction equation \((-Δ)^{\frac{1}{2}}u = \frac{1}{\varepsilon}(u-u^3)\) in \(U \subset \mathbb{R}^n\).
result Shows existence of an -rectifiable energy concentration set and associates limit energy measures to a stationary varifold.
Hopfield networks improve reaction template prediction for few/zero-shot scenarios.
problem Predicting reaction templates for new molecules in CASP.
method Adapted Hopfield networks to associate reaction templates, molecules, and structural information.
result Significantly improved performance for templates with few or zero training examples.
The study reveals asymmetries in US financial shocks' international impacts.
problem Analyzing nonlinearities in international financial spillovers.
method Developed a flexible nonlinear multi-country model to capture asymmetries in responses to financial shocks.
result Adverse shocks trigger stronger declines in output, inflation, and stock markets than benign shocks.
Evology models US equity mutual funds interactions for investment strategies.
problem Understanding complex interactions in financial markets.
method Agent-based model (ABM) of US stock market participants and their strategies.
result Trading strategies interact with other market participants and conditions.
Reactmine: a statistical search algorithm for inferring chemical reactions from time series dataq-bio.QM
Reactmine infers chemical reactions from time series data, overcoming sparse model limitations.
problem Inferring chemical reaction networks from time series data, especially when initial conditions are not varied.
method Sequential reaction inference in a search tree, ranking and re-optimizing kinetics.
result Reactmine successfully infers preponderant regulations in real datasets, matching model-based analyses.
Computer-assisted synthesis planning aims to help chemists find better reaction pathways faster. Finding viable and short pathways from sugar molecules to value-added chemicals can be modeled as a retrosynthesis planning problem with a catalyst allowed. This is a crucial step in efficient biomass conversion. The tradit…
Global solutions and smoothing effects for reaction-diffusion equations on manifolds.
problem Global existence and smoothing effects for reaction-diffusion equations on Riemannian manifolds.
method Functional analytic methods, Sobolev and Poincaré inequalities.
result Existence of global solutions under certain conditions on the manifold.
The paper analyzes strategic irreversible investments with novel dynamic strategies.
problem Tradeoff between preemption incentives and option value of waiting in oligopolistic markets.
method Developed novel Markov perfect equilibrium to handle singular control of optimal investment.
result Simpler strategies lead to a 'preemption trap' with zero net present values.
New model predicts chemical reactions with conditional graph logic networks.
problem Predicting chemical reactions for synthesizing molecules.
method Conditional Graph Logic Network (CGLN) based on graph neural networks.
result Significant improvement of 8.1% over state-of-the-art methods.