A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study shows demonetization strengthened Indian currency and stock market.
This paper uses LLMs to improve equity stock ratings by ingesting diverse financial and news data.
Atlas-type models are constant-parameter models of uncorrelated stocks for equity markets with a stable capital distribution, in which the growth rates and variances depend on rank. The simplest such model assigns the same, constant variance to all stocks; zero rate of growth to all stocks but the smallest; and positiv…
In this paper we propose a new model for pricing stock and dividend derivatives. We jointly specify dynamics for the stock price and the dividend rate such that the stock price is positive and the dividend rate non-negative. In its simplest form, the model features a dividend rate that is mean-reverting around a consta…
The detection of community structure in stock market is of theoretical and practical significance for the study of financial dynamics and portfolio risk estimation. We here study the community structures in Chinese stock markets from the aspects of both price returns and turnover rates, by using a combination of the PM…
This study shows how monetary uncertainty affects stock market reactions to macroeconomic news.
Study introduces new methods to estimate stock return rates.
The optimal strategies for a long-term static investor are studied. Given a portfolio of a stock and a bond, we derive the optimal allocation of the capitols to maximize the expected long-term growth rate of a utility function of the wealth. When the bond has constant interest rate, three models for the underlying stoc…
We studied non-dynamical stochastic resonance for the number of trades in the stock market. The trade arrival rate presents a deterministic pattern that can be modeled by a cosine function perturbed by noise. Due to the nonlinear relationship between the rate and the observed number of trades, the noise can either enha…
Extends BBSM model to incorporate ESG ratings and path dynamics.
We provided an analytical representation of the price of a barrier option with one type of special moving barrier. We consider the case that risk free rate, dividend rate and stock volatility are time dependent. We get a pricing formula and put call parity for barrier option when the moving barrier has a special relati…
We consider a multi-stock continuous time incomplete market model with random coefficients. We study the investment problem in the class of strategies which do not use direct observations of the appreciation rates of the stocks, but rather use historical stock prices and an a priory given distribution of the appreciati…
We present a finite-dimensional version of the quantum model for the stock market proposed in [C. Zhang and L. Huang, A quantum model for the stock market, Physica A 389(2010) 5769]. Our approach is an attempt to make this model consistent with the discrete nature of the stock price and is based on the mathematical for…
Dividend discount models have been developed in a deterministic setting. Some authors (Hurley and Johnson, 1994 and 1998; Yao, 1997) have introduced randomness in terms of stochastic growth rates, delivering closed-form expressions for the expected value of stock prices. This paper extends such previous results by dete…
Study examines how BRICS nations' economies respond to COVID-19.
We extend the fundamental theorem of asset pricing to a model where the risky stock is subject to proportional transaction costs in the form of bid-ask spreads and the bank account has different interest rates for borrowing and lending. We show that such a model is free of arbitrage if and only if one can embed in it a…
The p-index improves investment performance for NYSE stocks but not for SSE stocks.
In this paper we provide a general solution for the dividend discount model in order to compute the intrinsic value of a common stock that allows for multiple stage growth rates of any predetermined number of periods. A mathematical proof is provided for the suggested general solution. A numerical application is also p…
We construct continuous-time equilibrium models based on a finite number of exponential utility investors. The investors' income rates as well as the stock's dividend rate are governed by discontinuous Levy processes. Our main result provides the equilibrium (i.e., bond and stock price dynamics) in closed-form. As an a…
We examine the relationship between trading volumes, number of transactions, and volatility using daily stock data of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Following the mixture of distributions hypothesis, we use trading volumes and the number of transactions as proxy for the rate of information arrivals affecting stock volatilit…
The paper analyzes how ESG investors can prioritize green stocks without sacrificing overall wealth.
Models predict stock returns from high-frequency data for better investment.
Study shows COVID-19 cases increase stock market volatility in Pakistan.
p-index approach shows efficient-contrarian strategy outperforms others in low-sentiment periods
In a stock market, the numeraire portfolio, if it exists, is the portfolio with the highest expected logarithmic growth rate at all times. A numeraire market is a stock market for which the market portfolio is the numeraire portfolio. We study open markets, markets comprising the higher capitalization stocks within a b…
There is convincing evidence showing that the probability distributions of stock returns in mature markets exhibit power-law tails and both the positive and negative tails conform to the inverse cubic law. It supports the possibility that the tail exponents are universal at least for mature markets in the sense that th…
Using a recently introduced method to quantify the time varying lead-lag dependencies between pairs of economic time series (the thermal optimal path method), we test two fundamental tenets of the theory of fixed income: (i) the stock market variations and the yield changes should be anti-correlated; (ii) the change in…
Paper compares stock price prediction models using Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion.
The distribution of price returns for a class of uncorrelated diffusive dynamics is considered. The basic assumptions are (1) that there is a "consensus" value associated with a stock, and (2) that the rate of diffusion depends on the deviation of the stock price from the consensus value. We find an analytical expressi…
This paper examines SVB's failure and its impact on bank stocks.
This study analyzes factors affecting China's stock market volatility.
Study examines how COVID-19 affected India's exchange rates and stock market.
Quantum computing speeds up interest rate derivative pricing using LMM.
This paper works out fair values of stock loan model with automatic termination clause, cap and margin. This stock loan is treated as a generalized perpetual American option with possibly negative interest rate and some constraints. Since it helps a bank to control the risk, the banks charge less service fees compared …
The article presents calculations that prove practical importance of the earlier derived theoretical relationship between the interest rate on the interbank credit market, volume of investment and the quantity of securities tradable on the stock exchange.
We propose and study a simple model of dynamical redistribution of capital in a diversified portfolio. We consider a hypothetical situation of a portfolio composed of N uncorrelated stocks. Each stock price follows a multiplicative random walk with identical drift and dispersion. The rules of our model naturally give r…
Modeling stock returns and volatility using a bivariate gamma generalized Laplace law.
A deep learning strategy outperforms traditional methods in stocks portfolio management.
Deriving the optimal safety stock quantity with which to meet customer satisfaction is one of the most important topics in stock management. However, it is difficult to control the stock management of correlated marketable merchandise when using an inventory control method that was developed under the assumption that t…
Dynamic pricing model considers ambiguity in endowment growth rate.
In this empirical paper we show that in the months following a crash there is a distinct connection between the fall of stock prices and the increase in the range of interest rates for a sample of bonds. This variable, which is often referred to as the interest rate spread variable, can be considered as a statistical m…
We extend the framework of trading strategies of Gatheral [2010] from single stocks to a pair of stocks. Our trading strategy with the executions of two round-trip trades can be described by the trading rates of the paired stocks and the ratio of their trading periods. By minimizing the potential cost arising from cros…
Study finds financial YouTube channel 3PROTV predicts stock market performance and sentiment changes.
In many professons employees are rewarded according to their relative performance. Corresponding economy can be modeled by taking independent agents who gain from the market with a rate which depends on their current gain. We argue that this simple realistic rate generates a scale free distribution even though intr…
Beginning with several basic hypotheses of quantum mechanics, we give a new quantum model in econophysics. In this model, we define wave functions and operators of the stock market to establish the Schrödinger equation for the stock price. Based on this theoretical framework, an example of a driven infinite quantum wel…
Among other macroeconomic indicators, the monthly release of U.S. unemployment rate figures in the Employment Situation report by the U.S. Bureau of Labour Statistics gets a lot of media attention and strongly affects the stock markets. I investigate whether a profitable investment strategy can be constructed by predic…
We study the behavior of the critical price of an American put option near maturity in the exponential Lévy model when the underlying stock pays dividends at a continuous rate. In particular, we prove that, in situations where the limit of the critical price is equal to the stock price, the rate of convergence to the l…
We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random walk (CTRW) framework. The probability distribution of the stock price changes (log…