We investigated the topological properties of stock networks through a comparison of the original stock network with the estimated stock network from the correlation matrix created by the random matrix theory (RMT). We used individual stocks traded on the market indices of Korea, Japan, Canada, the USA, Italy, and the …
Network analysis improves stock return forecasting.
problem Improving stock return forecasting using network properties.
method Network analysis of stock return correlations, using individual and global properties of stocks.
result 50% improvement in R2 score for long-term stock returns forecasting, 3% for short-term.
Study news networks to predict stock returns.
problem Predicting cross-sectional stock returns using news networks.
method Constructed time-varying directed networks of S&P500 stocks from 1 million news articles, identified stock tickers using an algorithm, and tested for comovement and reversal effects.
result News network attention proxy, network degree, predicts monthly stock returns robustly.
This paper uses neural networks to predict stock prices more accurately.
problem Current stock analysis methods are inaccurate.
method Dynamic neural networks to identify stock price patterns.
result Neural networks outperform traditional stock analysis methods.
The stock market has been known to form homogeneous stock groups with a higher correlation among different stocks according to common economic factors that influence individual stocks. We investigate the role of common economic factors in the market in the formation of stock networks, using the arbitrage pricing model …
Stock market prediction is still a challenging problem because there are many factors effect to the stock market price such as company news and performance, industry performance, investor sentiment, social media sentiment and economic factors. This work explores the predictability in the stock market using Deep Convolu…
Paper uses HGNN to predict stock types from relationships and temporal data.
problem Predicting stock types from complex market data.
method Integrates stock relationships and temporal data using HGNN.
result Effective prediction of stock types with HGNN model.
The study examines network analysis for predicting stock market performance.
problem Understanding lead-lag relationships in the NYSE.
method Network analysis of the NYSE to identify lead-lag effects.
result Network analysis reveals valuable insights for investors and analysts.
Development of stock networks is an important approach to explore the relationship between different stocks in the era of big-data. Although a number of methods have been designed to construct the stock correlation networks, it is still a challenge to balance the selection of prominent correlations and connectivity of …
Stock networks, constructed from stock price time series, are a well-established tool for the characterization of complex behavior in stock markets. Following Mantegna's seminal paper, the linear Pearson's correlation coefficient between pairs of stocks has been the usual way to determine network edges. Recently, possi…
GCNET predicts stock price movements using graph convolutional networks.
problem Predicting stock price movements using interrelated stocks data.
method GCNET models stock relations as an influence network, uses graph convolutional networks for prediction.
result GCNET significantly improves prediction accuracy and MCC measures.
In this study, we have investigated factors of determination which can affect the connected structure of a stock network. The representative index for topological properties of a stock network is the number of links with other stocks. We used the multi-factor model, extensively acknowledged in financial literature. In …
Study shows sudden loss of balance in stock market networks after 2011, reducing predictability.
problem Reduced predictability in stock markets due to structural changes.
method Rank correlations and weighted signed networks to analyze interconnectivity and balance.
result Sudden loss of balance in stock market networks after 2011, leading to decreased predictability.
We follow the main stocks belonging to the New York Stock Exchange and to Nasdaq from 2003 to 2012, through years of normality and of crisis, and study the dynamics of networks built on two measures expressing relations between those stocks: correlation, which is symmetric and measures how similar two stocks behave, an…
GRU-PFG model extracts inter-stock correlations from stock factors using graph neural networks.
problem Limited effectiveness of models relying solely on stock factors for capturing stock correlations.
method Project stock factors into a graph and use graph neural networks to extract inter-stock correlations.
result Achieves better prediction results than models relying solely on stock factors and comparable to second category models.
Study the Mexican stock market's interdependency structure from 2000-2019.
problem Characterize the interdependency structure of the Mexican Stock Exchange.
method Estimate correlation/concentration matrices from different models and compute network theory metrics.
result Visualizations provide a comprehensive overview of the stock market's interdependency structure.
Manipulation is an important issue for both developed and emerging stock markets. For the study of manipulation, it is critical to analyze investor behavior in the stock market. In this paper, an analysis of the full transaction records of over a hundred stocks in a one-year period is conducted. For each stock, a tradi…
This study uses local Gaussian correlation to analyze stock return tails, revealing more sensitive network properties.
problem Misleading results from Pearson correlation in financial networks.
method Local Gaussian correlation coefficient for capturing nonlinear dependence and heavy-tailed distributions.
result Local Gaussian correlation network among negative tails is more sensitive to stock market risks.
Paper uses AI to predict stock market volatility with neural networks and genetic algorithms.
problem Traditional methods for predicting stock market volatility have high errors.
method Back-propagation neural network and genetic algorithm integrated model.
result The model predicts future volatility with low errors and high accuracy.
Quantum neural network and tensor network models outperform classical models in Japanese stock market predictions.
problem Improving stock return predictions using quantum and quantum-inspired machine learning.
method Evaluation of quantum neural network and tensor network models against classical models like linear and neural networks.
result Tensor network model outperforms classical models in Japanese stock market, including linear and neural network models.
Although the threshold network is one of the most used tools to characterize the underlying structure of a stock market, the identification of the optimal threshold to construct a reliable stock network remains challenging. In this paper, the concept of dynamic consistence between the threshold network and the stock ma…
The paper finds stocks with higher dynamic network risk have lower returns.
problem Understanding and pricing short-term and long-term dynamic network risk in stock returns.
method Examined the relationship between stock sensitivities to dynamic network risk and expected returns, using economic theory and empirical analysis.
result A one-standard deviation increase in long-term network risk loadings associates with a 7.66% drop in annualized expected returns.
Complex network analysis reveals dominant stocks in financial stock returns correlations.
problem Inferring financial stock returns correlations from complex network analysis.
method Simulated geometric Brownian motion for stocks, complex network analysis, eigenvector centrality, clustering.
result Returns correlation matrix is dominated by stocks with high eigenvector centrality and clustering.
Traders in a stock market exchange stock shares and form a stock trading network. Trades at different positions of the stock trading network may contain different information. We construct stock trading networks based on the limit order book data and classify traders into k classes using the k-shell decomposition m…
Predicting the prices of stocks at any stock market remains a quest for many investors and researchers. Those who trade at the stock market tend to use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in their predictions. These methods usually guide on trends and not the exact likely prices. It is for this reason that A…
Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network framework to characterize the time-evolving correlation-based networks of stock…
Paper proposes HGTAN for better stock trend prediction.
problem Predicting stock price trends is challenging and crucial for investors.
method Temporal-relational hypergraph tri-attention network (HGTAN).
result HGTAN outperforms existing methods in stock trend prediction.
Study optimizes stock portfolios using network analysis and forecasting.
problem Optimizing stock portfolios with network analysis and forecasting.
method Constructs dependency networks using VAR and FEVD, applies MST algorithm, and incorporates ARIMA and NNAR forecasts.
result MST-based strategies outperform buy-and-hold benchmarks, achieving higher returns.
The validity of the Efficient Market Hypothesis has been under severe scrutiny since several decades. However, the evidence against it is not conclusive. Artificial Neural Networks provide a model-free means to analize the prediction power of past returns on current returns. This chapter analizes the predictability in …
Predict stock movement by considering cross effects among stocks.
problem Challenges in predicting stock price movement due to cross effects among stocks.
method Multi-GCGRU framework combining GCN and GRU, encoding cross effects from financial domain knowledge and data-driven relationships.
result Our model outperforms other baselines in predicting stock movement.
Stock prediction aims to predict the future trends of a stock in order to help investors to make good investment decisions. Traditional solutions for stock prediction are based on time-series models. With the recent success of deep neural networks in modeling sequential data, deep learning has become a promising choice…
Many studies have been undertaken by using machine learning techniques, including neural networks, to predict stock returns. Recently, a method known as deep learning, which achieves high performance mainly in image recognition and speech recognition, has attracted attention in the machine learning field. This paper im…
SAMBA predicts stock returns efficiently using Mamba and graph neural networks.
problem Accurate stock price predictions for financial returns.
method SAMBA integrates Mamba architecture with graph neural networks to achieve near-linear computational complexity.
result SAMBA significantly outperforms state-of-the-art models in prediction accuracy.
Survey on deep learning methods for stock market prediction.
problem Lack of comprehensive survey on deep learning methods for stock market prediction.
method Propose a novel taxonomy summarizing state-of-the-art models based on deep neural networks.
result Provide detailed statistics on datasets and evaluation metrics.
Study shows stock market efficiency varies over time and can be networked.
problem Understanding the dynamic and collective aspects of stock market efficiency.
method Defined and calculated time-varying efficiency using permutation entropy of log-returns.
result Major world stock markets can be hierarchically classified into groups with similar efficiency profiles, but these rankings are unstable.
The study uses financial events to predict stock market movements.
problem Predicting stock market movements using financial events.
method Combined event extraction method, BERT/ALBERT enhanced event representation, and extended hierarchical attention network.
result Significantly better accuracies and higher simulated returns compared to state-of-the-art models.
The study shows portfolios based on core-periphery stock structure outperform traditional strategies.
problem Optimizing stock portfolios using mesoscale structures.
method Constructing portfolios based on the core-periphery profile of stocks from Pearson correlations.
result Portfolios based on the core-periphery profile of stocks outperform traditional strategies.
Stock selection improved with a novel neural model capturing continuous stock dynamics.
problem Lack of continuous stock dynamics prediction and implicit cross-domain dependencies.
method StockODE, a latent variable model with NRODEs and hierarchical hypergraph for continuous stock volatility and inter-domain dependencies.
result Significantly outperforms baselines, improving Sharpe Ratio by up to 18.57%.
This paper uses CNN-LSTM to predict stock market performance.
problem Predicting stock market performance is challenging due to changing prices and lack of advanced libraries.
method Developed a CNN-LSTM Neural Network model to track stock data patterns and predict future performance.
result The CNN-LSTM model outperformed other models in predicting stock market performance.
Graph Neural Network improves volatility forecasting for 500 S&P stocks.
problem Forecasting short-term realized volatility in a multivariate setting.
method Graph Transformer Network for Volatility Forecasting.
result Our model outperforms benchmarks on 500 S&P stocks.
DanSmp predicts stock movement using a hybrid-relational MKG and dual attention networks.
problem Predicting stock price trends in volatile financial markets.
method Constructs a bi-typed MKG with hybrid-relations and uses DanSmp, a dual attention network, to learn momentum spillover signals.
result DanSmp improves stock prediction accuracy using the MKG.
LSTM model predicts stock prices with high accuracy in stable sectors but struggles with volatile ones.
problem Predicting stock prices in emerging markets with limited data.
method Developed and evaluated an LSTM network on historical OHLCV data and technical indicators.
result Strong predictive performance (R2>0.87) for stable sectors, but challenges for volatile ones. Study reveals how illiquidity network signals Chinese stock market crashes.
problem Understanding and predicting Chinese stock market crashes.
method Established an illiquidity network to model market dynamics.
result Market crashes are preceded by a more densely connected illiquidity network.
H-GAT improves stock selection by capturing complex higher-order stock relations and integrating both technical and fundamental analysis.
problem Stock selection difficulty and lack of comprehensive analysis.
method Higher-order Graph Attention Network (H-GAT) that incorporates both technical and fundamental analysis.
result H-GAT outperforms existing methods in stock selection metrics.
We applied Deep Q-Network with a Convolutional Neural Network function approximator, which takes stock chart images as input, for making global stock market predictions. Our model not only yields profit in the stock market of the country where it was trained but generally yields profit in global stock markets. We train…
Deep RL applied for Indian stock trading strategies.
problem Designing profitable trading strategies for Indian stock markets.
method Applied deep reinforcement learning to ten Indian stock datasets.
result Models' performance compared and evaluated.
This paper introduces anti-correlation networks to study China's stock market.
problem Previous studies ignored anti-correlation in financial networks.
method Constructed weighted temporal anti-correlation and positive correlation networks.
result Unveiled differences in topological measurements between anti-correlation and positive correlation networks.
In this paper we analyse the structure of Warsaw's stock market using complex systems methodology together with network science and information theory. We find minimal spanning trees for log returns on Warsaw's stock exchange for yearly times series between 2000 and 2013. For each stock in those trees we calculate its …