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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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143286429572 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for stock market prediction

Study introduces TeMoP model for better stock market predictions.

problem Decreasing prediction errors and robustness across datasets in machine learning models.
method Probabilistic multiple lag order model based on trend encoding.
result TeMoP model outperforms machine learning models in accuracy and stability across different stock indexes.

Cubic predicts stock market indices by fusing stock latent embeddings and converting to binary classification.

problem Challenges in predicting stock market indices due to isolated time series treatment and simple regression.
method Fusion of stock latent embeddings, binary encoding classification, and confidence-guided prediction.
result Cubic outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in stock index prediction tasks.

China's stock market is the largest emerging market all over the world. It is widely accepted that the Chinese stock market is far from efficiency and it possesses possible linear and nonlinear dependence. We study the predictability of returns in the Chinese stock market by employing the wild bootstrap automatic varia…

2016-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

BERTopic enhances stock market prediction by analyzing sentiment in topic models.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using sentiment analysis.
method Employed BERTopic for sentiment analysis of stock market comments integrated with deep learning models.
result Enhanced model performance through topic sentiment integration.

This paper evaluates random forest models for predicting stock price trends.

problem Predicting stock price trends to assist investors in making informed decisions.
method Random forest models combined with artificial intelligence, using optimal parameters.
result Random forest models show better predictive performance and time efficiency.

AI models predict stock trends using historical data and public sentiment.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy using AI.
method Employed regression and classification ML algorithms for technical and fundamental analysis respectively.
result Median performance suggests AI is not yet superior to stock markets.

Paper uses AI to predict stock market volatility with neural networks and genetic algorithms.

problem Traditional methods for predicting stock market volatility have high errors.
method Back-propagation neural network and genetic algorithm integrated model.
result The model predicts future volatility with low errors and high accuracy.

Transformer model predicts stock prices in Bangladesh's stock market.

problem Predicting volatile stock prices in the Bangladesh stock market.
method Transformer model applied to time series data for stock price prediction.
result Transformer model shows promising results in predicting stock price movements.

Study finds financial YouTube channel 3PROTV predicts stock market performance and sentiment changes.

problem Determining the informational value of financial YouTube channels.
method Analyzing 3PROTV's content and its impact on stock market performance and sentiment.
result 3PROTV's content, particularly negative sentiment, predicts stock market performance and sentiment changes.

This research predicts stock market movements using Vision-Language models.

problem Predicting future stock market direction using historical data.
method Utilizing image and byte-based representations of stock data processed with Vision-Language models.
result The proposed approach significantly outperforms deep learning baselines.

This paper uses CNN-LSTM to predict stock market performance.

problem Predicting stock market performance is challenging due to changing prices and lack of advanced libraries.
method Developed a CNN-LSTM Neural Network model to track stock data patterns and predict future performance.
result The CNN-LSTM model outperformed other models in predicting stock market performance.

Proposes using diffusion models for probabilistic stock market predictions.

problem Uncertainties in financial data make deterministic models ineffective for stock market predictions.
method Utilizes Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPM) and Masked Relational Transformer (MRT).
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in stock movement prediction and portfolio management.

DanSmp predicts stock movement using a hybrid-relational MKG and dual attention networks.

problem Predicting stock price trends in volatile financial markets.
method Constructs a bi-typed MKG with hybrid-relations and uses DanSmp, a dual attention network, to learn momentum spillover signals.
result DanSmp improves stock prediction accuracy using the MKG.

The study evaluates nine machine learning regressors for predicting NASDAQ stock opening prices.

problem Predicting stock market opening prices for profitable trading strategies.
method Nine different machine learning regressors were applied to NASDAQ stock market data.
result The study found that certain regressors outperform others in predicting stock opening prices.

Paper predicts stock market values using machine learning.

problem Predicting stock market values for Tehran stock exchange groups.
method Used machine learning algorithms including Decision Tree, Bagging, Random Forest, Adaptive Boosting, Gradient Boosting, XGBoost, Artificial neural network, Recurrent Neural Network, and Long short-term memory (LSTM).
result LSTM shows highest accuracy among all algorithms tested.

Study improves early warning models for currency and stock market crises.

problem Predicting currency and stock market crises.
method Synthetic review and comparison of early warning models, focusing on crisis identifications and predictive models.
result SWARCH model with elastic thresholding methodology most accurately classifies crisis observations.

This paper analyzes stock market data to predict share prices using regression models.

problem Predicting stock prices in the share market of Bangladesh.
method Thorough linear regression analysis on Dhaka Stock Exchange data, compared with random forest.
result Random forest model performs better than linear regression for predicting stock prices.

Novel TM-vector model predicts stock market direction using Twitter and market data.

problem Challenging stock market forecasting with equal or ignored user effects.
method TM-vector trained with Twitter features and market information, using IndRNN.
result Significant accuracy in predicting stock market direction, especially for Apple.

Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.

problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.

This paper uses deep learning to analyze sentiment in financial forums and improve stock market prediction.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy through sentiment analysis.
method Crawling financial forum data, training BERT model on financial corpus, and using maximum information coefficient.
result Sentiment features from financial text can reflect stock market fluctuations and improve prediction accuracy.

DGRCL integrates dynamic and static graph relations for financial market prediction.

problem Capturing the evolving nature of stock markets while considering both temporal changes and static relational structures.
method Dynamic Graph Representation with Contrastive Learning (DGRCL) framework, including Embedding Enhancement (EE) and Contrastive Constrained Training (CCT) modules.
result DGRCL significantly outperforms state-of-the-art TGL baselines on NASDAQ and NYSE datasets.

RAGIC predicts stock intervals with risk considerations, improving prediction accuracy and coverage.

problem Limited success in predicting stock market outcomes due to stochastic nature and risk oversight.
method RAGIC uses a GAN with a risk module and temporal module to generate risk-sensitive stock intervals.
result RAGIC achieves a consistent 95% coverage with narrow interval widths, balancing accuracy and risk.

Taureau uses Twitter sentiment analysis to predict stock market movement.

problem Predicting stock market movement using public opinion on Twitter.
method Obtained historical tweets, filtered and labeled, generated word embeddings, assessed sentiment scores, correlated with stock price movement, designed and evaluated predictive model.
result Taureau can predict stock price movement from lagged sentiment scores.

This paper combines a node transformer with BERT sentiment analysis for more accurate stock market predictions.

problem Challenges in predicting stock markets due to noise, non-stationarity, and behavioral dynamics.
method Integrates a node transformer architecture with BERT sentiment analysis to forecast stock prices.
result The integrated model reduces prediction error by 10% overall and 25% during earnings announcements.

This study uses deep learning to analyze stock market sentiment from financial forums.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy through emotional analysis.
method Crawling financial forum data, training Bert model on financial corpus, using MIC for comparison.
result BERT model's emotional analysis of financial texts correlates with stock market fluctuations.

LSTM model predicts stock prices with high accuracy in stable sectors but struggles with volatile ones.

problem Predicting stock prices in emerging markets with limited data.
method Developed and evaluated an LSTM network on historical OHLCV data and technical indicators.
result Strong predictive performance (R2>0.87R^2 > 0.87) for stable sectors, but challenges for volatile ones.

IndexGAN predicts stock trends using GAN with expert knowledge and news context.

problem Inaccurate stock prediction due to market complexity and limitations of existing GANs.
method Wasserstein GAN framework for multi-step prediction, incorporating news context and market sentiment.
result Superior performance on real-world broad-based indices compared to state-of-the-art baselines.