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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for stock graph

Graph-based approach predicts stock trends using dynamic multi-relational graphs.

problem Predicting future stock movements in complex, time-evolving stock relationships.
method Dynamic multi-relational stock graphs, stochastic diffusion process, parallel retention.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in stock trend forecasting.

GCNET predicts stock price movements using graph convolutional networks.

problem Predicting stock price movements using interrelated stocks data.
method GCNET models stock relations as an influence network, uses graph convolutional networks for prediction.
result GCNET significantly improves prediction accuracy and MCC measures.

New method evaluates financial graphs for stock trend forecasting.

problem Lack of dynamic stock relationship graphs and evaluation methods.
method SPNews dataset and novel evaluation methods independent of downstream tasks.
result Evaluation methods can differentiate between various financial relationship graphs.

MDGNN predicts stock prices by capturing multifaceted relations over time.

problem Challenges in predicting stock prices due to dynamic and intricate relations.
method MDGNN uses a discrete dynamic graph and Transformer structure to capture multifaceted relations and temporal evolution.
result MDGNN achieves the best performance in public datasets compared to SOTA methods.

Model forecasts global stock market volatility using dynamic graphs and all trading days.

problem Enhance forecasting accuracy and practical utility in global stock market volatility.
method Spatial-temporal graph neural network architecture to capture volatility spillover effect.
result Forecasting performance surpasses baseline models in all scenarios.

GRU-PFG model extracts inter-stock correlations from stock factors using graph neural networks.

problem Limited effectiveness of models relying solely on stock factors for capturing stock correlations.
method Project stock factors into a graph and use graph neural networks to extract inter-stock correlations.
result Achieves better prediction results than models relying solely on stock factors and comparable to second category models.

Predict stock movement by considering cross effects among stocks.

problem Challenges in predicting stock price movement due to cross effects among stocks.
method Multi-GCGRU framework combining GCN and GRU, encoding cross effects from financial domain knowledge and data-driven relationships.
result Our model outperforms other baselines in predicting stock movement.

DGRCL integrates dynamic and static graph relations for financial market prediction.

problem Capturing the evolving nature of stock markets while considering both temporal changes and static relational structures.
method Dynamic Graph Representation with Contrastive Learning (DGRCL) framework, including Embedding Enhancement (EE) and Contrastive Constrained Training (CCT) modules.
result DGRCL significantly outperforms state-of-the-art TGL baselines on NASDAQ and NYSE datasets.

Survey of methods to incorporate external knowledge into stock price prediction.

problem Challenges in predicting stock prices due to market volatility and non-linearity.
method Survey of methods for acquiring and incorporating external knowledge into stock price prediction models.
result Systematic synthesis of previous studies on external knowledge types and their application in stock price prediction.

NGAT predicts long-term stock trends using graph attention networks.

problem Lack of effective corporate relationship graph comparison methods and model complexity in stock prediction.
method Developed a Node-level Graph Attention Network (NGAT) for corporate relationship graphs.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of NGAT across two datasets.

H-GAT improves stock selection by capturing complex higher-order stock relations and integrating both technical and fundamental analysis.

problem Stock selection difficulty and lack of comprehensive analysis.
method Higher-order Graph Attention Network (H-GAT) that incorporates both technical and fundamental analysis.
result H-GAT outperforms existing methods in stock selection metrics.

How can graph theory be applied to investing in the stock market? The answer may help investors realize the true risks of their investments, help prevent recessions like that of 2008, and increase financial literacy amongst students. Using several original Python programs, we take a correlation matrix with correlations…

2019-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

SAMBA predicts stock returns efficiently using Mamba and graph neural networks.

problem Accurate stock price predictions for financial returns.
method SAMBA integrates Mamba architecture with graph neural networks to achieve near-linear computational complexity.
result SAMBA significantly outperforms state-of-the-art models in prediction accuracy.

I find a topological arrangement of stocks traded in a financial market which has associated a meaningful economic taxonomy. The topological space is a graph connecting the stocks of the portfolio analyzed. The graph is obtained starting from the matrix of correlation coefficient computed between all pairs of stocks of…

1998-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph auto-encoders predict stock market instability by measuring graph structure changes.

problem Forecasting stock market instability and volatility.
method Use graph auto-encoders to reconstruct graph structure and measure changes.
result Higher GAE reconstruction error correlates with higher volatility.

Game-theoretic model captures investor interactions for stock price forecasting.

problem Complex market dynamics driving stock price movements.
method Game-theoretic modeling of heterogeneous investor interactions in a dynamic graph structure.
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art stock price forecasting methods.

Proposes a hybrid model for stock market report classification using graph neural networks.

problem Lack of unified node embeddings for heterogeneous graphs in text datasets.
method Transductive hybrid approach combining unsupervised node representation learning and supervised node classification/edge prediction.
result Demonstrates the model's ability to classify stock market technical analysis reports.

Proposes a new method for big portfolio selection using graph-based conditional moments.

problem Challenges in selecting portfolios for thousands of stocks.
method Graph-based Conditional Moments (GRACE) method: learns quantiles, means, variances, skewness, and kurtosis of stock returns.
result Shows superior performance compared to competitors, especially in measures of conditional variance, skewness, and kurtosis.

DanSmp predicts stock movement using a hybrid-relational MKG and dual attention networks.

problem Predicting stock price trends in volatile financial markets.
method Constructs a bi-typed MKG with hybrid-relations and uses DanSmp, a dual attention network, to learn momentum spillover signals.
result DanSmp improves stock prediction accuracy using the MKG.

A new GNN model predicts stock trends by learning historical and future correlations.

problem Limited improvement in stock trend prediction models due to ignoring future patterns.
method DishFT-GNN framework that trains a teacher and student model to capture historical and future data correlations.
result State-of-the-art performance on real-world datasets.

A new framework predicts stock movements using news sentiment and relational data.

problem Predicting stock prices from textual information is challenging due to market uncertainty and natural language complexity.
method Multi-Graph Recurrent Network (MGRN) combining textual sentiment from financial news and relational data.
result The model outperforms benchmarks in predicting stock movements.

REST framework predicts stock trends by considering stock-specific and related-stock events.

problem Predicting stock trends using event information from news, social media, and discussion boards.
method REST framework addresses two main shortcomings of existing event-driven methods: stock-specific event influence and related-stock event influence.
result REST framework achieves higher investment returns compared to baselines.

Paper forecasts stock correlations using a hybrid model combining graph neural networks and transformers.

problem Improving stock correlation forecasts for better portfolio management.
method Hybrid model combining Transformer and graph attention networks for forecasting residual deviations from historical data.
result The hybrid model reduces correlation forecasting error compared to rolling-window estimates.

Proposes a graph-based approach for better stock prediction.

problem Long-range dependencies and chaotic property in stock prediction.
method Transforms time series into graphs, extracting structural information to resolve issues.
result Obtains the best performance among state-of-the-art benchmarks and highest cumulative profits in trading simulations.

FS-GCLSTM predicts stock returns by leveraging value-chain relationships.

problem Traditional time series models fail to capture complex interdependencies in modern markets.
method FS-GCLSTM integrates value-chain networks and graph convolutions to predict stock returns.
result FS-GCLSTM consistently delivers superior portfolio performance compared to traditional models.

We use the correlation matrix of stocks returns in order to create maps of the São Paulo Stock Exchange (BM&F-Bovespa), Brazil's main stock exchange. The data reffer to the year 2010, and the correlations between stock returns lead to the construction of a minimum spanning tree and of asset graphs with a variety of thr…

2011-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a methodology for clustering financial time series of stocks' returns, and a graphical set-up to quantify and visualise the evolution of these clusters through time. The proposed graphical representation allows for the application of well known algorithms for solving classical combinatorial graph problems, w…

2011-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

NETpred uses graph models to predict multiple market indices.

problem Predicting multiple market indices with high accuracy.
method NETpred constructs a heterogeneous graph of related indices and stocks, selects representative nodes, and uses semi-supervised learning to predict index labels.
result NETpred outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 3%-5% in F-score on various datasets.

New model recommends stocks considering individual preferences and diversification.

problem Inaccurate stock price predictions and ignoring investment theories.
method Portfolio Temporal Graph Network Recommender (PfoTGNRec) incorporating diversification-enhancing sampling.
result PfoTGNRec outperforms state-of-the-art models in real-world data.

Develops a deep multi-factor model for factor investing with clear financial insights.

problem Lack of interpretability and unclear financial insights in non-linear factor models.
method Industry and market neutralization modules, graph attention modules, factor-attention module.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in factor investing with real-world stock market data.

Graph Ricci flow reveals hidden hierarchies in stock market correlations.

problem Detecting hidden structures in the complex stock market graph.
method Using graph Ricci curvature and flow techniques to analyze the NASDAQ 100 index.
result Algorithm detects hidden hierarchies, community behavior, and clustering in financial markets.

TCGPN improves stock forecasting by capturing temporal correlation patterns.

problem Stock forecasting with minimal periodicity and large node numbers.
method TCGPN uses Temporal-Correlation fusion encoder and pre-training methods to handle large datasets.
result TCGPN achieves state-of-the-art results on real stock market data.

In an illiquid stock, traders can collude and place orders on a predetermined price and quantity at a fixed schedule. This is usually done to manipulate the price of the stock or to create artificial liquidity in the stock, which may mislead genuine investors. Here, the problem is to identify such group of colluding tr…

2015-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗