A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Proposes a new model for stock and dividend derivatives pricing.
Mapping the economy to the some statistical physics models we get strong indications that, in contrary to the pure stock market, the stock market with derivatives could not self-regulate.
Deriving the optimal safety stock quantity with which to meet customer satisfaction is one of the most important topics in stock management. However, it is difficult to control the stock management of correlated marketable merchandise when using an inventory control method that was developed under the assumption that t…
Entropic framework models stock and option dynamics.
Warrants with stock price dependent threshold conditions give the right to buy specially issued stocks, if the performance of the stock price satisfies some requirements. Existence of these derivatives changes the price process of the underlying. We show that in the presence of such warrants one cannot assume that the …
We develop a trinomial tree model for pricing perpetual derivatives and European options.
The p-adic theory of the stock market is presented. It is shown that the price dynamics is very naturally described by the adelic function. The procedure of derivation of the functional integral formulation of adelic type is derived from microscopic models using generalized supercoherent states.
This paper examines the possibility of using derivative-implied risk premia to explain stock returns. The rapid development of derivative markets has led to the possibility of trading various kinds of risks, such as credit and interest rate risk, separately from each other. This paper uses credit default swaps and equi…
The paper develops methods to price and hedge options in path-dependent stock models.
We investigate the behavior of stocks in daily price-limited stock markets by purposing a quantum spatial-periodic harmonic model. The stock price is presumed to oscillate and damp in a quantum spatial-periodic harmonic oscillator potential well. Complicated non-linear relations including inter-band positive correlatio…
This paper studies the problem of maximizing expected utility from terminal wealth combining a static position in derivative securities, which we assume can be traded only at time zero, with a traditional dynamic trading strategy in stocks. We work in the framework of a general semi-martingale model and consider a util…
Improved price bounds for financial derivatives using time-homogeneous stock movements.
Paper uses AI to predict stock market volatility with neural networks and genetic algorithms.
The paper defines the time function of stock prices using a mathematical model.
We derive a "semi-analytic" solution for a stock loan in which the lender forces liquidation when the loan-to-collateral ratio drops beneath a certain threshold. We use this to study the sensitivity of the contract to model parameters.
Forecast stock return distributions using neural networks.
Develops a hybrid deep learning model for stock price prediction.
Modeling stock price fluctuations using Brownian motion and stochastic differential equations.
The article presents calculations that prove practical importance of the earlier derived theoretical relationship between the interest rate on the interbank credit market, volume of investment and the quantity of securities tradable on the stock exchange.
Estimates smooth functions and their derivatives from noisy data.
Stock correlations is crucial to asset pricing, investor decision-making, and financial risk regulations. However, microscopic explanation based on agent-based modeling is still lacking. We here propose a model derived from minority game for modeling stock correlations, in which an agent's expected return for one stock…
We consider the robust utility maximization using a static holding in derivatives and a dynamic holding in the stock. There is no fixed model for the price of the stock but we consider a set of probability measures (models) which are not necessarily dominated by a fixed probability measure. By assuming that the set of …
Model financial market with fundraiser and stock, derive option prices.
Quantum computing speeds up interest rate derivative pricing using LMM.
Study compares Indian derivatives markets and finds NSE outperforming BSE.
Stock selection improved with a novel neural model capturing continuous stock dynamics.
This paper derives a portfolio decomposition formula when the agent maximizes utility of her wealth at some finite planning horizon. The financial market is complete and consists of multiple risky assets (stocks) plus a risk free asset. The stocks are modelled as exponential Brownian motions with drift and volatility b…
The paper uses LSTM to predict stock prices and analyzes sector profitability.
Enhanced stock market strategy using stress index and financial news sentiment analysis.
We derive a mesoscopic description of the behavior of a simple financial market where the agents can create their own portfolio between two investment alternatives: a stock and a bond. The model is derived starting from the Levy-Levy-Solomon microscopic model (Econ. Lett., 45, (1994), 103--111) using the methods of kin…
The optimal strategies for a long-term static investor are studied. Given a portfolio of a stock and a bond, we derive the optimal allocation of the capitols to maximize the expected long-term growth rate of a utility function of the wealth. When the bond has constant interest rate, three models for the underlying stoc…
BERTopic enhances stock market prediction by analyzing sentiment in topic models.
New model uses financial news to predict stock returns.
Study examines dynamic relationship between BRICS stocks and cryptocurrencies.
The aim of this work is to introduce a new stochastic volatility model for equity derivatives. To overcome some of the well-known problems of the Heston model, and more generally of the affine models, we define a new specification for the dynamics of the stock and its volatility. Within this framework we develop all th…
The paper adjusts stock and strike prices for dividends after maturity in stock call pricing.
Using tools from spectral analysis, singular and regular perturbation theory, we develop a systematic method for analytically computing the approximate price of a derivative-asset. The payoff of the derivative-asset may be path-dependent. Additionally, the process underlying the derivative may exhibit killing (i.e. jum…
This paper suggests that business cycles may be a manifestation of coupled real economy and stock market dynamics and describes a mechanism that can generate economic fluctuations consistent with observed business cycles. To this end, we seek to incorporate into the macroeconomic framework a dynamic stock market model …
The paper solves portfolio liquidation under transient price impact for 100 NASDAQ stocks.
In this study we prove the existence of statistical arbitrage opportunities in the Black-Scholes framework by considering trading strategies that consists of borrowing from the risk free rate and taking a long position in the stock until it hits a deterministic barrier level. We derive analytical formulas for the expec…
Study detects signal in financial stock correlations using phase-ordering kinetics.
This work focuses on the indifference pricing of American call option underlying a non-traded stock, which may be partially hedgeable by another traded stock. Under the exponential forward measure, the indifference price is formulated as a stochastic singular control problem. The value function is characterized as the …
We investigate the impact of capital gains taxes on optimal investment decisions in a quite simple model. Namely, we consider a risk neutral investor who owns one risky stock from which she assumes that it has a lower expected return than the riskless bank account and determine the optimal stopping time at which she se…
In the context of a Black-Scholes economy and with a no-arbitrage argument, we derive arbitrarily accurate lower and upper bounds for the value of European options on a stock paying a discrete dividend. Setting the option price error below the smallest monetary unity, both bounds coincide, and we obtain the exact value…
A new method for efficient option pricing using AR and MCS.
A new theory for pricing options of a stock is presented. It is based on the assumption that while successive variations in return are uncorrelated, the frequency with which a stock is traded depends on the value of the return. The solution to the Fokker-Planck equation is shown to be an asymmetric exponential distribu…
Study shows tweets about COVID-19 can predict stock market performance.
This paper extends SLS controllers to two stocks, proving the RPE property with cross-coupling.