Optimizes trading pairs of stocks to reduce cross-impact costs.
problem Minimizing costs from trades of one stock affecting another.
method Develops a strategy to minimize cross-impacts by optimizing trading rates and periods.
result An optimal trading strategy for stock pairs is found.
Modeling cross-impacts between stocks with a two-component price impact model.
problem Understanding cross-impacts between stocks in a correlated market.
method Introducing self- and cross-impact functions, modeling average cross-response functions, fixing impact function parameters, and quantifying time lag impacts.
result Cross- and self-correlators are connected with cross-responses, and time lag impacts are divided into temporary and permanent components.
Modeling trading costs for correlated instruments to improve execution strategies.
problem Incorrect estimation of liquidity and suboptimal execution strategies due to neglecting cross-impact effects.
method Extending the linear propagator model to the multivariate case for correlated instruments, calibrating a cost model free of arbitrage and manipulation.
result Synchronizing the execution of correlated contracts is crucial for accurate liquidity estimation and optimal execution strategies.
The study extends a framework to analyze cross-impact in multi-asset markets.
problem Analyzing cross-impact and no-dynamic-arbitrage in multi-asset markets.
method Deriving theoretical limits for cross-impact from the condition of absence of dynamical arbitrage, testing these constraints with data.
result Significant violations of cross-impact symmetry found, but not exploitable due to bid-ask spread.
Two models are identified for robust cross-impact analysis.
problem Developing and validating cross-impact models that fit data and are well-behaved.
method Classified cross-impact models according to desirable properties and evaluated them on three asset classes.
result Only one model satisfies all desirable properties and is suitable for applications.
Investigates cross-impact kernels for financial asset prices.
problem Understanding and parameterizing cross-impact kernels for financial asset prices.
method Examined martingale-admissible and no-statistical-arbitrage-admissible kernels, determined their overlap, and provided calibration formulas.
result Identified the overlap between martingale-admissible and no-statistical-arbitrage-admissible kernels and provided formulas for their calibration.
Estimates cross-impact on derivatives markets using E-Mini futures and options.
problem Empirical estimation of cross-impact on complex financial instruments like derivatives.
method Modeling derivatives prices as a function of stochastic factors and trades on both factors and derivatives.
result Simple framework successfully captures cross-impact on derivatives markets.
Study shows portfolio trading impacts intraday liquidity and optimizes execution strategies.
problem Impact of portfolio trading on intraday liquidity and execution strategies.
method Stylized model capturing portfolio trading, linear cross-asset market impact, optimal execution schedule.
result Optimal execution schedule can reduce costs by up to 6% compared to separable VWAP-like approach.
Estimates self- and cross-impact concavity and decay patterns in financial markets.
problem Understanding the impact of financial transactions on market dynamics.
method Nonparametric estimation of concave multi-asset propagator models using metaorders and order flow data.
result Concave self-impact with shifted power-law decay, significant gain from cross-impact, and improved predictive accuracy.
Study shows integrating OFI from multiple levels improves price impact explanation but not forecasting.
problem Explaining and forecasting price movements in equity markets using OFI.
method Systematic approach to combine OFIs from multiple levels into an integrated variable, testing multi-asset models with and without cross-impact terms.
result Lagged cross-asset OFIs improve future return forecasting but not contemporaneous price impact.
Optimal portfolio choice with cross-impact propagators, solving complex equations.
problem Maximizing revenue-risk in a continuous-time portfolio choice problem with cross-impact.
method Formulated as a maximization problem, solved explicitly using operator resolvents and stochastic Fredholm equations.
result Sufficient conditions for the absence of price manipulation, providing financial insights.
The study identifies features making cross-impact relevant in explaining price variance of US assets.
problem Understanding the relevance of cross-impact in explaining price variance of US assets.
method Using tick-by-tick data spanning 5 years for 500 US assets, the study investigates the features making cross-impact relevant.
result Price formation is endogenous within highly liquid assets, influencing less liquid correlated products with a constrained impact velocity.
The study uncovers the complex interactions between stock market instruments and their impact on trading costs.
problem Underestimation of trading costs and contagion effects due to ignoring interactions between different order flows.
method Introduces a multivariate linear propagator model to describe the joint dynamics of assets and accounts for significant covariance of stock returns.
result The model successfully describes the sectorial structure of market correlations and accounts for a significant fraction of the covariance of stock returns.
Estimates price impacts and finds asymmetric market structures.
problem Understanding asymmetric price impacts in financial markets.
method Quantifies price impacts using spectral statistics and Shannon entropy.
result Asymmetric and non-random price impacts across the market.
Revisits multivariate Kyle model, proving unicity of impact matrix.
problem Calibrating cross-impact matrices in market microstructure.
method Risk-neutral setting with a rational insider and market maker, proving unicity of impact matrix.
result Unicity of symmetric, positive definite solution for impact matrix.
Agent hedges non-tradable risk with traded asset, accounting for cross-impact and risk aversion.
problem Hedging non-tradable risks with transaction costs and price impact.
method Solving stochastic control problem to derive optimal hedging strategy.
result Closed-form expressions for optimal hedging strategies under different exposure conditions.
Model explains yield curve dynamics using order flow shocks.
problem Understanding the yield curve's fluctuations and their relation to order flows.
method Relates exogenous shocks to order flow surprises, creating a microstructural model that incorporates price and order flow dynamics.
result The model explains yield curve dynamics with fewer parameters and generates liquidity-dependent correlations.
Study optimizes trading in multiple assets with cross-effects.
problem Optimizing trade execution in multiple assets with cross-impact effects.
method Formulated as a stochastic control problem, extended to progressively measurable controls, solved using linear-quadratic control theory.
result Cross-hedging effects can be optimal, e.g., trading in an asset without an initial position.
Paper solves optimal portfolio deleveraging with cross asset impacts.
problem Maximize equity while meeting debt/equity requirement with cross asset price impacts.
method Developed successive convex optimization (SCO) and an effective global algorithm integrating SCO, convex relaxation, and branch-and-bound.
result Proposed algorithms find global optimal solutions efficiently.
We analyze small price impacts in a multidimensional utility maximization problem using PDEs.
problem Small nonlinear price impacts in a multidimensional utility maximization problem.
method Asymptotic expansion using nonlinear PDEs related to ergodic control and linear parabolic PDEs.
result Leading order correction to the value function is characterized by a nonlinear second order PDE.
REST framework predicts stock trends by considering stock-specific and related-stock events.
problem Predicting stock trends using event information from news, social media, and discussion boards.
method REST framework addresses two main shortcomings of existing event-driven methods: stock-specific event influence and related-stock event influence.
result REST framework achieves higher investment returns compared to baselines.
Geography effect is investigated for the Chinese stock market including the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, based on the daily data of individual stocks. The Shanghai city and the Guangdong province can be identified in the stock geographical sector. By investigating a geographical correlation on a geographical pa…
EarnMore uses masked stock representations to train RL agents for customizable stock pools efficiently.
problem Training RL agents for customizable stock pools (CSPs) is computationally expensive and unstable.
method EarnMore introduces a mechanism to mask out stocks outside the target pool, learns meaningful stock representations, and uses a re-weighting mechanism to focus on favorable stocks.
result EarnMore significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in profit metrics with over 40% improvement.
New deep learning method predicts stock rankings better than existing models.
problem Predicting stock trends and prices with deep learning models.
method Tailored deep learning for stock ranking, capturing temporal and relational stock data.
result RSR method outperforms existing solutions, achieving high return ratios on NYSE and NASDAQ.
A simple and elegant arrangement of stock components of a portfolio (market index-DJIA) in a recent paper [1], has led to the construction of crossing of stocks diagram. The crossing stocks method revealed hidden remarkable algebraic and geometrical aspects of stock market. The present paper continues to uncover new ma…
Improved S&P stock prediction by integrating related stocks' data.
problem Lack of comprehensive data in stock prediction models.
method Enriched stock data with related stocks, tested five similarity functions, and used co-integration similarity for best results.
result Prediction model on similar stocks had significantly better accuracy and profit.
It seems to be very unlikely that all relevant information in the stock market could be fully encoded in a geometrical shape. Still,the present paper will reveal the geometry behind the stock market transactions. The prices of market index (DJIA) stock components are arranged in ascending order from the smallest one in…
Graham's formula simplifies stock valuation for growth stocks.
problem Valuing growth stocks using a simple yet effective formula.
method Presenting a practical methodology to calculate and compare growth stocks.
result Demonstrates a scoring system to compare growth stocks.
We investigate the strength and the direction of information transfer in the U.S. stock market between the composite stock price index of stock market and prices of individual stocks using the transfer entropy. Through the directionality of the information transfer, we find that individual stocks are influenced by the …
Paper uses HGNN to predict stock types from relationships and temporal data.
problem Predicting stock types from complex market data.
method Integrates stock relationships and temporal data using HGNN.
result Effective prediction of stock types with HGNN model.
Study reveals the 2020 U.S. stock crash was endogenous, not caused by COVID.
problem Understanding the cause of the 2020 U.S. stock market crash.
method Applied log-periodic power law singularity (LPPLS) methodology to analyze four major U.S. stock market indexes.
result The 2020 U.S. stock market crash was endogenous, stemming from systemic instability, not COVID.
Green stocks show less factor exposure heterogeneity compared to brown stocks.
problem Exploring differences in factor exposure between green and brown stocks.
method Examined S&P 500 firms grouped by greenhouse gas emissions, analyzing factor exposure over 2014-2020.
result Green stocks have less factor exposure heterogeneity than brown stocks, except for the value factor.
We investigated the topological properties of stock networks through a comparison of the original stock network with the estimated stock network from the correlation matrix created by the random matrix theory (RMT). We used individual stocks traded on the market indices of Korea, Japan, Canada, the USA, Italy, and the …
Study shows lower market-cap and lower P/E penny stocks outperform higher market-cap and higher P/E stocks.
problem Determinants of expected returns on penny stocks in emerging markets.
method Cross-sectional analysis of 167 penny stocks listed in National Stock Exchange of India.
result Lower market-cap and lower P/E penny stocks outperform higher market-cap and higher P/E stocks.
A new framework forecasts stock trends by mining shared information from concepts.
problem Forecasting stock trends using static concept information limits accuracy.
method Proposes a graph-based framework that mines concept-oriented shared information from both predefined and hidden concepts.
result Improves stock trend forecasting performance through dynamic concept relevance and hidden concept information.
We propose improved methods to identify stock groups using the correlation matrix of stock price changes. By filtering out the marketwide effect and the random noise, we construct the correlation matrix of stock groups in which nontrivial high correlations between stocks are found. Using the filtered correlation matrix…
GRU-PFG model extracts inter-stock correlations from stock factors using graph neural networks.
problem Limited effectiveness of models relying solely on stock factors for capturing stock correlations.
method Project stock factors into a graph and use graph neural networks to extract inter-stock correlations.
result Achieves better prediction results than models relying solely on stock factors and comparable to second category models.
Study finds stock search trends correlate with developing economies' stock indices.
problem Predicting stock indices closing from web search trends.
method Collected and analyzed stock-specific internet search trends and corresponding index close values.
result Global search trends correlate more with developing economies, less with south Asian exchanges.
Hybrid model predicts stock prices using online forum sentiments and popularity.
problem Predicting stock prices accurately considering investor sentiment.
method XLNET for sentiment analysis, BiLSTM-highway model integration, combining post popularity.
result Hybrid model outperforms traditional methods in stock price prediction.
Deep learning model forecasts stock prices for portfolio optimization.
problem Precise stock price prediction and portfolio optimization.
method LSTM network for web-scraped historical data, automated stock price forecasting.
result Model demonstrates profitability of sectors for investors.
Deep learning predicts stock prices using CNN and NALUs.
problem Predicting future stock prices accurately.
method Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for feature extraction and Neural Arithmetic Logic Units (NALUs) for arithmetic operations.
result Improved accuracy in predicting stock prices.
Study shows stock prices influence news more than the other way around.
problem Understanding the interdependency between stock market and financial news.
method Time series analysis using five classification models.
result Stock prices have a greater impact on news contents than the other way around.
Transformer model predicts stock prices in Bangladesh's stock market.
problem Predicting volatile stock prices in the Bangladesh stock market.
method Transformer model applied to time series data for stock price prediction.
result Transformer model shows promising results in predicting stock price movements.
Study finds stock markets follow nonextensive statistical mechanics.
problem Understanding nonextensivity in stock market volatilities.
method Analysis of 34 major stock market indices over 10 years.
result Stock markets exhibit nonextensive behavior, distinguishing between developed and developing countries.
Deep Q-Network predicts global stock market returns from chart images.
problem Predicting global stock market returns using chart images.
method Deep Q-Network with CNN approximator, trained on US stock market, tested on 31 countries.
result Artificial intelligence can predict stock prices in small markets.
The stock market has been known to form homogeneous stock groups with a higher correlation among different stocks according to common economic factors that influence individual stocks. We investigate the role of common economic factors in the market in the formation of stock networks, using the arbitrage pricing model …
Game-theoretic model captures investor interactions for stock price forecasting.
problem Complex market dynamics driving stock price movements.
method Game-theoretic modeling of heterogeneous investor interactions in a dynamic graph structure.
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art stock price forecasting methods.
Meta-learning predicts stock trading volumes by learning from each stock's unique patterns.
problem Predicting trading volumes for different stocks using a universal model.
method Dual-process meta-learning framework that learns common patterns with a meta-learner and specific patterns with stock-dependent parameters.
result Improves performance of various baseline models in volume predictions.