These notes were originally written for the Stochastic Analysis Seminar in the Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering at Princeton University, in February of 2011. The seminar was attended and supported by members of the Research Training Group, with the author being partially supported by NSF gran…
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48 results for “stochastic support”
This technical report proves components consistency for the Doubly Stochastic Dirichlet Process with exponential convergence of posterior probability. We also present the fundamental properties for DSDP as well as inference algorithms. Simulation toy experiment and real-world experiment results for single and multi-clu…
Paper analyzes adaptive Lasso for high-dimensional diffusion processes, improving support recovery and bias.
problem Support recovery for high-dimensional diffusion processes under sparsity constraints.
method Adaptive Lasso estimator for d-dimensional ergodic diffusion process, focusing on linear models.
result Adaptive Lasso achieves support recovery and asymptotic normality for drift parameter under certain conditions.
New algorithm recovers model coefficients and supports from noisy data.
problem Simultaneous estimation and support recovery in linear models with Gaussian noise.
method Projection-based algorithm for STG regularized minimization problem, proving convergence and support recovery guarantees.
result New algorithm outperforms existing methods in support recovery for various data setups.
A new method for efficient inference in probabilistic programs with mixed support.
problem Challenges in inference for programs with both continuous and discrete latent variables.
method Stochastic gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms.
result Outperforms existing composing inference baselines and works almost as well as inference in marginalized versions.
Label noise (stochastic) gradient descent implicitly solves the Lasso for quadratic parametrisationstat.ML
The paper shows how label noise in training can lead to solutions that solve a Lasso program.
problem Understanding the implicit bias of training algorithms in overparametrised models.
method Analyzing the continuous time version of the training dynamics of a quadratically parametrised model.
result The stochastic flow implicitly solves a Lasso program, providing convergence guarantees and support recovery conditions.
We present a stochastic algorithm to compute the barycenter of a set of probability distributions under the Wasserstein metric from optimal transport. Unlike previous approaches, our method extends to continuous input distributions and allows the support of the barycenter to be adjusted in each iteration. We tackle the…
The paper uses Black-Scholes model to analyze political support and coalition agreements.
problem Determining the minimum support level for a minor party in a pre-electoral coalition.
method Modeling political support as a stochastic process with a deterministic growth rate and applying Black-Scholes option pricing theory.
result The minimum support level for a minor party to gain a representative in a pre-electoral coalition.
We generalize stochastic smoothing for gradient estimation of non-differentiable functions.
problem Gradient estimation for non-differentiable functions.
method Developed a general framework for relaxation and gradient estimation of non-differentiable black-box functions using stochastic smoothing with reduced assumptions.
result Empirically validated the effectiveness of variance reduction strategies for various non-differentiable tasks.
Paper improves learning rates for SGD and NAG.
problem Generalization performance of stochastic optimization algorithms.
method Establishes new learning rates for SGD and NAG.
result Improved guarantees in some settings or comparable rates under weaker assumptions.
Automated Market Makers: A Stochastic Optimization Approach for Profitable Liquidity Concentrationq-fin.TR
Optimizes liquidity provision intervals for profitable AMM participation.
problem Financial losses from poor liquidity provision intervals and reallocation costs.
method Developed a tractable stochastic optimization problem.
result Computes optimal liquidity provision intervals for profitable liquidity concentration.
We investigate the optimality of perturbation based algorithms in the stochastic and adversarial multi-armed bandit problems. For the stochastic case, we provide a unified regret analysis for both sub-Weibull and bounded perturbations when rewards are sub-Gaussian. Our bounds are instance optimal for sub-Weibull pertur…
We model leverage as stochastic but independent of return shocks and of volatility and perform likelihood-based inference via the recently developed iterated filtering algorithm using S&P500 data, contributing new evidence to the still slim empirical support for random leverage variation.
New RGraSP framework for efficient non-convex optimization.
problem Large-scale non-convex sparsity-constrained optimization problems.
method Relaxed gradient support pursuit with semi-stochastic gradient hard thresholding.
result Our algorithms converge faster with lower per-iteration cost.
Stochastic programs simplify complex models with noise and nondeterminism.
problem Handling models with nuisance parameters, noise, and nondeterminism.
method Developed a reference implementation for stochastic probabilistic programs and inference.
result Efficient inference in models with noise and nondeterminism is possible.
SVR analyzed within RQ framework for risk management.
problem Risk management in stochastic optimization.
method Risk Quadrangle (RQ) theory applied to SVR.
result SVR formulations as minimization of Vapnik error and CVaR norm.
New inference method improves performance for probabilistic models with varying support.
problem Existing inference engines for probabilistic programs struggle with models where support varies between executions.
method Divide, Conquer, and Combine (DCC) framework for automated inference.
result Substantial performance improvements on three examples compared to existing approaches.
Speeding Up Budgeted Stochastic Gradient Descent SVM Training with Precomputed Golden Section Searchcs.LG
Limiting the model size of a kernel support vector machine to a pre-defined budget is a well-established technique that allows to scale SVM learning and prediction to large-scale data. Its core addition to simple stochastic gradient training is budget maintenance through merging of support vectors. This requires solvin…
These are course notes on the application of SDEs to options pricing. The author was partially supported by NSF grant DMS-0739195.
We propose a fast inference method for Bayesian nonlinear support vector machines that leverages stochastic variational inference and inducing points. Our experiments show that the proposed method is faster than competing Bayesian approaches and scales easily to millions of data points. It provides additional features …
Graph convolutional networks adapt the architecture of convolutional neural networks to learn rich representations of data supported on arbitrary graphs by replacing the convolution operations of convolutional neural networks with graph-dependent linear operations. However, these graph-dependent linear operations are d…
Study decay and compact support of solutions to certain nonlinear PDEs.
problem Decay and compact support properties of positive solutions to on manifolds.
method Nonlinear PDE analysis, Feller property, integral Ricci curvature conditions.
result Characterization of stochastic completeness for the -Laplacian.
In this paper, a pricing formula for volatility swaps is delivered when the underlying asset follows the stochastic volatility model with jumps and stochastic intensity. By using Feynman-Kac theorem, a partial integral differential equation is obtained to derive the joint moment generating function of the previous mode…
New inequalities for unbounded functions improve denoising score matching.
problem Statistical error bounds for denoising score matching with unbounded objective functions.
method Derive new concentration inequalities using McDiarmid's inequality and Rademacher complexity bounds.
result Improved statistical error bounds for denoising score matching.
Study on Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity impacts asset volatility.
problem Impact of stochastic volatility of noise trading on asset volatility.
method Construct equilibrium for continuous-time Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity.
result In equilibrium, Kyle's Lambda and its inverse are submartingales.
Linking SV and PDV models for better volatility forecasts.
problem Improving volatility forecasting models.
method Assumed density filtering to map SV models to PDV representations, introducing calibration procedure.
result Improves in-sample fit and robust out-of-sample forecasts.
We consider high dimensional sparse regression, and develop strategies able to deal with arbitrary -- possibly, severe or coordinated -- errors in the covariance matrix . These may come from corrupted data, persistent experimental errors, or malicious respondents in surveys/recommender systems, etc. Such non-stochas…
New algorithm tunes SGMCMC hyperparameters for scalable Bayesian inference.
problem Tuning hyperparameters for SGMCMC is challenging due to lack of principled methods.
method Proposes a bandit-based algorithm using Stein discrepancies to tune hyperparameters.
result The method effectively tunes SGMCMC hyperparameters for various applications.
We consider a composite convex minimization problem associated with regularized empirical risk minimization, which often arises in machine learning. We propose two new stochastic gradient methods that are based on stochastic dual averaging method with variance reduction. Our methods generate a sparser solution than the…
We consider the binary classification problem when data are large and subject to unknown but bounded uncertainties. We address the problem by formulating the nonlinear support vector machine training problem with robust optimization. To do so, we analyze and propose two bounding schemes for uncertainties associated to …
Quantized Stochastic Primal-Dual Methods for Distributed Optimization under Relaxed Global Geometrymath.OC
Quantized Stochastic Primal-Dual Methods for Distributed Optimization
problem Distributed optimization with stochastic gradients and finite-bit communication
method q-PDGD, a quantized stochastic primal-dual method
result Linear contraction to an explicit neighborhood under RSI, O(1/k) convergence under PL inequality
Lattice investment projects support process model with corruption is formulated and analyzed. The model is based on the Ising lattice model of ferromagnetic but takes deal with the social phenomenon. Set of corruption agents is considered. It is supposed that agents are placed in sites of the lattice. Agents take decis…
Developed unbiased estimators for Heston model with stochastic interest rates.
problem Estimating the Heston model with stochastic interest rates.
method Combined unbiased estimators with the Heston model and developed a semi-exact log-Euler scheme.
result Convergence rate of in the norm for a wide range of models.
New method bounds stochastic subgradient methods with heavy-tailed noise.
problem Bounding stochastic subgradient methods under heavy-tailed noise.
method Clipped version of projected stochastic subgradient method.
result Near optimal any-time and finite horizon bounds for averaging schemes.
Modern large scale machine learning applications require stochastic optimization algorithms to be implemented on distributed computational architectures. A key bottleneck is the communication overhead for exchanging information such as stochastic gradients among different workers. In this paper, to reduce the communica…
BayesPy is an open-source Python software package for performing variational Bayesian inference. It is based on the variational message passing framework and supports conjugate exponential family models. By removing the tedious task of implementing the variational Bayesian update equations, the user can construct model…
We describe Venture, an interactive virtual machine for probabilistic programming that aims to be sufficiently expressive, extensible, and efficient for general-purpose use. Like Church, probabilistic models and inference problems in Venture are specified via a Turing-complete, higher-order probabilistic language desce…
Quantum stochastic flow computes heat kernel traces for Ricci flat manifolds.
problem Computing heat kernel traces for Ricci flat manifolds.
method Quantum stochastic differential equation (qsde) on Fock space over differential 1-forms, adapted flow construction.
result Trace of the connection Laplacian heat kernel can be computed over any compact Ricci-flat Riemannian manifold.
New model considers unfairness complaints to ensure multiple fairness criteria.
problem Ensuring fairness in systems that may conflict with each other.
method Data-driven model guided by unfairness complaints, supports multiple fairness criteria, and considers their incompatibilities. Stochastic and adversarial settings analyzed with efficient algorithms.
result Efficient algorithms for both stochastic and adversarial settings with competitive guarantees.
Study links fractal structure to generalization in stochastic optimization.
problem Understanding generalization in stochastic optimization algorithms.
method Represented stochastic optimization algorithms as random iterated function systems (IFS) and used dynamical systems theory.
result Proved that generalization error can be bounded based on fractal structure of invariant measure.
This work extends stochastic localization to joint probability measures for data analysis.
problem Data distributional analysis in high-dimensional probability.
method Unified stochastic localization under Eldan's α-scheme, coupled probability measures via shared Brownian motion.
result Eldan's α-distance as a scalable surrogate for Wasserstein distance.
A new tamed stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm for superlinearly growing stochastic gradients.
problem Sampling and stochastic optimization problems with superlinearly growing stochastic gradients.
method Tamed Stochastic Gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (tSGHMC) algorithm.
result Established a non-asymptotic error bound in Wasserstein-2 distance with a convergence rate of .
We propose how to quantify high-frequency market sentiment using high-frequency news from NASDAQ news platform and support vector machine classifiers. News arrive at markets randomly and the resulting news sentiment behaves like a stochastic process. To characterize the joint evolution of sentiment, price, and volatili…
Study on stochastic hypergradient computation for machine learning problems.
problem Efficient computation of hypergradients in machine learning models.
method Stochastic approximation schemes for hypergradient computation, focusing on empirical risk minimization.
result Bounds for the mean square error of hypergradient approximation under contraction assumptions.
This paper proposes a framework of L-BFGS based on the (approximate) second-order information with stochastic batches, as a novel approach to the finite-sum minimization problems. Different from the classical L-BFGS where stochastic batches lead to instability, we use a smooth estimate for the evaluations of the gradie…
Budgeted Stochastic Gradient Descent (BSGD) is a state-of-the-art technique for training large-scale kernelized support vector machines. The budget constraint is maintained incrementally by merging two points whenever the pre-defined budget is exceeded. The process of finding suitable merge partners is costly; it can a…
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are generally regarded as the gold standard technique for Bayesian inference. They are theoretically well-understood and conceptually simple to apply in practice. The drawback of MCMC is that in general performing exact inference requires all of the data to be processed at eac…
Paper tackles risk-sensitive decision-making under uncertainty.
problem Risk-sensitive decision-making problem under uncertainty.
method Formulated as a stochastic control problem, delineated necessary optimality conditions.
result Illustrative examples from optimal betting and inventory management support the theory.