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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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76153229305 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for stochastic risk-averse

New methods reduce bias in estimating optimality gaps for risk-averse stochastic programs.

problem Optimality gap estimation bias in risk-averse stochastic programs.
method Two independent samples, each estimating a different component of the optimality gap.
result Our method reduces bias in estimating optimality gaps for risk-averse problems.

Proposes new rule for ranking investment prospects over long horizons.

problem Ranking investment prospects over long horizons considering bounded risk aversion.
method Introduces asymptotic fractional-order stochastic dominance with bounded relative risk aversion.
result Establishes equivalent conditions for the new rule under lognormal returns without mean non-negativity constraint.

Study risk-averse insider's behavior in dynamic signal asset pricing.

problem Analyzing risk-averse insider's dynamic signal in asset pricing.
method Employing a weak conditioning methodology to construct a Schrödinger bridge, deriving necessary conditions for equilibrium.
result Derive explicit closed-form solutions for important cases.

Paper develops NPG for risk-averse RL with ECRMs, proving global convergence.

problem Ensuring reliable performance in stochastic RL problems with risk-averse policies.
method Developed natural policy gradient updates for ECRMs-based RL problems, proving global optimality and iteration complexity.
result Global convergence of risk-averse NPG algorithm with ECRMs.

Study on Kyle-Back model with risk aversion and non-Gaussian beliefs.

problem Existence of equilibrium in Kyle's insider trading model.
method Forward-backward system coupled via optimal transport constraint, stochastic representation, well-posedness of solutions.
result Existence and properties of equilibrium for small risk aversion parameter.

Adaptive sampling for risk-averse learning on hard examples.

problem Training models to perform well on difficult examples in high-stakes applications.
method Adaptive sampling algorithm for stochastically optimizing CVaR, using distributionally robust formulation and regret minimization.
result Empirically demonstrates effectiveness on large-scale convex and non-convex learning tasks.

The paper characterizes equilibrium strategies under random risk aversion, showing unique solutions based on risk aversion distribution.

problem Characterizing equilibrium strategies in a continuous-time portfolio selection problem under random risk aversion.
method Provided a complete characterization of all deterministic equilibrium strategies in closed form, analyzing the structure of the solution based on the distribution of random risk aversion.
result The equilibrium is unique (if exists) when the expectation of random risk aversion is finite, but infinite expectation leads to either infinitely many equilibria or a unique trivial one.

Paper develops online learning-based risk-averse MPC for uncertain systems.

problem Designing robust MPC for systems with unknown but inferable stochastic disturbances.
method Proposes a novel online learning framework using CVaR constraints and Dirichlet process mixture models.
result Demonstrates improved robustness and adaptability of MPC in handling time-varying disturbance distributions.

This study improves credit risk management using advanced reinforcement learning.

problem Sub-optimal hedging of credit losses due to bid-ask costs and model limitations.
method Risk-averse stochastic-horizon reinforcement learning for dynamic risk management.
result Efficacy demonstrated through numerical study of a single FX forward contract portfolio.

Consider an investor trading dynamically to maximize expected utility from terminal wealth. Our aim is to study the dependence between her risk aversion and the distribution of the optimal terminal payoff. Economic intuition suggests that high risk aversion leads to a rather concentrated distribution, whereas lower ris…

2011-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Investment and consumption strategy for risk-averse agents with Epstein-Zin utility.

problem Optimal investment and consumption strategy for Epstein-Zin utility.
method Detailed introduction to Epstein-Zin utility, existence and uniqueness proof, verification argument.
result Existence and uniqueness of optimal solution for Epstein-Zin utility under certain parameter restrictions.

Market impact game analyzed with stochastic parameters using FBSDEs.

problem Analyzing Nash equilibrium in a market impact game with stochastic parameters.
method Characterizes Nash equilibrium using fully coupled FBSDEs and provides conditions for their unique solution.
result Unique Nash equilibrium found and characterized in terms of FBSDEs.

Modeling producer and consumer interactions in commodity markets with risk aversion.

problem Analyzing the impact of risk aversion on producer-consumer interactions in commodity markets.
method Linear-quadratic McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential game, martingale optimality principle, BSDEs.
result Characterization of Nash equilibrium and indifference prices.

Motivated by applications in clinical trials and finance, we study the problem of online convex optimization (with bandit feedback) where the decision maker is risk-averse. We provide two algorithms to solve this problem. The first one is a descent-type algorithm which is easy to implement. The second algorithm, which …

2018-10-01abs ↗pdf ↗

This study measures price risk aversion using indirect utility functions in a lab experiment.

problem Measuring risk aversion with uncertain prices in experimental economics.
method Using indirect utility functions and a multiple price list method in a lab experiment.
result Price risk aversion is statistically greater than payoff risk aversion.

We consider a multi-objective risk-averse two-stage stochastic programming problem with a multivariate convex risk measure. We suggest a convex vector optimization formulation with set-valued constraints and propose an extended version of Benson's algorithm to solve this problem. Using Lagrangian duality, we develop sc…

2017-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

New MFG model for MV portfolio management with peer-based risk aversion.

problem Time-inconsistent mean-variance portfolio management with peer-based risk aversion.
method Mean-field game, smooth regularization, fixed-point arguments, convergence analysis.
result Existence of mean-field equilibrium in time-inconsistent MFG.

Proposes risk-averse learning framework using CVaR for better performance evaluation.

problem Risk-averse evaluation of machine learning algorithms.
method Develops algorithms based on stochastic gradient descent for CVaR optimization with weaker distributional assumptions.
result Shows convergence and generalization bounds for the proposed algorithms.

Modeling consumption and investment decisions with reference point and drawdown constraints.

problem Modeling consumption and investment decisions with reference point and drawdown constraints.
method Solving a stochastic control problem to derive value function, optimal consumption plan, and investment strategy in semi-explicit forms.
result Five important thresholds of wealth, all as functions of hh, and significant economic implications.

We consider the economic problem of optimal consumption and investment with power utility. We study the optimal strategy as the relative risk aversion tends to infinity or to one. The convergence of the optimal consumption is obtained for general semimartingale models while the convergence of the optimal trading strate…

2010-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal wind farm placement using quantile constraints for better power output.

problem Optimizing wind farm placement to maximize power output considering spatial and temporal wind speed correlations.
method Used a probabilistic neural network with ReLU activation functions to reformulate constraints as linear ones, embedding them into a two-stage stochastic optimization problem.
result The constraint learning approach outperforms classical methods, especially for risk-averse investors.

Develops a new class of forward performance processes for investment pools.

problem Investment performance in market models with continuous semimartingale stock prices.
method Constructs a broad class of forward performance processes with power mixture initial conditions.
result Characterizes and derives properties of two-power mixture forward performance processes.

We consider the problem of minimizing the regret in stochastic multi-armed bandit, when the measure of goodness of an arm is not the mean return, but some general function of the mean and the variance.We characterize the conditions under which learning is possible and present examples for which no natural algorithm can…

2014-05-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for risk-averse decision-making in Markov processes with improved regret bounds.

problem Risk-averse decision-making in Markov processes.
method Introduces mini-batch measures and multipattern risk-averse problems in a feature-based QQ-learning method.
result Proves a high-probability regret bound of O(H2NHK)\mathcal{O}\big(H^2 N^H \sqrt{ K}\big) for the QQ-learning method.

Study incentive efficiency in monopoly insurance markets with hidden information.

problem Maximizing social welfare in a monopoly insurance market with hidden agent types.
method Maximizes social welfare function subject to incentive compatibility and individual rationality constraints.
result Optimal menus of contracts depend on the level of social welfare weight and agent risk attitudes.

Solves VaR-constrained portfolio optimization in markets with stochastic volatility.

problem Optimizing portfolio in markets with stochastic volatility under VaR constraints.
method Dynamic programming approach to Heston's stochastic volatility model.
result Optimal investment strategy linked to unconstrained problem via a vega-neutral derivative.

Optimal trading patterns adjust based on market efficiency and slippage costs.

problem Balancing active alphas and trading costs in active portfolios.
method Maximization of utility including projected alpha-based profits, slippage costs, and risk aversion.
result Optimal trading involves a no-trade zone width that scales as Δc1/2Δ\sim c^{1/2}, differing from stochastic settings.

The utility-based pricing of defaultable bonds in the case of stochastic intensity models of default risk is discussed. The Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman (HJB) equations for the value functions is derived. A finite difference method is used to solve this problem. The yield-spreads for both buyer and seller are extracted. Th…

2010-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Assuming that agents' preferences satisfy first-order stochastic dominance, we show how the Expected Utility paradigm can rationalize all optimal investment choices: the optimal investment strategy in any behavioral law-invariant (state-independent) setting corresponds to the optimum for an expected utility maximizer w…

2013-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes new strategies for better portfolio estimation in long-term investments with unknown distributions.

problem Worse out-of-sample performance of estimated portfolios due to unknown future data distribution.
method Online learning framework, dynamic sequential portfolios, updating risk aversion coefficient.
result Dynamic strategies achieve asymptotically optimal utility, Sharpe ratio, and growth rate of true portfolios.

Different models of capital exchange among economic agents have been proposed recently trying to explain the emergence of Pareto's wealth power law distribution. One important factor to be considered is the existence of risk aversion. In this paper we study a model where agents posses different levels of risk aversion,…

2003-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimizes insurance and investment strategies for risk-averse insurers under ambiguity.

problem Optimizing insurance and investment strategies for risk-averse insurers under ambiguity.
method Solves a coupled FBSDE to derive optimal strategies and value function.
result Optimal consumption, investment, and reinsurance strategies influenced by risk aversion and EIS.

Robo-advisors estimate clients' risk aversion using interactive questionnaires.

problem Estimating risk aversion of non-expert clients using adaptive questionnaires.
method Model risk aversion with cost functions and spectral risk measures. Use inverse reinforcement learning to design questions maximizing distinguishing power.
result Designing questions by maximizing distinguishing power achieves satisfactory accuracy in learning risk aversion with fewer than 50 questions.

Risk aversion is a key element of utility maximizing hedge strategies; however, it has typically been assigned an arbitrary value in the literature. This paper instead applies a GARCH-in-Mean (GARCH-M) model to estimate a time-varying measure of risk aversion that is based on the observed risk preferences of energy hed…

2011-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗