A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This paper studies a non-stochastic version of Fernholz's stochastic portfolio theory for a simple model of stock markets with continuous price paths. It establishes non-stochastic versions of the most basic results of stochastic portfolio theory and discusses connections with Stroock-Varadhan martingales.
Study market-to-book ratios using Stochastic Portfolio Theory.
The theory of functionally generated portfolios (FGPs) is an aspect of the continuous-time, continuous-path Stochastic Portfolio Theory of Robert Fernholz. FGPs have been formulated to yield a master equation - a description of their return relative to a passive (buy-and-hold) benchmark portfolio serving as the numérai…
I discuss some theoretical results with a view to motivate some practical choices in portfolio optimization. Even though the setting is not completely general (for example, the covariance matrix is assumed to be non-singular), I attempt to highlight the features that have practical relevance. The mathematical setting i…
This is an overview of the area of Stochastic Portfolio Theory, and can be seen as an updated and extended version of the survey paper by Fernholz and Karatzas (Handbook of Numerical Analysis Vol.15:89-167, 2009).
Develops a new method for optimizing portfolios in stochastic markets.
The paper analyzes how stock market dimensionality changes impact portfolio performance.
Consider a family of portfolio strategies with the aim of achieving the asymptotic growth rate of the best one. The idea behind Cover's universal portfolio is to build a wealth-weighted average which can be viewed as a buy-and-hold portfolio of portfolios. When an optimal portfolio exists, the wealth-weighted average c…
Cover's celebrated theorem states that the long run yield of a properly chosen "universal" portfolio is as good as the long run yield of the best retrospectively chosen constant rebalanced portfolio. The "universality" pertains to the fact that this result is model-free, i.e., not dependent on an underlying stochastic …
Signature portfolios approximate optimal wealth in non-Markovian markets.
Develops a new model-free approach to portfolio theory using rough paths.
New method finds profitable investment opportunities by considering additional financial variables.
Develops SPT with price impact, deriving formulas for wealth and arbitrage conditions.
Spectral portfolio theory links neural networks to wealth dynamics via SGD weight matrices.
The study extends SPT to account for real-world transaction costs, improving portfolio performance.
Study optimizes growth rate for investors with long-only constraints.
This paper compares modern portfolio theories and applies them to real-world portfolio selection.
New formulation tackles arbitrage in volatile markets using eigenvalue bounds.
The Shapley value theory is used for risk allocation in non-orthogonal risk factors.
In the article "Stochastic evolution equations for large portfolios of Stochastic Volatility models" (Arxiv:1701.05640) there is a mistake in the proof of Theorem 3.1. In this erratum we establish a weaker version of this Theorem and then we redevelop the regularity theory for our problem accordingly. This means that m…
The paper analyzes arbitrage theory in a fluctuating market of stochastic dimension.
We use pathwise Itô calculus to prove two strictly pathwise versions of the master formula in Fernholz' stochastic portfolio theory. Our first version is set within the framework of Föllmer's pathwise Itô calculus and works for portfolios generated from functions that may depend on the current states of the market port…
Study shows how market firm capitalization models converge to stochastic PDE solutions.
We add size factor to CAPM and normalize residuals by Volatility Index.
Paper proves existence and computation of Risk Budgeting portfolios.
In this work a relation between a measure of short-term arbitrage in the market and the excess growth of portfolios as a notion of long-term arbitrage is established. The former originates from "Geometric Arbitrage Theory" and the latter from "Stochastic Portfolio Theory". Both aim to describe non-equilibrium effects i…
We present a method for constructing the log-optimal portfolio using the well-calibrated forecasts of market values. Dawid's notion of calibration and the Blackwell approachability theorem are used for computing well-calibrated forecasts. We select a portfolio using this "artificial" probability distribution of market …
In this article, inspired by Shi, et al. we investigate the optimal portfolio selection with one risk-free asset and one risky asset in a multiple period setting under cumulative prospect theory (CPT). Compared with their study, our novelty is that we consider a stochastic benchmark, and portfolio constraints. We test …
In stochastic portfolio theory, a relative arbitrage is an equity portfolio which is guaranteed to outperform a benchmark portfolio over a finite horizon. When the market is diverse and sufficiently volatile, and the benchmark is the market or a buy-and-hold portfolio, functionally generated portfolios introduced by Fe…
Develops portfolio theory without probabilistic analysis, focusing on pathwise decomposition.
Paper finds optimal transport measures for arbitrage strategies.
Paper solves PDEs for optimal investment strategies in volatile markets.
In this paper, we combine modern portfolio theory and option pricing theory so that a trader who takes a position in a European option contract and the underlying assets can construct an optimal portfolio such that at the moment of the contract's maturity the contract is perfectly hedged. We derive both the optimal hol…
We introduce a pathwise approach to analyze the relative performance of an equity portfolio with respect to a benchmark market portfolio. In this energy-entropy framework, the relative performance is decomposed into three components: a volatility term, a relative entropy term measuring the distance between the portfoli…
The paper simplifies calculus for semimartingales using multiplicative compensation.
Study optimizes investment strategies in markets with contagious price jumps.
We present a new approach to the optimal portfolio problem for an insider with logarithmic utility. Our method is based on white noise theory, stochastic forward integrals, Hida-Malliavin calculus and the Donsker delta function.
First introduced by Fernholz in stochastic portfolio theory, functionally generated portfolio allows its investment performance to be attributed to directly observable and easily interpretable market quantities. In previous works we showed that Fernholz's multiplicatively generated portfolio has deep connections with o…
Geometric arbitrage theory reformulates a generic asset model possibly allowing for arbitrage by packaging all asset and their forward dynamics into a stochastic principal fibre bundle, with a connection whose parallel transport encodes discounting and portfolio rebalancing, and whose curvature measures, in this geomet…
We introduce polynomial processes in the sense of [8] in the context of stochastic portfolio theory to model simultaneously companies' market capitalizations and the corresponding market weights. These models substantially extend volatility stabilized market models considered by Robert Fernholz and Ioannis Karatzas in …
We study a mean-field version of rank-based models of equity markets such as the Atlas model introduced by Fernholz in the framework of Stochastic Portfolio Theory. We obtain an asymptotic description of the market when the number of companies grows to infinity. Then, we discuss the long-term capital distribution. We r…
Classical mean-variance portfolio theory tells us how to construct a portfolio of assets which has the greatest expected return for a given level of return volatility. Utility theory then allows an investor to choose the point along this efficient frontier which optimally balances her desire for excess expected return …
Investigates portfolio selection among competitive agents with mean-variance preferences.
An algorithm was recently introduced by INTECH for the purposes of estimating the trading-profit contribution of systematic rebalancing to the relative return of rules-based investment strategies. We apply this methodology to analyze the size factor through the use of equal-weighted portfolios. These strategies combine…
The aim of this work is to extend the capital growth theory developed by Kelly, Breiman, Cover and others to asset market models with transaction costs. We define a natural generalization of the notion of a numeraire portfolio proposed by Long and show how such portfolios can be used for constructing growth-optimal inv…
In this paper we propose a novel application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to financial asset allocation. Our approach is deeply rooted in Stochastic Portfolio Theory (SPT), a stochastic analysis framework introduced by Robert Fernholz that aims at flexibly analysing the performance of certain investment strategies in st…
A technique from stochastic portfolio theory [Fernholz, 1998] is applied to analyse equity returns of Small, Mid and Large cap portfolios in an emerging market through periods of growth and regional crises, up to the onset of the global financial crisis. In particular, we factorize portfolios in the South African marke…
The paper analyzes how behavioral investors make portfolio decisions using Markowitz Stochastic Dominance criteria.