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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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114227341454 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for stochastic policy

Paper tackles efficient evaluation of natural stochastic policies in offline RL.

problem Efficiency issues in evaluating natural stochastic policies due to unknown evaluation policy.
method Derive efficiency bounds for tilting and modified treatment policies, propose nonparametric estimators.
result Proposed estimators attain efficiency bounds under lax conditions and enjoy partial double robustness.

Off-policy stochastic actor-critic methods rely on approximating the stochastic policy gradient in order to derive an optimal policy. One may also derive the optimal policy by approximating the action-value gradient. The use of action-value gradients is desirable as policy improvement occurs along the direction of stee…

2017-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Designs a single policy for collecting data to train near-optimal policies.

problem Engineering overhead in deploying minimax procedures for stochastic linear contextual bandits.
method Designs a single stochastic policy to collect data from which a near-optimal policy can be extracted.
result The designed policy can collect data from which a near-optimal policy can be extracted.

This paper investigates methods for estimating the optimal stochastic control policy for a Markov Decision Process with unknown transition dynamics and an unknown reward function. This form of model-free reinforcement learning comprises many real world systems such as playing video games, simulated control tasks, and r…

2019-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on policy gradient for stochastic bandits using diffusion approximation.

problem Improving policy gradient methods for stochastic bandits with optimal regret bounds.
method Continuous-time diffusion approximation of policy gradient with learning rate analysis.
result Proved optimal regret bound of O(klog(k)log(n)/η)O(k \log(k) \log(n) / η) for η=O(Δ2/log(n))η= O(Δ^2/\log(n)).

Algorithm learns Nash equilibria in stochastic games using entropy-regularized policies.

problem Learning Nash equilibria in zero-sum stochastic games is computationally expensive.
method Entropy-regularized soft policies for Q-function updates.
result Algorithm converges to Nash equilibrium under certain conditions.

New policy optimizes risk and optimality in stochastic bandits.

problem Optimizing risk in stochastic bandits with heavy-tailed risk.
method Designing policies with worst-case optimality for expected regret and light-tailed risk distribution.
result Achieves worst-case optimality for expected regret and light-tailed risk distribution.

PS framework selects best policy from library for CSO problems.

problem Policy selection in CSO with heterogeneous performance across covariate space.
method PS framework constructs library of candidate policies and learns a meta-policy to select the best one.
result PS consistently outperforms best single policy in heterogeneous CSO problems.

Developed policy gradient methods for stochastic control with exit time, outperforming traditional techniques in share repurchase pricing.

problem Optimal control with exit time in stochastic models.
method Two types of algorithms: direct policy learning and alternately learning value function and control.
result Policy gradient methods outperform PDE or neural networks in share repurchase pricing.

A method for accurate pricing of multidimensional derivatives under uncertain volatility.

problem High-dimensional stochastic control problem in uncertain volatility model.
method Backward actor-critic stochastic policy gradient scheme combining DP, PPO, and neural networks.
result Accurate and efficient pricing of multidimensional derivatives compared to benchmarks.

This paper augments the reward received by a reinforcement learning agent with potential functions in order to help the agent learn (possibly stochastic) optimal policies. We show that a potential-based reward shaping scheme is able to preserve optimality of stochastic policies, and demonstrate that the ability of an a…

2019-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

A classic setting of the stochastic K-armed bandit problem is considered in this note. In this problem it has been known that KL-UCB policy achieves the asymptotically optimal regret bound and KL-UCB+ policy empirically performs better than the KL-UCB policy although the regret bound for the original form of the KL-UCB…

2019-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper derives Thiele's equation for unit-linked policies in a stochastic volatility model.

problem Deriving pricing formula for unit-linked policies in a stochastic volatility model.
method Derives Thiele's differential equation for a unit-linked policy in the Heston-Hawkes model.
result Established a method to compute reserves in life insurance via solving Thiele's equation.

Develops CLTs for Markov chain transition probabilities and policies.

problem Estimating transition probabilities and policies in controlled Markov chains.
method Non-parametric estimator for transition matrices; CLTs for value, Q-, and advantage functions; goodness-of-fit tests.
result Asymptotic normality of estimators under specific logging policies.

Proposes a new resampling method for off-policy evaluation in stochastic control.

problem Estimating policy performance from data generated under a different policy.
method K-nearest neighbor resampling procedure for off-policy evaluation.
result Statistical consistency results for the proposed method under weak conditions.

Large deviations theory applied to policy gradient methods.

problem Understanding convergence of policy gradient methods in reinforcement learning.
method Large deviation rate function and contraction principle from large deviations theory.
result Convergence properties of policy gradient methods can be extended to various policy parametrizations.

We make policy optimization algorithms batch size-invariant by decoupling proximal and behavior policies.

problem Some policy optimization algorithms do not have batch size-invariance, leading to inefficiencies.
method We decouple the proximal policy from the behavior policy to achieve batch size-invariance.
result Our approach makes policy optimization algorithms more efficient and allows them to use stale data more effectively.

Develops RL for dynamic risk assessment in stochastic optimization.

problem Time-consistent risk assessment in stochastic optimization problems.
method Model-free reinforcement learning with dynamic convex risk measures, time-consistent dynamic programming, policy gradient updates, actor-critic neural network optimization.
result Demonstrates optimal policies for statistical arbitrage, financial hedging, and robot control.

Develops DPG methods for continuous-time RL with deterministic policies.

problem High variance and slow convergence in stochastic policy RL methods.
method Derives continuous-time policy gradient formula and proposes CT-DDPG algorithm.
result CT-DDPG achieves superior stability and faster convergence in continuous-time RL.

Improving sample efficiency has been a longstanding goal in reinforcement learning. This paper proposes VRMPO\mathtt{VRMPO} algorithm: a sample efficient policy gradient method with stochastic mirror descent. In VRMPO\mathtt{VRMPO}, a novel variance-reduced policy gradient estimator is presented to improve sample efficiency.…

2019-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we propose a novel reinforcement- learning algorithm consisting in a stochastic variance-reduced version of policy gradient for solving Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Stochastic variance-reduced gradient (SVRG) methods have proven to be very successful in supervised learning. However, their adaptation…

2018-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes regret distribution in stochastic bandits for risk balance.

problem Balancing regret expectation and tail risk in stochastic bandits.
method Characterizes optimal regret tail probability for any threshold, proposes new policies.
result Discovers an intrinsic gap in optimal tail rate based on time horizon uncertainty.

Recent advances in policy gradient methods and deep learning have demonstrated their applicability for complex reinforcement learning problems. However, the variance of the performance gradient estimates obtained from the simulation is often excessive, leading to poor sample efficiency. In this paper, we apply the stoc…

2017-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes insurance risks using stochastic models.

problem Interest rate and variance risks in unit-linked insurance policies.
method General stochastic volatility models and stochastic interest rates are used to price unit-linked life insurance contracts.
result A perfect hedging strategy is provided and compared with the Black-Scholes model.

In data-limited settings, stochastic policies can outperform deterministic ones in bandit problems.

problem Making reliable decisions with limited data in bandit problems.
method Designing TRUST, an algorithm that uses localization laws and relative pessimism.
result TRUST achieves comparable sample complexity to LCB on minimax problems but is significantly lower on few-sample problems.

The paper analyzes the intrinsic exploration terms in policy-gradient algorithms.

problem Exploration in policy-gradient algorithms and its impact on policy optimization.
method Numerical optimization criteria and stochastic gradient analysis.
result Exploration techniques improve policy optimization by smoothing the learning objective and modifying gradient estimates.

Study shows certainty equivalent policy minimizes regret in continuous-time systems.

problem Minimizing regret in continuous-time stochastic linear-quadratic systems.
method Theoretical analysis of randomized certainty equivalent policy.
result Establishes square-root of time regret bounds and linear scaling with parameters.

Policy gradient methods are powerful reinforcement learning algorithms and have been demonstrated to solve many complex tasks. However, these methods are also data-inefficient, afflicted with high variance gradient estimates, and frequently get stuck in local optima. This work addresses these weaknesses by combining re…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles counterfactual learning for stochastic policies with continuous actions.

problem Learning stochastic policies with continuous actions from logged data.
method Introduces a joint kernel embedding of contexts and actions to model continuous actions, and uses proximal point algorithms and smooth estimators for optimization.
result Demonstrates the benefits of using proximal point algorithms and smooth estimators for counterfactual learning.

Develops first-order methods for average-reward MDPs with strong guarantees.

problem Lack of strong theoretical guarantees for first-order methods in AMDPs.
method Average-reward stochastic policy mirror descent (SPMD) and variance-reduced temporal difference (VRTD) methods.
result Establishes sample complexity results for solving AMDPs.

We propose expected policy gradients (EPG), which unify stochastic policy gradients (SPG) and deterministic policy gradients (DPG) for reinforcement learning. Inspired by expected sarsa, EPG integrates across the action when estimating the gradient, instead of relying only on the action in the sampled trajectory. We es…

2017-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Under a Bayesian framework, we formulate the fully sequential sampling and selection decision in statistical ranking and selection as a stochastic control problem, and derive the associated Bellman equation. Using value function approximation, we derive an approximately optimal allocation policy. We show that this poli…

2017-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Reinforcement learning (RL) methods often rely on massive exploration data to search optimal policies, and suffer from poor sampling efficiency. This paper presents a mixed reinforcement learning (mixed RL) algorithm by simultaneously using dual representations of environmental dynamics to search the optimal policy wit…

2020-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach to portfolio optimization shows entropy regularization is ineffective.

problem Entropy regularization in mean-variance portfolio optimization under drift uncertainty.
method Combining Bayesian filtering and stochastic policy optimization.
result Entropy regularization does not accelerate learning about unknown drift.

Bayesian Markowitz portfolio problem shows entropy regularization is ineffective.

problem Entropy regularization in Bayesian Markowitz portfolio optimization.
method Combines continuous-time Bayesian filtering with stochastic policy optimization.
result Entropy regularization does not accelerate learning of unknown drift.

Short note on soft-max and policy gradients in bandit problems using Lyapunov functions.

problem Analyzing soft-max and policy gradient methods in bandit problems.
method Lyapunov function argument for soft-max and differential equations for policy gradient algorithms.
result Regret bounds for soft-max and a different policy gradient algorithm in bandit problems.

We propose expected policy gradients (EPG), which unify stochastic policy gradients (SPG) and deterministic policy gradients (DPG) for reinforcement learning. Inspired by expected sarsa, EPG integrates (or sums) across actions when estimating the gradient, instead of relying only on the action in the sampled trajectory…

2018-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗