PPPD framework extracts physical characterizations from stochastic mechanical systems.
problem Complex system behavior requires more than probabilistic descriptions of QoI.
method Probabilistic Performance-Pattern Decomposition (PPPD) framework.
result Decomposes system behaviors into meaningful patterns in response space.
Investigates financial and economic systems using statistical mechanics and information theory.
problem Complexity, asymmetry, stochasticity, and non-linearity in financial and economic systems.
method Model-based and empirical analyses using statistical mechanics and information theory.
result Derives probability distribution functions for better understanding of financial and economic dynamics.
This work proposes a new method for simultaneous probabilistic identification and control of an observable, fully-actuated mechanical system. Identification is achieved by conditioning stochastic process priors on observations of configurations and noisy estimates of configuration derivatives. In contrast to previous w…
Method recovers causal diffusion mechanisms from steady-state data without parametric assumptions.
problem Recovering causal diffusion mechanisms from steady-state gene expression data.
method Non-parametric kernel estimator for drift function, cross-validation for hyperparameter tuning.
result Full causal mechanism can be non-parametrically identified under weak non-explosion criterion.
Two-stage mechanism designs reduce regret in recommender systems with stochastic covariates.
problem Designing effective recommender systems with user covariates sampled online.
method Two-stage algorithm integrating incentivized exploration with offline learning methods.
result Achieves sublinear regret while maintaining incentive compatibility.
Develops a machine learning framework for computing most probable paths in stochastic systems.
problem Computing the most probable paths in stochastic dynamical systems.
method Reformulates the boundary value problem of Hamiltonian systems and uses a neural network to solve the Euler-Lagrange equation for the Onsager-Machlup action functional.
result Demonstrates the efficacy and accuracy of the machine learning approach in computing most probable paths for stochastic systems with various types of noise.
Paper develops a framework to discover bioprocessing regulatory mechanisms using symbolic and statistical learning.
problem Challenges in modeling complex intracellular regulation, stochastic system behavior, and limited experimental data.
method Symbolic and statistical learning framework based on stochastic differential equations and Bayesian learning.
result Improved sample efficiency and robust model selection compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
Quantum algorithm samples from SDEs using DQCs and quantile mechanics.
problem Sampling from solutions of stochastic differential equations.
method Differentiable quantum circuits (DQCs) encoding latent variables, quantile mechanics.
result Quantum algorithm generates time-series from SDEs.
The paper uses machine learning to compute rare event probabilities in stochastic systems.
problem Characterizing rare events in stochastic dynamical systems with weak noise.
method Developed a neural network framework for computing quasipotential, most probable paths, and prefactors.
result Demonstrated higher effectiveness and accuracy of the algorithm in calculating mean exit times.
Geometric arbitrage theory reformulates a generic asset model possibly allowing for arbitrage by packaging all asset and their forward dynamics into a stochastic principal fibre bundle, with a connection whose parallel transport encodes discounting and portfolio rebalancing, and whose curvature measures, in this geomet…
SNF combines stochastic and deterministic steps to sample complex distributions.
problem Sampling complex probability distributions efficiently.
method Stochastic Normalizing Flows (SNF) - sequence of invertible functions and stochastic blocks.
result SNFs improve efficiency and representational power over pure MCMC/LD.
Derives stochastic and dissipative dynamics preserving Gibbs measure.
problem Understanding and deriving structure-preserving stochastic systems.
method Extension of Hamilton-Pontryagin principle, symmetry reduction, and inclusion of dissipation.
result New derivation of double-bracket dissipation.
Method extracts governing laws from non-Gaussian stochastic systems data.
problem Modeling complex dynamics with non-Gaussian Lévy noise.
method Data-driven method to extract stochastic dynamical systems from noisy data.
result Established a theoretical framework and numerical algorithm to compute Lévy jump measure, drift, and diffusion.
DeepRSCN models nonlinear systems using stochastic configurations.
problem Modeling nonlinear dynamic systems efficiently.
method Incrementally constructed deep reservoir computing framework with random parameters and online weight updates.
result DeepRSCN outperforms single-layer networks in efficiency, learning, and generalization.
Studying a softmax-attention model, we show that the learned query converges to the latent signal subspace spanned by the informative direction.
problem Understanding the theoretical principles of attention mechanisms in large-scale token collections.
method Deriving a population objective and analyzing the limiting ordinary differential equation of the learning dynamics.
result The learned query asymptotically recovers the latent signal up to the intrinsic sign ambiguity.
Economies and societal structures in general are complex stochastic systems which may not lend themselves well to algebraic analysis. An addition of subjective value criteria to the mechanics of interacting agents will further complicate analysis. The purpose of this short study is to demonstrate capabilities of agent-…
PhI-GPR improves power grid state estimation and forecasting.
problem Accurate state estimation and forecasting in power grids with sparse measurements.
method Physics-informed Gaussian process regression (PhI-GPR) for stochastic differential equations.
result PhI-GPR provides more accurate forecasts and estimates of power grid states compared to ARIMA.
In this paper we study dynamic pricing mechanisms of financial derivatives. A typical model of such pricing mechanism is the so-called g--expectation defined by solutions of a backward stochastic differential equation with g as its generating function. Black-Scholes pricing model is a special linear case of this pricin…
Geometrically reformulates GENERIC stochastic dynamics.
problem Unified treatment of reversible and dissipative dynamics.
method Introduces degenerate Poisson structure, co-metric, and volume form.
result Preserves Boltzmann measure, conserves energy, reduces to deterministic limit.
Paper uses second-order differential geometry to study stochastic mechanics.
problem Stochastic differential equations and their symmetries.
method Develops second-order differential geometry to study symmetries of SDEs and constructs stochastic mechanics.
result Establishes stochastic Lagrangian and Hamiltonian mechanics and their relations with HJB equations.
The study examines how alternative resource adequacy contract designs affect market participants' risk profiles and resource mix.
problem The tension between promoting reliability and competition in liberalized electricity markets.
method Constructs a stochastic equilibrium model of a competitive market with incomplete risk trading and computes investment equilibria under different contracting regimes.
result Alternative contracting regimes can induce different risk profiles and resource mixes, affecting market outcomes.
Develops a framework to analyze financial structures.
problem Difficulty in systematic analysis, comparison, and verification of financial structures.
method Formalizes financial structures as structured allocation systems with explicit allocation operators.
result Specifies inputs, structural requirements, and feasibility restrictions for financial structures.
Paper tackles non-Markovian control problems with new learning methods.
problem Non-Markovian stochastic control problems with unknown parameters.
method Off-model training and importance sampling for deep neural network approximation.
result Quantitative error bounds for adaptive learning under model uncertainty.
This paper analyzes how periodic and soft target updates stabilize linear Q-learning.
problem Theoretical explanation of stabilization mechanisms for linear Q-learning.
method Exact analysis using switched linear system dynamics and the joint spectral radius.
result Periodic and soft target updates can guarantee convergence to the exact projected Q-Bellman solution under specific conditions.
Paper introduces a new deep-learning method for quantum mechanics.
problem Simulating time-evolving Schrödinger equations efficiently.
method Generative diffusion models and stochastic mechanics.
result Significantly lower computational complexity compared to existing methods.
Due to the limited predictability of wind power and other stochastic generation, trading this energy in competitive electricity markets is challenging. This paper derives revenue-maximising and risk-constrained strategies for stochastic generators participating in electricity markets with a single-price balancing mecha…
A solution for the Weinstein's Problem in the general framework of generalized Lie algebroids is the target of this paper. We present the mechanical systems called by use, mechanical (?; ?)-systems, Lagrange mechanical (?; ?)-systems or Finsler mechanical (?; ?)-systems and we develop their geometries. We obtain the ca…
In several experimental reports on nonconvex optimization problems in machine learning, stochastic gradient descent (SGD) was observed to prefer minimizers with flat basins in comparison to more deterministic methods, yet there is very little rigorous understanding of this phenomenon. In fact, the lack of such work has…
Generative model for condensed matter using Riemannian flow matching.
problem Sampling equilibrium distributions in condensed-phase systems.
method Riemannian flow matching to incorporate periodicity, using Hutchinson's trace estimator and cumulant expansion for bias correction.
result Highly accurate free energy estimates on monatomic ice without multistage estimators.
This paper suggests that business cycles may be a manifestation of coupled real economy and stock market dynamics and describes a mechanism that can generate economic fluctuations consistent with observed business cycles. To this end, we seek to incorporate into the macroeconomic framework a dynamic stock market model …
Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely depend on the number of transactions. We introduce the multiplicative stochastic mod…
Dynamical systems are widely used in science and engineering to model systems consisting of several interacting components. Often, they can be given a causal interpretation in the sense that they not only model the evolution of the states of the system's components over time, but also describe how their evolution is af…
Paper connects dynamics of mechanical systems to Reeb dynamics.
problem Understanding dynamics in mechanical systems with Poisson structures.
method Using Jacobi bundle metrics and linear Poisson structures.
result Extends classical results on Reeb dynamics to mechanical systems.
This work's purpose is to understand the dynamics of limit order books in order-driven markets. We try to illustrate a dynamical trading mechanism attached to the microstructure of limit order markets. We capture the iterative nature of trading processes, which is critical in the dynamics of bid-ask pairs and the switc…
This paper considers control systems defined on Lie algebroids. After deriving basic controllability tests for general control systems, we specialize our discussion to the class of mechanical control systems on Lie algebroids. This class of systems includes mechanical systems subject to holonomic and nonholonomic const…
Paper introduces a Gaussian Process for operator learning in computational mechanics.
problem Efficient and accurate solutions for large datasets with reliable uncertainty quantification.
method Gaussian Process (GP) embedded in a neural operator framework with stochastic dual descent (SDD) algorithm.
result Improves GP resolution independence and scalability for high-dimensional and non-linear systems.
A new description, different by the classical theory of Hamiltonian Mechanics, in the general framework of generalized Lie algebroids is presented. In the particular case of Lie algebroids, new and important results are obtained. We present the \emph{dual mechanical systems} called by use, \emph{dual mechanical}$(ρ,η) …
Kernel method approximates dynamical operators from data.
problem Estimating eigenfunctions of dynamical operators from data.
method Kernel-based approach in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result Eigenfunctions estimated via matrix eigenvalue problems.
The minority game (MG) model introduced recently provides promising insights into the understanding of the evolution of prices, indices and rates in the financial markets. In this paper we perform a time series analysis of the model employing tools from statistics, dynamical systems theory and stochastic processes. Usi…
A novel capsule network model improves surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification from sparse data.
problem Surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification of systems from sparse data.
method Adapted Capsule Network (CapsNet) architecture into image-to-image regression encoder-decoder network.
result The proposed approach accurately, efficiently, and robustly predicts responses for arbitrary diffusion fields.
In this paper, we consider a generalization of variational calculus which allows us to consider in the same framework different cases of mechanical systems, for instance, Lagrangian mechanics, Hamiltonian mechanics, systems subjected to constraints, optimal control theory and so on. This generalized variational calculu…
The paper analyzes errors in mechanical systems with external forces.
problem Error analysis of mechanical systems with external forces.
method Analysis of variational integrators with contact order r for discrete mechanical systems. result The contact order of the integrator is the same as the contact order of the original systems.
The purpose of this paper is describe Lagrangian Mechanics for constrained systems on Lie algebroids, a natural framework which covers a wide range of situations (systems on Lie groups, quotients by the action of a Lie group, standard tangent bundles...). In particular, we are interested in two cases: singular Lagrangi…
Studies geometric mechanics for autonomous and nonautonomous systems.
problem Understanding the geometric basis of mechanics.
method Geometric descriptions, Lagrangian, Hamiltonian, unified formalisms, symmetries, variational principles.
result Characterization of dynamical systems' properties and characteristics.
The paper simplifies complex mechanical systems with external forces.
problem Analyzing symmetric discrete mechanical systems with external forces.
method Lagrangian reduction and reconstruction for principal bundles.
result Evolution of momentum maps and Poisson structures under different conditions.
Study robust control for systems with continuous states using adversarial perturbations.
problem Fragile policies in Markov control models under internal or external perturbations.
method Distributionally robust stochastic control with adaptive adversarial perturbations.
result Optimal robust policies for continuous state systems with uniform learning guarantees.
Mechanism designs for unknown agent values in stochastic bandit settings.
problem Designing truthful mechanisms for maximizing social welfare in settings with unknown agent values and stochastic feedback.
method Developed a VCG-like mechanism with regret bounds for multi-round allocations, balancing agent and seller welfare.
result Achieved an $Ω(T^{ rac{2}{3}})$ lower bound for the maximum of welfare, agent utilities, and mechanism utility after T rounds. Paper tackles learning win-win solutions in aggregation systems.
problem Learning approximate equilibrium solutions in aggregation systems to keep suppliers.
method Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) with variance reduction mechanism.
result Approach reduces value variance and moves joint solution closer to Nash Equilibrium.