In this work we present a new approach on studying dynamical systems. Combining the two ways of expressing the uncertainty, using probabilistic theory and credibility theory, we have research the generalized fractional hybrid equations. We have introduced the concepts of generalized fractional Wiener process, generaliz…
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48 results for “stochastic hybrid systems”
Novel method uses PDifMPs to price American options more accurately.
problem Inaccurate pricing of American options due to constant drift and volatility assumptions.
method Piecewise diffusion Markov processes (PDifMPs) integrated with continuous dynamics and discrete jumps.
result PDifMPs provide a more accurate reflection of market behaviour in American option pricing.
Enhances RSCNs with hybrid regularization for nonlinear dynamics.
problem Modeling nonlinear dynamic systems with uncertainties.
method Recurrent stochastic configuration networks with hybrid regularization.
result The method outperforms other models in nonlinear system identification and industrial tasks.
Optimizes control of hybrid systems with multiple switching processes.
problem Optimal control of hybrid systems with multiple Markov switching processes.
method Combines two separate Markov chains into one synthetic chain, derives HJB equations, and solves the portfolio choice problem.
result Derives explicit solutions and value functions for the optimal control problem.
A fast method estimates correlations in hybrid systems using observable market data.
problem Estimating instantaneous correlations in hybrid systems from observable data.
method Empirical correlations between observable market quantities are used to estimate state variables' correlations. Linear systems are involved, and the matrix is converted to positive semidefinite if necessary.
result The estimates are reasonably accurate, especially with more than 1,000 data points.
A new hybrid algorithm reduces stochastic gradient evaluations for nonconvex optimization.
problem Solving stochastic composite nonconvex optimization problems efficiently.
method Proposes a new hybrid variance-reduced proximal gradient method with a stochastic gradient estimator.
result Achieves optimal stochastic oracle complexity bound with one less gradient evaluation.
This article is concerned with learning and stochastic control in physical systems which contain unknown input signals. These unknown signals are modeled as Gaussian processes (GP) with certain parametrized covariance structures. The resulting latent force models (LFMs) can be seen as hybrid models that contain a first…
Breaks down complex nonlinear dynamics into simpler components.
problem Control of nonlinear dynamical systems remains challenging.
method Inspired by hybrid switching systems, decomposes dynamics into simpler stochastic switching linear dynamical systems.
result Extracts hierarchies of Markovian and auto-regressive locally linear controllers from nonlinear experts.
Hybrid method improves mutual information estimation from samples.
problem Estimating mutual information from joint distributions is challenging.
method Proposes a hybrid method combining discriminative and generative approaches.
result Hybrid methods yield tighter variational bounds on mutual information.
Defines hybrid systems on principal bundles and studies impact effects.
problem Understanding impact effects in hybrid mechanical systems.
method Defines hybrid systems on principal bundles, studies underlying geometry, and finds conditions for impact preservation.
result Conditions for preservation of both exterior and interior impacts by mechanical connections.
Hybrid systems are characterized by having an interaction between continuous dynamics and discrete events. The contribution of this paper is to provide hybrid systems with a novel geometric formulation so that controls can be added. Using this framework we describe some new global controllability tests for hybrid contr…
Paper derives analytical formulas for NLD-CEV moments with regime switching.
problem Analytical tractability of NLD-CEV models under stochastic regimes.
method Hybrid system approach using Feynman-Kac formula for solving interconnected PDEs.
result Exact closed-form expressions for fractional-order conditional moments.
A new hybrid Newton algorithm improves convergence in logistic regression.
problem Solving large-scale binary classification problems efficiently.
method Proposes a hybrid stochastic Newton algorithm with two weighted components in the Hessian matrix estimation.
result Proves almost sure convergence to the true parameter of logistic regression.
Expert augmentation improves hybrid model generalization.
problem Limited generalization of hybrid models outside training distribution.
method Introducing expert augmentation to improve hybrid model performance.
result Expert augmentation improves generalization of hybrid models.
We introduce a hybrid stochastic estimator to design stochastic gradient algorithms for solving stochastic optimization problems. Such a hybrid estimator is a convex combination of two existing biased and unbiased estimators and leads to some useful property on its variance. We limit our consideration to a hybrid SARAH…
Pricing vulnerable options in a hybrid credit risk model driven by Heston-Nandi GARCH processesq-fin.PR
Hybrid model prices vulnerable options with stochastic volatility.
problem Pricing options with stochastic volatility and credit risk.
method Closed-form hybrid credit risk model with Heston-Nandi GARCH processes.
result Explicit pricing formula for vulnerable options.
When the Poincaré map associated with a periodic orbit of a hybrid dynamical system has constant-rank iterates, we demonstrate the existence of a constant-dimensional invariant subsystem near the orbit which attracts all nearby trajectories in finite time. This result shows that the long-term behavior of a hybrid model…
Hybrid continuous-discrete models naturally represent many real-world applications in robotics, finance, and environmental engineering. Inference with large-scale models is challenging because relational structures deteriorate rapidly during inference with observations. The main contribution of this paper is an efficie…
We propose a novel and generic calibration technique for four-factor foreign-exchange hybrid local-stochastic volatility models with stochastic short rates. We build upon the particle method introduced by Guyon and Labordère [Nonlinear Option Pricing, Chapter 11, Chapman and Hall, 2013] and combine it with new variance…
In this paper, we consider the problem of pricing discretely-sampled variance swaps based on a hybrid model of stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate with regime-switching. Our modelling framework extends the Heston stochastic volatility model by including the CIR stochastic interest rate and model paramete…
Efficient method for pricing multi-asset options with local volatility.
problem Pricing options on multiple assets with varying volatility.
method Generic hybrid numerical method for efficient pricing.
result Efficient pricing of multi-asset options with local volatility.
Paper proposes hybrid machine learning for tuning first principles models in engineering systems.
problem Inaccurate first principles models in process engineering due to changing conditions.
method Hybrid machine learning framework using Bayesian Neural Networks.
result Uncertainty estimates improve operation decisions in multiphase flow modeling.
Researchers prove inequalities for reaction-diffusion systems using a new curvature-dimension condition.
problem Proving Li-Yau and Harnack inequalities for systems of linear reaction-diffusion equations.
method Introducing a hybrid curvature-dimension condition and proving a differential Harnack estimate.
result A Harnack inequality holds under the hybrid curvature-dimension condition with .
A hybrid ASR system using conformer architecture improves word-error-rate and training speed.
problem Improving word-error-rate and training efficiency for hybrid ASR systems.
method Used conformer architecture, applied time downsampling, and transposed convolutions.
result Conformer-based hybrid model achieves competitive results and significantly outperforms BLSTM-based hybrid model.
Hybrid model predicts flow and pressure in water systems.
problem Predicting flow and pressure in water distribution systems with complex spatial-temporal correlations.
method Hybrid dual-stage spatial-temporal attention-based recurrent neural networks (hDS-RNN).
result Our model outperformed 9 baseline models in flow and pressure series prediction.
Stablecoins are reshaping global monetary systems, offering hybrid structures with public and private monies.
problem The evolution of stablecoins from crypto innovation to a global monetary component.
method Econometric analysis and hybrid system design modeling.
result Stablecoins maintain strong peg stability, and a hybrid system design ensures financial resilience.
Hybrid model combines SV and LSTM for S&P 500 volatility forecasting.
problem Accurate forecasting of S&P 500 index volatility.
method Integrates Stochastic Volatility with LSTM networks.
result Hybrid model outperforms standalone SV and LSTM models.
This paper considers the case of pricing discretely-sampled variance swaps under the class of equity-interest rate hybridization. Our modeling framework consists of the equity which follows the dynamics of the Heston stochastic volatility model, and the stochastic interest rate is driven by the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR)…
Proposes a deep hybrid model for better recommendation systems.
problem Limited studies on hybrid recommender systems and the need for more advanced approaches.
method Integrates deep learning with ID embeddings and auxiliary features for improved recommendation.
result Improves recommendation results over deep learning models using ID embeddings.
There is an implicit assumption that traditional hybrid approaches for automatic speech recognition (ASR) cannot directly model graphemes and need to rely on phonetic lexicons to get competitive performance, especially on English which has poor grapheme-phoneme correspondence. In this work, we show for the first time t…
This paper provides a geometrical derivation of the Hybrid Minimum Principle (HMP) for autonomous hybrid systems whose state manifolds constitute Lie groups which are left invariant under the controlled dynamics of the system, and whose switching manifolds are defined as smooth embedded time invariant subma…
Stochastic fluctuations of molecule numbers are ubiquitous in biological systems. Important examples include gene expression and enzymatic processes in living cells. Such systems are typically modelled as chemical reaction networks whose dynamics are governed by the Chemical Master Equation. Despite its simple structur…
Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they are affected by jumps. To this end, we introduce Neural Jump Stochastic Different…
A new method reduces the complexity of decentralized optimization.
problem Decentralized stochastic non-convex optimization over a network.
method GT-HSGD, a hybrid variance-reduced method.
result Achieves an oracle complexity of O(n^(-1)ε^(-3)) for small ε.
Hybrid model simulates market dynamics using neural stochastic background traders.
problem Lack of realistic LOB simulations that combine historical data and dynamic interactions.
method Neural stochastic background trader trained on historical LOB data, embedded in multi-agent simulation.
result Hybrid model recreates stylised market facts and financial herding behaviors.
We introduce a new approach to develop stochastic optimization algorithms for a class of stochastic composite and possibly nonconvex optimization problems. The main idea is to combine two stochastic estimators to create a new hybrid one. We first introduce our hybrid estimator and then investigate its fundamental prope…
BLADE uses Bayesian methods to discover complex systems from scarce data.
problem Efficiently discovering governing equations of complex dynamical systems from limited data.
method Combines replica-exchange stochastic gradient Langevin Monte Carlo with active learning.
result Reduces measurement requirements by 60% for Lotka-Volterra and 40% for Burgers' equation.
Study develops hybrid model to mitigate stablecoin liquidity risk.
problem Increasing integration of stablecoins introduces liquidity risk during market stress.
method Hybrid monetary architecture with 100% reserve backing and liquidity facilities.
result Demonstrates significant reduction in peg deviations and stress persistence.
Bayesian hybrid models fuse physics-based insights with machine learning constructs to correct for systematic bias. In this paper, we compare Bayesian hybrid models against physics-based glass-box and Gaussian process black-box surrogate models. We consider ballistic firing as an illustrative case study for a Bayesian …
A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have demonstrated promising results for forecasting chaotic systems purely from past time…
The hybrid Monte Carlo algorithm (HMCA) is applied for Bayesian parameter estimation of the realized stochastic volatility (RSV) model. Using the 2nd order minimum norm integrator (2MNI) for the molecular dynamics (MD) simulation in the HMCA, we find that the 2MNI is more efficient than the conventional leapfrog integr…
Hybrid AI system combines technical, sentiment analysis for adaptive equity trading.
problem Traditional trading strategies fail during high volatility and regime shifts.
method Combines trend-following, mean-reversion, sentiment analysis, machine learning, and market regime filtering.
result Hybrid model achieved 135.49% return on investment over 24 months.
A framework for computing holonomy groups of hybrid systems to achieve forward motion.
problem Achieving forward motion from periodic leg motion.
method Developing a framework for computing holonomy groups of hybrid systems.
result Computing holonomy groups of hybrid systems to achieve non-zero net motion.
Develops a flexible deep autoencoding topic model with scalable hybrid Bayesian inference.
problem Flexible and interpretable document analysis models.
method DATM with hybrid Bayesian inference, including topic-layer-adaptive stochastic gradient Riemannian MCMC and Weibull variational encoder.
result Demonstrates scalability and efficacy on big corpora in unsupervised and supervised learning tasks.
Model predicts BESS interactions and price impacts in energy markets.
problem Understanding BESS interactions and price formation in energy markets.
method Stochastic game-theoretic model with linear-quadratic differential game.
result Equilibrium controls and prices derived for BESSs in both heterogeneous and homogeneous settings.
Hybrid models combine interpretable and complex models for better performance and control.
problem Improving model performance and user transparency in machine learning.
method Investigates hybrid models from theory, taxonomy, and methodological perspectives.
result Hybrid models can outperform standalone black boxes and provide precise control over transparency.
The paper develops a faster surrogate model for simulators using hybrid methods.
problem The need for faster validation of automotive technologies using simulators.
method Testing classical methods and building hybrid models combining them.
result A hybrid surrogate model outperforms classical methods in multivariate time series prediction.
This paper presents several numerical applications of deep learning-based algorithms that have been introduced in [HPBL18]. Numerical and comparative tests using TensorFlow illustrate the performance of our different algorithms, namely control learning by performance iteration (algorithms NNcontPI and ClassifPI), contr…