A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Develops polynomial diffusion models for multi-factor commodity futures dynamics.
Improved growth strategies by incorporating stochastic factors in asset returns.
Study forward investment performance in semimartingale markets with stochastic factors.
The paper solves investment problems with uncertain factors using game theory.
Study optimal investment and consumption in a stochastic factor model.
A study finds that only a few factors explain corporate bond risk, rendering extensive bond factor literature redundant.
Study asset price bubbles using random matching and stochastic factors.
This paper tackles robust growth maximization with stochastic factors, finding optimal strategies independent of the factor process.
The paper studies the continuous-time dynamics of VIX with stochastic volatility and jumps in VIX and volatility. Built on the general parametric affine model with stochastic volatility and jump in logarithm of VIX, we derive a linear relation between the stochastic volatility factor and VVIX index. We detect the exist…
In the option valuation literature, the shortcomings of one factor stochastic volatility models have traditionally been addressed by adding jumps to the stock price process. An alternate approach in the context of option pricing and calibration of implied volatility is the addition of a few other factors to the volatil…
The paper calculates how fast optimal investment strategies approach CRRA strategies in stochastic factor models.
A new multi-factor model improves commodity pricing accuracy.
Novel method for estimating currency option parameters with improved accuracy.
We propose a novel and generic calibration technique for four-factor foreign-exchange hybrid local-stochastic volatility models with stochastic short rates. We build upon the particle method introduced by Guyon and Labordère [Nonlinear Option Pricing, Chapter 11, Chapman and Hall, 2013] and combine it with new variance…
Empirical evidence suggests that fixed income markets exhibit unspanned stochastic volatility (USV), that is, that one cannot fully hedge volatility risk solely using a portfolio of bonds. While [1] showed that no two-factor Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model can exhibit USV, it has been unknown to date whether CIR models …
The purpose of this paper is to study the generalized Fong--Vasicek two-factor interest rate model with stochastic volatility. In this model the dispersion of the stochastic short rate (square of volatility) is assumed to be stochastic as well and it follows a non-negative process with volatility proportional to the sq…
New method solves SLV models faster using Lie algebra.
An ADRC-incorporated SGD algorithm improves latent factor analysis speed and accuracy.
Paper solves portfolio problem using improved stochastic methods.
This paper considers a restriction to non-negative matrix factorization in which at least one matrix factor is stochastic. That is, the elements of the matrix factors are non-negative and the columns of one matrix factor sum to 1. This restriction includes topic models, a popular method for analyzing unstructured data.…
The paper solves multi-period portfolio selection with constraints using a dynamic factor model.
Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF), a dimensionality reduction and factor analysis method, is a special case in which factor matrices have low-rank nonnegative constraints. Considering the stochastic learning in NMF, we specifically address the multiplicative update (MU) rule, which is the most popular, but which h…
We present a method based on the orthogonal symmetric non-negative matrix tri-factorization of the normalized Laplacian matrix for community detection in complex networks. While the exact factorization of a given order may not exist and is NP hard to compute, we obtain an approximate factorization by solving an optimiz…
This paper investigates factors influencing SGD minima.
In this paper we are interested in term structure models for pricing zero coupon bonds under rapidly oscillating stochastic volatility. We analyze solutions to the generalized Cox-Ingersoll-Ross two factors model describing clustering of interest rate volatilities. The main goal is to derive an asymptotic expansion of …
Authors improve accuracy analysis for portfolio optimization with multiple timescale factors.
In the present work, we propose a new multifactor stochastic volatility model in which slow factor of volatility is approximated by a parabolic arc. We retain ourselves to the perturbation technique to obtain approximate expression for European option prices. We introduce the notion of modified Black-Scholes price. We …
Deep neural networks decompose SDF into linear and nonlinear components.
In this work we investigate the optimal proportional reinsurance-investment strategy of an insurance company which wishes to maximize the expected exponential utility of its terminal wealth in a finite time horizon. Our goal is to extend the classical Cramer-Lundberg model introducing a stochastic factor which affects …
We study the optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance problem when both the intensity of the claims arrival process and the claim size distribution are influenced by an exogenous stochastic factor. We assume that the insurer's surplus is governed by a marked point process with dual-predictable projection affected by an envir…
Deep model learns complex latent codes without assuming factor structure.
Latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) is useful in document analysis, image processing, and many information systems; however, its generalization performance has been left unknown because it is a singular learning machine to which regular statistical theory can not be applied. Stochastic matrix factorization (SMF) is a res…
In an incomplete market, with incompleteness stemming from stochastic factors imperfectly correlated with the underlying stocks, we derive representations of homothetic (power, exponential and logarithmic) forward performance processes in factor-form using ergodic BSDE. We also develop a connection between the forward …
In risk management it is desirable to grasp the essential statistical features of a time series representing a risk factor. This tutorial aims to introduce a number of different stochastic processes that can help in grasping the essential features of risk factors describing different asset classes or behaviors. This pa…
Develops a new model for collateral choice options under stochastic rates.
This paper optimizes portfolio management in incomplete markets with stochastic factors, considering periodic wealth evaluations.
Investigates portfolio selection with transaction costs and stochastic volatility, using deep learning for computation.
Investigates optimal PPI strategies to reduce carbon emissions while managing financial risk.
By Gyongy's theorem, a local and stochastic volatility (LSV) model is calibrated to the market prices of all European call options with positive maturities and strikes if its local volatility function is equal to the ratio of the Dupire local volatility function over the root conditional mean square of the stochastic v…
Beta process is the standard nonparametric Bayesian prior for latent factor model. In this paper, we derive a structured mean-field variational inference algorithm for a beta process non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) model with Poisson likelihood. Unlike the linear Gaussian model, which is well-studied in the non…
Asset prices contain information about the probability distribution of future states and the stochastic discounting of those states as used by investors. To better understand the challenge in distinguishing investors' beliefs from risk-adjusted discounting, we use Perron-Frobenius Theory to isolate a positive martingal…
We introduce a multivariate stochastic volatility model for asset returns that imposes no restrictions to the structure of the volatility matrix and treats all its elements as functions of latent stochastic processes. When the number of assets is prohibitively large, we propose a factor multivariate stochastic volatili…
This work connects LLE, factor analysis, and probabilistic PCA through a stochastic perspective.
An innovative extension of Geometric Brownian Motion model is developed by incorporating a weighting factor and a stochastic function modelled as a mixture of power and trigonometric functions. Simulations based on this Modified Brownian Motion Model with optimal weighting factors selected by goodness of fit tests, sub…
Optimizes portfolios with constraints and stochastic factors, deriving explicit solutions.
This paper corrects an error in [Keller-Ressel, M. and Steiner T. "Yield curve shapes and the asymptotic short rate distribution in affine one-factor models." Finance and Stochastics 12.2 (2008): 149-172]. The error concerns the correct expression for the boundary between normal and humped yield curve behavior in affin…
The study calibrates VIX and VXX options using a multi-factor model.
Proves existence and uniqueness of calibrated LSV model.