Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF), a dimensionality reduction and factor analysis method, is a special case in which factor matrices have low-rank nonnegative constraints. Considering the stochastic learning in NMF, we specifically address the multiplicative update (MU) rule, which is the most popular, but which h…
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48 results for “stochastic factor”
Authors improve accuracy analysis for portfolio optimization with multiple timescale factors.
problem Asymptotic accuracy of portfolio optimization approximations for general utility functions and two timescale factors.
method Construct sub- and super-solutions to fully nonlinear problem.
result Rigorous justification of accuracy for portfolio optimization with general utility functions and two timescale factors.
This paper tackles robust growth maximization with stochastic factors, finding optimal strategies independent of the factor process.
problem Maximizing asymptotic growth under model uncertainty with stochastic factor processes.
method Combines techniques from partial differential equations, calculus of variations, and generalized Dirichlet forms.
result Optimal trading strategy is functionally generated and independent of the stochastic factor process.
Improved growth strategies by incorporating stochastic factors in asset returns.
problem Drift uncertainty in asset returns makes growth optimization strategies sensitive.
method Study robust growth-optimization in high-dimensional incomplete markets under drift uncertainty and ergodicity.
result Utilizing stochastic factors improves robust growth rates and optimal strategies.
The paper solves investment problems with uncertain factors using game theory.
problem Optimal forward investment in an incomplete market with model uncertainty.
method Combining stochastic differential games and ergodic BSDE approach.
result Representation of robust forward performance processes in factor form.
Develops polynomial diffusion models for multi-factor commodity futures dynamics.
problem Modeling futures prices using latent state variables for short and long-term stochastic factors.
method Polynomial diffusion models to incorporate non-linear effects, two filtering methods for estimation.
result Accurate estimation of futures prices despite parameter identification issues in polynomial diffusion models.
Study forward investment performance in semimartingale markets with stochastic factors.
problem Investigate forward investment performance in incomplete semimartingale markets with power risk preferences and stochastic integrated factors.
method Develop necessary and sufficient conditions for FIPP existence, use integral representations, and solve ill-posed HJB equations.
result Explicit constructions for time-monotone FIPPs in semimartingale models, generalizing from Brownian to semimartingale markets.
Study optimal investment and consumption in a stochastic factor model.
problem Optimal investment and consumption decisions in a stochastic factor model.
method Characterization of well-posedness, numerical algorithm, and general theory of sub- and supersolutions for HJB equation.
result Proves existence and provides bounds for the solution to the HJB equation.
The Co-Pricing Factor Zooq-fin.PR
A study finds that only a few factors explain corporate bond risk, rendering extensive bond factor literature redundant.
problem The redundancy of extensive bond factor literature in explaining corporate bond risk premia.
method Bayesian Model Averaging Stochastic Discount Factor analysis of 18 quadrillion models.
result A Bayesian Model Averaging SDF explains risk premia better than low-dimensional models, with an out-of-sample Sharpe ratio of 1.5 to 1.8.
Paper solves portfolio problem using improved stochastic methods.
problem Finite horizon consumption-investment problem under stochastic factor framework.
method Proves existence of classical solution for semilinear equation using gradient estimates.
result Proves existence of classical solution and provides all necessary estimates.
Theoretical Connection between Locally Linear Embedding, Factor Analysis, and Probabilistic PCAstat.ML
This work connects LLE, factor analysis, and probabilistic PCA through a stochastic perspective.
problem Exploring the theoretical connection between LLE, factor analysis, and probabilistic PCA.
method Solving the stochastic linear reconstruction of LLE using expectation maximization.
result LLE, factor analysis, and probabilistic PCA are shown to be connected through a stochastic perspective.
Optimizes portfolios with constraints and stochastic factors, deriving explicit solutions.
problem Optimizing expected utility in an incomplete market with stochastic factors and convex constraints.
method Fundamental duality results and HJB PDE, derived condition for exponential affine solutions.
result Explicit expressions for optimal allocations and Riccati ODE solutions in specific markets.
The paper studies the continuous-time dynamics of VIX with stochastic volatility and jumps in VIX and volatility. Built on the general parametric affine model with stochastic volatility and jump in logarithm of VIX, we derive a linear relation between the stochastic volatility factor and VVIX index. We detect the exist…
Study asset price bubbles using random matching and stochastic factors.
problem Understanding and modeling asset price bubbles through investor contagion.
method Developed a stochastic model of liquidity-based asset price bubbles using random matching mechanism.
result Derived conditions for arbitrage-free financial market models.
This paper investigates factors influencing SGD minima.
problem Understanding the factors that influence the minima found by SGD.
method Examined learning rate, batch size, Hessian, and gradient covariance; used stochastic differential equations to model SGD.
result The ratio of batch size to learning rate is a main factor in SGD dynamics.
The paper calculates how fast optimal investment strategies approach CRRA strategies in stochastic factor models.
problem Understanding convergence rates of optimal investment strategies in stochastic factor models.
method Analyzes optimal feedback functions in nonlinear and quadratic term structure models, considering decay of bond prices and power-like utility at high wealth levels.
result Convergence rates of optimal investment strategies to CRRA strategies are determined by bond price decay and power-like utility behavior.
In the option valuation literature, the shortcomings of one factor stochastic volatility models have traditionally been addressed by adding jumps to the stock price process. An alternate approach in the context of option pricing and calibration of implied volatility is the addition of a few other factors to the volatil…
A new multi-factor model improves commodity pricing accuracy.
problem Enhancing accuracy in commodity pricing by integrating multiple risk factors.
method A four-factor model using Kalman filter for simultaneous estimation and state variable filtering.
result The four-factor model outperforms existing models in capturing futures term structures and crude oil pricing.
Study market-to-book ratios using Stochastic Portfolio Theory.
problem Identify the value factor in stock returns.
method Develop functionally generated portfolios using book values and analyze their relative returns.
result The value factor (market-to-book ratio) affects portfolio performance.
Estimating the Stochastic Discount Factor from Option Prices and Predicting the Equity Premiumq-fin.MF
The paper proposes a new SDF scaled by time-varying volatility from S&P 500 options.
problem Estimating the SDF from option prices and predicting the equity premium.
method Utilizes S&P 500 options data to recover a stable, non-monotonic SDF.
result The SDF exhibits a hump on the put side, which transitions into a W-shape with maturity.
Novel method for estimating currency option parameters with improved accuracy.
problem Improving currency option pricing accuracy and calibration process.
method Develops approximate formulas for two parameters in stochastic volatility models with exponentially-affine characteristic functions.
result Superior accuracy in parameter estimation for currency options.
This paper considers a restriction to non-negative matrix factorization in which at least one matrix factor is stochastic. That is, the elements of the matrix factors are non-negative and the columns of one matrix factor sum to 1. This restriction includes topic models, a popular method for analyzing unstructured data.…
We propose a novel and generic calibration technique for four-factor foreign-exchange hybrid local-stochastic volatility models with stochastic short rates. We build upon the particle method introduced by Guyon and Labordère [Nonlinear Option Pricing, Chapter 11, Chapman and Hall, 2013] and combine it with new variance…
In this paper, we implement a stochastic deflator with five economic and financial risk factors: interest rates, market price of risk, stock prices, default intensities, and convenience yields. We examine the deflator with different financial assets, such as stocks, zero-coupon bonds, vanilla options, and corporate cou…
Despite having various attractive qualities such as high prediction accuracy and the ability to quantify uncertainty and avoid over-fitting, Bayesian Matrix Factorization has not been widely adopted because of the prohibitive cost of inference. In this paper, we propose a scalable distributed Bayesian matrix factorizat…
An ADRC-incorporated SGD algorithm improves latent factor analysis speed and accuracy.
problem Slow convergence in standard SGD for HDI matrix analysis.
method Incorporates ADRC principles to refine historical and future learning error states.
result Empirically outperforms state-of-the-art LFA models in HDI matrix prediction.
Empirical evidence suggests that fixed income markets exhibit unspanned stochastic volatility (USV), that is, that one cannot fully hedge volatility risk solely using a portfolio of bonds. While [1] showed that no two-factor Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model can exhibit USV, it has been unknown to date whether CIR models …
New method solves SLV models faster using Lie algebra.
problem Local stochastic volatility models.
method Wei-Norman factorization method and Lie algebraic techniques.
result Reduces time-dependent SLV models to autonomous PDEs.
We present a method based on the orthogonal symmetric non-negative matrix tri-factorization of the normalized Laplacian matrix for community detection in complex networks. While the exact factorization of a given order may not exist and is NP hard to compute, we obtain an approximate factorization by solving an optimiz…
Optimal portfolio under ratio-type periodic evaluation in incomplete markets with stochastic factorsq-fin.PM
This paper optimizes portfolio management in incomplete markets with stochastic factors, considering periodic wealth evaluations.
problem Optimizing portfolio performance in an incomplete market model with stochastic factors and periodic wealth evaluations.
method Developed a martingale duality approach to find optimal portfolio processes and dual minimizers.
result Established the existence of optimal portfolio processes and identified dual minimizers as the 'least favorable' market completion.
The purpose of this paper is to study the generalized Fong--Vasicek two-factor interest rate model with stochastic volatility. In this model the dispersion of the stochastic short rate (square of volatility) is assumed to be stochastic as well and it follows a non-negative process with volatility proportional to the sq…
In an incomplete market, with incompleteness stemming from stochastic factors imperfectly correlated with the underlying stocks, we derive representations of homothetic (power, exponential and logarithmic) forward performance processes in factor-form using ergodic BSDE. We also develop a connection between the forward …
Latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) is useful in document analysis, image processing, and many information systems; however, its generalization performance has been left unknown because it is a singular learning machine to which regular statistical theory can not be applied. Stochastic matrix factorization (SMF) is a res…
Large and Deep Factor Modelsq-fin.ST
Deep neural networks decompose SDF into linear and nonlinear components.
problem Constructing accurate stochastic discount factors (SDFs) for pricing.
method Additive decomposition of a deep neural network trained to construct SDFs.
result The PTK representation delivers significant performance gains in equity data.
We study the optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance problem when both the intensity of the claims arrival process and the claim size distribution are influenced by an exogenous stochastic factor. We assume that the insurer's surplus is governed by a marked point process with dual-predictable projection affected by an envir…
Quadratic approximation of slow factor of volatility in a Multi-factor Stochastic volatility Modelq-fin.PR
In the present work, we propose a new multifactor stochastic volatility model in which slow factor of volatility is approximated by a parabolic arc. We retain ourselves to the perturbation technique to obtain approximate expression for European option prices. We introduce the notion of modified Black-Scholes price. We …
Dynamic Factor Model-Based Multiperiod Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection with Portfolio Constraintsq-fin.PM
The paper solves multi-period portfolio selection with constraints using a dynamic factor model.
problem Multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection with constraints.
method Dynamic factor model, dynamic programming, piecewise linear feedback policy.
result Optimal portfolio policies determined by two stochastic processes.
Deep weight factorization improves neural network training through smooth optimization of sparse penalties.
problem Challenges in applying sparse regularization in neural networks due to non-differentiability of penalties.
method Introduces deep weight factorization, decomposing weights into multiple factors for smooth optimization of -penalized networks.
result Deep weight factorization outperforms shallow factorization and pruning methods consistently across various architectures and datasets.
FSGD uses latent factors to scale SGD for high-dimensional learning.
problem Scalable optimization in high-dimensional machine learning.
method Factor-Augmented SGD (FSGD) that operates on streaming data.
result Established theoretical framework for latent factor estimation error in SGD.
Generative LLE modifies LLE to generate stochastic embeddings.
problem Nonlinear dimensionality reduction and manifold learning.
method Generative LLE modifies LLE by using stochastic linear reconstruction.
result Generative LLE can generate various LLE embeddings stochastically.
In this work we investigate the optimal proportional reinsurance-investment strategy of an insurance company which wishes to maximize the expected exponential utility of its terminal wealth in a finite time horizon. Our goal is to extend the classical Cramer-Lundberg model introducing a stochastic factor which affects …
On the singular limit of solutions to the CIR interest rate model with stochastic volatilityq-fin.CP
In this paper we are interested in term structure models for pricing zero coupon bonds under rapidly oscillating stochastic volatility. We analyze solutions to the generalized Cox-Ingersoll-Ross two factors model describing clustering of interest rate volatilities. The main goal is to derive an asymptotic expansion of …
Paper improves efficiency in matrix computations for Gaussian processes.
problem Efficiency in matrix computations for Gaussian processes.
method Variance reduction via matrix factorization.
result Factorized estimator can be up to 1,000 times more efficient.
Misspecified Recoveryq-fin.MF
Asset prices contain information about the probability distribution of future states and the stochastic discounting of those states as used by investors. To better understand the challenge in distinguishing investors' beliefs from risk-adjusted discounting, we use Perron-Frobenius Theory to isolate a positive martingal…
We improve private training accuracy with learning rate schedules and matrix factorizations.
problem Private training with learning rate schedules and correlated noise.
method General upper and lower bounds for learning rate schedules, memory-efficient constructions, and schedule-aware factorizations.
result Schedule-aware factorizations improve accuracy in private training.
In risk management it is desirable to grasp the essential statistical features of a time series representing a risk factor. This tutorial aims to introduce a number of different stochastic processes that can help in grasping the essential features of risk factors describing different asset classes or behaviors. This pa…
Continuous-Time Portfolio Choice Under Monotone Mean-Variance Preferences-Stochastic Factor Caseq-fin.PM
We consider an incomplete market with a nontradable stochastic factor and a continuous time investment problem with an optimality criterion based on monotone mean-variance preferences. We formulate it as a stochastic differential game problem and use Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman-Isaacs equations to find an optimal investmen…
The paper analyzes DeepWalk and node2vec for community detection in stochastic blockmodels.
problem Theoretical understanding of community detection in stochastic blockmodels.
method Matrix factorization perspective on DeepWalk and node2vec.
result Node2vec and DeepWalk can perfectly recover community memberships in sparse graphs.