Develops robust methods for infinite-dimensional stochastic processes.
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We provide sufficient conditions on the coefficients of a stochastic evolution equation on a Hilbert space of functions driven by a cylindrical Wiener process ensuring that its mild solution is positive if the initial datum is positive. As an application, we discuss the positivity of forward rates in the Heath-Jarrow-M…
In the article "Stochastic evolution equations for large portfolios of Stochastic Volatility models" (Arxiv:1701.05640) there is a mistake in the proof of Theorem 3.1. In this erratum we establish a weaker version of this Theorem and then we redevelop the regularity theory for our problem accordingly. This means that m…
We prove a maximum principle for mild solutions to stochastic evolution equations with (locally) Lipschitz coefficients and Wiener noise on weighted spaces. As an application, we provide sufficient conditions for the positivity of forward rates in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model, considering the associated Musiela …
In this paper we study the stochastic evolution equation (1.1) in martingale-type 2 Banach spaces (with the linear part of the drift being only a generator of a C0-semigroup). We prove the existence and the uniqueness of solutions to this equation. We apply the abstract results to the Heath-Jarrow-Morton-Musiela (HJMM)…
We perform a classification of the Lie point symmetries for the Black--Scholes--Merton Model for European options with stochastic volatility, , in which the last is defined by a stochastic differential equation with an Orstein--Uhlenbeck term. In this model, the value of the option is given by a linear (1 + 2) evolu…
The paper proposes a method to learn evolving multivariate distributions from sample paths.
Neural SVEs model complex systems with memory, outperforming traditional methods.
Introduces a new stochastic optimization method for deep learning.
The generalized 5D Black-Scholes differential equation with stochastic volatility is derived. The projections of the stochastic evolutions associated with the random variables from an enlarged space or superspace onto an ordinary space can be achieved via higher-dimensional operators. The stochastic nature of the secur…
This paper proposes a governing equation for stock market indexes that accounts for non-stationary effects. This is a linear Fokker-Planck equation (FPE) that describes the time evolution of the probability distribution function (PDF) of the price return. By applying Ito's lemma, this FPE is associated with a stochasti…
Clarifies when solutions to stochastic PDEs stay near given subsets.
Optimizes control of infectious disease spread using stochastic methods.
The paper calculates how random changes affect paths on a complex geometric space.
Using available data from the New York stock market (NYSM) we test four different bi-parametric models to fit the correspondent volume-price distributions at each -minute lag: the Gamma distribution, the inverse Gamma distribution, the Weibull distribution and the log-normal distribution. The volume-price data, whi…
We present a framework for describing the evolution of stochastic observables having a non-stationary distribution of values. The framework is applied to empirical volume-prices from assets traded at the New York stock exchange. Using Kullback-Leibler divergence we evaluate the best model out from four biparametric mod…
Derives effective continuous dynamics for adaptive SGD methods.
Study on stochastic mean curvature flow on networks using Ito calculus.
We consider a structural credit model for a large portfolio of credit risky assets where the correlation is due to a market factor. By considering the large portfolio limit of this system we show the existence of a density process for the asset values. This density evolves according to a stochastic partial differential…
Developed LQ MFG theory with common noise, proving existence and uniqueness.
We model how Lipschitz continuity changes during neural network training.
New deep learning method approximates Benes filter model.
The paper studies how noise synchronizes tokens in deep transformer models.
New method infers dynamical systems from population data.
The paper studies curve evolution using the PLR equation and its solutions.
Moving boundary problems allow to model systems with phase transition at an inner boundary. Driven by problems in economics and finance, in particular modeling of limit order books, we consider a stochastic and non-linear extension of the classical Stefan-problem in one space dimension, where the paths of the moving in…
Motivated by a probabilistic approach to Kahler-Einstein metrics we consider a general non-equilibrium statistical mechanics model in Euclidean space consisting of the stochastic gradient flow of a given (possibly singular) quasi-convex N-particle interaction energy. We show that a deterministic "macroscopic" evolution…
Develops a new method for financial term structure modeling.
We present evolution equations for a family of paths that results from anisotropically weighting curve energies in non-linear statistics of manifold valued data. This situation arises when performing inference on data that have non-trivial covariance and are anisotropic distributed. The family can be interpreted as mos…
We propose a new cognitive framework for option price modelling, using quantum neural computation formalism. Briefly, when we apply a classical nonlinear neural-network learning to a linear quantum Schrödinger equation, as a result we get a nonlinear Schrödinger equation (NLS), performing as a quantum stochastic filter…
Study material evolution using groupoids to track intrinsic properties.
The paper connects PSO and CBO methods using stochastic modeling and mean-field limits.
In this survey paper we discuss recent advances on short interest rate models which can be formulated in terms of a stochastic differential equation for the instantaneous interest rate (also called short rate) or a system of such equations in case the short rate is assumed to depend also on other stochastic factors. Ou…
We model non-stationary volume-price distributions with a log-normal distribution and collect the time series of its two parameters. The time series of the two parameters are shown to be stationary and Markov-like and consequently can be modelled with Langevin equations, which are derived directly from their series of …
We prove that conservation of probability for the free heat semigroup on a Riemannian manifold (namely stochastic completeness), hence a linear property, is equivalent to uniqueness of positive, bounded solutions to nonlinear evolution equations of fast diffusion type on of the form , being an ar…
We give new results concerning the Frobenius integrability and solution of evolution equations admitting travelling wave solutions. In particular, we give a powerful result which explains the extraordinary integrability of some of these equations. We also discuss "local" conservations laws for evolution equations in ge…
Paper explores solving HJB equations using neural networks.
New algorithm optimizes nonlinear SDEs online with convergence guarantees.
SGD on diagonal linear networks approximates to SDE in high dimensions.
Backlund transformations are used to search for solutions, particularly soliton solutions, of non-linear differential equations. In this paper we present an invariant geometrical theory of Backlund transformations for second order evolution equations with one space variable. The main concept is that of connection defin…
Proposes a new method combining Reservoir Computing and Normalizing Flow for predicting stochastic dynamical systems.
We recently showed that the S&P500 stock market index is well described by Tsallis non-extensive statistics and nonlinear Fokker-Planck time evolution. We argued that these results should be applicable to a broad range of markets and exchanges where anomalous diffusion and `heavy' tails of the distribution are present.…
We develop a second-order model for limit order books in a single scaling regime.
We study the evolution equations for a regularized version of Dirac-geodesics, which are the one-dimensional version of Dirac-harmonic maps. We show that for the regularization being sufficiently large, the evolution equations subconverge to a regularized Dirac-geodesic. In the end, we discuss the limiting process of r…
We propose a model for the joint evolution of European inflation, the European Central Bank official interest rate and the short-term interest rate, in a stochastic, continuous time setting. We derive the valuation equation for a contingent claim depending potentially on all three factors. This valuation equation reduc…
For a scalar evolution equation the cohomology spaces vanishes for while the space is isomorphic to the space of variational operators. The cohomology space is also shown to be …
Study evolution equations on Lie groupoids using Fourier integral operators.
This paper gives two methods for constructing associative 3-folds in R^7, based around the fundamental idea of evolution equations, and uses these methods to construct examples of these geometric objects. The paper is a generalisation of the work by Joyce in math.DG/0008021, math.DG/0008155, math.DG/0010036 and math.DG…