New method estimates stochastic intervention effects in decision-making domains.
problem Current causal inference methods are limited to deterministic treatment, unable to handle stochastic policies.
method Developed a new stochastic propensity score and stochastic intervention effect estimator (SIE) with a customized genetic algorithm (Ge-SIO).
result Empirical study shows significant performance improvement over state-of-the-art baselines.
Paper tackles risk-sensitive decision-making under uncertainty.
problem Risk-sensitive decision-making problem under uncertainty.
method Formulated as a stochastic control problem, delineated necessary optimality conditions.
result Illustrative examples from optimal betting and inventory management support the theory.
Study minimax-optimal rates for offline decision-making with function approximation.
problem Statistical complexity of offline decision-making with function approximation.
method Near minimax-optimal rates for stochastic contextual bandits and Markov decision processes, using pseudo-dimension and behavior policy.
result Established performance limits and new characterization of behavior policy.
New framework tackles stochastic latent subgroup heterogeneity in online decision-making.
problem Stochastic latent heterogeneity in online decision-making where individual responses vary with unobserved subgroups.
method Latent heterogeneous bandit framework using EM-greedy algorithm to learn subgroup probabilities and reward parameters.
result Achieves optimal estimation and classification guarantees, revealing a fundamental stochastic barrier in online decision-making.
An online decision-making algorithm using stochastic gradient descent for big data.
problem Efficiently updating decision rules in online decision making with big data.
method Stochastic gradient descent for online updates, asymptotic normality of estimators.
result Asymptotic normality of parameter and value estimators, enabling statistical inference.
Dynamic probabilistic forecasts guide optimal decisions in uncertain processes.
problem Optimal decision making in processes influenced by uncertain random factors.
method Stochastic models for probabilistic forecast evolution, calibrated from ensemble forecasts.
result Optimal decision strategies determined using dynamic probabilistic forecasts.
New method selects features for sequential decision making.
problem Dynamic feature selection for instance-wise decisions.
method Latent variable model trained in a supervised manner; reasoning across stochastic latent space.
result Outperforms existing methods on various datasets.
New algorithm for quickly deciding on tech innovations to maximize ROI.
problem Maximizing ROI in repeated decision-making for tech innovations.
method Developed a novel algorithm for learning optimal decision-making policies over innovation proposals.
result Algorithm converges to optimal policy with a rate of order min{1/(NΔ2),N−1/3}. Framework for robust decision making in changing environments with privacy constraints.
problem Interactive decision making in changing environments with constraints.
method Hybrid Decision Making with Structured Observations (hybrid DMSO) framework, local differentially private decision making, query-based learning, robust and smooth decision making.
result Strong connections and bounds derived for DEC, SQ dimension, local minimax complexity, learnability, and joint differential privacy.
New bounds show complexity of adversarial decision making.
problem Understanding sample efficiency in adversarial decision making.
method New upper and lower bounds on Decision-Estimation Coefficient.
result Decision-Estimation Coefficient is necessary and sufficient for low regret in adversarial decision making.
The paper addresses private and Byzantine-proof cooperative decision-making in multi-agent systems.
problem Designing algorithms for multi-agent decision-making that are private and resilient to faulty agents.
method Upper-confidence bound algorithms for stochastic bandit problems under privacy and Byzantine conditions.
result Optimal regret achieved in both private and Byzantine-tolerant settings.
The paper aims to reduce bias in online decision-making by optimizing fairness and regret.
problem Achieving fair and justified real-time decisions in online systems.
method Adapting the learning-from-experts scheme to optimize fairness and regret for multiple label classes and sensitive groups.
result Approximately equalized odds can be achieved without significant loss in regret.
In data-limited settings, stochastic policies can outperform deterministic ones in bandit problems.
problem Making reliable decisions with limited data in bandit problems.
method Designing TRUST, an algorithm that uses localization laws and relative pessimism.
result TRUST achieves comparable sample complexity to LCB on minimax problems but is significantly lower on few-sample problems.
Develops new optimization techniques for decision-making under uncertainty.
problem Decision-making under uncertainty with complex cost functions and nested expectations.
method Introduces Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization (MCCO) and develops multilevel Monte Carlo techniques.
result New optimization techniques reduce scenario complexity from exponential to polynomial growth.
Study impacts of feeding cost risk on aquaculture valuation and decision making.
problem Impact of stochastic feeding costs on aquaculture valuation and decision making.
method Using Schwartz-2-factor model and deep neural networks to infer decision boundary.
result Accounting for stochastic feeding costs leads to superior performance in decision rules.
This review covers methods for autonomous driving including tracking, prediction, and decision making.
problem Improving autonomous driving through better tracking, prediction, and decision making.
method Approaches based on neural networks, stochastic techniques, and reinforcement learning are discussed.
result Effective methods for autonomous driving are identified and compared.
Optimizes decision-making with uncertain variables using auxiliary observations.
problem Contextual stochastic optimization problems with uncertain variables and rich auxiliary observations.
method Trains forest decision policies by growing trees that optimize downstream decision quality, using optimization perturbation analysis for efficient approximations.
result Proves asymptotic optimality and empirical validation of the method's performance and efficiency.
Batched Neural Bandits reduces policy updates in sequential decision-making.
problem Sequential decision-making with batched policy changes.
method BatchNeuralUCB algorithm combining neural networks and optimism.
result Achieves similar regret as fully sequential version with fewer policy updates.
Framework infers Langevin dynamics from stochastic observations of latent systems.
problem Inferring non-stationary Langevin dynamics from indirect stochastic observations.
method Non-parametric framework explicitly modeling stochastic observation process and non-stationary latent dynamics.
result Correct inference of non-stationary dynamics requires accounting for non-equilibrium states and observation duration.
Method trains neural network for optimal decisions from stochastic simulators.
problem Suboptimal decisions from SBI approximations of posterior distributions.
method Trains neural network on simulated data to predict optimal actions.
result Induces similar cost as true posterior for optimal actions.
Bayesian hybrid models correct for missing physics in machine learning.
problem Systematic bias in machine learning models.
method Fusing physics-based insights with machine learning constructs, using Bayesian calibration and stochastic programming.
result Bayesian hybrid models outperform pure machine learning approaches with less data.
Stochastic gradient descent approximates Gaussian process posteriors efficiently.
problem Efficiently sampling from Gaussian process posteriors with limited computational resources.
method Developed stochastic gradient optimization objectives for sampling from Gaussian process posteriors.
result Stochastic gradient descent produces accurate predictive distributions, even in non-convergent cases.
Improved ExO method achieves near-optimal bounds in both stochastic and adversarial settings.
problem Finding optimal exploration strategies in online decision-making with limited feedback.
method Exploration by Optimization with hybrid regularizers for locally observable games.
result Achieved nearly optimal bounds of O(∑aeqa∗k2m2logT/Δa) in stochastic and adversarial environments. With an eye towards human-centered automation, we contribute to the development of a systematic means to infer features of human decision-making from behavioral data. Motivated by the common use of softmax selection in models of human decision-making, we study the maximum likelihood parameter estimation problem for sof…
Study on information evolution in interactive decision making using multi-armed bandits.
problem Understanding information dynamics in interactive decision making.
method Stochastic multi-armed bandit problem, focusing on optimal arm with a fixed margin.
result Distinct growth phases in mutual information, showing decoupling between success probability and information gain.
New online method for statistical inference with matrix context in decision-making.
problem Statistical inference in decision-making with matrix context.
method Proposes a fully online procedure to conduct statistical inference with adaptive data collection, handling low-rank structure.
result Establishes asymptotic normality of debiased estimators and proves validity of confidence intervals.
LinearAPT optimizes decision-making under resource constraints for a linear threshold problem.
problem Optimizing sequential decisions with a linear threshold under resource limitations.
method LinearAPT, an adaptive algorithm for fixed-budget TLB problem.
result LinearAPT achieves theoretical upper bounds and robust performance on various datasets.
New batched Langevin Thompson Sampling reduces communication costs for sequential decision making.
problem Efficiently learning unknown reward distributions and transition dynamics in batched settings.
method Langevin Thompson Sampling with logarithmic communication costs.
result Order-optimal regret guarantees for stochastic MABs and RL.
Introduces tensor bandits for multi-dimensional online decision making.
problem Optimal decision making in multi-dimensional online scenarios.
method Stochastic low-rank tensor bandits, tensor elimination, tensor epoch-greedy, tensor ensemble sampling.
result Tensor elimination and tensor epoch-greedy algorithms outperform existing methods.
This paper analyzes the multi-armed bandit model using path-integral methods.
problem Understanding the stochastic dynamics and optimal strategies in multi-armed bandit problems.
method Path-integral analysis of statistical physics.
result Emergence of multimodal regret distribution with large regrets from exploitation of sub-optimal arms.
IDS algorithm optimizes sequential decisions in various monitoring settings.
problem Optimizing sequential decisions in complex monitoring scenarios.
method Information-directed sampling (IDS) algorithm for linear partial monitoring.
result IDS achieves nearly worst-case rate optimality in finite-action games.
CB-RL solves complex decision-making problems with contextual information and exogenous events.
problem Optimal policy in strategic decision-making problems that depend on environmental configuration and exogenous events.
method Contextual Bilevel Reinforcement Learning (CB-RL) with a stochastic Hyper Policy Gradient Descent (HPGD) algorithm.
result Demonstrated convergence and performance of the HPGD algorithm for reward shaping and tax design.
Batch Thompson Sampling reduces exploration-exploitation trade-off in online decision making.
problem Balancing exploration and exploitation in online decision making.
method Introducing a batch Thompson Sampling framework for stochastic multi-arm bandit and linear contextual bandit problems.
result Achieves asymptotic regret bound with O(logT) batch queries, significantly reducing interactions. Bayesian framework for SSP problem learns optimal strategy through interactions.
problem Sequential decision-making in stochastic shortest path problems.
method Develops a Bayesian framework to learn optimal action-value function Q∗ through interactions, avoiding unrealistic assumptions. result Demonstrates data efficiency and uncertainty quantification compared to other methods.
Develops new methods for risk-aware decision-making in medical bandits.
problem Risk-averse decision-making in medical contexts with limited data.
method Safe, anytime-valid concentration bounds, risk-aware contextual bandits, nonparametric algorithms.
result Improved decision-making algorithms for postoperative patient follow-up.
New algorithms protect user data while optimizing personalized decisions.
problem Personalized decision-making with private user data.
method Developed LDP algorithms for stochastic generalized linear bandits using SGD and OLS.
result Achieved the same regret bound as non-privacy settings with LDP.
Develops a new framework for analyzing sequential decision-making problems using information theory.
problem Lack of information-theoretic generalization bounds for sequential decision-making problems.
method Introduces a sequential supersample framework that separates learner filtration from proof-side enlargement, controlling the generalization gap by sequential CMI.
result Establishes a sequential CMI that controls the generalization gap in sequential decision-making problems.
A scalable online method for Gaussian processes that improves decision-making in various applications.
problem Scalability issues with Gaussian processes for online decision-making.
method Online variational conditioning (OVC) for SVGPs.
result OVC enables efficient online learning and decision-making with SVGPs.
Paper proposes using unlabeled data for fair decision-making.
problem Bias in decision-making algorithms due to biased labels and selective labeling.
method Variational autoencoder for learning unbiased data representations from both labeled and unlabeled data.
result Method learns fair and stable decision policies with high utility.
Algorithm maximizes rewards with a budget and giving up option.
problem Sequential decision-making with stochastic rewards and resource consumption.
method Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) algorithm for maximizing cumulative reward.
result Logarithmic regret bound with improved dependence on problem parameters.
Greedy policy achieves good results for adaptive submodular problems.
problem Sequential decision making with adaptive stochastic optimization.
method Adaptive submodularity ratio to analyze greedy policy performance.
result Greedy policy achieves approximation guarantees for a broader class of problems.
A new algorithm reduces communication costs for collaborative decision-making across clients.
problem Collaborative decision-making with sparse rewards and heterogeneous contexts.
method Federated Lasso algorithm for sparse linear contextual bandits.
result Achieves near-optimal regret with logarithmic communication costs.
This review examines bandit problems in AI using statistical methods.
problem Sequential decision-making under uncertainty in AI environments.
method Foundational models, concentration inequalities, minimax regret bounds, frequentist and Bayesian algorithms, K-armed contextual bandits, SCAB, functional data analysis.
result Exploration-exploitation trade-offs and regret analyses in various bandit problems.
Improves decision complexity in hybrid environments.
problem Complexity in hybrid decision-making problems.
method General extension of DEC framework, model aggregation approach.
result Improved regret bounds for linear Q*/V* MDPs.
A new method for identifying the best arm in multi-armed bandits with mediator feedback.
problem Sequential decision-making with unknown mediator policies.
method Best-arm identification under mediators' feedback (BAI-MF) with statistical lower bound and sequential decision-making strategy.
result The proposed algorithm matches the lower bound on sample complexity for identifying the best arm.
Unified framework for lower bounds in interactive decision making.
problem Challenges in interactive decision making, especially bandits and reinforcement learning.
method Interactive Fano method and Fractional Covering Number.
result Unified characterization of learnability for stochastic bandit problems and tight lower bounds for interactive decision making.
New strategies improve multi-agent decision-making on irregular networks.
problem Maximizing group reward in multi-agent settings with heterogeneous strategies.
method Design and analysis of heterogeneous explore-exploit strategies for multi-star networks.
result Group performance improves under heterogeneous strategies compared to homogeneous strategies.
The free energy functional has recently been proposed as a variational principle for bounded rational decision-making, since it instantiates a natural trade-off between utility gains and information processing costs that can be axiomatically derived. Here we apply the free energy principle to general decision trees tha…