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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for stochastic decision trees

We present an algorithm for learning decision trees using stochastic gradient information as the source of supervision. In contrast to previous approaches to gradient-based tree learning, our method operates in the incremental learning setting rather than the batch learning setting, and does not make use of soft splits…

2019-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper solves the open problem of computing Bayes optimal prediction for decision trees using a Markov chain Monte Carlo method.

problem Computing the Bayes optimal prediction for decision trees is infeasible due to an infeasible summation over all division patterns of a feature space.
method Solved the open problem using a Markov chain Monte Carlo method with adaptively tuned step size.
result Computed the Bayes optimal prediction for decision trees using a Markov chain Monte Carlo method.

We discuss an autoencoder model in which the encoding and decoding functions are implemented by decision trees. We use the soft decision tree where internal nodes realize soft multivariate splits given by a gating function and the overall output is the average of all leaves weighted by the gating values on their path. …

2014-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces new measures to quantify variability in decision tree models due to observational multiplicity.

problem The variability in decision tree models due to observational multiplicity.
method Introduces leaf regret and structural regret to decompose observational multiplicity.
result Structural regret is the primary driver of observational multiplicity, accounting for over 15 times the variability of leaf regret in some datasets.

We introduce the problem of learning mixtures of kk subcubes over {0,1}n\{0,1\}^n, which contains many classic learning theory problems as a special case (and is itself a special case of others). We give a surprising nO(logk)n^{O(\log k)}-time learning algorithm based on higher-order multilinear moments. It is not possible to l…

2018-03-17abs ↗pdf ↗

New sampling technique improves boosting model accuracy.

problem Improving generalization performance and learning time in stochastic gradient boosting.
method Formulated optimization problem to maximize estimation accuracy, leading to Minimal Variance Sampling (MVS).
result MVS significantly increases model quality and reduces the number of examples needed.

In the context of tree-search stochastic planning algorithms where a generative model is available, we consider on-line planning algorithms building trees in order to recommend an action. We investigate the question of avoiding re-planning in subsequent decision steps by directly using sub-trees as action recommender. …

2018-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

dtControl uses decision trees to represent controllers efficiently and explainably.

problem Representing controllers concisely and explainably.
method dtControl uses decision tree learning algorithms to represent controllers. Novel techniques for determinizing controllers are introduced.
result Novel techniques for determinizing controllers during decision tree construction are extremely efficient, yielding small decision trees.

Multi-stage financial decision optimization under uncertainty depends on a careful numerical approximation of the underlying stochastic process, which describes the future returns of the selected assets or asset categories. Various approaches towards an optimal generation of discrete-time, discrete-state approximations…

2009-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The study analyzes when Bayesian averaging over decision trees is reliable.

problem When do Bayesian model averaging weights over decision trees provide reliable information?
method Closed-form solution for Bayesian decision trees with Catalan-exponential priors.
result Established a complete non-asymptotic theory of rational commitment thresholds.

Trinary decision tree improves handling of missing data in machine learning.

problem Improving accuracy in decision tree algorithms when dealing with missing data.
method Introduces Trinary decision tree, which does not assume missing values contain information about the response.
result Trinary decision tree outperforms other algorithms in Missing Completely at Random settings, especially when data is only missing out-of-sample.

Meta-learning interpretable decision trees with synthetic data.

problem Lack of efficient, scalable methods for generating synthetic data for decision tree meta-learning.
method Synthetic generation of near-optimal decision trees using the MetaTree transformer architecture.
result Meta-learning of decision trees achieves performance comparable to real-world data or optimal decision trees, with significant computational cost reduction.

Proposes a simple neural network model similar to gradient boosted decision trees.

problem Building a neural network equivalent to gradient boosted decision trees.
method Converts an ensemble of decision trees to a neural network, relaxes properties, and trains a simple neural network model.
result The proposed Hammock model achieves similar performance to gradient boosted decision trees.

FoLDTree improves oblique decision trees with ULDA, enhancing accuracy and feature selection.

problem Axis-orthogonal splits limit traditional decision trees' performance on oblique decision boundaries.
method Integrates ULDA into decision tree structure for efficient oblique splits, feature selection, and handling missing values.
result FoLDTree outperforms other methods in accuracy and feature selection, comparable to random forest.

Evolutionary algorithms improve decision tree ensembles.

problem Improving predictive performance of decision trees.
method Real-valued vector representation of decision trees, evolutionary algorithms (Differential evolution, Evolution strategies).
result Proposed methods outperform classical decision tree induction algorithms.

Enhanced ODT with Feature Concatenation boosts learning efficiency.

problem Insufficient learning efficiency of ODT due to linear projections not being transmitted to child nodes.
method Feature Concatenation ( exttt{FC-ODT}) to transmit linear projections along decision paths.
result Experiments show exttt{FC-ODT} outperforms state-of-the-art decision trees with a limited tree depth.

Max-Cut decision tree improves classification accuracy and reduces computation time.

problem Improving decision tree accuracy and efficiency for complex classification tasks.
method Alternative splitting metric (max cut) and PCA-based feature selection at each node.
result 49% improvement in accuracy with 94% reduction in CPU time on CIFAR-100 data.

This work presents an approach to automatically induction for non-greedy decision trees constructed from neural network architecture. This construction can be used to transfer weights when growing or pruning a decision tree, allowing non-greedy decision tree algorithms to automatically learn and adapt to the ideal arch…

2018-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves Bayesian decision tree learning using HMC.

problem Bayesian decision tree learning is challenging due to a large parameter space.
method Develops and compares HMC-based algorithms for exploring Bayesian decision tree posteriors.
result HMC-based methods outperform existing methods in predictive accuracy and tree complexity.

Decision trees improve decision-making by optimizing predictions of unknown parameters.

problem Optimizing decisions based on predicted unknown parameters.
method SPO Trees (SPOTs) for training decision trees under the SPO loss function.
result SPOTs provide higher quality decisions and significantly lower model complexity compared to other machine learning approaches.

Decision trees can be biased towards minority class, contrary to belief.

problem Bias in decision trees towards minority class in imbalanced datasets.
method Critical evaluation of past literature, specific conditions analysis, tree-fitting adjustments, and post-hoc calibration methods.
result Decision trees can be biased towards minority class under specific conditions, not always towards majority.

We show how neural models can be used to realize piece-wise constant functions such as decision trees. The proposed architecture, which we call locally constant networks, builds on ReLU networks that are piece-wise linear and hence their associated gradients with respect to the inputs are locally constant. We formally …

2019-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a novel incremental decision tree learning algorithm, Hoeffding Anytime Tree, that is statistically more efficient than the current state-of-the-art, Hoeffding Tree. We demonstrate that an implementation of Hoeffding Anytime Tree---"Extremely Fast Decision Tree", a minor modification to the MOA implementat…

2018-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes decision-making with uncertain variables using auxiliary observations.

problem Contextual stochastic optimization problems with uncertain variables and rich auxiliary observations.
method Trains forest decision policies by growing trees that optimize downstream decision quality, using optimization perturbation analysis for efficient approximations.
result Proves asymptotic optimality and empirical validation of the method's performance and efficiency.

Efficiently optimizes expensive functions with multi-step lookahead using one-shot optimization.

problem Optimizing expensive functions with long-term impacts using myopic approaches.
method Formulated as nested optimization problems within a multi-step scenario tree, optimized in one-shot fashion.
result Multi-step expected improvement is computationally tractable and outperforms existing methods.

Rectified decision trees improve machine learning interpretability and effectiveness.

problem Combining interpretability and effectiveness in machine learning models.
method Knowledge distillation and modified decision tree splitting criteria.
result Soft labels improve model performance and reduce model size.

Develops a new method for decision trees using categorical variable structure.

problem Lack of structure in treating categorical variables as predictors.
method Introduces a mathematical framework to represent categorical structure and generalizes decision trees to utilize this structure.
result Improves prediction accuracy on weather data using the new method.

A novel gradient-based method optimizes decision trees for complex tasks.

problem Training decision trees with arbitrary differentiable loss functions.
method Gradient-based optimization using first and second derivatives of loss functions.
result Improves accuracy and flexibility in decision tree optimization.

In this paper, we present a novel sequential paradigm for classification in crowdsourcing systems. Considering that workers are unreliable and they perform the tests with errors, we study the construction of decision trees so as to minimize the probability of mis-classification. By exploiting the connection between pro…

2018-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops new optimization techniques for decision-making under uncertainty.

problem Decision-making under uncertainty with complex cost functions and nested expectations.
method Introduces Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization (MCCO) and develops multilevel Monte Carlo techniques.
result New optimization techniques reduce scenario complexity from exponential to polynomial growth.