A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
PASS protects private attributes by stochastically substituting data.
SAFER method certifies robustness to word substitutions without model structure.
New algorithm for clustering data streams with no substitutions.
Deep neural networks (DNNs) are one of the most prominent technologies of our time, as they achieve state-of-the-art performance in many machine learning tasks, including but not limited to image classification, text mining, and speech processing. However, recent research on DNNs has indicated ever-increasing concern o…
We define 2-dimensional topological substitutions. A tiling of the Euclidean plane, or of the hyperbolic plane, is substitutive if the underlying 2-complex can be obtained by iteration of a 2-dimensional topological substitution. We prove that there is no primitive substitutive tiling of the hyperbolic plane $\mathbb{H…
New method extracts stochastic laws from data, including Lévy noise.
Develops methods to improve demand counterfactuals from imperfect proxies.
Bayesian DL model improves DCMs for better predictive and inferential performance.
A method estimates causal parameters using a latent variable recovery.
We introduce Markov substitute processes, a new model at the crossroad of statistics and formal grammars, and prove its main property : Markov substitute processes with a given support form an exponential family.
Study generalizes Lebesgue curves to new space-filling and fractal sets.
We study the sample-based k-median clustering objective under a sequential setting without substitutions. In this setting, an i.i.d. sequence of examples is observed. An example can be selected as a center only immediately after it is observed, and it cannot be substituted later. The goal is to select a set of centers …
The definition of deposit substitutes in Philippine tax law fails to consider the maturity of a debt instrument. This makes it possible for long-term bonds to be considered as deposit substitutes if they meet the 20-lender rule, taxable at 20% final tax. However, long-term debt instruments cannot realistically function…
Flexible Kernels for Protein Property Prediction
In certain situations that shall be undoubtedly more and more common in the Big Data era, the datasets available are so massive that computing statistics over the full sample is hardly feasible, if not unfeasible. A natural approach in this context consists in using survey schemes and substituting the "full data" stati…
The goal of homomorphic encryption is to encrypt data such that another party can operate on it without being explicitly exposed to the content of the original data. We introduce an idea for a privacy-preserving transformation on natural language data, inspired by homomorphic encryption. Our primary tool is {\em obfusc…
Computed tomography (CT) equivalent information is needed for attenuation correction in PET imaging and for dose planning in radiotherapy. Prior work has shown that Gaussian mixture models can be used to generate a substitute CT (s-CT) image from a specific set of MRI modalities. This work introduces a more flexible cl…
Geometric theory explains substitutability in market outcomes based on production constraints.
It has been shown that adversaries can craft example inputs to neural networks which are similar to legitimate inputs but have been created to purposely cause the neural network to misclassify the input. These adversarial examples are crafted, for example, by calculating gradients of a carefully defined loss function w…
In this paper, a time substitution as used by Duru and Kleinert in their treatment of the hydrogen atom with path integrals is performed to price timer options under stochastic volatility models. We present general pricing formulas for both the perpetual timer call options and the finite time-horizon timer call options…
We develop SHOPPER, a sequential probabilistic model of shopping data. SHOPPER uses interpretable components to model the forces that drive how a customer chooses products; in particular, we designed SHOPPER to capture how items interact with other items. We develop an efficient posterior inference algorithm to estimat…
In a market with stochastic investment opportunities, we study an optimal consumption investment problem for an agent with recursive utility of Epstein-Zin type. Focusing on the empirically relevant specification where both risk aversion and elasticity of intertemporal substitution are in excess of one, we characterize…
New method removes contrastive loss by adding a prediction head, revealing learning mechanisms.
Defect of knot polynomials remains invariant under certain braid substitutions.
Interpretable machine learning has become a strong competitor for traditional black-box models. However, the possible loss of the predictive performance for gaining interpretability is often inevitable, putting practitioners in a dilemma of choosing between high accuracy (black-box models) and interpretability (interpr…
This paper investigates and compares currency substitution between the currencies of Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries and the euro. In addition, we develop a model with microeconomic foundations, which identifies difference between currency substitution and money demand sensitivity to exchange rate variatio…
We study continuous time Bertrand oligopolies in which a small number of firms producing similar goods compete with one another by setting prices. We first analyze a static version of this game in order to better understand the strategies played in the dynamic setting. Within the static game, we characterize the Nash e…
In this study, an efficient stochastic gradient-free method, the ensemble neural networks (ENN), is developed. In the ENN, the optimization process relies on covariance matrices rather than derivatives. The covariance matrices are calculated by the ensemble randomized maximum likelihood algorithm (EnRML), which is an i…
Suppose that f and g are Markov surjections, each defined on a wedge of circles, each fixing the branch point and having the branch point as the only critical value. We show that if the points in the inverse limit spaces associated with f and g corresponding to the branch point are distinguished then these inverse limi…
Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) provide a theoretically-backed and popular framework for deep generative models. However, learning a VAE from data poses still unanswered theoretical questions and considerable practical challenges. In this work, we propose an alternative framework for generative modeling that is simpler…
Causal inference from observational data often assumes "ignorability," that all confounders are observed. This assumption is standard yet untestable. However, many scientific studies involve multiple causes, different variables whose effects are simultaneously of interest. We propose the deconfounder, an algorithm that…
Optimized certainty equivalents (OCEs) is a family of risk measures widely used by both practitioners and academics. This is mostly due to its tractability and the fact that it encompasses important examples, including entropic risk measures and average value at risk. In this work we consider stochastic optimal control…
The paper optimizes financial derivatives for market completion in SV models.
Paper proposes a data augmentation method for LLM-generated data in market research.
This paper explores how the generalization of substitute classifiers affects the success of black-box adversarial attacks.
Network models assume unrealistic idiosyncratic risk, which can be mitigated by allowing for correlated shocks.
The paper introduces a method to improve adversarial robustness in neural networks using randomized perturbations.
The treatment effects of medications play a key role in guiding medical prescriptions. They are usually assessed with randomized controlled trials (RCTs), which are expensive. Recently, large-scale electronic health records (EHRs) have become available, opening up new opportunities for more cost-effective assessments. …
We analyze the practical consequences of the bilateral counterparty risk adjustment. We point out that past literature assumes that, at the moment of the first default, a risk-free closeout amount will be used. We argue that the legal (ISDA) documentation suggests in many points that a substitution closeout should be u…
Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) are mainstay tools for assessing the long-term interactions between climate and the economy and for deriving optimal policy responses in the form of carbon prices. IAMs have been criticized for controversial discount rate assumptions, arbitrary climate damage functions, and the inade…
The "color" in the colored Jones polynomial is an integer parameter. In this paper, a periodic pattern of the values of the colored Jones polynomial at the second and the third roots of unity is found. If we substitute -1 to the colored Jones polynomial, the value is alternately 1 or the determinant of the given link. …
New statistical model improves protein alignment accuracy.
This paper solves the consumption-investment problem under Epstein-Zin preferences on a random horizon. In an incomplete market, we take the random horizon to be a stopping time adapted to the market filtration, generated by all observable, but not necessarily tradable, state processes. Contrary to prior studies, we do…
This work addresses the situation where a black-box model with good predictive performance is chosen over its interpretable competitors, and we show interpretability is still achievable in this case. Our solution is to find an interpretable substitute on a subset of data where the black-box model is overkill or nearly …
New proof shows how to fill a square with Fibonacci curve.
We present Distributed Equivalent Substitution (DES) training, a novel distributed training framework for large-scale recommender systems with dynamic sparse features. DES introduces fully synchronous training to large-scale recommendation system for the first time by reducing communication, thus making the training of…
01 loss neural network improves adversarial robustness on CIFAR10.
The 01 loss is robust to outliers and tolerant to noisy data compared to convex loss functions. We conjecture that the 01 loss may also be more robust to adversarial attacks. To study this empirically we have developed a stochastic coordinate descent algorithm for a linear 01 loss classifier and a single hidden layer 0…