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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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145290434579 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for stochastic conditioning

We extend probabilistic programming to handle conditioning on marginal distributions.

problem Conditioning probabilistic programs on marginal distributions of observable variables.
method We define and implement stochastic conditioning, allowing inference in probabilistic programs conditioned on marginal distributions.
result We demonstrate the effectiveness of stochastic conditioning in various real-life scenarios.

CSI method learns conditional distributions by estimating flow equations.

problem Learning conditional distributions in generative models.
method Estimates probability flow equations to transport reference to target distribution.
result Derives explicit expressions for conditional drift and score functions.

Improves full conformal prediction for stochastic non-conformity measures.

problem Inability of existing conditions to guarantee full conformal prediction validity under stochastic settings.
method Introduces a new sufficient condition: Conditional Independence & Permutation Invariance in Distribution.
result Corrects the insufficient condition and provides a new sufficient condition for full conformal prediction validity.

LatentFlow simplifies conditioning of stochastic processes without training.

problem Intractable conditional laws for complex stochastic models.
method Writing stochastic process as latent innovation, reducing conditioning to latent-space inference.
result Exact conditional sampling across various model classes.

New analysis reveals batch size effects on stochastic conditional gradient methods.

problem Understanding the role of batch size in stochastic conditional gradient methods.
method Deriving a new analysis focusing on momentum-based stochastic conditional gradient algorithms (e.g., Scion).
result Increasing batch size initially improves optimization accuracy but can degrade performance beyond a critical threshold.

The existence of stationary Markov perfect equilibria in stochastic games is shown under a general condition called "(decomposable) coarser transition kernels". This result covers various earlier existence results on correlated equilibria, noisy stochastic games, stochastic games with finite actions and state-independe…

2013-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study proves optimal controls for stochastic Volterra equations with singular kernels.

problem Existence of optimal controls for stochastic Volterra equations with singular kernels.
method Sufficient conditions based on integrability and growth hypotheses.
result Existence of optimal relaxed and strict controls under classical convexity assumptions.

New algorithms improve distributed optimization under mild variance conditions.

problem Improving distributed optimization for large-scale machine learning problems.
method Revisited Federated Averaging and SCAFFOLD algorithms under a general variance condition.
result Established convergence results for smooth nonconvex objective functions under mild variance conditions.

This paper analyzes adaptive gradient algorithms for better performance in ill-conditioned problems.

problem Poor performance of standard stochastic gradient algorithms in ill-conditioned problems.
method Non-asymptotic analysis of adaptive gradient algorithms (Adagrad and Stochastic Newton) for strongly convex objectives.
result Theoretical analysis and adaptation to practical applications like linear regression and regularized GLM.

In this paper, we propose a novel technique to implement stochastic gradient methods, which are beneficial for learning from large datasets, through accelerated stochastic dynamics. A stochastic gradient method is based on mini-batch learning for reducing the computational cost when the amount of data is large. The sto…

2015-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

MF-GLaM models improve stochastic simulator emulation with multifidelity data.

problem Challenging to emulate stochastic simulators' full conditional probability distribution.
method Proposes MF-GLaMs to efficiently emulate HF stochastic simulators using LF data.
result MF-GLaMs achieve improved accuracy or comparable performance at reduced cost.

In this work we introduce a conditional accelerated lazy stochastic gradient descent algorithm with optimal number of calls to a stochastic first-order oracle and convergence rate O(1ε2)O\left(\frac{1}{\varepsilon^2}\right) improving over the projection-free, Online Frank-Wolfe based stochastic gradient descent of Hazan an…

2017-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper conditions non-linear infinite-dimensional diffusion processes.

problem Conditioning non-linear and infinite-dimensional diffusion processes.
method Infinite-dimensional Girsanov's theorem to condition function-valued stochastic processes.
result Conditioning of non-linear infinite-dimensional diffusion processes is achieved.

A new biased gradient descent method for conditional stochastic optimization.

problem Challenges in constructing unbiased gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization.
method Proposes a biased stochastic gradient descent (BSGD) algorithm and analyzes its sample complexities.
result Establishes sample complexities of BSGD for various objectives and shows that BSpiderBoost matches the lower bound complexity.

Paper proves SHB convergence with biased gradients and approximate step sizes.

problem Establishing convergence of SHB with biased gradients and approximate step sizes.
method Generalizes SHB convergence conditions for biased gradients, approximate step sizes, and block updating.
result Proves convergence of SHB with new conditions for biased gradients and approximate step sizes.

New unbiased gradient estimators for complex optimization problems.

problem Unbiased and variance-limited gradient estimation for conditional stochastic optimization.
method Developed multilevel Monte Carlo gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.
result Unbiased and finite variance gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.

Develops new optimization techniques for decision-making under uncertainty.

problem Decision-making under uncertainty with complex cost functions and nested expectations.
method Introduces Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization (MCCO) and develops multilevel Monte Carlo techniques.
result New optimization techniques reduce scenario complexity from exponential to polynomial growth.

Paper develops a new local convexity condition for non-isolated minima in non-convex optimization.

problem Lack of theory for non-isolated minima in non-convex optimization.
method Formulates a new local convexity condition and studies SGD convergence under this condition.
result Shows SGD can converge locally under the new condition.

A new tamed stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm for superlinearly growing stochastic gradients.

problem Sampling and stochastic optimization problems with superlinearly growing stochastic gradients.
method Tamed Stochastic Gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (tSGHMC) algorithm.
result Established a non-asymptotic error bound in Wasserstein-2 distance with a convergence rate of 1/41/4.

New PG methods tackle nonconvex optimization with auto-conditioned stepsizes.

problem Optimizing nonconvex functions over convex sets.
method Auto-conditioned projected gradient (AC-PG) methods and stochastic variants.
result Achieved optimal iteration complexity for finding approximate stationary points.

This work introduces a new model for complex stochastic processes.

problem Difficulties in representing non-stationary distributions with conventional models.
method Recurrent Autoregressive Flows using normalizing flows with recurrent neural connections.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed model through experiments.

We discuss the pricing methodology for Bonus Certificates and Barrier Reverse-Convertible Structured Products. Pricing for a European barrier condition is straightforward for products of both types and depends on an efficient interpolation of observed market option pricing. Pricing products We discuss the pricing metho…

2016-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

SGD and stochastic gradient descent converge at optimal rates for certain non-convex functions.

problem Optimal convergence rates for non-convex functions under gradient noise.
method Geometric interpretation of the PL-condition to analyze convergence rates.
result Convergence rates of SGD and stochastic gradient descent match those of strongly convex quadratics.

Paper analyzes error in stochastic approximation for discontinuous functions.

problem Estimating expected error in discontinuous stochastic approximation.
method Uses finite differences and O(n1/5)O(n^{-1/5}) error estimate for discontinuous functions.
result Achieves error estimate of O(n1/5)O(n^{-1/5}) for discontinuous stochastic representation.

Two new methods solve large-scale stochastic convex problems with linear constraints.

problem Solving large-scale stochastic convex optimization problems with many linear constraints.
method Conditional gradient-based methods that process only a subset of constraints at each iteration.
result Rigorous convergence guarantees for the proposed methods.

This paper studies dynamic stochastic optimization problems parametrized by a random variable. Such problems arise in many applications in operations research and mathematical finance. We give sufficient conditions for the existence of solutions and the absence of a duality gap. Our proof uses extended dynamic programm…

2011-05-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes how behavioral investors make portfolio decisions using Markowitz Stochastic Dominance criteria.

problem Understanding how behavioral investors make portfolio decisions.
method Developed stochastic optimization problems and MILP models to capture subjective decision weights and probability weighting functions.
result The developed models can be used to formulate computationally tractable portfolio analysis problems.

New technique reduces bias in CSO problems, improving sample complexity.

problem Reducing bias in conditional stochastic optimization problems.
method Introducing a stochastic extrapolation technique combined with variance reduction.
result Achieved significantly better sample complexity for nonconvex smooth objectives.

A semi-supervised framework using stochastic interpolation and latent representations.

problem Challenges in conditional generative modeling with scarce labeled data.
method Combines conditional stochastic interpolation with low-dimensional latent representations.
result Significantly improves sample complexity and achieves faster convergence rate.

We use GANs and signatures to approximate conditional laws in filtering and prediction of diffusion processes.

problem Approximating conditional laws for diffusion processes with noisy observations.
method Conditional GANs combined with signatures for approximation.
result Efficient approximation of conditional laws for diffusion processes.

Proposes new rule for ranking investment prospects over long horizons.

problem Ranking investment prospects over long horizons considering bounded risk aversion.
method Introduces asymptotic fractional-order stochastic dominance with bounded relative risk aversion.
result Establishes equivalent conditions for the new rule under lognormal returns without mean non-negativity constraint.

The paper explores arbitrage opportunities in derivative markets under specific conditions.

problem Arbitrage opportunities in derivative markets under different conditions.
method Analyzes the relationship between pricing kernel monotonicity and stochastic arbitrage opportunities.
result Pricing kernel nonmonotonicity is equivalent to stochastic arbitrage opportunities under adequacy.

New algorithms for approximating stochastic processes efficiently.

problem Finding accurate finite approximations for stochastic processes.
method Develops new algorithms and fast implementations for approximating stochastic processes.
result Efficient approximations for stochastic processes can be found.