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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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141283424565 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for statistical techniques

The main aim of this paper is to extend Bochner's technique to statistical structures. Other topics related to this technique are also introduced to the theory of statistical structures. It deals, in particular, with Hodge's theory, Bochner-Weitzenbock and Simon's type formulas. Moreover, a few global and local theorem…

2015-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Statistical arbitrage is a class of financial trading strategies using mean reversion models. The corresponding techniques rely on a number of assumptions which may not hold for general non-stationary stochastic processes. This paper presents an alternative technique for statistical arbitrage based on online learning w…

2018-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper extends Bochner's technique to singular distributions on manifolds.

problem Analyzing the curvature and null space of Hodge Laplacian on singular distributions.
method Defining modified statistical connection, exterior derivative, and Weitzenbock type curvature operator.
result Derivation of Bochner-Weitzenbock type formula leading to vanishing theorems.

For high dimensional data, some of the standard statistical techniques do not work well. So modification or further development of statistical methods are necessary. In this paper, we explore these modifications. We start with the important problem of estimating high dimensional covariance matrix. Then we explore some …

2018-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes extreme temperature forecasting using machine learning models.

problem Forecasting extreme temperatures in U.S. cities.
method Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing, Multilayer Perceptrons, Gaussian Processes.
result Multilayer Perceptrons were found to be the most effective approach for forecasting extreme temperatures.

Statistical Machine Learning (SML) refers to a body of algorithms and methods by which computers are allowed to discover important features of input data sets which are often very large in size. The very task of feature discovery from data is essentially the meaning of the keyword `learning' in SML. Theoretical justifi…

2018-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper extracts features from time series to improve forecasting accuracy.

problem Forecasting time series generated by Itô-type processes with unknown coefficients.
method Statistical adjustment of mixture-type models to extract features from time series data.
result Additional statistical features enhance time series prediction accuracy.

Random projections offer an appealing and flexible approach to a wide range of large-scale statistical problems. They are particularly useful in high-dimensional settings, where we have many covariates recorded for each observation. In classification problems there are two general techniques using random projections. T…

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

This describes a statistical technique called "tonsuring" for exploratory data analysis in finance. Instead of rejecting "outlier" data that conflicts with the model, this strips out "inlier" data to get a clearer picture of how the market changes for larger moves.

2011-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Many machine learning (ML) approaches are widely used to generate bioclimatic models for prediction of geographic range of organism as a function of climate. Applications such as prediction of range shift in organism, range of invasive species influenced by climate change are important parameters in understanding the i…

2013-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Focuses on monitoring and explaining models in real-world applications.

problem Ensuring high quality machine learning services in production environments.
method Statistical techniques for model performance and data monitoring, explanations of predictions.
result Challenges and solutions for implementing monitoring and explanation in production models.

Solla discusses neural processing using statistical physics and Bayesian methods.

problem Understanding neural information processing through statistical physics.
method Bayesian inference, Gibbs description, Generalized Linear Models, dimensionality reduction.
result Connection between neural processing and statistical physics.

We introduce a probabilistic robustness measure for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs), defined as the probability that, given a test point, there exists a point within a bounded set such that the BNN prediction differs between the two. Such a measure can be used, for instance, to quantify the probability of the existence…

2019-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Statistical uncertainty of different filtration techniques for market network analysis is studied. Two measures of statistical uncertainty are discussed. One is based on conditional risk for multiple decision statistical procedures and another one is based on average fraction of errors. It is shown that for some import…

2013-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers use DL and XAI to evaluate climate downscaling models.

problem Evaluating complex DL models for climate downscaling.
method Intercompare DL models, expand standard evaluation methods with XAI.
result XAI techniques provide new evaluation dimensions and model insights.

The paper analyzes constrained optimal portfolios in high dimensions using novel statistical learning techniques.

problem Forming optimal portfolios with constraints in high-dimensional asset spaces.
method CROWN method integrating factor models with nodewise regression for estimation in large dimensions.
result Demonstrates estimation consistency and convergence rates for constrained portfolio weights, risk, and Sharpe Ratio.

Experimental life sciences like biology or chemistry have seen in the recent decades an explosion of the data available from experiments. Laboratory instruments become more and more complex and report hundreds or thousands measurements for a single experiment and therefore the statistical methods face challenging tasks…

2014-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Counting the number of clusters, when these clusters overlap significantly is a challenging problem in machine learning. We argue that a purely mathematical quantum theory, formulated using the path integral technique, when applied to non-physics modeling leads to non-physics quantum theories that are statistical in na…

2020-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper extends statistical estimation techniques under differential privacy.

problem Establishing sample complexity bounds for estimation tasks under differential privacy.
method Proposes analogues of Le Cam's method, Fano's inequality, and Assouad's lemma under central differential privacy.
result Optimal sample complexity bounds for discrete distribution estimation under total variation and 2\ell_2 distances.

This paper examines risks and uncertainties of changing data sources in machine learning for official statistics.

problem Risks and uncertainties associated with changing data sources in machine learning for official statistics.
method An overview of risks, causes, and repercussions of changing data sources, with a checklist of measures.
result Maintaining integrity, reliability, consistency, and relevance in official statistics.

We present cross and time series analysis of price fluctuations in the U.S. Treasury fixed income market. By means of techniques borrowed from statistical physics we show that the correlation among bonds depends strongly on the maturity and bonds' price increments do not fulfill the random walk hyphoteses.

2000-03-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Statistical shape models enhance machine learning algorithms providing prior information about deformation. A Point Distribution Model (PDM) is a popular landmark-based statistical shape model for segmentation. It requires choosing a model order, which determines how much of the variation seen in the training data is a…

2018-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗