Proposes a more robust rating scale for banks.
problem Inconsistent rating scale validation leading to higher capital requirements.
method Develops a new rating scale that is statistically distinguishable and robust.
result Reduces the calibration probability of default, saving capital requirements.
Theory predicts neural scaling exponents from language statistics.
problem No existing theory could quantitatively predict neural scaling exponents.
method Isolated two key statistical properties of language.
result Derives a simple formula predicting neural scaling exponents.
We develop a new statistical test for comparing variables with varying scales.
problem Comparing variables with different scales in multidimensional spaces.
method Order based on expectations of random variables, generalized stochastic dominance (GSD) order, regularized statistical test, linear optimization, imprecise probability models.
result Validated through multidimensional data from various fields.
The paper analyzes LETF option markets using moneyness scaling to find statistical arbitrage opportunities.
problem Statistical discrepancies between levered and unlevered ETF option implied volatility smiles.
method Bootstrap uniform confidence bands, dynamic semiparametric factor model, moneyness scaling, Heston stochastic volatility.
result Trading opportunities exist on LETF market, and a statistical arbitrage strategy generates positive returns.
The paper addresses the relevance problem in statistical inference.
problem The relevance problem in statistical inference from large-scale data.
method Not specified in the abstract, likely involves statistical methods and analysis of large-scale data.
result The relevance problem is a long-neglected topic in statistical inference.
Study optimizes KSD estimation from samples, revealing Hilbert-Schmidt vs trace scales.
problem Optimizing estimation of Kernel Stein Discrepancy from samples.
method Identifying and comparing minimax scales for U-statistic and V-statistic.
result Hilbert-Schmidt norm of Stein covariance operator gives optimal scale.
We uncover scaling laws and statistical structure in complex datasets.
problem Understanding universal traits in complex datasets.
method Analogizing data to physical systems, using statistical physics and RMT.
result Real-world datasets and Gaussian data with long-range correlations share the same RMT universality class.
The paper analyzes Tikhonov regularization in Hilbert scales for statistical inverse problems.
problem Statistical inverse problems in Hilbert scales with general noise.
method Tikhonov regularization scheme with conditional stability estimates and high probability error bounds.
result Explicit rates of convergence for oversmoothing and regular cases over defined regularity classes.
The paper explains how language models acquire complex skills through scaling laws and statistical analysis.
problem Understanding how language models acquire new skills as their size and training data increase.
method Statistical framework and mathematical analysis of scaling laws.
result Language models can learn complex skills efficiently due to a strong inductive bias.
New neural scaling law found for simple quadratic function.
problem Neural scaling laws and their predictions for model performance.
method Analysis of neural networks, lottery ticket ensembling, statistical interpretation.
result Found a new scaling law (α=1) for a simple quadratic function, contradicting previous theories. Classical multidimensional scaling is an important dimension reduction technique. Yet few theoretical results characterizing its statistical performance exist. This paper provides a theoretical framework for analyzing the quality of embedded samples produced by classical multidimensional scaling. This lays the foundati…
We show that an economic system populated by multiple agents generates an equilibrium distribution in the form of multiple scaling laws of conditional PDFs, which are sufficient for characterizing the probability distribution. The existence of the double scaling law is demonstrated empirically for the sales and the lab…
Develops statistical confidence sets for multidimensional scaling.
problem Statistical uncertainty in multidimensional scaling of noisy data.
method Formal statistical framework, distributional convergence results, uniform confidence sets, bootstrap procedures.
result Construction of reliable confidence sets for latent configurations in multidimensional scaling.
The study explains transformer scaling laws using statistical and approximation theories.
problem Understanding why transformer scaling laws exist for large models trained on low-dimensional data.
method Established statistical estimation and mathematical approximation theories for transformers on low-dimensional manifolds.
result Predicted a power law between generalization error and model and data sizes, with power depending on intrinsic data dimension.
NN-Turb generates turbulent velocity statistics using neural networks.
problem Creating a 1D field with turbulent velocity statistics.
method Fully-convolutional neural network (NN-Turb) to generate the field.
result NN-Turb generates a 1D field that satisfies Kolmogorov's 2/3 and 4/5 laws, exhibiting intermittency.
This work bridges two views of feature learning in neural networks.
problem The relationship between kernel scale changes and data-adaptive feature learning in neural networks remains unresolved.
method Using statistical mechanics, the work derives analytical expressions for network output statistics across scaling regimes.
result Kernel adaptation can be reduced to an effective kernel rescaling, but multi-scale adaptive approach provides richer insights.
The paper introduces gapped scale-sensitive dimensions to improve learning rate bounds.
problem Improving lower bounds on rates of convergence in statistical and online learning.
method Introducing and analyzing gapped scale-sensitive dimensions for function classes.
result Gapped dimensions lead to stronger lower bounds on offset Rademacher averages.
Study rates of convergence for approximate solutions to linear ill-posed problems in Hilbert scales.
problem Linear ill-posed inverse problems with noisy data.
method Approximate reconstructions from random noisy data using regularization schemes in Hilbert scale.
result Explicitly established error bounds for smooth regression functions.
New method for scalable inference in large-scale regression models with complex error structures.
problem Challenges in statistical inference for large-scale regression models with dependent errors.
method Generalized Method of Wavelet Moments with Exogenous variables (GMWMX).
result Statistical validity and scalability of GMWMX for linear models with complex error structures.
The paper studies scaling laws for associative memory mechanisms.
problem Understanding and optimizing learning and memorization processes.
method High-dimensional matrices of outer products of embeddings, relating to transformer models. Derived scaling laws with sample and parameter sizes. Extensive numerical experiments.
result Precise scaling laws and statistical efficiency of estimators.
We present a novel method for frequentist statistical inference in M-estimation problems, based on stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with a fixed step size: we demonstrate that the average of such SGD sequences can be used for statistical inference, after proper scaling. An intuitive analysis using the Ornstein-Uhlen…
ParK efficiently solves kernel ridge regression for large datasets.
problem Large-scale kernel ridge regression efficiency and accuracy.
method Partitioning feature space with random projections and iterative optimization.
result Provably maintains statistical accuracy with reduced space and time complexity.
Large models follow power laws in performance with dataset size or parameters.
problem Understanding neural scaling laws in large language models.
method Joint generative data model and random feature model.
result Modeling and solving the dual limit reveals insights into scaling laws.
Deep learning's success is puzzling from a statistical perspective.
problem Deep learning's success is puzzling from a statistical perspective.
method Physics-informed investigation of deep learning features and surprises.
result Neural scaling laws and their interplay with inductive biases.
In this paper we address the problem of performing statistical inference for large scale data sets i.e., Big Data. The volume and dimensionality of the data may be so high that it cannot be processed or stored in a single computing node. We propose a scalable, statistically robust and computationally efficient bootstra…
In recent years, ideas from statistics and scientific computing have begun to interact in increasingly sophisticated and fruitful ways with ideas from computer science and the theory of algorithms to aid in the development of improved worst-case algorithms that are useful for large-scale scientific and Internet data an…
Multidimensional scaling is an important dimension reduction tool in statistics and machine learning. Yet few theoretical results characterizing its statistical performance exist, not to mention any in high dimensions. By considering a unified framework that includes low, moderate and high dimensions, we study multidim…
To elucidate allometric scaling in complex systems, we investigated the underlying scaling relationships between typical three-scale indicators for approximately 500,000 Japanese firms; namely, annual sales, number of employees, and number of business partners. First, new scaling relations including the distributions o…
This study reveals statistical patterns in ERC20 token transactions on Ethereum blockchain.
problem Understanding transactional dynamics in decentralized systems.
method Examined over 44 million ERC20 token transfers, categorized by address type (EOA or SC), and analyzed using scaling laws.
result EOA-driven transactions exhibit consistent statistical behavior, while SC-driven activity displays sublinear scaling and bursty activity.
This paper argues that a class of Riemannian metrics, called warped metrics, plays a fundamental role in statistical problems involving location-scale models. The paper reports three new results : i) the Rao-Fisher metric of any location-scale model is a warped metric, provided that this model satisfies a natural invar…
Efficient RL in large POMDPs with latent determinism and embeddings.
problem Efficient reinforcement learning in large-scale POMDPs with latent states and observations.
method Conditional Hilbert space embeddings, linear optimal Q-function, deterministic latent transitions, gap assumption. result Computationally and statistically efficient algorithm for exact optimal policy.
Scaling and multiscaling financial time series have been widely studied in the literature. The research on this topic is vast and still flourishing. One way to analyze the scaling properties of time series is through the estimation of their scaling exponents, that are recognized as being valuable measures to discrimina…
Preprocessing data is an important step before any data analysis. In this paper, we focus on one particular aspect, namely scaling or normalization. We analyze various scaling methods in common use and study their effects on different statistical learning models. We will propose a new two-stage scaling method. First, w…
We make use of wavelet transform to study the multi-scale, self similar behavior and deviations thereof, in the stock prices of large companies, belonging to different economic sectors. The stock market returns exhibit multi-fractal characteristics, with some of the companies showing deviations at small and large scale…
A new robust scaling approach improves downstream metabolomics analysis.
problem Challenges in choosing scaling techniques for metabolomics data.
method Introduces a weighted scaling approach robust to outliers.
result The proposed method outperforms traditional scaling techniques in both outlier-free and outlier-present datasets.
A novel multi-resolution cluster detection (MCD) method is proposed to identify irregularly shaped clusters in space. Multi-scale test statistic on a single cell is derived based on likelihood ratio statistic for Bernoulli sequence, Poisson sequence and Normal sequence. A neighborhood variability measure is defined to …
Proposes two-stage robust and sparse distributed inference for large-scale data.
problem Statistical inference in large-scale, high-dimensional, and outlier-contaminated data.
method Two-stage approach: model selection with robust Lasso, fusion of local selections, and bootstrap methods for inference.
result Robust and computationally efficient inference procedures for variable selection, confidence intervals, and standard deviation approximations.
Modeling the evolution of a financial index as a stochastic process is a problem awaiting a full, satisfactory solution since it was first formulated by Bachelier in 1900. Here it is shown that the scaling with time of the return probability density function sampled from the historical series suggests a successful mode…
New algorithm STCV improves sparse model discovery from normalised data.
problem Distortion of sparse model discovery due to data scaling.
method STCV, a novel sparse regression algorithm robust to data scaling.
result STCV outperforms standard methods on normalised, noisy datasets.
Natural image statistics exhibit hierarchical dependencies across multiple scales. Representing such prior knowledge in non-factorial latent tree models can boost performance of image denoising, inpainting, deconvolution or reconstruction substantially, beyond standard factorial "sparse" methodology. We derive a large …
Kernel methods provide a principled way to perform non linear, nonparametric learning. They rely on solid functional analytic foundations and enjoy optimal statistical properties. However, at least in their basic form, they have limited applicability in large scale scenarios because of stringent computational requireme…
The scalability of statistical estimators is of increasing importance in modern applications. One approach to implementing scalable algorithms is to compress data into a low dimensional latent space using dimension reduction methods. In this paper we develop an approach for dimension reduction that exploits the assumpt…
This paper analyzes Local SGD for federated learning, achieving both statistical and communication efficiency.
problem Statistical estimation and inference in federated learning with decentralized data.
method Local SGD, a multi-round estimation procedure using intermittent communication.
result Local SGD achieves both statistical efficiency and communication efficiency.
Improved ridge regression with Frequent Directions for large-scale tasks.
problem Improving performance of ridge regression for large-scale data.
method Combines Frequent Directions with iterative optimization schemes.
result Achieves high accuracy in estimating bias and variance for sketched ridge regression.
Paper develops robust methods for large-scale testing without tuning parameters.
problem Heavy-tailed data in high-dimensional settings.
method Revisits Hodges-Lehmann estimator for robust inference without tuning parameters.
result Develops confidence intervals and controls false discovery proportion.
ElbowSig assesses clustering structure at multiple scales.
problem Selecting optimal number of clusters in unsupervised learning.
method Formalizes elbow heuristic with a normalized discrete curvature statistic.
result Validates multiscale clustering structure over various resolutions.
Proposes GBBHE for efficient large-scale regression.
problem Large-scale regression problems.
method Gradient Boosting with binary histogram partition and ensemble learning.
result Improves computational efficiency and performance on large datasets.
Learning to control linear systems is statistically hard, especially for underactuated systems.
problem Statistical difficulty of learning to control linear systems, especially underactuated ones.
method Utilized minimax lower bounds and structural assumptions to prove learning complexity can be exponential.
result Learning complexity can be at most exponential with the controllability index of the system.