Unified approach for data-driven control of stochastic processes.
problem Developing practical strategies for stochastic control problems with unknown dynamics.
method Reduction to rate-optimal estimators of invariant distribution risk.
result Data-driven strategies can achieve better performance than known methods.
Two methods monitor high-dimensional processes via manifold fitting or learning.
problem Monitoring high-dimensional, dynamic industrial processes.
method Manifold fitting and learning approaches for online SPC.
result Manifold-fitting approach achieves performance competitive with classical methods.
A new control chart detects shifts in binary data streams quickly and reliably.
problem Early detection of small shifts in multiple binary data streams.
method Cumulative Standardized Binomial EWMA (CSB-EWMA) chart with exact variance derivation.
result Adaptive control limits ensure robust detection across different data distributions.
New framework calibrates models to control risk under performativity.
problem Calibrating models to ensure reliable decision-making under performativity.
method Iteratively refined calibration process for different risk measures and tail bounds.
result Statistically rigorous risk control under performativity demonstrated.
A framework integrates machine learning with robust control for safer, more reliable systems.
problem Combining machine learning with robust control for systems with stringent safety and reliability requirements.
method Integrates Gaussian Process Regression and state-of-the-art robust controller synthesis within a framework that provides rigorous guarantees.
result Demonstrated improved performance with more data while maintaining rigorous guarantees.
The paper monitors stock market relationships using network analysis and statistical control charts.
problem Detecting abnormal changes in the financial market network structure.
method Network construction using distance methods, hierarchical clustering, and Shewhart control charts.
result Abnormal changes in financial market relationships can be detected using statistical process control.
Solla discusses neural processing using statistical physics and Bayesian methods.
problem Understanding neural information processing through statistical physics.
method Bayesian inference, Gibbs description, Generalized Linear Models, dimensionality reduction.
result Connection between neural processing and statistical physics.
We investigate Monte Carlo based algorithms for solving stochastic control problems with probabilistic constraints. Our motivation comes from microgrid management, where the controller tries to optimally dispatch a diesel generator while maintaining low probability of blackouts. The key question we investigate are empi…
Extends conformal prediction for controlling expected risk of monotone loss functions.
problem Controlling expected risk of monotone loss functions.
method Generalizes split conformal prediction with coverage guarantee, extending to distribution shift, quantile risk, multiple, adversarial, and expectations of U-statistics.
result Tight up to an O(1/n) factor, with worked examples in computer vision and natural language processing. A privacy-preserving framework detects faults in circular economy processes.
problem Lack of shared data across company borders due to privacy concerns.
method Federated Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Secure Multiparty Computation.
result The proposed FedMSPC framework outperforms standard PCA in fault detection.
This article is concerned with learning and stochastic control in physical systems which contain unknown input signals. These unknown signals are modeled as Gaussian processes (GP) with certain parametrized covariance structures. The resulting latent force models (LFMs) can be seen as hybrid models that contain a first…
New method detects bearing faults using multivariate statistical process control.
problem Early detection of bearing faults in rotating machinery.
method Multivariate statistical process control charts applied to Fourier transform features of fixed-time batches.
result Effectiveness in detecting bearing faults across different conditions.
The paper tackles learning to control systems with unknown parameters using Brownian noise.
problem Learning to control systems with unknown parameters.
method Proposes algorithms based on moving empirical averages and integrates statistical methods with stochastic control theory.
result Achieves a logarithmic expected regret rate.
One of the fundamental assumptions in stochastic control of continuous time processes is that the dynamics of the underlying (diffusion) process is known. This is, however, usually obviously not fulfilled in practice. On the other hand, over the last decades, a rich theory for nonparametric estimation of the drift (and…
We solve a broad class of sequential decision-making problems with partially observed states.
problem Sequential decision-making under uncertainty with partially observed states.
method Modeling as a partially observed Markov decision process (POMDP) and separating state and modulation process.
result The approach allows for specialized approximate solution procedures.
The paper explores when linear system identification is hard or easy, especially for under-actuated systems.
problem Statistical hardness of learning linear systems, especially under-actuated or under-excited systems.
method Using tools from minimax theory and recent statistical tools for finite sample analysis of system identification.
result The controllability index of linear systems affects the sample complexity of identification, making some systems hard to learn.
TSFMs embed non-stationary time series data, revealing specific types of changes.
problem Understanding non-stationarity in TSFMs' embedding spaces.
method Examined mean shifts, variance changes, linear trends, and persistence in TSFMs.
result Different TSFMs exhibit distinct failure modes in detecting non-stationarity.
A drift detection method for large datasets without labels.
problem Early detection of concept drift in large, unlabeled datasets.
method Classical statistical process control in a label-less setting.
result Better statistical power than previous methods under computational constraints.
A new method enhances signal recovery with FDR control.
problem Challenging signal recovery in compressive sensing.
method Knockoff-guided compressive sensing framework with FDR control.
result Guaranteed FDR control leads to more accurate signal reconstruction.
This work discusses a closed-loop control strategy for complex systems utilizing scarce and streaming data. A discrete embedding space is first built using hash functions applied to the sensor measurements from which a Markov process model is derived, approximating the complex system's dynamics. A control strategy is t…
This work presents a methodology to design trajectory tracking feedback control laws, which embed non-parametric statistical models, such as Gaussian Processes (GPs). The aim is to minimize unmodeled dynamics such as undesired slippages. The proposed approach has the benefit of avoiding complex terramechanics analysis …
Precision farming uses data analysis to optimize crop management.
problem Meeting increased food demand with sustainable practices.
method Statistical tools and machine learning for pattern recognition and prediction.
result Optimized farming processes in real-time reduce resource use.
New method learns policies from offline data using operator models.
problem Limited understanding of approximation errors in offline reinforcement learning.
method Linking reinforcement learning to Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, proposing operator-theoretic algorithm.
result Global convergence of the value function and finite-sample guarantees derived.
Study of multidimensional control problems with reflection controls.
problem Solving control problems with reflection controls in multidimensional settings.
method Gradient descent algorithm for polytope approximations, data-driven domain estimator, episodic learning algorithm.
result Data-driven solutions for unknown diffusion dynamics with sublinear regret.
This paper tackles inventory control with general arrival dynamics and post-processing, improving profitability.
problem Inventory control with arbitrary arrival dynamics and post-processing constraints.
method Formulated as an exogenous decision process, incorporating deep generative models for arrivals, and applying supervised learning techniques.
result Improves profitability over production baselines and real-world A/B test data.
Novel method improves load estimation in power grids using anomaly and change point detection.
problem Improving load estimation in power grid systems.
method Combining unsupervised anomaly and change point detection methods for automatic filtering.
result Automatic load estimation is accurate with 90% estimates within a 10% error margin.
Statistical model checking for PCTL on MDPs using reinforcement learning.
problem Model checking PCTL specifications on MDPs with statistical methods.
method Reinforcement learning for policy search, statistical model checking with UCB-based Q-learning.
result Provably guaranteed statistical model checking method for PCTL specifications on MDPs.
New approach uses PDE learning for faster RL fine-tuning.
problem Learning optimal control policy for diffusion process.
method Solves variational inequality based on HJB equations.
result Shows fine-tuning can be done via supervised regression.
Algorithm learns diffusion processes with high-dimensional state spaces.
problem Stochastic control of unbounded diffusion processes with high-dimensional state spaces.
method Adaptive partitioning and learning algorithm that refines discretization based on estimation bias and statistical confidence.
result Established regret bounds that depend on problem parameters, extending to unbounded diffusion processes.
A new model for generating point processes with complex geometries.
problem Difficulties in modeling point processes with large numbers of particles and complex geometries.
method Gradient descent algorithm applied to a phase harmonic operator on wavelet transforms of point patterns.
result The model allows for fast sampling of new configurations that match the statistics of observed point processes.
Pareto Testing optimizes model performance under multiple constraints.
problem Optimizing machine learning models with multiple conflicting objectives.
method Two-stage process combining optimization and statistical testing.
result Models can be configured to satisfy multiple statistical guarantees and objectives.
New method detects and locates changes in spatio-temporal point processes.
problem Detecting and localizing changes in spatio-temporal data.
method Score-based, likelihood-free approach estimating change time and region.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees on detection and localization accuracy.
Framework ensures alignment between humans and machines in LLMs.
problem Human-machine misalignment in LLMs scoring mechanisms.
method Lightweight calibration framework for blackbox models.
result Provably guarantees alignment between humans and machines.
Model reduction of Markov processes is a basic problem in modeling state-transition systems. Motivated by the state aggregation approach rooted in control theory, we study the statistical state compression of a discrete-state Markov chain from empirical trajectories. Through the lens of spectral decomposition, we study…
Comparing business process variants using event logs is a common use case in process mining. Existing techniques for process variant analysis detect statistically-significant differences between variants at the level of individual entities (such as process activities) and their relationships (e.g. directly-follows rela…
We consider the inverse reinforcement learning problem, that is, the problem of learning from, and then predicting or mimicking a controller based on state/action data. We propose a statistical model for such data, derived from the structure of a Markov decision process. Adopting a Bayesian approach to inference, we sh…
Technology has had an unquestionable impact on the way people watch sports. Along with this technological evolution has come a higher standard to ensure a good viewing experience for the casual sports fan. It can be argued that the pervasion of statistical analysis in sports serves to satiate the fan's desire for detai…
Survey on statistical learning theory for control, focusing on linear systems.
problem Applying machine learning techniques to control systems, especially linear ones.
method Adapting tools from modern high-dimensional statistics and learning theory.
result Recent advances in statistical learning theory for control, particularly for linear systems.
Proposes a new acquisition function for batched Bayesian optimization.
problem Intractability of acquisition functions for batched Bayesian optimization.
method Statistical physics inspired acquisition function for Gaussian processes.
result Demonstrates competitive performance on various problems.
Proposes a new resampling method for off-policy evaluation in stochastic control.
problem Estimating policy performance from data generated under a different policy.
method K-nearest neighbor resampling procedure for off-policy evaluation.
result Statistical consistency results for the proposed method under weak conditions.
New findings control FDR for online testing methods under positive dependence.
problem Maintaining FDR control for online testing methods under positive dependence.
method Developed new methods to control FDR for online testing procedures under positive dependence.
result SAFFRON and LORD control FDR under positive dependence, not just conditional superuniformity.
Study robust control for systems with continuous states using adversarial perturbations.
problem Fragile policies in Markov control models under internal or external perturbations.
method Distributionally robust stochastic control with adaptive adversarial perturbations.
result Optimal robust policies for continuous state systems with uniform learning guarantees.
Bayesian approach controls FDR in high-dimensional models.
problem High-dimensional variable selection and inference.
method Adapted Mirror Statistic to Bayesian framework for FDR control.
result Effective FDR control without data splitting.
New method optimizes SDE models using continuous-time gradient descent.
problem Optimizing over the stationary distribution of SDE models.
method Continuous-time stochastic gradient descent for SDE models.
result Asymptotic convergence to the direction of steepest descent.
It is usual to consider data protection and learnability as conflicting objectives. This is not always the case: we show how to jointly control inference --- seen as the attack --- and learnability by a noise-free process that mixes training examples, the Crossover Process (cp). One key point is that the cp~is typicall…
Study how neural networks learn from non-Gaussian data models.
problem Understanding neural network learning dynamics with non-Gaussian data.
method Developed a two-layer neural network with Hermite polynomial activations to control high-order cumulants.
result Neural networks progressively learn high-order cumulants after capturing low-order statistics.
SFS-DA method statistically tests FS reliability under domain adaptation.
problem Feature selection reliability under domain adaptation with limited target data.
method Selective Inference framework to control false positive rate and enhance true positive rate.
result SFS-DA method controls FPR below a pre-specified level α (e.g., 0.05) while maximizing true positive rate. Study identifies and analyzes three types of errors in learning Fourier operators.
problem Statistical, discretization, and truncation errors in learning Fourier operators.
method Analysis of a Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT) based least squares estimator.
result Established upper and lower bounds on statistical, discretization, and truncation errors.