Deep learning used for parameter estimation in hard-to-infer models.
problem Parameter estimation in intractable models like max-stable processes.
method Train deep neural networks on simulated data to estimate parameters.
result Deep learning provides accurate and faster parameter estimation.
Quantum statistical models with singularities are studied for state estimation and model selection.
problem Understanding statistical properties of quantum singular models.
method Classical singular learning theory extended to quantum state estimation and model selection using algebraic geometrical methods.
result Asymptotically unbiased estimator (QWAIC) for quantum generalization loss constructed.
Improved estimator reduces bias in statistical learning models.
problem Asymptotic bias in classic WDRO estimator.
method Adjusted Wasserstein distributionally robust estimator.
result Asymptotic unbiased estimator with smaller MSE.
New method estimates model parameters from incomplete data.
problem Estimating model parameters from incomplete data.
method Variational Gibbs Inference (VGI)
result Competitive or better performance compared to existing methods.
Proposes an exponentially increasing step-size for faster parameter estimation in statistical models.
problem Slow convergence of gradient descent in locally convex loss functions.
method Exponentially increasing step-size in gradient descent algorithm.
result Converges linearly to optimal solution under homogeneous assumptions.
New method to recover over-parameterized models corrupted during estimation.
problem Recovering statistical models corrupted after initial estimation.
method Robust estimation using over-parameterized models and redundancy.
result Stochastic gradient descent is well-suited for model repair, but sparsity is generally not repairable.
This paper studies statistical estimation in optional regression models.
problem Estimating parameters in regression models with optional semimartingale processes.
method Structural least squares (LS) estimates and their sequential versions.
result Strong consistency of LS-estimates and fixed accuracy of sequential LS-estimates.
Theoretical guarantees for neural estimators in parametric statistics are derived.
problem Lack of theoretical guarantees for neural estimators in parametric statistics.
method Decompose risk into terms and verify assumptions for convergence.
result Derive theoretical guarantees for neural estimators.
Paper develops a distributed debiased estimator for sparse statistical inference.
problem High computational costs in debiased estimator construction for high-dimensional models.
method Develops a multi-round distributed debiased estimator using both labeled and unlabelled data.
result Unlabeled data improves statistical rate of each iteration in distributed setup.
Triangular flows ensure statistical consistency and fast rates in generative modeling.
problem Ensuring statistical consistency and fast rates in generative models.
method Statistical guarantees and sample complexity bounds for triangular flow models using empirical process theory.
result Established statistical consistency and finite sample convergence rates for Kullback-Leibler estimator of Knöthe-Rosenblatt measure coupling.
Contrastive learning simplifies statistical inference for complex models.
problem Computational intractability of likelihood functions for certain models.
method Contrastive learning as an alternative for parameter estimation and inference.
result Contrastive learning enables practical methods for diverse statistical problems.
Paper explores robust estimators for kernel exponential families using smoothed total variation distances.
problem Outliers can severely impact classical estimators in statistical inference.
method Proposes smoothed total variation (STV) distance as a class of IPMs for robust estimation of kernel exponential families.
result STV-based estimators are robust against distribution contamination for kernel exponential families.
U-statistics improve gradient estimation in importance-weighted variational inference.
problem High variance in gradient estimation for importance-weighted variational inference.
method Use U-statistics to average base gradient estimators on overlapping batches of size m, achieving lower variance.
result U-statistic variance reduction leads to modest to significant improvements in inference performance.
The paper provides a statistical decision-theoretical derivation of the Two-Stage approach for parameter estimation.
problem Theoretical justification for the Two-Stage approach in situations where likelihood is difficult to evaluate.
method Statistical decision-theoretical derivation leading to Bayesian and Minimax estimators.
result The Two-Stage approach is justified theoretically and applied to independent and identically distributed samples.
The parameter estimation of unnormalized models is a challenging problem. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is computationally infeasible for these models since normalizing constants are not explicitly calculated. Although some consistent estimators have been proposed earlier, the problem of statistical efficienc…
EFI automates statistical inference for big data.
problem Statistical inference for model parameters based on observations.
method EFI uses stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo and sparse deep neural networks.
result EFI provides higher fidelity in parameter estimation and automates the inference process.
New sparsification technique for SGD reduces communication costs.
problem High communication costs in distributed SGD for large-scale models.
method Statistical estimation model for sparsity and skewness of stochastic gradients.
result Concatenated top-k and random-k sparsification outperforms individual methods.
In this paper, we develop connections between two seemingly disparate, but central, models in robust statistics: Huber's epsilon-contamination model and the heavy-tailed noise model. We provide conditions under which this connection provides near-statistically-optimal estimators. Building on this connection, we provide…
Study compares geometric approaches for shape and deformation statistics.
problem Characterizing statistical models of shapes and deformations.
method Information geometry and Wasserstein geometry.
result Wasserstein estimator is robust against waveform perturbation.
Method estimates model performance on external samples from limited statistical characteristics.
problem Limited access to multiple datasets due to privacy and commercial restrictions.
method Search for weights that match external statistics and are closest to uniform, using model performance on weighted internal sample as an estimation.
result Estimated external performance is closer to actual performance than internal performance.
Novel mutual information bound improves statistical inference rates.
problem Improving statistical inference rates in Bayesian nonparametrics.
method Introduces a novel mutual information bound.
result Improved contraction rates for fractional posteriors.
We investigate a generic problem of learning pairwise exponential family graphical models with pairwise sufficient statistics defined by a global mapping function, e.g., Mercer kernels. This subclass of pairwise graphical models allow us to flexibly capture complex interactions among variables beyond pairwise product. …
Develops methods for estimating constrained function-valued parameters in infinite-dimensional models.
problem Estimating function-valued parameters with structural constraints in complex models.
method Characterizes constrained solutions as minimizers of penalized population risk, using a Lagrange-type formulation and path through unconstrained space.
result Proposes estimators that achieve optimal risk and constraint satisfaction, applicable across various statistical learning approaches.
Paper proposes a method to use in silico experiments with foundation models to reduce sample size.
problem Costly and uncertain randomized experiments.
method Integrates predictions from multiple foundation models with experimental data.
result Estimator offers substantial precision gains, equivalent to a 20% reduction in sample size.
The study analyzes the performance of statistical estimators under stability and computational efficiency.
problem Understanding the performance of statistical estimators in relation to stability and computational efficiency.
method Developed a framework to bound statistical accuracy based on the interplay between algorithm convergence rates and stability.
result Unstable algorithms can achieve the same statistical accuracy as stable ones in fewer steps.
Estimates binary labels from dependent data using Markov Random Fields.
problem Statistical estimation from dependent data across spatial, temporal, and social domains.
method Modeling dependencies as Markov Random Fields and providing efficient estimation algorithms.
result Statistically efficient estimation rates for Ising models from a single sample.
We define and study the statistical models in exponential family form whose sufficient statistics are the degree distributions and the bi-degree distributions of undirected labelled simple graphs. Graphs that are constrained by the joint degree distributions are called dK-graphs in the computer science literature and…
New framework formalizes estimating valid transport maps, revealing their statistical limits.
problem Estimating valid transport maps in generative modeling.
method Formalized a minimax framework for estimating valid transport maps.
result Estimating any valid transport map is as hard as estimating the optimal transport map under standard stability assumptions.
Estimates watermarked content proportions in mixed-source texts.
problem Optimally estimating the proportion of watermarked content in texts with mixed sources.
method Casting the problem as estimating a proportion parameter in a mixture model based on pivotal statistics.
result Proposes efficient estimators for watermark proportion and shows their accuracy through evaluations.
New method improves active statistical inference by reducing noise.
problem Inaccurate uncertainty estimates in active sampling lead to noisy results.
method Robust sampling strategies that interpolate between uniform and active sampling based on uncertainty scores.
result The robust sampling ensures that the estimator is never worse than uniform sampling and usually outperforms active inference.
We show that the Bregman divergence provides a rich framework to estimate unnormalized statistical models for continuous or discrete random variables, that is, models which do not integrate or sum to one, respectively. We prove that recent estimation methods such as noise-contrastive estimation, ratio matching, and sco…
Heavy-tailed outliers are more resilient to robust estimation than adversarial ones.
problem Developing robust estimators for data with outliers.
method Analyzing the relationship between adversarial and heavy-tailed outlier models.
result Optimal estimators for heavy-tailed outliers are also optimal for adversarial settings, but not vice versa.
New statistical factors improve portfolio risk estimation.
problem Improving estimation of portfolio risk using new statistical factors.
method Matrix factor models and statistical methods (partial F test, double selection LASSO).
result New statistical factors add explanatory power in asset pricing.
Improves neural network estimates using IFs without needing more data.
problem Bias and lack of flexibility in neural network models.
method MultiNet and MultiStep methods using Influence Functions.
result Improves model robustness and facilitates statistical inference without additional data.
Several statistical models are given in the form of unnormalized densities, and calculation of the normalization constant is intractable. We propose estimation methods for such unnormalized models with missing data. The key concept is to combine imputation techniques with estimators for unnormalized models including no…
Develops methods to estimate high rank tensors from noisy data.
problem Estimating high rank tensors from noisy observations.
method Generative latent variable tensor model, polynomial-time spectral algorithm.
result Achieves computationally optimal rate for signal tensor estimation.
Efficient streaming algorithms for robust statistics with near-optimal memory.
problem High-dimensional robust statistics tasks in streaming model.
method First efficient streaming algorithms with near-optimal memory requirements.
result Near-optimal error guarantees and space complexity nearly-linear in the dimension for robust mean estimation.
Researchers formalize PD and PFI to relate them to data generating process.
problem Lack of theory linking PD and PFI to data generating process.
method Formalize PD and PFI as estimators of ground truth estimands, account for model variance with learner-PD and learner-PFI.
result PD and PFI estimates deviate from ground truth due to statistical biases, model variance, and Monte Carlo approximation errors.
This paper presents a unified geometric framework for the statistical analysis of a general ill-posed linear inverse model which includes as special cases noisy compressed sensing, sign vector recovery, trace regression, orthogonal matrix estimation, and noisy matrix completion. We propose computationally feasible conv…
A debiasing method improves nonparametric regression's statistical properties.
problem Lack of theoretical guarantees for modern nonparametric regression methods.
method Model-free debiasing method incorporating a correction term.
result Debiased estimator satisfies pointwise and uniform risk convergence, asymptotic normality.
We consider basic conceptual questions concerning the relationship between statistical estimation and causal inference. Firstly, we show how to translate causal inference problems into an abstract statistical formalism without requiring any structure beyond an arbitrarily-indexed family of probability models. The forma…
Rank-statistic method approximates f-divergences without density-ratio estimation.
problem Approximating f-divergences without explicit density-ratio estimation. method Mapping distribution rank histograms to discrete f-divergence and averaging over random projections. result The rank-statistic estimator is a lower bound of the true f-divergence and converges under mild conditions. Estimates sparse Gaussian graphical models using discrete optimization.
problem Learning a sparse graph from Gaussian graphical models.
method Proposes GraphL0BnB, an ℓ0-penalized MIP solved with a custom BnB framework. result Significant runtime and statistical performance improvements over existing methods.
Estimates hypergraphons for modeling complex interactions efficiently.
problem Modeling higher-order interactions using hypergraphons.
method Restricted class of Simple Lipschitz Hypergraphons (SLH) for efficient estimation.
result Optimal rates of convergence for SLH estimator.
Method estimates parameters for disease spread models robustly.
problem Estimating parameters for disease spread models.
method Statistical Learning applied to Approximate Bayesian Computation.
result Qualitative properties of disease evolution can be assessed.
Improves survey sampling with unbiased machine learning methods.
problem Design-consistent model-assisted estimation lacks a general theory for machine learning.
method Proposes a subsampling Rao-Blackwell method for design-unbiased estimation.
result Yields efficiency gains over standard methods while ensuring valid estimation.
We propose a nonparametric statistical test for goodness-of-fit: given a set of samples, the test determines how likely it is that these were generated from a target density function. The measure of goodness-of-fit is a divergence constructed via Stein's method using functions from a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space. O…
We provide a general theory of the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for inferring high dimensional latent variable models. In particular, we make two contributions: (i) For parameter estimation, we propose a novel high dimensional EM algorithm which naturally incorporates sparsity structure into parameter estima…