arXiv research

Computing equilibrium states in condensed-matter many-body systems, such as solvated proteins, is a long-standing challenge. Lacking methods for generating statistically independent equilibrium samples in "one shot", vast computational effort is invested for simulating these system in small steps, e.g., using Molecular…

Mathematical methods of population genetics and framework of exchangeability provide a Markov chain model for analysis and interpretation of stochastic behaviour of equity markets, explaining, in particular, market shape formation, statistical equilibrium and temporal stability of market weights.

Study compares cryptocurrency and stock markets using statistical equilibrium models.

Economic systems are similar with physic systems for their large number of individuals and the exist of equilibrium. In this paper, we present a model applying the equilibrium statistical model in economic systems. Consistent with statistical physics, we define a series of concepts, such as economic temperature, econom…

Statistical arbitrageurs have inelastic demand, contrary to classical models.

The paper examines Nash equilibrium in GANs for stationary Gaussian processes.

Paper connects RL and non-equilibrium statistical mechanics for entropy-regularized RL.

Proves minimax sample complexity for turn-based stochastic games.

A new method relaxes molecules without needing non-equilibrium data.

In this paper I give a brief introduction to a family of simple but non-trivial models designed to increase our understanding of collective processes in markets, the so-called Minority Games, and their non-equilibrium statistical mathematical analysis. Since the most commonly studied members of this family define disor…

The distribution of money is analysed in connection with the Boltzmann distribution of energy in the degenerate states of molecules. Plots of the population density of income distribution for various countries are well reproduced by a Gamma function, confirming the validity of the statistical distribution at equilibriu…

Deep equilibrium models estimate latent variables from data.

In this communication, complex systems with a near trivial dynamics are addressed. First, under the hypothesis of equiprobability in the asymptotic equilibrium, it is shown that the (hyper) planar geometry of an $N$-dimensional multi-agent economic system implies the exponential (Boltzmann-Gibss) wealth distribution an…

We consider a simple model of a closed economic system where the total money is conserved and the number of economic agents is fixed. In analogy to statistical systems in equilibrium, money and the average money per economic agent are equivalent to energy and temperature, respectively. We investigate the effect of the …

Generative diffusion models exhibit phase transitions in statistical mechanics, impacting their performance.

We analyze the statistics of daily price change of stock market in the framework of a statistical physics model for the collective fluctuation of stock portfolio. In this model the time series of price changes are coded into the sequences of up and down spins, and the Hamiltonian of the system is expressed by spin-spin…

Study evaluates different mathematical models for three case studies using statistical fitting.

Framework preserves emergent physics in non-equilibrium systems from particle trajectories.

We consider a simple stochastic model of a urban rental housing market, in which the interaction of tenants and landlords induces rent fluctuations. We simulate the model numerically and measure the equilibrium rent distribution, which is found to be close to a lognormal law. We also study the influence of the density …

We represent an exchange economy in terms of statistical ensembles for complex networks by introducing the concept of market configuration. This is defined as a sequence of nonnegative discrete random variables $\{w_{ij}\}$ describing the flow of a given commodity from agent $i$ to agent $j$. This sequence can be arran…

A major line of contemporary research on complex networks is based on the development of statistical models that specify the local motifs associated with macro-structural properties observed in actual networks. This statistical approach becomes increasingly problematic as network size increases. In the context of curre…

We show that an economic system populated by multiple agents generates an equilibrium distribution in the form of multiple scaling laws of conditional PDFs, which are sufficient for characterizing the probability distribution. The existence of the double scaling law is demonstrated empirically for the sales and the lab…

During reactive transport modeling, the computational cost associated with chemical reaction calculations is often 10-100 times higher than that of transport calculations. Most of these costs results from chemical equilibrium calculations that are performed at least once in every mesh cell and at every time step of the…

Study introduces statistical mechanics for min-max problems.

In statistical physics, the conservation of particle number results in the equalization of the chemical potential throughout a system at equilibrium. In contrast, the homogeneity of utility in socio-economic models is usually thought to rely on the competition between individuals, leading to Nash equilibrium. We show t…

Study on liquidation games with market drop-out, proving unique equilibria.

The paper provides a geometric framework for understanding non-equilibrium thermodynamics.

Unified framework for Bayesian and Frequentist statistics.

RL in MFGs is as hard as solving many single-agent RL problems.

We consider the concept of equilibrium in economic systems from statistical mechanics viewpoint. A new method is suggested for computing the premium on this basis. The Bühlmann economic premium principle is derived as a special case of our method.

This paper examines how adversarial perturbations affect model performance and equilibrium learning.

We study a class of heterogeneous agent-based models which are based on a basic set of principles, and the most fundamental operations of an economic system: trade and product transformations. A basic guiding principle is scale invariance, which means that the dynamics of the economy should not depend on the units used…

Rate GENERIC extends thermodynamics principles to non-equilibrium systems.

This paper studies two important signal processing aspects of equilibrium behavior in non-cooperative games arising in social networks, namely, reinforcement learning and detection of equilibrium play. The first part of the paper presents a reinforcement learning (adaptive filtering) algorithm that facilitates learning…

Enhanced diffusion sampling improves rare event sampling in biomolecular simulations.

Enhanced diffusion sampling tackles rare event sampling in biomolecular simulations.

We seek to infer the parameters of an ergodic Markov process from samples taken independently from the steady state. Our focus is on non-equilibrium processes, where the steady state is not described by the Boltzmann measure, but is generally unknown and hard to compute, which prevents the application of established eq…

In this paper we contribute a novel algorithm family, which generalizes many unsupervised techniques including unnormalized and energy models, and allows us to infer different statistical modalities (e.g. data likelihood and ratio between densities) from data samples. The proposed unsupervised technique, named Probabil…

Generative model for condensed matter using Riemannian flow matching.

By analyzing the relationships between a socioeconomical system modeled through evolutionary game theory and a physical system modeled through quantum mechanics we show how although both systems are described through two theories apparently different both are analogous and thus exactly equivalents. The extensions of qu…

In simulations of some economic gas-like models, the asymptotic regime shows an exponential wealth distribution, independently of the initial wealth distribution given to the system. The appearance of this statistical equilibrium for this type of gas-like models is explained in a rigorous analytical way.

New framework recovers reward and rationality parameters from game behavior.

Traders in a market typically have widely different, private information on the return of an asset. The equilibrium price of the asset may reflect this information more accurately if the number of traders is large enough compared to the number of the states of the world that determine the return of the asset. We study …

Financial markets are often driven by latent factors which traders cannot observe. Here, we address an algorithmic trading problem with collections of heterogeneous agents who aim to perform optimal execution or statistical arbitrage, where all agents filter the latent states of the world, and their trading actions hav…

Study on multi-agent decision making complexity, showing sample efficiency gaps.

The recent book by T. Piketty (Capital in the Twenty-First Century) promoted the important issue of wealth inequality. In the last twenty years, physicists and mathematicians developed models to derive the wealth distribution using discrete and continuous stochastic processes (random exchange models) as well as related…

CG-BGs combine flow-based models with PMFs to sample large systems efficiently.

Kernel networks' stability edge linked to Fisher Information singularity.