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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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158316474632 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for statistical analysis

The paper analyzes Karcher means on restricted PSD matrices with statistical guarantees.

problem Statistical analysis of non-linear manifolds in machine learning.
method Intrinsic mean model on restricted PSD matrices, Karcher mean analysis, extrinsic signal-plus-noise model.
result Non-asymptotic statistical analysis of Karcher means with deterministic error bounds.

Unified platform for statistical and machine learning in bioinformatics.

problem Workflow inefficiencies in using multiple tools for data analysis.
method Automated hyperparameter optimization, feature importance analysis, statistical tests.
result Accelerates biological discovery workflows with methodological soundness.

Technology has had an unquestionable impact on the way people watch sports. Along with this technological evolution has come a higher standard to ensure a good viewing experience for the casual sports fan. It can be argued that the pervasion of statistical analysis in sports serves to satiate the fan's desire for detai…

2011-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework for efficient statistical estimation with privacy guarantees.

problem Statistical estimation problems with differential privacy constraints.
method High-dimensional Propose-Test-Release (HPTR) framework combining exponential mechanism, robust statistics, and resilience.
result Near-optimal utility guarantees and tight local sensitivity bounds for various statistical problems.

As regulators pay more attentions to losses rather than gains, we are able to derive a new class of risk statistics, named regulator-based risk statistics with scenario analysis in this paper. This new class of risk statistics can be considered as a kind of risk extension of risk statistics introduced by Kou et al. \ci…

2019-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a statistical test for feature selection pipelines using selective inference.

problem Assessing the significance of feature selection pipelines in data analysis.
method Selective inference technique applied to feature selection pipelines composed of various algorithms.
result The proposed statistical test controls false positive feature selection probabilities.

The paper examines extreme value statistics of high-dimensional sample covariances, with applications in finance and image analysis.

problem Statistical validation of normal conditions in high-dimensional time series data.
method Generalizes the maximal deviation of sample autocovariances to high dimensions and applies Gumbel-type extreme value asymptotics.
result Gumbel-type extreme value asymptotics holds true for high-dimensional sample covariances.

Study proposes a statistical testing framework for evaluating clustering pipelines.

problem Quantifying the statistical reliability of clustering results from data analysis pipelines.
method Selective inference-based statistical testing framework for clustering pipelines.
result The proposed test controls the type I error rate and is effective in validating clustering results.

Statistical uncertainty of different filtration techniques for market network analysis is studied. Two measures of statistical uncertainty are discussed. One is based on conditional risk for multiple decision statistical procedures and another one is based on average fraction of errors. It is shown that for some import…

2013-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimum-statistical collaboration improves black-box optimization efficiency.

problem Improving black-box optimization efficiency through better statistical collaboration.
method Introducing optimum-statistical collaboration framework for hierarchical bandits-based optimization.
result Demonstrated improved regret bounds and better performance in experiments.

This paper proposes a statistical mechanics approach to the analysis of income distribution and inequality. A new distribution function, having its roots in the framework of k-generalized statistics, is derived that is particularly suitable to describe the whole spectrum of incomes, from the low-middle income region up…

2009-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes methods to infer from privacy-protected data using simulation-based techniques.

problem Valid statistical inference from privacy-protected data is computationally challenging.
method Simulation-based inference methods, including sequential Monte Carlo and neural conditional density estimators.
result Valid statistical inferences can be made from privacy-protected data.

Neuroimaging research has predominantly drawn conclusions based on classical statistics, including null-hypothesis testing, t-tests, and ANOVA. Throughout recent years, statistical learning methods enjoy increasing popularity, including cross-validation, pattern classification, and sparsity-inducing regression. These t…

2016-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on GEPs with generative priors, showing optimal statistical rates and proposing an iterative algorithm.

problem Generalized eigenvalue problems with generative priors.
method Assumption of Lipschitz continuous generative model, Projected Rayleigh Flow Method (PRFM).
result PRFM converges linearly to an estimated vector achieving the optimal statistical rate.

Hypothesis testing is one of the most common types of data analysis and forms the backbone of scientific research in many disciplines. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) in particular is used to detect dependence between a categorical and a numerical variable. Here we show how one can carry out this hypothesis test under the…

2019-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The book chapter discusses tail risk analysis for financial data using extreme value statistics.

problem Serial dependence in financial time series complicates tail risk assessment.
method The approach involves unconditional and conditional quantile forecasting.
result Serial dependence impacts multivariate tail dependence.

Risk statistic is a critical factor not only for risk analysis but also for financial application. However, the traditional risk statistics may fail to describe the characteristics of regulator-based risk. In this paper, we consider the regulator-based risk statistics for portfolios. By further developing the propertie…

2019-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The goal of this paper is to show that there exists a simple, yet universal statistical logic of spectral graph analysis by recasting it into a nonparametric function estimation problem. The prescribed viewpoint appears to be good enough to accommodate most of the existing spectral graph techniques as a consequence of …

2016-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative models are reinterpreted in statistical terms, enabling better understanding and inference.

problem Insufficient interpretability of generative models in statistical terms.
method Flow matching and orthogonalization/cross-fitting in double/debiased machine learning.
result Generative models can be used to estimate nuisance components while maintaining inferential validity.

Making sense of a dataset in an automatic and unsupervised fashion is a challenging problem in statistics and AI. Classical approaches for {exploratory data analysis} are usually not flexible enough to deal with the uncertainty inherent to real-world data: they are often restricted to fixed latent interaction models an…

2018-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

SMC analysis reveals key transient effects in macroeconomic ABM.

problem Analysis of complex ABMs is challenging and often relies on ad hoc methods.
method Statistical model checking (SMC) implemented through MultiVeStA.
result Clear contrast across parameter families in macro-financial and structural sweeps.

This paper introduces compositional data analysis for financial ratios, improving industry-level analysis.

problem Statistical issues with standard financial ratios at industry level.
method Compositional data analysis techniques for financial ratios.
result Improved analysis of financial ratios using compositional data methods.

New framework connects online learning to statistical learning for better generalization bounds.

problem Deriving generalization bounds for statistical learning algorithms.
method Constructing an online learning game and showing a connection to statistical learning.
result Established a connection between online and statistical learning, leading to new generalization bounds.

The level crossing and inverse statistics analysis of DAX and oil price time series are given. We determine the average frequency of positive-slope crossings, να+ν_α^+, where Tα=1/να+T_α =1/ν_α^+ is the average waiting time for observing the level αα again. We estimate the probability P(K,α)P(K, α), which provides us the probab…

2010-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Extends JKO scheme for iterative algorithms with unknown parameters.

problem Computational and statistical analysis of iterative algorithms with unknown parameters.
method Develops statistical methods to estimate unknown parameters and adapts JKO scheme.
result Establishes asymptotic theory for the statistical JKO scheme.

Probabilistic Latent Semantic Analysis is a novel statistical technique for the analysis of two-mode and co-occurrence data, which has applications in information retrieval and filtering, natural language processing, machine learning from text, and in related areas. Compared to standard Latent Semantic Analysis which s…

2013-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

In recent years, ideas from statistics and scientific computing have begun to interact in increasingly sophisticated and fruitful ways with ideas from computer science and the theory of algorithms to aid in the development of improved worst-case algorithms that are useful for large-scale scientific and Internet data an…

2010-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper gives picture of enrichment to economic and financial system analysis using agent-based models as a form of advanced study for financial economic data post-statistical-data analysis and micro-simulation analysis. Theoretical exploration is carried out by using comparisons of some usual financial economy syste…

2004-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗