State aggregation is a popular model reduction method rooted in optimal control. It reduces the complexity of engineering systems by mapping the system's states into a small number of meta-states. The choice of aggregation map often depends on the data analysts' knowledge and is largely ad hoc. In this paper, we propos…
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48 results for “state aggregation”
We establish that an optimistic variant of Q-learning applied to a fixed-horizon episodic Markov decision process with an aggregated state representation incurs regret , where is the horizon, is the number of aggregate states, is the number of episodes, and is …
Aggregated variables can mask causal effects, turning unconfounded into confounded relations.
problem Aggregated variables can mask causal effects, leading to paradoxical confounding.
method Analysis of how aggregated variables can change the definition of causality and the feasibility of causal relations.
result Macro causal relations are defined by micro states, not just aggregated variables.
Feature-Based Aggregation and Deep Reinforcement Learning: A Survey and Some New Implementationscs.LG
In this paper we discuss policy iteration methods for approximate solution of a finite-state discounted Markov decision problem, with a focus on feature-based aggregation methods and their connection with deep reinforcement learning schemes. We introduce features of the states of the original problem, and we formulate …
Policy gradient methods with aggregated states can achieve better performance than approximate policy iteration.
problem Approximation errors in policy and value function approximations.
method State-aggregated representations and policy gradient methods.
result Policy gradient methods can achieve a per-period regret bounded by ε, while approximate policy iteration and value iteration have a higher regret.
Turbo-Aggregate reduces secure aggregation time from quadratic to nearly linear.
problem Quadratic overhead in secure model aggregation for federated learning.
method Multi-group circular strategy, additive secret sharing, and coding techniques.
result Achieves overhead, compared to , for up to 50% user dropout.
Most real-world problems have huge state and/or action spaces. Therefore, a naive application of existing tabular solution methods is not tractable on such problems. Nonetheless, these solution methods are quite useful if an agent has access to a relatively small state-action space homomorphism of the true environment …
The article improves prediction by aggregating Kalman recursions online.
problem Improving expert aggregation in prediction models.
method Using exponential weights and state-space models to aggregate Kalman recursions.
result New algorithms outperform existing methods in Kalman recursion expert aggregation.
Model reduction of Markov processes is a basic problem in modeling state-transition systems. Motivated by the state aggregation approach rooted in control theory, we study the statistical state compression of a discrete-state Markov chain from empirical trajectories. Through the lens of spectral decomposition, we study…
This paper optimizes MDP policies for efficient state aggregation.
problem Optimizing policies in aggregated Markov chains while preserving optimal performance.
method Homomorphic mappings to establish optimal policy equivalence and derive performance bounds.
result Developed HPG and EBHPG methods for efficient aggregation and policy optimization.
Federated edge learning improves with CSIT-free model aggregation using RIS.
problem Lack of CSIT in federated edge learning systems.
method Use RIS to align channel coefficients for model aggregation without CSIT, optimize RIS and receiver jointly.
result Achieves similar learning accuracy as CSIT-based methods without CSIT.
Method learns CTMC models from steady-state data, predicting unseen states.
problem Learning CTMC models from aggregate steady-state statistics without sequence examples.
method ∞-SGD, a stochastic gradient descent method that avoids infinite sums.
result Successfully learns CTMC models and predicts unseen states.
In order to scale standard Gaussian process (GP) regression to large-scale datasets, aggregation models employ factorized training process and then combine predictions from distributed experts. The state-of-the-art aggregation models, however, either provide inconsistent predictions or require time-consuming aggregatio…
Study on existence of ground states for free energy on hyperbolic space.
problem Existence of ground states for a free energy functional on hyperbolic space.
method Derived HLS-type inequalities on Cartan-Hadamard manifolds to prove existence.
result Established conditions for the existence of ground states on hyperbolic space.
We study minority games in efficient regime. By incorporating the utility function and aggregating agents with similar strategies we develop an effective mesoscale notion of state of the game. Using this approach, the game can be represented as a Markov process with substantially reduced number of states with explicitl…
Estimating statistical uncertainties allows autonomous agents to communicate their confidence during task execution and is important for applications in safety-critical domains such as autonomous driving. In this work, we present the uncertainty-aware imitation learning (UAIL) algorithm for improving end-to-end control…
New algorithm for aggregate inference in HMMs with continuous observations.
problem Inference in large populations with indistinguishable individuals and continuous measurements.
method Continuous observation collective forward-backward algorithm extending existing discrete case algorithm.
result Efficacy demonstrated through numerical experiments.
This paper tackles hidden state inference for HMMs using particle filtering.
problem Inference for hidden states under HMMs is challenging due to unavailable true labels.
method Adaptive conformal inference framework using particle filtering.
result The framework produces prediction sets with specific aggregated coverage levels.
This paper presents a way of solving Markov Decision Processes that combines state abstraction and temporal abstraction. Specifically, we combine state aggregation with the options framework and demonstrate that they work well together and indeed it is only after one combines the two that the full benefit of each is re…
SACP aggregates nonconformity scores from multiple predictors to create more efficient uncertainty sets.
problem Combining predictive uncertainties from multiple models for efficient and reliable uncertainty quantification.
method SACP (Symmetric Aggregated Conformal Prediction) aggregates nonconformity scores using a flexible symmetric aggregation function.
result SACP consistently improves efficiency and often outperforms state-of-the-art model aggregation baselines.
We prove a lower bound for feature dimension in linear MDPs and propose a novel dynamics aggregation framework.
problem The limitation of feature dimension in linear MDPs and the need for efficient hierarchical reinforcement learning.
method We propose a novel dynamics aggregation framework based on structural dynamics and design a provably efficient hierarchical reinforcement learning algorithm.
result Our algorithm achieves a regret of and meets the condition in most real-world environments.
New LCM aggregator improves GNN performance and efficiency.
problem Graph neural networks' sensitivity to aggregation function choice.
method Learnable commutative monoid for graph aggregation.
result LCM aggregator achieves performance competitive with recurrent aggregators.
LightSecAgg reduces secure aggregation complexity in FL.
problem Complexity in secure aggregation protocols for FL systems.
method One-shot aggregate-mask reconstruction via mask encoding/decoding.
result Significantly reduces overhead for resiliency against dropped users.
A new method reduces complexity in estimating dynamic choice models.
problem Estimating structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models using behavioral data.
method Two-stage approach: inverse reinforcement learning for Q-function estimation, state selection via clustering, and maximum likelihood estimation with nested fixed-point algorithm.
result The method mitigates the curse of dimensionality and provides finite-sample bounds on estimation error.
New method produces coherent forecasts for long-range data.
problem Inaccurate and non-coherent forecasts on long-horizon data.
method Probabilistic forecasting with KL-divergence for coherent aggregates.
result Improves forecast performance across base levels and aggregates.
We consider the forecast aggregation problem in repeated settings, where the forecasts are done on a binary event. At each period multiple experts provide forecasts about an event. The goal of the aggregator is to aggregate those forecasts into a subjective accurate forecast. We assume that experts are Bayesian; namely…
Aggregation of financial marketsq-fin.MF
We formalize how markets aggregate via arbitrage and quantify liquidity loss.
problem How financial markets aggregate and the loss of liquidity.
method Characterize markets via utility functions, use thermodynamics analogy, derive limit order book representation, compute aggregation loss.
result Arbitrage-mediated aggregation leads to market-dynamical entropy quantifying liquidity loss.
Fishnets improve set and graph learning with scalable, robust aggregation.
problem Learning informative embeddings for sets and graphs with scalable and robust aggregation.
method Proposes Fishnets, a new aggregation strategy for set-based learning.
result Fishnets achieve state-of-the-art performance on graph datasets with fewer parameters and faster training.
This paper solves aggregation of Pareto optimal models by using Bayesian priors and weighted averaging.
problem How to rationally aggregate Pareto optimal models while preserving Pareto efficiency.
method Four logical steps: 1) Bayesian models, 2) Prior as preference ranking, 3) Consistent aggregation, 4) Weighted average of priors.
result All rational/consistent aggregation rules follow a generalized hierarchical Bayesian model.
We propose a probabilistic model to aggregate the answers of respondents answering multiple-choice questions. The model does not assume that everyone has access to the same information, and so does not assume that the consensus answer is correct. Instead, it infers the most probable world state, even if only a minority…
To improve the resilience of distributed training to worst-case, or Byzantine node failures, several recent approaches have replaced gradient averaging with robust aggregation methods. Such techniques can have high computational costs, often quadratic in the number of compute nodes, and only have limited robustness gua…
Equilibrium singular dividend control under ambiguity aggregation of heterogeneous discount ratesmath.OC
A firm with heterogeneous shareholders optimizes dividends under ambiguity aggregation.
problem Optimizing dividends for a firm with heterogeneous shareholders under ambiguity aggregation.
method Characterizing equilibrium dividends using a partition of the state space.
result Time-homogeneous equilibrium dividend law characterized by a partition of the state space.
This paper develops a low-nonnegative-rank approximation method to identify the state aggregation structure of a finite-state Markov chain under an assumption that the state space can be mapped into a handful of meta-states. The number of meta-states is characterized by the nonnegative rank of the Markov transition mat…
This paper introduces a family of local feature aggregation functions and a novel method to estimate their parameters, such that they generate optimal representations for classification (or any task that can be expressed as a cost function minimization problem). To achieve that, we compose the local feature aggregation…
Non-local GNNs improve performance on disassortative graphs.
problem Efficiency and performance issues in local aggregation for disassortative graphs.
method Proposes a non-local aggregation framework with attention-guided sorting.
result Significantly outperforms previous methods on disassortative graphs.
Improved defense against data poisoning attacks by aggregating smaller subsets.
problem Mitigating the impact of poisoned data on model robustness.
method Finite Aggregation method that combines duplicates of smaller disjoint subsets for training.
result Consistent improvement in certified robustness bounds, up to 4.77% on GTSRB.
A new method for faster prediction in distributed Gaussian processes.
problem Inefficient aggregation of distributed Gaussian processes with correlations.
method Proposes a novel approach for aggregated prediction in distributed GPs that incorporates correlations among experts.
result Results in more stable predictions in less time compared to state-of-the-art methods.
A new GNN model SPIN achieves state-of-the-art performance on diverse real-world datasets.
problem Graph classification efficiency and accuracy.
method Parallel neighborhood aggregations (PA-GNNs) and SPIN model.
result SPIN model achieves state-of-the-art performance on diverse real-world datasets.
Proposes a method for private aggregation in heterogeneous federated learning.
problem Ensuring resilience to Byzantine clients and maintaining client data privacy in federated learning with heterogeneous data.
method Careful co-design of verifiable secret sharing, secure aggregation, and private information retrieval scheme.
result Achieves information-theoretic privacy guarantees and Byzantine resilience under data heterogeneity.
SGM combines deep learning and planning for robust long-horizon tasks.
problem Combining deep learning and planning for robust long-horizon tasks.
method Sparse Graphical Memory (SGM) that stores states and feasible transitions in a sparse memory, aggregating states according to a two-way consistency objective.
result SGM significantly outperforms current state of the art methods on long horizon, sparse-reward visual navigation tasks.
Aggregation defenses improve deep learning models' robustness against data poisoning attacks.
problem Data poisoning attacks manipulate deep learning models with malicious training samples.
method Deep Partition Aggregation, efficiency improvements, data-to-complexity ratio, poisoning overfitting phenomenon.
result Aggregation defenses boost poisoning robustness through the poisoning overfitting phenomenon.
New insights on offline RL with state aggregation and trajectory data.
problem Understanding sample complexity in offline policy evaluation.
method Analyzing concentrability coefficient in aggregated Markov Transition Model.
result Sample complexity depends on concentrability coefficient in aggregated model.
New algorithm extracts device profiles for short-term power predictions in commercial buildings.
problem Short-term power prediction in commercial buildings with high accuracy.
method Unsupervised extraction of device profiles from aggregate power measurements, disaggregation using particle swarm optimization, and state changes forecast by artificial neural networks.
result Developed approach outperforms existing methods with high accuracy.
New method aggregates bootstrapped DAGs for causal discovery.
problem Aggregation of bootstrapped DAGs ignores higher-order structures.
method Theoretical framework and new DAG aggregation algorithm.
result Proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art solutions.
This paper compares rank aggregation methods for partial label ranking.
problem Handling partial label ranking with ties.
method Scoring-based and non-parametric probabilistic-based rank aggregation methods.
result Scoring-based variants consistently outperform the state-of-the-art method.
We provide an explicit aggregation in the neoclassical growth model with aggregate shocks and uninsurable employment risk. We show there are two restrictions on the unemployment shock for approximate aggregation to occur. First the probability of unemployment must be positive for each agent in each time period. That en…
Estimates fat-shattering dimension of aggregated function classes.
problem Understanding the complexity of aggregated function classes.
method Analyzes fat-shattering dimension of -fold aggregations of real-valued function classes.
result Provides upper and lower bounds on fat-shattering dimension for linear and affine function classes.
New method forecasts time series with changing variances.
problem Real-world processes with changing variances cannot be captured by classical models.
method State-space model with Markov switching variances, using online learning and expert aggregation.
result Proposed method outperforms traditional expert aggregation and is robust to misspecification.