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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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22446688 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for stage III

Study identifies biomarkers for lung cancer in female non-smokers.

problem Identifying prognostic biomarkers for stage III NSCLC in non-smoking females.
method Gene expression profiling and XGBoost machine learning algorithm.
result Top biomarkers validated in literature, with AUC score of 0.835.

In this paper is proposed a kind of model theory for our axiomatic differential geometry. It is claimed that smooth manifolds, which have occupied the center stage in differential geometry, should be replaced by functors on the category of Weil algebras. Our model theory is geometrically natural and conceptually motiva…

2012-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Market-GAN adds context control to financial market data generation.

problem Lack of context labels and precision in generating context-aligned financial data.
method Proposes Contextual Market Dataset and Market-GAN architecture integrating GAN, autoencoder, and supervisors.
result Market-GAN outperforms state-of-the-art models in Dow Jones data generation.

Algorithmic decision making process now affects many aspects of our lives. Standard tools for machine learning, such as classification and regression, are subject to the bias in data, and thus direct application of such off-the-shelf tools could lead to a specific group being unfairly discriminated. Removing sensitive …

2017-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning to classify unseen class samples at test time is popularly referred to as zero-shot learning (ZSL). If test samples can be from training (seen) as well as unseen classes, it is a more challenging problem due to the existence of strong bias towards seen classes. This problem is generally known as \emph{generali…

2019-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study robustness of split conformal prediction under adversarial attacks.

problem Ensuring distribution-free coverage guarantees in CP under adversarial conditions.
method Theoretical analysis and extensive experiments on split conformal prediction robustness.
result Prediction coverage varies with calibration-time attack strength, enabling control over coverage under adversarial tests.

Dynamic treatment strategies on networks amplify policy impact through spillovers.

problem Effective dynamic treatment allocation in network settings.
method Q-Ising, a three-stage pipeline integrating Bayesian dynamic Ising model, treatment adoption histories, and offline reinforcement learning.
result Adaptive targeting outperforms static centrality benchmarks in Indian village microfinance networks and synthetic data.

EarnHFT tackles HFT challenges with hierarchical RL, significantly outperforming existing methods.

problem Challenges in applying RL to HFT due to long trajectories and market volatility.
method Three-stage hierarchical RL framework: Q-teacher, diverse RL agents, and minute-level router.
result Significantly outperforms 6 state-of-the-art baselines in profitability.

Formulates Index III lemma and Rauch III theorem with applications.

problem Develops new mathematical theorems based on existing ones.
method Formulation of Index III lemma and Rauch III theorem based on Index I, II lemmas and Rauch I, II theorems.
result Presented Rauch's type theorem and volume comparison result as applications.

Optimal CATE estimation with structured contrast functions using KRR.

problem Estimating CATEs with complex response functions in RKHS.
method Unified two-stage kernel ridge regression method for structured contrast functions.
result Minimax rates governed by contrast function complexity, enabling adaptation.

The connection between differential geometry of curves and the (2+1)-dimensional integrable spin system - the M-III equation is established. Using the presented geometrical formalism the L-equivalent counterpart of the M-III equation is found.

1999-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper investigates teacher hacking during language model distillation and proposes methods to mitigate it.

problem Teacher hacking during language model distillation, leading to suboptimal performance.
method A controlled experimental setup involving an oracle LM, teacher LM, and student LM, using fixed offline or online data generation techniques.
result Data diversity is the key factor in preventing teacher hacking during distillation.

Improves classifier performance in multi-stage selection processes.

problem Difficulty in training classifiers in multi-stage selection processes due to varying sample sizes and information.
method Multi-Stage Transfer Learning (MSGTL) approach that uses knowledge from simpler classifiers trained in early stages to improve later stages.
result MSGTL outperforms other transfer learning methods in real-world selection process data.

A new conformal prediction framework for two-stage models identifies stage-wise uncertainty.

problem Limited coverage guarantees and lack of modular structure understanding in existing conformal prediction methods.
method Decomposes prediction residuals into stage-specific components, calibrates parameters using FWER control, and adapts to non-stationary settings.
result Improves coverage and identifies stage-wise error contributions compared to standard conformal methods.

To integrate strategic, tactical and operational decisions, the two-stage optimization has been widely used to guide dynamic decision making. In this paper, we study the two-stage stochastic programming for complex systems with unknown response estimated by simulation. We introduce the global-local metamodel assisted t…

2019-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Dual-stage sEMG classification improves gesture recognition accuracy.

problem Improving accuracy in hand gesture recognition from sEMG signals.
method Dual-stage classification approach: first stage groups similar activities, second stage classifies within groups.
result Dual-stage classification yields significantly higher accuracy than single-stage approach.

Improves classifier performance in multi-stage processes with adversarial autoencoders and multi-task learning.

problem Challenges in training classifiers due to varying sample sizes and information content across stages.
method Combines adversarial autoencoders, multi-task learning, and semi-supervised learning to address underfitting and overfitting.
result Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods across different domains.

MARCD uses generative scenarios to improve portfolio decisions during regime shifts.

problem Improving portfolio decisions under regime shifts and drawdowns.
method MARCD employs a Gaussian HMM for regime inference, a diffusion generator for scenario production, and a CVaR allocator with tail-weighted and crisis-aware components.
result MARCD reduces maximum drawdowns by 34% compared to baseline methods over 2020-2025.

Cross-validation is the de facto standard for predictive model evaluation and selection. In proper use, it provides an unbiased estimate of a model's predictive performance. However, data sets often undergo various forms of data-dependent preprocessing, such as mean-centering, rescaling, dimensionality reduction, and o…

2019-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

SAMoSSA combines mSSA and AR for accurate time series analysis.

problem Accurately estimating both deterministic and stationary components in time series data.
method Two-stage algorithm: first mSSA for non-stationary components, then AR for stationary residual.
result SAMoSSA provides forecasting consistency and outperforms existing methods.

This paper explores the following question: what kind of statistical guarantees can be given when doing variable selection in high-dimensional models? In particular, we look at the error rates and power of some multi-stage regression methods. In the first stage we fit a set of candidate models. In the second stage we s…

2007-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Motivation: Radiomics refers to the high-throughput mining of quantitative features from radiographic images. It is a promising field in that it may provide a non-invasive solution for screening and classification. Standard machine learning classification and feature selection techniques, however, tend to display infer…

2019-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes methods for learning optimal dynamic treatment regimes robust to unconfoundedness violations.

problem Estimating optimal dynamic treatment regimes using historical observational data when unconfoundedness is violated.
method Utilizes proximal causal inference framework to propose three nonparametric identification methods, a (K+1)-robust method, and establish a semiparametric efficiency bound.
result Establishes the (K+1)-robust method for learning optimal dynamic treatment regimes, validating its efficiency and multiple robustness through numerical experiments.

Objectives: Most cancer data sources lack information on metastatic recurrence. Electronic medical records (EMRs) and population-based cancer registries contain complementary information on cancer treatment and outcomes, yet are rarely used synergistically. To enable detection of metastatic breast cancer (MBC), we appl…

2019-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider ruled and quadric surfaces in the 3-dimensional Euclidean space which are of coordinate finite type with respect to the third fundamental form IIIIII, i.e., their position vector x\boldsymbol{x} satisfies the relation ΔIIIx=ΛxΔ^{III}\boldsymbol{x}=\varLambda \boldsymbol{x} where Λ\varLambda is a square matrix o…

2016-10-14abs ↗pdf ↗

In many classification systems, sensing modalities have different acquisition costs. It is often {\it unnecessary} to use every modality to classify a majority of examples. We study a multi-stage system in a prediction time cost reduction setting, where the full data is available for training, but for a test example, m…

2012-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning can improve 2SLS first stage predictions, but nonlinear methods often introduce bias.

problem Improving the first stage of 2SLS using machine learning.
method Decomposed bias into three components, investigated through simulation.
result Nonlinear machine learning methods can introduce substantial bias in second-stage estimates.

We consider two stage estimation with a non-parametric first stage and a generalized method of moments second stage, in a simpler setting than (Chernozhukov et al. 2016). We give an alternative proof of the theorem given in (Chernozhukov et al. 2016) that orthogonal second stage moments, sample splitting and n1/4n^{1/4}-…

2017-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

CycleFQI tackles offline reinforcement learning for cyclic MDPs, mitigating state distribution mismatch.

problem Offline reinforcement learning for cyclic MDPs with heterogeneous dynamics and discount factors.
method CycleFQI decomposes the cyclic process into stage-wise sub-problems, using vector of stage-specific Q-functions.
result CycleFQI mitigates the curse of dimensionality and provides finite-sample suboptimality error bounds.

The rise of algorithmic decision making led to active researches on how to define and guarantee fairness, mostly focusing on one-shot decision making. In several important applications such as hiring, however, decisions are made in multiple stage with additional information at each stage. In such cases, fairness issues…

2019-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New sequences prove some link diagrams can't be transformed by specific moves.

problem Proving some link diagrams can't be transformed by specific sequences of Reidemeister moves.
method Proved the existence of I-generalized ordered sequences to create simple transformations.
result Some link diagrams cannot be transformed by sequences of moves that increase, then decrease crossings.