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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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8.3%16.7%25.0%33.3% · Jul 199219922001200920172026
48 results for stable processes

Researchers study the geometric properties of a specific type of stable processes.

problem Understanding the information geometry of tempered stable processes.
method Derivation of α-divergence, Fisher information matrices, and α-connections.
result Obtained Fisher information matrices and α-connections for statistical manifolds.

We investigate the class of tempered stable distributions and their associated processes. Our analysis of tempered stable distributions includes limit distributions, parameter estimation and the study of their densities. Regarding tempered stable processes, we deal with density transformations and compute their pp-var…

2019-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Stable processes emerge as limits of deep neural networks with symmetric stable distributions.

problem Understanding the behavior of deep neural networks as they become infinitely wide.
method Analyzing fully connected feed-forward deep neural networks with symmetric stable distributions and showing the limit as a stable process.
result The infinite wide limit of the network is a stable process with multivariate stable distributions.

We offer new formulas for European option pricing under tempered stable processes.

problem Pricing European options under tempered stable processes.
method Series expansions for tempered stable densities and European option prices.
result Our formulas are hyperparameter-free and competitive with traditional methods.

We develop methods to estimate lag and parameters for multiple stable autoregressive processes.

problem Estimating lag and parameters for multiple stable autoregressive processes with unknown lag.
method Use convex programming to simultaneously select lag and estimate parameters across multiple processes.
result The estimated process is stable, and forecasting errors can outperform known rates.

Characterizes Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes linked to tempered stable distributions.

problem Understanding Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and their properties.
method Characterizes the Lévy triplet and deduces transition laws for finite variation Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes associated with tempered stable distributions.
result Provides algorithms for generating skeleton of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes related to exponentially-modulated tempered stable laws.

The paper evaluates functions of stable Lévy processes and their extrema efficiently.

problem Efficiently evaluating functions of stable Lévy processes and their extrema.
method Integral representations, conformal acceleration technique, simplified trapezoid rule.
result Efficient numerical procedures for cumulative probability distribution functions (cpdfs) are developed.

Upper bound on withdrawal success for geometric Levy alpha-stable wealth process.

problem Estimating the probability of completing a withdrawal schedule.
method Constructing a log-Levy alpha-stable lower bound and applying it to a schedule of withdrawals.
result Necessary conditions on initial investment and parameters for a 95% confidence of completing kk withdrawals.

In this paper we consider the problem of finding stable maxima of expensive (to evaluate) functions. We are motivated by the optimisation of physical and industrial processes where, for some input ranges, small and unavoidable variations in inputs lead to unacceptably large variation in outputs. Our approach uses multi…

2019-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Study normal tempered stable processes for energy derivative pricing.

problem Pricing energy derivatives with spot price models.
method Specified statistical properties, derived non-arbitrage conditions, developed efficient algorithm for trajectory generation.
result Validated pricing models for various energy contracts.

Adaptive importance sampling for estimating point process statistics.

problem Estimating the expected value of a statistic of a locally stable point process.
method Adaptive importance sampling with Poisson point processes and cross-entropy minimization.
result The proposed estimator converges to the target value almost surely and is asymptotically normal.

This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known Lévy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of the compound Poisson process naturally leads to the compound fractional Poisson proc…

2011-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Motivated by applications to insurance mathematics, we prove some heavy-traffic limit theorems for processes which encompass the fractionally differentiated random walk as well as some FARIMA processes, when the innovations are in the domain of attraction of a nonGaussian stable distribution.

2011-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate exponential stock models driven by tempered stable processes, which constitute a rich family of purely discontinuous Lévy processes. With a view of option pricing, we provide a systematic analysis of the existence of equivalent martingale measures, under which the model remains analytically tractable. Th…

2019-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Study prices energy derivatives using specific stochastic processes.

problem Pricing energy derivatives in markets driven by specific stochastic processes.
method Calculated characteristic functions, derived non-arbitrage conditions, and developed efficient algorithms for simulation.
result Developed methods for pricing various energy contracts.

This paper studies large-width asymptotics for ReLU neural networks with α-Stable initializations.

problem Characterizing the large-width behavior of ReLU neural networks with α-Stable initializations.
method Analysis of the large-width distributions and training dynamics of ReLU neural networks initialized with α-Stable distributions.
result For ReLU neural networks with α-Stable initializations, the large-width training dynamics achieve zero training error at a linear rate, characterized by a random kernel.

We study the use of "sign αα-stable random projections" (where 0<α20<α\leq 2) for building basic data processing tools in the context of large-scale machine learning applications (e.g., classification, regression, clustering, and near-neighbor search). After the processing by sign stable random projections, the inner pr…

2015-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates tempered stable Lévy models with high accuracy.

problem Estimating volatility and jump intensity of tempered stable Lévy processes.
method Iterative method combining Truncated Realized Quadratic Variations and small-time approximations.
result Method outperforms existing alternatives in various scenarios.

We investigate the class of σσ-stable Poisson-Kingman random probability measures (RPMs) in the context of Bayesian nonparametric mixture modeling. This is a large class of discrete RPMs which encompasses most of the the popular discrete RPMs used in Bayesian nonparametrics, such as the Dirichlet process, Pitman-Yor p…

2014-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper removes the finite variance assumption for deep convolutional neural networks.

problem Removing the finite variance assumption for deep convolutional neural networks.
method Assuming iid parameters distributed according to a stable distribution, the paper shows that the infinite-channel limit of a deep feed-forward convolutional neural network is a multivariate stable stochastic process.
result The infinite-channel limit of a deep feed-forward convolutional neural network, under suitable scaling, is a multivariate stable stochastic process.

The paper examines the behavior of Weierstrass measures on stable curves as they approach a nodal stable curve.

problem Understanding the behavior of Weierstrass measures on stable curves as they approach a nodal stable curve.
method Analyzing the limiting behavior of Weierstrass measures on a smooth curve of genus g2g\geqslant 2 as it approaches a nodal stable curve in the Deligne-Mumford compactification.
result The Weierstrass measures on a stable rational curve at the boundary of Mg\mathcal{M}_g are completely determined.

Study of deep Stable neural networks with various activation functions.

problem Characterizing the infinitely wide limits of deep Stable neural networks.
method Investigation of large-width properties of deep Stable NNs with a generalized central limit theorem for heavy tails.
result Extension of characterization to a broader class of activation functions, including sub-linear, asymptotically linear, and super-linear functions.

Model selection on validation data is an essential step in machine learning. While the mixing of data between training and validation is considered taboo, practitioners often violate it to increase performance. Here, we offer a simple, practical method for using the validation set for training, which allows for a conti…

2018-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

A fast Monte Carlo method for additive processes and option pricing.

problem Efficiently pricing path-dependent options with additive processes.
method Developed a fast Monte Carlo scheme for additive processes, analyzing and reducing numerical error sources.
result Shows significant reduction in error (1 bp or below) for pricing path-dependent options.

New method estimates volatility for processes with jumps of unbounded variation.

problem Estimating volatility of processes with jumps of unbounded variation.
method Developed a new volatility estimator using debiasing of truncated realized quadratic variation.
result Method outperforms existing alternatives in simulations.

Under the Basel II standards, the Operational Risk (OpRisk) advanced measurement approach is not prescriptive regarding the class of statistical model utilised to undertake capital estimation. It has however become well accepted to utlise a Loss Distributional Approach (LDA) paradigm to model the individual OpRisk loss…

2011-02-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian deep neural networks converge to processes with α-stable marginals under infinite variance weights.

problem Representation learning in deep kernel processes is hindered by deterministic covariance kernels.
method Showed convergence to α-stable processes with conditionally Gaussian representations in infinite-width networks.
result Conditional random covariance kernels can be recursively linked, even if the process is α-stable.

We analyze the Levy processes produced by means of two interconnected classes of non stable, infinitely divisible distribution: the Variance Gamma and the Student laws. While the Variance Gamma family is closed under convolution, the Student one is not: this makes its time evolution more complicated. We prove that -- a…

2007-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Method predicts LFSM increments from past observations using codifference.

problem Forecasting LFSM increments from discrete-time observations.
method Uses codifference for serial dependence, with conditional expectation or projection for α>1α>1 or α<2α<2.
result Method shows promising performance in forecasting volatilities, capturing kurtosis and serial dependence.

Stable neural flows ensure robustness and efficiency in deep learning.

problem Ensuring robustness and stability in deep learning models.
method Introducing a stable variant of neural ODEs with a neural network parametrizing an energy functional, solving as an optimal control problem with adjoint sensitivity analysis.
result The proposed model provides robustness against input perturbations and low computational burden.

New model captures time-varying volatility with stochastic exponential tails.

problem Capturing time-varying volatility and stochastic skewness in financial markets.
method Normal Tempered Stable distribution with time-varying parameter.
result Model better explains market option prices with stochastic exponential tails.

Research on long-range memory in financial and social systems using various models.

problem Understanding the nature of long-range memory in socioeconomic systems.
method Various Markov processes including point processes, stochastic differential equations, and agent-based models.
result New estimators of self-similarity and long-range memory for non-Gaussian systems are needed.

The challenge to fruitfully merge state-of-the-art techniques from mathematical finance and numerical analysis has inspired researchers to develop fast deterministic option pricing methods. As a result, highly efficient algorithms to compute option prices in Lévy models by solving partial integro differential equations…

2015-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗