Paper presents a novel method to assess boundedness and stability of nonlinear systems with variable delays.
problem Challenges in assessing boundedness and stability of vector nonlinear systems with variable delays and coefficients.
method Develops a novel framework to evaluate the evolution of solution norms in such systems by constructing scalar counterparts.
result Introduces new criteria for boundedness and stability and estimates the radii of containing balls for history functions.
We assess cluster stability by trimming extreme points and tracking data range reduction.
problem Assessing stability of one-dimensional clusters.
method Probabilistic method using diameter-shrinkage ratio to track data range reduction.
result Our method achieves higher accuracy than classical tests in small or noisy samples.
The paper introduces a new method to assess system stability using torsion of state trajectories.
problem Stability assessment of linear time-invariant systems.
method Using the torsion τ(t) of the state trajectory to determine stability. result Conditions for stability and asymptotic stability are established based on the behavior of torsion.
Italy and the Eurozone are heading in the year 2012 into a financial depression of unprecedented magnitude, with a forthcoming multitude of often contradictory public economic and financial stability emergency interventions whose ultimate endogenous and exogenous effects on public and private health spending and on the…
New method improves reliability of LDA topic modeling by assessing stability across replicated runs.
problem LDA's reproducibility issues due to initial values and Gibbs sampling.
method Cluster replicated LDA runs using modified Jaccard coefficient and pruning algorithm.
result New measure S-CLOP quantifies LDA topic stability, improving reproducibility.
Paper uses TDA to assess cryptocurrency risk by measuring phase space instability.
problem Traditional risk measures fail to capture market dynamics' geometric structure.
method Applied Takens' Delay Embedding Theorem to generate point cloud, computed persistent homology groups, defined Topological Persistence Norm.
result Proposed leverage calibration heuristic based on persistence of 1-dimensional cycles.
Paper improves zero-shot protein stability prediction by clarifying free-energy foundations.
problem Improving zero-shot protein stability prediction using inverse folding models.
method Clarifying the free-energy foundations of inverse folding models and proposing better estimates of relative stability.
result Significant gains in zero-shot performance can be achieved with simple methods.
We present in this paper an empirical framework motivated by the practitioner point of view on stability. The goal is to both assess clustering validity and yield market insights by providing through the data perturbations we propose a multi-view of the assets' clustering behaviour. The perturbation framework is illust…
SentARL uses sentiment features to improve trading profits.
problem Improving profit stability in single-asset trading.
method Sentiment-Aware Reinforcement Learning (SentARL) system.
result SentARL consistently outperforms baselines across multiple assets and conditions.
Interpretable classification models are built with the purpose of providing a comprehensible description of the decision logic to an external oversight agent. When considered in isolation, a decision tree, a set of classification rules, or a linear model, are widely recognized as human-interpretable. However, such mode…
Study quantifies financial contagion risks in supply chains.
problem Supply chain shocks contribute to financial losses.
method Multi-layer network framework, micro-dataset of Hungarian firms.
result Supply chain shocks amplify financial losses by 4-3x.
In this paper, we propose a dynamical systems perspective of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm. More precisely, we can analyze the EM algorithm as a nonlinear state-space dynamical system. The EM algorithm is widely adopted for data clustering and density estimation in statistics, control systems, and machine…
Efficiently calibrates Bergomi models to VIX derivatives using vector quantization.
problem Calibrating Bergomi models to VIX derivatives for accurate pricing.
method Applied vector quantization in mixed Bergomi models for fast and efficient option pricing.
result Calibration of Bergomi models to VIX derivatives is feasible and accurate over daily data.
Stabilizes training of DNN for speech enhancement using PESQ scores.
problem Stability issues in training DNNs using non-differentiable OSQA scores.
method Approximate OSQA scores with a differentiable auxiliary DNN and stabilize training with reinforcement learning techniques.
result Stable training of DNN to achieve state-of-the-art PESQ scores and better sound quality.
Modern biotechnologies often result in high-dimensional data sets with much more variables than observations (n ≪ p). These data sets pose new challenges to statistical analysis: Variable selection becomes one of the most important tasks in this setting. We assess the recently proposed flexible framework for variab…
New framework for interpreting disaggregated fairness evaluations using causal models.
problem Misinterpretation of disaggregated fairness evaluations due to data representativeness and selection bias.
method Causal graphical models to characterize fairness properties and metric stability under different data generating processes.
result Disaggregated evaluations are unreliable without explicit assumptions regarding bias mechanisms.
Study assesses impact of CBDC on financial stability in dual-currency economy.
problem Impact of CBDC on financial stability in dual-currency economy (Romania).
method Integrated analytical framework combining econometrics, machine learning, and behavioural modelling. CBDC adoption probabilities estimated using XGBoost and logistic regression models. Liquidity stress simulations and VAR, MSVAR, SVAR models capture macro-financial transmission.
result CBDC uptake would be moderate, primarily driven by digital readiness and trust in the central bank.
Geometric stability predicts steerability and detects drift in language models.
problem Predicting steerability and detecting drift in language models.
method Supervised and unsupervised geometric stability measures.
result Supervised geometric stability predicts steerability with high accuracy and detects drift earlier.
AlphaEval evaluates alpha mining models efficiently and comprehensively.
problem Lack of systematic evaluation for alpha mining models.
method Unified, parallelizable evaluation framework assessing predictive power, stability, robustness, financial logic, and diversity.
result AlphaEval achieves evaluation consistency comparable to comprehensive backtesting, providing more comprehensive insights and higher efficiency.
Kernel-guided training stabilizes GANs by controlling discrepancies.
problem Stability and interpretability issues in GANs.
method Kernel-based regularization to control discrepancies in GAN loss function.
result Theoretical guarantees on stability of the training dynamics.
Develops framework for valuing and assessing risk of renewable PPAs.
problem Valuation and risk assessment of non-standard renewable PPAs.
method Formalizes payoff structures, derives fair contract prices, proposes market risk-assessment methodology.
result Fair prices and risk profiles vary across technologies and contractual structures.
Paper uses Time Series Transformer for bank stability prediction.
problem Predicting bank stability using complex financial data.
method Time Series Transformer model with self-attention mechanism.
result Time Series Transformer model outperforms other models in MSE and MAE.
LIME method provides stability indices to ensure reliable explanations for machine learning models.
problem Difficulty in understanding machine learning model decisions.
method LIME method with stability indices.
result Stability indices ensure reliable explanations for machine learning models.
Survey of stablecoins to reduce cryptocurrency volatility.
problem Reduction of cryptocurrency volatility during financial crises.
method Classification of stablecoin approaches and assessment of tradeoffs.
result Different stablecoin types offer varying tradeoffs and challenges.
Quantum model improves safety in machine learning.
problem Improving safety and robustness in machine learning models.
method Variational quantum classifier with amplitude encoding and SAFE-AI metrics.
result Quantum model provides competitive performance and improved robustness.
Combines Lyapunov functions with controller synthesis for safe control policies.
problem Ensuring safety in controller design for nonlinear systems.
method Iterative algorithm combining Lyapunov function estimation and controller synthesis.
result Effective control policies with large safe regions are derived.
Robotic grasp stability improved with fingertip slippage detection.
problem Improving grasp stability in robotic manipulation.
method Task-relevant feature extraction and efficient classifier design for fingertip slippage detection.
result The proposed method effectively detects object slippage with fingertips in an online fashion.
Study finds significant instability in node embeddings due to randomness.
problem Stability of node embeddings under random variations.
method Evaluated five node embedding algorithms (HOPE, LINE, node2vec, SDNE, GraphSAGE) on synthetic and empirical graphs.
result Significant instability in embedding spaces and downstream task accuracy.
New metric assesses reliability of AI explanations.
problem Unreliable AI explanations under realistic conditions.
method Explanation Reliability Index (ERI) metrics quantifying stability under four axioms.
result Widespread reliability failures in popular explanation methods.
This work ensures stability in POD basis interpolation for pMOR in hyperelasticity.
problem Stability of POD basis interpolation on Grassmann manifolds for pMOR in hyperelasticity.
method Stability conditions derived from Grassmannian Exponential map and principal angles.
result Explicit stability conditions for practical pMOR applications and non-monotonic error behavior.
Stable GFlowNets prevent loss spikes and mode collapse in training.
problem Unstable training of GFlowNets leading to loss spikes and mode collapse.
method Assessed sensitivity of GFlowNet objectives, derived loss-to-TV bounds, and proposed Stable GFlowNets.
result Stable GFlowNets improve training behavior and distributional fidelity.
Randomized hierarchical clustering tests for stability and detects clusters.
problem Greedy hierarchical clustering's sensitivity to data perturbations.
method Randomization scheme and p-values at each node.
result Valid hypothesis testing procedures for clustering results.
Geospatial framework assesses climate risks for California's banking and exposed sectors.
problem Evaluating climate risks on banking and exposed sectors in California.
method Integrates hazard mapping, exposure analysis, and scenario-based financial risk assessment.
result Framework supports portfolio monitoring and institutional readiness under new standards.
Financial system being the place of metting capital flows (equality between saving and investment), a volatility of capital flows can destroy the robustness and good working of financial system, it means subvert financial stability. The same a weak financial system, few regulated and bad manage can exacerbate volatilit…
PeL separates sensory interface optimization from decision learning.
problem Optimizing sensory interfaces without task-specific information.
method Formal separation of perception and decision learning, using metrics for stability, informativeness, and geometry.
result Updates preserving invariants are orthogonal to decision gradients.
Machine learning predicts molecular crystal stability.
problem Predicting the stability of molecular crystals.
method Supervised and unsupervised machine learning techniques to classify and predict lattice energy.
result Data-driven assessment of chemical groups' contribution to crystal stability.
reval package selects best clustering solutions via stability-based validation.
problem Challenges in determining best clustering solutions due to lack of validation methods.
method Stability-based relative clustering validation methods.
result Determines best clustering solutions that generalize to unseen data.
Fair classification has been a topic of intense study in machine learning, and several algorithms have been proposed towards this important task. However, in a recent study, Friedler et al. observed that fair classification algorithms may not be stable with respect to variations in the training dataset -- a crucial con…
Bayesian explanations are more resilient to adversarial attacks than deterministic ones.
problem Stability of saliency-based explanations under adversarial attacks in Neural Networks.
method Empirical and theoretical analysis of Bayesian vs deterministic Neural Networks.
result Bayesian explanations are more stable under adversarial perturbations and direct attacks.
Modern implicit generative models such as generative adversarial networks (GANs) are generally known to suffer from issues such as instability, uninterpretability, and difficulty in assessing their performance. If we see these implicit models as dynamical systems, some of these issues are caused by being unable to cont…
Paper explores generalization of AID-based bi-level optimization methods.
problem Uncertainty in generalization properties of AID-based bi-level optimization methods.
method Uniform stability analysis and convergence study of AID-based methods.
result AID-based methods can achieve similar generalization as single-level nonconvex problems.
New methods ensure feature importance rankings are correct with high probability.
problem Stability issues in feature importance scores due to random sampling.
method Hypothesis testing-based techniques to assess and verify the stability of top-ranked features.
result Ensures the most important features are correct with high-probability guarantees.
Study finds machine learning interpretations are often unstable and unreliable.
problem Reliability of machine learning interpretations in high-stakes domains.
method Stability study on global interpretations using tabular data.
result Popular interpretation methods are frequently unstable, less stable than predictions, and not associated with prediction accuracy.
New model predicts stock performance in large equity markets.
problem Predicting stock performance in large equity markets over long time horizons.
method Rank-based volatility stabilized models calibrated to empirical data.
result The model exhibits relative arbitrage and statistically fits empirical features.
Study examines USD exchange rate dynamics using Kramers-Moyal expansion.
problem Understanding and predicting exchange rate instability.
method Kramers-Moyal expansion and Fokker-Planck formalism applied to log-return data.
result Identifies a stabilizing linear drift and nonlinear diffusion term in exchange rate fluctuations.
Mathematical framework investigates fire sales amplification and stability.
problem Market instability caused by fire sales amplification.
method Developed a mathematical framework to investigate system characteristics and resilience.
result Characterized systems resilient to small shocks for financial stability assessment.
Unified framework models credit cycles and systemic risk.
problem Inadequate classical models for bubbles, crises, and credit cycles.
method Marshall-Walras price formation process and mathematical formalism.
result Unified framework reflects different economic states and systemic risk.
Building and expanding on principles of statistics, machine learning, and scientific inquiry, we propose the predictability, computability, and stability (PCS) framework for veridical data science. Our framework, comprised of both a workflow and documentation, aims to provide responsible, reliable, reproducible, and tr…