A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This paper addresses Gaussian Process regression over probability measures, revealing a non-stationarity issue between Euclidean and Wasserstein kernels.
problem Non-stationarity issue between Euclidean and Wasserstein kernels in Gaussian Process regression over probability measures.
method Assuming Euclidean input space, applying algebraic transformation based on uncovered non-stationarity relationship to create a non-stationary and Wasserstein-based Gaussian Process model.
result An algebraic transformation simplifies learning a non-stationary Gaussian Process model over probability measures.
Paper evaluates squared-exponential covariance function for Gaussian processes with integral observations.
problem Evaluating double line integrals of the squared exponential covariance function in Gaussian processes.
method Proposes a new approach to reduce double integrals to a single integral using the error function and efficiently computed with numerical techniques.
result Shows superior numerical robustness and accuracy compared to existing methods.
We introduce a Gaussian process model of functions which are additive. An additive function is one which decomposes into a sum of low-dimensional functions, each depending on only a subset of the input variables. Additive GPs generalize both Generalized Additive Models, and the standard GP models which use squared-expo…
Gaussian processes are powerful, yet analytically tractable models for supervised learning. A Gaussian process is characterized by a mean function and a covariance function (kernel), which are determined by a model selection criterion. The functions to be compared do not just differ in their parametrization but in thei…
Statistical physics approaches can be used to derive accurate predictions for the performance of inference methods learning from potentially noisy data, as quantified by the learning curve defined as the average error versus number of training examples. We analyse a challenging problem in the area of non-parametric inf…
We consider learning on graphs, guided by kernels that encode similarity between vertices. Our focus is on random walk kernels, the analogues of squared exponential kernels in Euclidean spaces. We show that on large, locally treelike, graphs these have some counter-intuitive properties, specifically in the limit of lar…
A network of independently trained Gaussian processes (StackedGP) is introduced to obtain predictions of quantities of interest with quantified uncertainties. The main applications of the StackedGP framework are to integrate different datasets through model composition, enhance predictions of quantities of interest thr…
Researchers use Gaussian processes with non-stationary kernels to model precipitation patterns in the Upper Indus Basin.
problem Uncertainty in precipitation patterns in the Upper Indus Basin, Himalayas.
method Proposes Gaussian processes with structured non-stationary kernels to model precipitation patterns, accounting for spatial variation with a latent Gaussian process.
result The proposed model adapts to varying precipitation patterns across distinct topography and outperforms stationary models in ablation experiments.
Deep Gaussian Processes are reinterpreted as deep trigonometric networks for tractable inference.
problem Challenging inference in DGPs due to intractable marginalization in latent function space.
method Viewing DGPs as deep trigonometric networks with Bochner's theorem, and using the wide limit with a bottleneck to translate DGPs into deep trigonometric networks.
result The weight space view yields the same effective covariance functions as obtained in function space, and varying prior distributions over network parameters is equivalent to employing different kernels.
In this paper, we consider the problem of sequentially optimizing a black-box function f based on noisy samples and bandit feedback. We assume that f is smooth in the sense of having a bounded norm in some reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), yielding a commonly-considered non-Bayesian form of Gaussian process …
In this contribution we describe an approach to evolve composite covariance functions for Gaussian processes using genetic programming. A critical aspect of Gaussian processes and similar kernel-based models such as SVM is, that the covariance function should be adapted to the modeled data. Frequently, the squared expo…
New algorithm optimizes Hölder smooth functions in RKHS with tighter regret bounds.
problem Optimizing Hölder smooth functions in RKHS with bounded norm.
method Proposes a new algorithm ( exttt{LP-GP-UCB}) using Local Polynomial (LP) estimators and multi-scale UCB.
result Derives high probability bounds on simple and cumulative regret, matching optimal performance for SE kernel and uniformly tighter bounds for Matérn kernels.