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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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128256384512 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for spike prediction

SNNs enhance high-frequency price spike forecasting in HFT environments.

problem Conventional financial models fail to capture fine temporal structure in high-frequency price spikes.
method Application of Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) with hyperparameter tuning via Bayesian Optimization (BO).
result SNN models optimized with PSA achieve significantly higher cumulative returns in backtesting.

Accurate statistical models of neural spike responses can characterize the information carried by neural populations. But the limited samples of spike counts during recording usually result in model overfitting. Besides, current models assume spike counts to be Poisson-distributed, which ignores the fact that many neur…

2016-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts and optimizes trading of electricity price spreads across multiple zones.

problem Forecasting and optimizing day-ahead versus real-time price spreads in U.S. electricity markets.
method Unified statistical model for positive and negative spikes, structural price impact model based on bid stacks.
result Optimal trading strategy improves risk-return profile and highlights market heterogeneity.

Neuroscientific theory suggests that dopaminergic neurons broadcast global reward prediction errors to large areas of the brain influencing the synaptic plasticity of the neurons in those regions. We build on this theory to propose a multi-agent learning framework with spiking neurons in the generalized linear model (G…

2019-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves neural spike train models by minimizing divergence directly, leading to better performance.

problem Poor performance and divergence issues in spike train models using maximum likelihood estimation.
method Directly minimize maximum mean discrepancy using spike train kernels and stochastic optimization.
result The proposed method generates well-behaved models with better control over feature trade-offs.

Neurons perform computations, and convey the results of those computations through the statistical structure of their output spike trains. Here we present a practical method, grounded in the information-theoretic analysis of prediction, for inferring a minimal representation of that structure and for characterizing its…

2009-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework predicts AMP behavior in spiked models for finite iterations.

problem Understanding AMP dynamics in high-dimensional spiked models.
method Developed a non-asymptotic framework for AMP in spiked matrix estimation.
result Predicted AMP behavior for up to O(npolylogn)O\big(\frac{n}{\mathrm{poly}\log n}\big) iterations in Z2\mathbb{Z}_2 synchronization.

Develops a new point process model for detecting neural spike sequences.

problem Detecting sparse sequences of neural spikes in high-dimensional spike trains.
method A point process model that represents sequence occurrences as marked events in continuous time, with learnable time warping parameters.
result Demonstrates improved detection and modeling of neural spike sequences.

PLS-SVD struggles with missing data in multimodal datasets, showing a phase transition in performance.

problem Missing data in PLS-SVD for multimodal datasets.
method Replica-symmetric analysis of spiked rectangular random matrices with missing entries.
result PLS-SVD performance transitions from uninformative to informative singular vectors at a critical signal-to-noise threshold.

Method reconstructs neuron models from spike times efficiently.

problem Reconstructing neuron models from spike times in degenerate populations.
method Combining deep learning with DICs to map spike times to DIC densities and generate degenerate CBM populations.
result Fast and scalable reconstruction of degenerate populations from spike recordings.

Self-distillation optimally improves model performance in spiked covariance models.

problem Improving model performance in spiked covariance models.
method Developed spectral shrinkage estimators and analyzed self-distillation.
result Self-distillation achieves optimal performance among spectral shrinkage estimators for spiked covariance matrices.

A new SNN model explains decision-making with learning and spiking neurons.

problem Lack of learning mechanism in existing models for decision-making.
method Proposes a Spiking Neural Network (SNN) model that incorporates a learning mechanism and uses multivariate Hawkes processes.
result Shows a coupling between DDM and Poisson counter models and derives a DDM from a Hawkes network of spiking neurons.

Improved VB algorithm for high-dimensional logistic regression with theoretical guarantees.

problem Sparse high-dimensional logistic regression model selection.
method Spike and slab variational Bayes approximation.
result Optimal convergence rates in 2\ell_2 and prediction loss for sparse truths.

Much of studies on neural computation are based on network models of static neurons that produce analog output, despite the fact that information processing in the brain is predominantly carried out by dynamic neurons that produce discrete pulses called spikes. Research in spike-based computation has been impeded by th…

2017-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian GAMs improve predictive performance for high-dimensional data.

problem Sparse regularization in GAMs leads to excess shrinkage and difficulty in selecting nonlinear effects.
method Developed a novel spike-and-slab LASSO prior and scalable EM-Coordinate Descent algorithm.
result Improved predictive and computational performance compared to existing models.

Paper forecasts extreme Bitcoin volatility spikes using whale transactions and CryptoQuant data.

problem Forecasting extreme volatility spikes in Bitcoin market.
method Proposes Synthesizer Transformer model for forecasting.
result Model outperforms state-of-the-art models in forecasting extreme volatility spikes.

The paper examines how spike strengths and alignments affect overfitting in linear regression models.

problem The impact of spike strengths and alignments on overfitting in linear regression models.
method Characterization of generalization error through exact expressions and analysis of spike strengths, aspect ratio, and target alignment.
result Increasing spike strength can lead to catastrophic overfitting before benign overfitting, especially in well-specified aligned problems.

New algorithm for signal estimation in noisy matrix models.

problem Signal estimation in rectangular spiked matrix models with rotationally invariant noise.
method Orthogonal Approximate Message Passing (OAMP) algorithm for signal estimation.
result Optimal OAMP algorithm minimizes mean-squared error and achieves Bayes-optimal performance.

Affine spiking neural networks learn efficiently and generalize well.

problem Learning with spiking neural networks, especially with positive weights.
method Affine encoders and decoders, continuous parameter dependence, gradient-based training.
result Affine spiking neural networks can approximate shallow ReLU networks and generalize well.

New method detects spike-and-wave epileptiform discharges using Kendall's Tau-b.

problem Detecting spike-and-wave epileptiform discharges in EEG signals.
method Proposes a new method based on Kendall's Tau-b coefficient.
result High Specificity and rule in (SpPIn) for spike-and-wave discharge detection.

Develops generic spike-and-slab priors for high-dimensional linear regression.

problem Bayesian high-dimensional linear regression challenges.
method Proposes a class of generic spike-and-slab priors and a unified framework for theoretical assessment.
result Achieves nearly-optimal posterior contraction rate and model selection consistency under general conditions.

T2FSNN improves deep SNNs by reducing spikes and latency.

problem Inefficiency in spiking neural networks due to lack of scalable training algorithms.
method Introduces time-to-first-spike coding with kernel-based dynamic threshold and dendrite, combined with gradient-based optimization and early firing methods.
result Reduces inference latency and spike count by 22% and less than 1% compared to burst coding.

A central problem of random matrix theory is to understand the eigenvalues of spiked random matrix models, introduced by Johnstone, in which a prominent eigenvector (or "spike") is planted into a random matrix. These distributions form natural statistical models for principal component analysis (PCA) problems throughou…

2018-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved SNNs with quantized activations outperform traditional networks.

problem Maintaining SotA accuracy in SNNs with limited bit precision.
method Interpolating between non-spiking and spiking regimes using signal processing tools.
result First hybrid SNN outperforms traditional RNNs in accuracy with reduced bit precision.

A learning rule for first-spike times in neural networks reduces energy consumption and reaction times.

problem Energy efficiency and reaction time in neuromorphic systems.
method Derivation of a learning rule for first-spike times in leaky integrate-and-fire neurons, using only input and output spike times.
result Demonstrated that the approach can implement error backpropagation in hierarchical spiking networks and is capable of harnessing neuromorphic system's speed and energy characteristics.

New method uses surrogate gradients to train efficient spiking networks on neuromorphic hardware.

problem Training high-performing spiking networks on analog neuromorphic hardware is challenging due to device mismatch and lack of efficient algorithms.
method Introduces a general in-the-loop learning framework based on surrogate gradients.
result Learning self-corrects for device mismatch, resulting in competitive spiking network performance.

This research bridges binary and spiking neural networks for efficient on-chip AI.

problem Reducing compute requirements in machine learning frameworks.
method Training Spiking Neural Networks in extreme quantization regime and utilizing standard training techniques for conversion.
result Training Spiking Neural Networks in extreme quantization regime achieves near full precision accuracies.

A vast majority of computation in the brain is performed by spiking neural networks. Despite the ubiquity of such spiking, we currently lack an understanding of how biological spiking neural circuits learn and compute in-vivo, as well as how we can instantiate such capabilities in artificial spiking circuits in-silico.…

2017-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper analyzes generalization for linear models with spiked covariance structures.

problem Understanding the generalization performance of linear models with spiked covariance structures.
method Derives the generalization error for two simple models with spiked covariances using random matrix theory.
result The eigenvector and eigenvalue corresponding to the spike significantly influence the generalization error.