SG-NTF completes HDI tensors with spectral mapping and spatio-temporal gating.
problem High-dimensional and incomplete tensor completion.
method Spectra-Guided Neural Tucker Factorization (SG-NTF) with Spatio-Temporal Co-Gating (STCG).
result Maintains competitive completion accuracy with parameter efficiency.
FC-GAGA forecasts traffic using a novel gating mechanism.
problem Forecasting multivariate time-series, especially with graph relationships.
method Learnable fully connected hard graph gating mechanism for fully connected time-series forecasting.
result Competitive or better performance than existing algorithms without graph knowledge.
Enhances SNNs for spatio-temporal feature extraction.
problem Insufficient temporal dependencies in existing SNN synaptic structures.
method Integrates temporal convolution and attention mechanisms into synaptic connections.
result Improves SNN performance on classification tasks.
We consider the task of learning to extract motion from videos. To this end, we show that the detection of spatial transformations can be viewed as the detection of synchrony between the image sequence and a sequence of features undergoing the motion we wish to detect. We show that learning about synchrony is possible …
STNN models forecast COVID-19 spread with improved accuracy.
problem Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 worldwide.
method Spatio-temporal Neural Network (STNN) incorporating spatial and temporal data.
result STNN models outperform classical models in accuracy and handling both spatial and temporal data.
SA-BCP combines long-term and local evidence for efficient, adaptive online prediction.
problem Balancing fast adaptation and stable coverage in online prediction.
method State-Adaptive Bayesian Conformal Prediction (SA-BCP) using gated convex combination of temporal inertia and spatial evidence.
result SA-BCP achieves at-or-above-nominal coverage with substantially sharper intervals compared to discounted Bayesian CP.
New algorithm for online training of Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs).
problem Training Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) online with BPTT-equivalent gradients.
method Clear separation of spatial and temporal gradient components, derived from biological insights.
result Online training of SNNs with BPTT-equivalent gradients and low time complexity.
Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …
STACI uses neural nets to estimate spatio-temporal fields with valid uncertainty quantification.
problem Scalable spatio-temporal deep learning models fail to capture underlying correlation structure.
method Variational Bayesian neural network approximation of non-stationary spatio-temporal Gaussian Process (GP) with conformal inference.
result STACI provides accurate prediction intervals for spatio-temporal processes, outperforming competing methods.
Robust spatio-temporal GP framework for outlier-resilient predictions.
problem Outliers in spatio-temporal data degrade GP performance.
method Adapted and specialised RCGP framework for spatio-temporal settings.
result RCGP provides reliable spatio-temporal predictions with outliers.
FreST Loss decorrelates spatio-temporal dependencies in graph signals.
problem Complex spatio-temporal dependencies in graph-structured signals are not well captured by standard forecasting models.
method FreST Loss extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum using Joint Fourier Transform (JFT).
result FreST Loss reduces estimation bias and improves forecasting accuracy on real-world datasets.
New framework predicts urban traffic with high accuracy.
problem Urban traffic prediction challenges.
method Interpretable attention-based neural network combining multiple modules.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art alternatives.
A framework uses deep learning for spatio-temporal data prediction.
problem Interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields on irregular points.
method Decomposes spatio-temporal processes into products of basis functions and spatial coefficients.
result Effectiveness in reconstructing coherent spatio-temporal fields.
Proposes a new model for complex multivariate event data.
problem Modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Integrates spatial information into latent state evolution through learned temporal and spatial decay dynamics.
result Successfully recovers sensible temporal and spatial intensity structure in multivariate spatio-temporal point patterns.
New graph kernels capture spatio-temporal interactions.
problem Lack of justified spatio-temporal graph kernels for graph problems.
method Derive graph kernels via SPDEs for spatio-temporal modelling.
result Non-separable spatio-temporal graph kernels outperform existing ones.
New neural networks model for spatio-temporal data.
problem Building a mapping from spatially encoded time series covariates to real-valued response data.
method Proposed two novel extensions of Functional Neural Network (FNN) for spatio-temporal regression.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in handling varying spatial correlations through comprehensive simulation studies.
New method predicts spatio-temporal data with short and long-range dependence.
problem Uncertainty in predicting the distribution of mixed moving average fields.
method Theory-guided machine learning approach using generalized Bayesian algorithm.
result Fixed-time and any-time PAC Bayesian bounds for ensemble forecasts.
New model infers causal relationships from spatio-temporal data, even with unobserved confounders.
problem Challenges in inferring causal relationships from spatio-temporal data due to unobserved confounders.
method Spatio-Temporal Hierarchical Causal Models (ST-HCMs) that extend hierarchical causal modeling to the spatio-temporal domain, using the Spatio-Temporal Collapse Theorem.
result Validated the effectiveness of ST-HCMs on both synthetic and real-world datasets, demonstrating robust causal inference in complex dynamic systems.
FNOs improve spatio-temporal forecasting without needing PDE details.
problem Complex spatio-temporal dynamics in physical and biological phenomena.
method Fourier Neural Operators (FNOs) for dynamic spatio-temporal modeling.
result FNO forecasts are accurate and capture complex real-world dependencies.
Model improves mortgage credit risk prediction with spatio-temporal machine learning.
problem Improving accuracy of default probabilities and loan portfolio loss distributions in mortgage credit risk.
method Combines tree-boosting with a latent spatio-temporal Gaussian process model.
result Predictive models outperform conventional methods due to non-linear and spatio-temporal effects.
The paper studies 4-qubit Clifford states and their properties.
problem Understanding the set and properties of 4-qubit Clifford states.
method Analyzing the 293760 4-qubit Clifford states, splitting them into 18 groups, and studying the action of CNOT gates and local gates.
result There are 293760 4-qubit Clifford states with specific entanglement entropies, and any pair can be connected with local gates and at most 3 CNOT gates.
Improved logistic MoE with sigmoid gate shows better sample efficiency.
problem Improving sample efficiency in logistic MoE models.
method Comprehensive analysis of multinomial logistic MoE with modified sigmoid gate, incorporating temperature parameter and using Euclidean score.
result The sigmoid gate leads to lower sample complexity than softmax gate for both parameter and expert estimation.
New method prepares 3-qubit states using local gates and controlled-Z gates.
problem Preparation of 3-qubit states using quantum gates.
method Uses Ry(θ) gates and controlled-Z gates, with an optimal number of controlled-Z gates. result Optimal number of controlled-Z gates for preparing 3-qubit states is four. Modeling solar ramping events with spatio-temporal point processes.
problem Predicting solar ramping events influenced by weather conditions.
method Novel spatio-temporal categorical point process model.
result Effective modeling of spatio-temporal correlations in solar ramping events.
Sigmoid gating is more sample efficient than softmax in mixture of experts.
problem Softmax gating leads to unnecessary competition among experts, causing representation collapse.
method Theoretical analysis of a regression framework with mixture of experts, identifying identifiability conditions and convergence rates.
result Sigmoid gating requires fewer samples to achieve the same expert estimation error as softmax gating.
A new kernel framework analyzes spatio-temporal data from dynamic equations.
problem Analyzing spatio-temporal data from dynamic equations with noisy measurements.
method Kernel-based framework with representer theorem for minimizing error with given samples.
result Minimizes error in solutions of dynamic equations with noisy spatio-temporal data.
In quantum computation, series of quantum gates have to be arranged in a predefined sequence that led to a quantum circuit in order to solve a particular problem. What if the sequence of quantum gates is known but both the problem to be solved and the outcome of the so defined quantum circuit remain in the shadow? This…
Proposes FairDRL-ST for fair spatio-temporal mobility prediction.
problem Fairness concerns in spatio-temporal AI applications.
method Disentangled representation learning, adversarial learning.
result Achieves fairness in spatio-temporal mobility prediction without performance loss.
Combines CNN and LSTM for spatio-temporal graph networks.
problem Improving spatio-temporal feature extraction.
method Proposes a new architecture combining CNN and LSTM temporal blocks.
result Empirical comparison shows our model outperforms existing models.
The spatio-temporal graph learning is becoming an increasingly important object of graph study. Many application domains involve highly dynamic graphs where temporal information is crucial, e.g. traffic networks and financial transaction graphs. Despite the constant progress made on learning structured data, there is s…
This paper tackles spatio-temporal information preservation in machine learning.
problem Conventional machine learning assumes orthogonal data attributes, disrupting spatio-temporal information.
method Shift-invariant k-means, convolutional dictionary learning, and spatio-temporal hypercomplex encoding schemes are proposed.
result Gabor feature extraction outperforms convolutional dictionary learning in spatio-temporal information preservation.
Spatio-temporal data is intrinsically high dimensional, so unsupervised modeling is only feasible if we can exploit structure in the process. When the dynamics are local in both space and time, this structure can be exploited by splitting the global field into many lower-dimensional "light cones". We review light cone …
Dynamic sample pruning speeds up spatio-temporal forecasting models.
problem Training deep learning models on large, redundant datasets is computationally expensive.
method Dynamic sample pruning based on real-time learning state.
result Significant acceleration of training speed with improved performance.
DeepKriging uses neural networks for spatio-temporal interpolation and forecasting.
problem Non-Gaussianity and nonstationarity in real-world data.
method Two-stage model: DNN for interpolation, LSTM for forecasting.
result DeepKriging provides probabilistic forecasts without stationarity assumptions.
Our model predicts stock market intervals using chaotic fusion and graph convolutional networks.
problem Uncertainty in financial market predictions without quantified uncertainty.
method Bi-level chaotic fusion, graph convolutional networks, volatility-aware gating, temporal dependencies.
result Significant improvements in prediction intervals and coverage compared to existing methods.
When sensors collect spatio-temporal data in a large geographical area, the existence of missing data cannot be escaped. Missing data negatively impacts the performance of data analysis and machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we study deep autoencoders for missing data imputation in spatio-temporal problems. We…
Estimates spatio-temporal Hawkes processes using tensor recovery.
problem Estimating influence functions for spatio-temporal Hawkes processes.
method Formulates influence function as a tensor kernel, assumes low-rank structure, solves as convex optimization problem.
result Provides theoretical guarantees and demonstrates efficiency with simulations.
Efficient spatio-temporal Gaussian process inference method.
problem Scalable Gaussian process inference for multivariate, spatio-temporal data.
method Combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a scalable non-conjugate GP method.
result Linear scaling with respect to time and logarithmic scaling with respect to time steps.
Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) infers the long term dependency through a cell state maintained by the input and the forget gate structures, which models a gate output as a value in [0,1] through a sigmoid function. However, due to the graduality of the sigmoid function, the sigmoid gate is not flexible in representing m…
New method clusters evolving networks using spatio-temporal graph Laplacian.
problem Clustering communities in time-varying graphs.
method Extends spectral clustering to dynamic graphs using CCA and spatio-temporal graph Laplacian.
result The spatio-temporal graph Laplacian clearly interprets cluster evolution over time.
Gated attention improves model curvature, enhancing performance on nonlinear tasks.
problem Understanding the geometric implications of gating in attention mechanisms.
method Modeling attention outputs as Gaussian distributions and analyzing Fisher--Rao geometry.
result Gated attention enables non-flat geometries, including positively curved manifolds.
New algorithm predicts spatio-temporal events with improved accuracy.
problem Non-stationary spatio-temporal prediction on dense and sparse sequences.
method Probabilistic approach using point processes and self-organizing decision trees.
result Significant performance improvements over baseline and state-of-the-art methods.
Gated attention improves performance by using a hierarchical mixture of experts.
problem Improving performance of self-attention mechanisms in Transformers.
method Rigorously show that gated attention can be modeled as a hierarchical mixture of experts, providing a theoretical justification for its benefits.
result Gated attention is more sample-efficient than multi-head self-attention, requiring fewer data points to achieve the same estimation error.
Nonlocal Bayesian modeling for continuous spatio-temporal dynamics
problem Handling irregular time points, sparse observations, and nonlocal interactions in spatio-temporal forecasting
method Hierarchical Bayesian framework with coordinate-based spatial basis expansion and continuous-time ODE
result Strong forecasting and uncertainty calibration
Spatio-temporal data and processes are prevalent across a wide variety of scientific disciplines. These processes are often characterized by nonlinear time dynamics that include interactions across multiple scales of spatial and temporal variability. The data sets associated with many of these processes are increasing …
Given the success of the gated recurrent unit, a natural question is whether all the gates of the long short-term memory (LSTM) network are necessary. Previous research has shown that the forget gate is one of the most important gates in the LSTM. Here we show that a forget-gate-only version of the LSTM with chrono-ini…
Improved HMoE models using Laplace gating function enhance expert specialization and performance.
problem Improving performance of hierarchical mixture of experts models.
method Used Laplace gating function instead of Softmax in hierarchical mixture of experts models.
result Laplace gating function accelerates expert convergence and enhances specialization.
New method uses MMAF-guided learning for spatio-temporal probabilistic forecasts.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of spatio-temporal data with causal structure.
method Generalized Bayesian methodology, MMAF-guided learning, ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks.
result Forecast performance comparable to, and sometimes better than, deep learning architectures.