FreST Loss decorrelates spatio-temporal dependencies in graph signals.
problem Complex spatio-temporal dependencies in graph-structured signals are not well captured by standard forecasting models.
method FreST Loss extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum using Joint Fourier Transform (JFT).
result FreST Loss reduces estimation bias and improves forecasting accuracy on real-world datasets.
New method predicts spatio-temporal data with short and long-range dependence.
problem Uncertainty in predicting the distribution of mixed moving average fields.
method Theory-guided machine learning approach using generalized Bayesian algorithm.
result Fixed-time and any-time PAC Bayesian bounds for ensemble forecasts.
A new deep learning framework captures multi-scale spatio-temporal dependencies.
problem Designing and analyzing deep learning models for complex spatio-temporal analytics.
method Developed an I2DRNN model with three modules for integrating and learning multi-scale spatio-temporal data. result The I2DRNN model outperforms classical and state-of-the-art models in capturing meaningful multi-scale spatio-temporal dependencies. Enhances SNNs for spatio-temporal feature extraction.
problem Insufficient temporal dependencies in existing SNN synaptic structures.
method Integrates temporal convolution and attention mechanisms into synaptic connections.
result Improves SNN performance on classification tasks.
Paper models spatio-temporal extremes using conditional variational autoencoders.
problem Modeling co-occurrence of extreme weather events under changing climate conditions.
method Conditional Variational Autoencoder (cXVAE) with CNN integration.
result Accurately emulates spatial fields and recovers extremal dependence with low computational cost.
Estimates spatio-temporal Hawkes processes using tensor recovery.
problem Estimating influence functions for spatio-temporal Hawkes processes.
method Formulates influence function as a tensor kernel, assumes low-rank structure, solves as convex optimization problem.
result Provides theoretical guarantees and demonstrates efficiency with simulations.
New neural networks model for spatio-temporal data.
problem Building a mapping from spatially encoded time series covariates to real-valued response data.
method Proposed two novel extensions of Functional Neural Network (FNN) for spatio-temporal regression.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in handling varying spatial correlations through comprehensive simulation studies.
A framework uses deep learning for spatio-temporal data prediction.
problem Interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields on irregular points.
method Decomposes spatio-temporal processes into products of basis functions and spatial coefficients.
result Effectiveness in reconstructing coherent spatio-temporal fields.
FNOs improve spatio-temporal forecasting without needing PDE details.
problem Complex spatio-temporal dynamics in physical and biological phenomena.
method Fourier Neural Operators (FNOs) for dynamic spatio-temporal modeling.
result FNO forecasts are accurate and capture complex real-world dependencies.
New model tackles complex spatio-temporal causal inference with dynamic confounders and functional data.
problem Complex spatio-temporal dynamics and unmeasured confounders hinder causal inference.
method PFD-BDCM, a unified generative framework for spatio-temporal dependencies, functional data, and dynamic confounding.
result PFD-BDCM outperforms existing methods across observational, interventional, and counterfactual queries.
A new kernel framework analyzes spatio-temporal data from dynamic equations.
problem Analyzing spatio-temporal data from dynamic equations with noisy measurements.
method Kernel-based framework with representer theorem for minimizing error with given samples.
result Minimizes error in solutions of dynamic equations with noisy spatio-temporal data.
Improves spatio-temporal forecasting by reducing errors between training and inference.
problem Accumulation of small errors in Seq2Seq models during inference due to different distributions of training and inference phases.
method Curriculum learning based on Temporal Progressive Growing Sampling to replace some ground-truth context with generated predictions.
result Better models long-term dependencies and outperforms baseline approaches on two datasets.
New framework assesses deep learning models for spatio-temporal data with missing data.
problem Challenges in assessing deep learning models for spatio-temporal data with missing and heterogeneous data.
method Residual correlation analysis framework using spatio-temporal graphs and asymptotically distribution-free summary statistics.
result Identification and localization of regions where predictive performance can be improved.
ST-GCN improves rs-fMRI prediction accuracy by modeling spatio-temporal graph connectivity.
problem Existing rs-fMRI methods neglect functional connectivity or temporal dynamics.
method Spatio-temporal graph convolutional network (ST-GCN) trained on BOLD time series.
result ST-GCN predicts gender and age more accurately than common methods.
DMSTF models spatio-temporal data with deep Markov priors.
problem Analyzing nonlinear multimodal spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Deep Markov spatio-temporal factorization with stochastic variational inference.
result DMSTF outperforms other methods in predictive performance and clustering.
The spatio-temporal graph learning is becoming an increasingly important object of graph study. Many application domains involve highly dynamic graphs where temporal information is crucial, e.g. traffic networks and financial transaction graphs. Despite the constant progress made on learning structured data, there is s…
New method uses MMAF-guided learning for spatio-temporal probabilistic forecasts.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of spatio-temporal data with causal structure.
method Generalized Bayesian methodology, MMAF-guided learning, ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks.
result Forecast performance comparable to, and sometimes better than, deep learning architectures.
DeepKriging uses neural networks for spatio-temporal interpolation and forecasting.
problem Non-Gaussianity and nonstationarity in real-world data.
method Two-stage model: DNN for interpolation, LSTM for forecasting.
result DeepKriging provides probabilistic forecasts without stationarity assumptions.
A new method for separating mixed signals in space and time.
problem Nonlinear and nonstationary spatio-temporal data challenges.
method Identifiable autoregressive variational autoencoder.
result The method outperforms existing techniques in blind source separation and spatio-temporal prediction.
Paper introduces an unsupervised tensor-based anomaly detection method for spatiotemporal data.
problem Challenges in detecting anomalies in spatiotemporal data, especially in urban traffic monitoring and medical imaging.
method Formulates anomaly detection as a regularized robust low-rank + sparse tensor decomposition, incorporating spatiotemporal smoothness and local dependencies.
result Demonstrates improved anomaly detection performance on both synthetic and real data.
Deep learning improves weather modeling for electricity load forecasting.
problem Accurate load and renewable energy forecasting requires complex spatio-temporal weather modeling.
method Automated spatio-temporal feature extraction using deep neural networks.
result Deep learning outperforms traditional methods in French national load forecasting.
The paper develops a new method for estimating non-parametric regression functions with spatio-temporal dependencies.
problem Estimating non-parametric regression functions with spatio-temporal dependencies.
method Locally Adaptive Regression Splines (LARS) with ADMM algorithm.
result The method shows superior performance compared to existing techniques.
A new test detects noise in graph data, useful for forecasting.
problem Detecting uncorrelated noise in graph data.
method Spatio-temporal extension of traditional tests, using graph signals.
result Asymptotic distribution known, no assumption of identically distributed data.
Estimates spatio-temporal data with satellite NO2 concentrations using Yule-Walker equations.
problem Estimating large spatio-temporal autoregressions with unknown spatial interactions.
method Sparse generalized Yule-Walker estimation, penalized regression, spatial and temporal dependence.
result Strong forecast improvements and evidence of spatial interactions in NO2 satellite data.
Deep models improve spatial and spatio-temporal data analysis.
problem Improving analysis of spatial and spatio-temporal data.
method Hybrid models combining statistical and deep learning approaches.
result Deep models enhance traditional statistical methods for complex data.
We present a novel Neural Embedding Spatio-Temporal (NEST) point process model for spatio-temporal discrete event data and develop an efficient imitation learning (a type of reinforcement learning) based approach for model fitting. Despite the rapid development of one-dimensional temporal point processes for discrete e…
Spatio-temporal prediction plays an important role in many application areas especially in traffic domain. However, due to complicated spatio-temporal dependency and high non-linear dynamics in road networks, traffic prediction task is still challenging. Existing works either exhibit heavy training cost or fail to accu…
Paper presents a spatio-temporal Bayesian model for early detection of COVID-19 hotspots.
problem Understanding spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 hotspots to prevent outbreaks.
method Spatio-temporal Bayesian framework with a zero-mean Gaussian process and non-stationary kernel function enhanced by deep neural networks.
result Model demonstrates superior hotspot-detection performance compared to baseline methods.
New method uses neural networks to forecast spatial-temporal data.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of spatio-temporal data with causal structure.
method MMAF-guided learning with ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks.
result Forecasting remains calibrated across multiple time horizons.
New method estimates GGLM parameters, overcoming non-convexity.
problem Estimating parameters in GGLM with dependencies.
method Monotone operator-based variational inequality method.
result Guarantees for parameter recovery in GLM and GGLM.
Study sharp convergence rates of empirical UOT for spatio-temporal point processes.
problem Statistical analysis of UOT for spatio-temporal point processes.
method Empirical plug-in estimators for Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance between intensity measures.
result Sharp convergence rates of empirical UOT in terms of intrinsic dimensions of measures.
Proposes a new model for more accurate demand forecasting considering dynamic contextual information.
problem Traditional methods fail to capture spatio-temporal and dynamic contextual dependencies in demand forecasting.
method Integrates temporal, relational, spatial, and dynamic contextual dependencies using a Context Integrated Graph Neural Network (CIGNN).
result CIGNN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in multi-step ahead demand forecasting.
Timely accurate traffic forecast is crucial for urban traffic control and guidance. Due to the high nonlinearity and complexity of traffic flow, traditional methods cannot satisfy the requirements of mid-and-long term prediction tasks and often neglect spatial and temporal dependencies. In this paper, we propose a nove…
Improves forecasting accuracy and uncertainty characterization for spatio-temporal data.
problem Lack of uncertainty characterization in classical and deep learning models for spatio-temporal data.
method Bayesian inference using particle flow for approximating the posterior distribution of hidden states.
result Our approach provides better uncertainty characterization while maintaining comparable accuracy.
We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these dependencies through a structured latent dynamical component, while a decoder predicts t…
This study predicts parking availability using multi-source data and a self-supervised learning enhanced transformer.
problem Accurate parking availability prediction to support urban planning and management.
method Proposes SST-iTransformer, a self-supervised learning enhanced spatio-temporal inverted transformer, integrating multi-source data.
result SST-iTransformer achieves state-of-the-art performance in parking availability prediction.
Proposes a feature transformation for spatio-temporal traffic models to improve performance and transferability.
problem Limited transferability of deep learning models for traffic flow prediction across different locations.
method Integrates Newell's traffic flow estimators to capture broader dynamics and incorporates spatial dependencies.
result Improves model performance in predicting traffic flows over different horizons.
New translation equivariant neural processes improve spatio-temporal data modeling.
problem Improving posterior prediction maps for spatio-temporal data.
method Introduced translation equivariant transformers within neural processes.
result TE-TNPs outperform non-equivariant TNPs and other baselines.
Study on linear regression with dependent covariates, proving universality and error characterization.
problem Linear regression with dependent covariates in high-dimensional settings.
method Analysis of ridge regression performance, Gaussian universality theorem, spectral properties of covariance matrices.
result Asymptotic performance of ridge regression is invariant under non-Gaussian covariates with preserved mean and covariance.
CDST improves ensemble prediction by adjusting model weights based on covariates.
problem Improving ensemble prediction accuracy in complex scenarios.
method Covariate-dependent stacking (CDST) with flexible model weights estimated via cross-validation.
result CDST consistently outperforms conventional model averaging methods in complex datasets.
Develops a deep non-stationary kernel for non-stationary spatio-temporal point processes.
problem Capturing non-stationary dependencies in point process data.
method Approximates the influence kernel with a novel low-rank decomposition and introduces a log-barrier penalty to maintain non-negativity.
result Demonstrates superior performance and computational efficiency compared to state-of-the-art methods.
STACI uses neural nets to estimate spatio-temporal fields with valid uncertainty quantification.
problem Scalable spatio-temporal deep learning models fail to capture underlying correlation structure.
method Variational Bayesian neural network approximation of non-stationary spatio-temporal Gaussian Process (GP) with conformal inference.
result STACI provides accurate prediction intervals for spatio-temporal processes, outperforming competing methods.
Compared with artificial neural networks (ANNs), spiking neural networks (SNNs) are promising to explore the brain-like behaviors since the spikes could encode more spatio-temporal information. Although pre-training from ANN or direct training based on backpropagation (BP) makes the supervised training of SNNs possible…
Robust spatio-temporal GP framework for outlier-resilient predictions.
problem Outliers in spatio-temporal data degrade GP performance.
method Adapted and specialised RCGP framework for spatio-temporal settings.
result RCGP provides reliable spatio-temporal predictions with outliers.
Spatio-temporal data are ubiquitous in the agricultural, ecological, and environmental sciences, and their study is important for understanding and predicting a wide variety of processes. One of the difficulties with modeling spatial processes that change in time is the complexity of the dependence structures that must…
New framework predicts urban traffic with high accuracy.
problem Urban traffic prediction challenges.
method Interpretable attention-based neural network combining multiple modules.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art alternatives.
Algorithm estimates parameters over time-varying graphs without special assumptions.
problem Estimating parameters over time-varying graphs without assuming independence.
method Decentralized online regularized learning with innovation, consensus, and regularization terms.
result Estimations converge almost surely under certain conditions.
Proposes a new model for complex multivariate event data.
problem Modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Integrates spatial information into latent state evolution through learned temporal and spatial decay dynamics.
result Successfully recovers sensible temporal and spatial intensity structure in multivariate spatio-temporal point patterns.