Proposes a new model for more accurate demand forecasting considering dynamic contextual information.
problem Traditional methods fail to capture spatio-temporal and dynamic contextual dependencies in demand forecasting.
method Integrates temporal, relational, spatial, and dynamic contextual dependencies using a Context Integrated Graph Neural Network (CIGNN).
result CIGNN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in multi-step ahead demand forecasting.
SG-NTF completes HDI tensors with spectral mapping and spatio-temporal gating.
problem High-dimensional and incomplete tensor completion.
method Spectra-Guided Neural Tucker Factorization (SG-NTF) with Spatio-Temporal Co-Gating (STCG).
result Maintains competitive completion accuracy with parameter efficiency.
Proposes FairDRL-ST for fair spatio-temporal mobility prediction.
problem Fairness concerns in spatio-temporal AI applications.
method Disentangled representation learning, adversarial learning.
result Achieves fairness in spatio-temporal mobility prediction without performance loss.
The paper develops a new method for estimating non-parametric regression functions with spatio-temporal dependencies.
problem Estimating non-parametric regression functions with spatio-temporal dependencies.
method Locally Adaptive Regression Splines (LARS) with ADMM algorithm.
result The method shows superior performance compared to existing techniques.
Deep learning improves solar energy forecasting using physical and data-driven models.
problem Improving short-term solar energy forecasting accuracy.
method Injecting physical knowledge into deep learning models for spatio-temporal forecasting.
result Improved solar energy forecasting models using deep learning and physical criteria.
Improves spatio-temporal forecasting by reducing errors between training and inference.
problem Accumulation of small errors in Seq2Seq models during inference due to different distributions of training and inference phases.
method Curriculum learning based on Temporal Progressive Growing Sampling to replace some ground-truth context with generated predictions.
result Better models long-term dependencies and outperforms baseline approaches on two datasets.
Whole MILC learns brain disorder dynamics from unlabeled data.
problem Learning spatio-temporal brain disorder dynamics from unlabeled data.
method Self-supervised pre-training of whole MILC on unlabeled healthy control data.
result Whole MILC outperforms existing methods and provides diagnostic insights.
ST-GCN improves rs-fMRI prediction accuracy by modeling spatio-temporal graph connectivity.
problem Existing rs-fMRI methods neglect functional connectivity or temporal dynamics.
method Spatio-temporal graph convolutional network (ST-GCN) trained on BOLD time series.
result ST-GCN predicts gender and age more accurately than common methods.
End-to-end CNN for real-time MOD improves KITTI dataset accuracy by 8%.
problem Real-time detection of moving objects for autonomous vehicles.
method Spatio-temporal context and time-aware architecture using optical flow.
result Improvement of 8% in KITTI dataset accuracy compared to baselines.
A model for POI recommendation using relation embedding.
problem Challenges in POI recommendation due to sparse user-POI matrix and varying context.
method Translation-based relation embedding using Knowledge Graph Embedding techniques, combined matrix factorization framework.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the proposed model on real-world datasets.
Team MIE-Lab forecasts city traffic using past hour's multi-channel images.
problem Predict city-wide traffic status within 15 mins using past hour's multi-channel images.
method Evaluated network architectures, analyzed data, considered spatio-temporal context.
result Best submission in IARAI competition traffic4cast.
STACI uses neural nets to estimate spatio-temporal fields with valid uncertainty quantification.
problem Scalable spatio-temporal deep learning models fail to capture underlying correlation structure.
method Variational Bayesian neural network approximation of non-stationary spatio-temporal Gaussian Process (GP) with conformal inference.
result STACI provides accurate prediction intervals for spatio-temporal processes, outperforming competing methods.
Robust spatio-temporal GP framework for outlier-resilient predictions.
problem Outliers in spatio-temporal data degrade GP performance.
method Adapted and specialised RCGP framework for spatio-temporal settings.
result RCGP provides reliable spatio-temporal predictions with outliers.
Predicting when and where events will occur in cities, like taxi pick-ups, crimes, and vehicle collisions, is a challenging and important problem with many applications in fields such as urban planning, transportation optimization and location-based marketing. Though many point processes have been proposed to model eve…
Model predicts traffic speed using urban incidents.
problem Accurately predicting traffic speed in urban areas.
method Deep Incident-Aware Graph Convolutional Network (DIGC-Net).
result Model outperforms competing benchmarks in traffic speed prediction.
FreST Loss decorrelates spatio-temporal dependencies in graph signals.
problem Complex spatio-temporal dependencies in graph-structured signals are not well captured by standard forecasting models.
method FreST Loss extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum using Joint Fourier Transform (JFT).
result FreST Loss reduces estimation bias and improves forecasting accuracy on real-world datasets.
This work creates a system for understanding human movement in spaces.
problem Simplify communication and interaction between robots and humans in spatial tasks.
method Uses unsupervised learning with neural autoencoding to learn continuous representations of spatio-temporal trajectory data.
result Proposes a method to form prototypical representations of movement based on spatial context.
New framework predicts urban traffic with high accuracy.
problem Urban traffic prediction challenges.
method Interpretable attention-based neural network combining multiple modules.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art alternatives.
New neural network predicts traffic flow across different cities.
problem Forecasting traffic flow across different cities is challenging due to spatio-temporal correlations.
method Proposes a local-spacetime neural network (STNN) that captures universal spatio-temporal correlations.
result Improves prediction accuracy by 4% over state-of-the-art methods.
A framework uses deep learning for spatio-temporal data prediction.
problem Interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields on irregular points.
method Decomposes spatio-temporal processes into products of basis functions and spatial coefficients.
result Effectiveness in reconstructing coherent spatio-temporal fields.
Proposes a new model for complex multivariate event data.
problem Modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Integrates spatial information into latent state evolution through learned temporal and spatial decay dynamics.
result Successfully recovers sensible temporal and spatial intensity structure in multivariate spatio-temporal point patterns.
New graph kernels capture spatio-temporal interactions.
problem Lack of justified spatio-temporal graph kernels for graph problems.
method Derive graph kernels via SPDEs for spatio-temporal modelling.
result Non-separable spatio-temporal graph kernels outperform existing ones.
New neural networks model for spatio-temporal data.
problem Building a mapping from spatially encoded time series covariates to real-valued response data.
method Proposed two novel extensions of Functional Neural Network (FNN) for spatio-temporal regression.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in handling varying spatial correlations through comprehensive simulation studies.
New method predicts spatio-temporal data with short and long-range dependence.
problem Uncertainty in predicting the distribution of mixed moving average fields.
method Theory-guided machine learning approach using generalized Bayesian algorithm.
result Fixed-time and any-time PAC Bayesian bounds for ensemble forecasts.
New model infers causal relationships from spatio-temporal data, even with unobserved confounders.
problem Challenges in inferring causal relationships from spatio-temporal data due to unobserved confounders.
method Spatio-Temporal Hierarchical Causal Models (ST-HCMs) that extend hierarchical causal modeling to the spatio-temporal domain, using the Spatio-Temporal Collapse Theorem.
result Validated the effectiveness of ST-HCMs on both synthetic and real-world datasets, demonstrating robust causal inference in complex dynamic systems.
FNOs improve spatio-temporal forecasting without needing PDE details.
problem Complex spatio-temporal dynamics in physical and biological phenomena.
method Fourier Neural Operators (FNOs) for dynamic spatio-temporal modeling.
result FNO forecasts are accurate and capture complex real-world dependencies.
Model improves mortgage credit risk prediction with spatio-temporal machine learning.
problem Improving accuracy of default probabilities and loan portfolio loss distributions in mortgage credit risk.
method Combines tree-boosting with a latent spatio-temporal Gaussian process model.
result Predictive models outperform conventional methods due to non-linear and spatio-temporal effects.
Modeling solar ramping events with spatio-temporal point processes.
problem Predicting solar ramping events influenced by weather conditions.
method Novel spatio-temporal categorical point process model.
result Effective modeling of spatio-temporal correlations in solar ramping events.
A new kernel framework analyzes spatio-temporal data from dynamic equations.
problem Analyzing spatio-temporal data from dynamic equations with noisy measurements.
method Kernel-based framework with representer theorem for minimizing error with given samples.
result Minimizes error in solutions of dynamic equations with noisy spatio-temporal data.
Combines CNN and LSTM for spatio-temporal graph networks.
problem Improving spatio-temporal feature extraction.
method Proposes a new architecture combining CNN and LSTM temporal blocks.
result Empirical comparison shows our model outperforms existing models.
The spatio-temporal graph learning is becoming an increasingly important object of graph study. Many application domains involve highly dynamic graphs where temporal information is crucial, e.g. traffic networks and financial transaction graphs. Despite the constant progress made on learning structured data, there is s…
This paper tackles spatio-temporal information preservation in machine learning.
problem Conventional machine learning assumes orthogonal data attributes, disrupting spatio-temporal information.
method Shift-invariant k-means, convolutional dictionary learning, and spatio-temporal hypercomplex encoding schemes are proposed.
result Gabor feature extraction outperforms convolutional dictionary learning in spatio-temporal information preservation.
Spatio-temporal data is intrinsically high dimensional, so unsupervised modeling is only feasible if we can exploit structure in the process. When the dynamics are local in both space and time, this structure can be exploited by splitting the global field into many lower-dimensional "light cones". We review light cone …
Dynamic sample pruning speeds up spatio-temporal forecasting models.
problem Training deep learning models on large, redundant datasets is computationally expensive.
method Dynamic sample pruning based on real-time learning state.
result Significant acceleration of training speed with improved performance.
DeepKriging uses neural networks for spatio-temporal interpolation and forecasting.
problem Non-Gaussianity and nonstationarity in real-world data.
method Two-stage model: DNN for interpolation, LSTM for forecasting.
result DeepKriging provides probabilistic forecasts without stationarity assumptions.
When sensors collect spatio-temporal data in a large geographical area, the existence of missing data cannot be escaped. Missing data negatively impacts the performance of data analysis and machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we study deep autoencoders for missing data imputation in spatio-temporal problems. We…
Estimates spatio-temporal Hawkes processes using tensor recovery.
problem Estimating influence functions for spatio-temporal Hawkes processes.
method Formulates influence function as a tensor kernel, assumes low-rank structure, solves as convex optimization problem.
result Provides theoretical guarantees and demonstrates efficiency with simulations.
Efficient spatio-temporal Gaussian process inference method.
problem Scalable Gaussian process inference for multivariate, spatio-temporal data.
method Combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a scalable non-conjugate GP method.
result Linear scaling with respect to time and logarithmic scaling with respect to time steps.
New method clusters evolving networks using spatio-temporal graph Laplacian.
problem Clustering communities in time-varying graphs.
method Extends spectral clustering to dynamic graphs using CCA and spatio-temporal graph Laplacian.
result The spatio-temporal graph Laplacian clearly interprets cluster evolution over time.
New algorithm predicts spatio-temporal events with improved accuracy.
problem Non-stationary spatio-temporal prediction on dense and sparse sequences.
method Probabilistic approach using point processes and self-organizing decision trees.
result Significant performance improvements over baseline and state-of-the-art methods.
Nonlocal Bayesian modeling for continuous spatio-temporal dynamics
problem Handling irregular time points, sparse observations, and nonlocal interactions in spatio-temporal forecasting
method Hierarchical Bayesian framework with coordinate-based spatial basis expansion and continuous-time ODE
result Strong forecasting and uncertainty calibration
Study on linear regression with dependent covariates, proving universality and error characterization.
problem Linear regression with dependent covariates in high-dimensional settings.
method Analysis of ridge regression performance, Gaussian universality theorem, spectral properties of covariance matrices.
result Asymptotic performance of ridge regression is invariant under non-Gaussian covariates with preserved mean and covariance.
Spatio-temporal data and processes are prevalent across a wide variety of scientific disciplines. These processes are often characterized by nonlinear time dynamics that include interactions across multiple scales of spatial and temporal variability. The data sets associated with many of these processes are increasing …
New method uses MMAF-guided learning for spatio-temporal probabilistic forecasts.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of spatio-temporal data with causal structure.
method Generalized Bayesian methodology, MMAF-guided learning, ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks.
result Forecast performance comparable to, and sometimes better than, deep learning architectures.
Novel framework for spatio-temporal event analysis using Hawkes processes.
problem Inference of dynamics in spatio-temporal event sequences.
method Randomized Fourier feature-based transformations and gradient descent.
result Improved fitting capability in synthetic and real datasets.
New method detects and locates changes in spatio-temporal point processes.
problem Detecting and localizing changes in spatio-temporal data.
method Score-based, likelihood-free approach estimating change time and region.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees on detection and localization accuracy.
Spatio-temporal graphs such as traffic networks or gene regulatory systems present challenges for the existing deep learning methods due to the complexity of structural changes over time. To address these issues, we introduce Spatio-Temporal Deep Graph Infomax (STDGI)---a fully unsupervised node representation learning…
Paper presents a spatio-temporal Bayesian model for early detection of COVID-19 hotspots.
problem Understanding spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 hotspots to prevent outbreaks.
method Spatio-temporal Bayesian framework with a zero-mean Gaussian process and non-stationary kernel function enhanced by deep neural networks.
result Model demonstrates superior hotspot-detection performance compared to baseline methods.